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4 result(s) for "Musa Khalifa, Adam"
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COVID-19 epidemiology and changes in health service utilization in Azraq and Zaatari refugee camps in Jordan: A retrospective cohort study
The effects of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in humanitarian contexts are not well understood. Specific vulnerabilities in such settings raised concerns about the ability to respond and maintain essential health services. This study describes the epidemiology of COVID-19 in Azraq and Zaatari refugee camps in Jordan (population: 37,932 and 79,034, respectively) and evaluates changes in routine health services during the COVID-19 pandemic. We calculate the descriptive statistics of COVID-19 cases in the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)'s linelist and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for selected outcomes. We evaluate the changes in health services using monthly routine data from UNHCR's health information system (HIS; January 2018 to March 2021) and apply interrupted time series analysis with a generalized additive model and negative binomial (NB) distribution, accounting for long-term trends and seasonality, reporting results as incidence rate ratios (IRRs). COVID-19 cases were first reported on September 8 and September 13, 2020 in Azraq and Zaatari camps, respectively, 6 months after the first case in Jordan. Incidence rates (IRs) were lower in camps than neighboring governorates (by 37.6% in Azraq (IRR: 0.624, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [0.584 to 0.666], p-value: <0.001) and 40.2% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.598, 95% CI: [0.570, 0.629], p-value: <0.001)) and lower than Jordan (by 59.7% in Azraq (IRR: 0.403, 95% CI: [0.378 to 0.430], p-value: <0.001) and by 63.3% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.367, 95% CI: [0.350 to 0.385], p-value: <0.001)). Characteristics of cases and risk factors for negative disease outcomes were consistent with increasing COVID-19 evidence. The following health services reported an immediate decline during the first year of COVID-19: healthcare utilization (by 32% in Azraq (IRR: 0.680, 95% CI [0.549 to 0.843], p-value < 0.001) and by 24.2% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.758, 95% CI [0.577 to 0.995], p-value = 0.046)); consultations for respiratory tract infections (RTIs; by 25.1% in Azraq (IRR: 0.749, 95% CI: [0.596 to 0.940], p-value = 0.013 and by 37.5% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.625, 95% CI: [0.461 to 0.849], p-value = 0.003)); and family planning (new and repeat family planning consultations decreased by 47.4% in Azraq (IRR: 0.526, 95% CI: [0.376 to 0.736], p-value = <0.001) and 47.6% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.524, 95% CI: [0.312 to 0.878], p-value = 0.014)). Maternal and child health services as well as noncommunicable diseases did not show major changes compared to pre-COVID-19 period. Conducting interrupted time series analyses in volatile settings such refugee camps can be challenging as it may be difficult to meet some analytical assumptions and to mitigate threats to validity. The main limitation of this study relates therefore to possible unmeasured confounding. COVID-19 transmission was lower in camps than outside of camps. Refugees may have been affected from external transmission, rather than driving it. Various types of health services were affected differently, but disruptions appear to have been limited in the 2 camps compared to other noncamp settings. These insights into Jordan's refugee camps during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic set the stage for follow-up research to investigate how infection susceptibility evolved over time, as well as which mitigation strategies were more successful and accepted.
COVID-19 epidemiology and changes in health service utilization in Azraq and Zaatari refugee camps in Jordan: A retrospective cohort study
Background The effects of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in humanitarian contexts are not well understood. Specific vulnerabilities in such settings raised concerns about the ability to respond and maintain essential health services. This study describes the epidemiology of COVID-19 in Azraq and Zaatari refugee camps in Jordan (population: 37,932 and 79,034, respectively) and evaluates changes in routine health services during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods and findings We calculate the descriptive statistics of COVID-19 cases in the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR)’s linelist and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for selected outcomes. We evaluate the changes in health services using monthly routine data from UNHCR’s health information system (HIS; January 2018 to March 2021) and apply interrupted time series analysis with a generalized additive model and negative binomial (NB) distribution, accounting for long-term trends and seasonality, reporting results as incidence rate ratios (IRRs). COVID-19 cases were first reported on September 8 and September 13, 2020 in Azraq and Zaatari camps, respectively, 6 months after the first case in Jordan. Incidence rates (IRs) were lower in camps than neighboring governorates (by 37.6% in Azraq (IRR: 0.624, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [0.584 to 0.666], p-value: <0.001) and 40.2% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.598, 95% CI: [0.570, 0.629], p-value: <0.001)) and lower than Jordan (by 59.7% in Azraq (IRR: 0.403, 95% CI: [0.378 to 0.430], p-value: <0.001) and by 63.3% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.367, 95% CI: [0.350 to 0.385], p-value: <0.001)). Characteristics of cases and risk factors for negative disease outcomes were consistent with increasing COVID-19 evidence. The following health services reported an immediate decline during the first year of COVID-19: healthcare utilization (by 32% in Azraq (IRR: 0.680, 95% CI [0.549 to 0.843], p-value < 0.001) and by 24.2% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.758, 95% CI [0.577 to 0.995], p-value = 0.046)); consultations for respiratory tract infections (RTIs; by 25.1% in Azraq (IRR: 0.749, 95% CI: [0.596 to 0.940], p-value = 0.013 and by 37.5% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.625, 95% CI: [0.461 to 0.849], p-value = 0.003)); and family planning (new and repeat family planning consultations decreased by 47.4% in Azraq (IRR: 0.526, 95% CI: [0.376 to 0.736], p-value = <0.001) and 47.6% in Zaatari (IRR: 0.524, 95% CI: [0.312 to 0.878], p-value = 0.014)). Maternal and child health services as well as noncommunicable diseases did not show major changes compared to pre–COVID-19 period. Conducting interrupted time series analyses in volatile settings such refugee camps can be challenging as it may be difficult to meet some analytical assumptions and to mitigate threats to validity. The main limitation of this study relates therefore to possible unmeasured confounding. Conclusions COVID-19 transmission was lower in camps than outside of camps. Refugees may have been affected from external transmission, rather than driving it. Various types of health services were affected differently, but disruptions appear to have been limited in the 2 camps compared to other noncamp settings. These insights into Jordan’s refugee camps during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic set the stage for follow-up research to investigate how infection susceptibility evolved over time, as well as which mitigation strategies were more successful and accepted. Chiara Altare and colleagues evaluate the COVID-19 epidemiology and associated changes in routine health services in Azraq and Zaatari refugee camps in Jordan. Author summary Why was this study done? There is a scarcity of information on the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in humanitarian settings, including in refugee camps. Challenges specific to humanitarian settings have raised concerns over the ability to respond to the pandemic as well as to maintain essential health services. Crises often result in diverted attention and funding for health services that are critical to preventing excess disease and death from all causes. Evidence about the COVID-19 situation in humanitarian settings can help actors to make informed decisions about epidemic response and to appropriately prioritize services. What did the researchers do and find? We used observational programmatic data to describe the COVID-19 situation in 2 refugee camps in Jordan (Azraq and Zaatari camps) and evaluated changes in health services pre- and during COVID-19 periods. We found that there were lower rates of COVID-19 in the camps than at the governorate level by 37.6% (Azraq) and 40.2% (Zaatari) and at the national level by 59.7% (Azraq) and 63.3% (Zaatari). At the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic, health service utilization declined for health consultations by 32.0% (Azraq) and 24.2% (Zaatari), for respiratory tract infection (RTI) consultations by 25.1% (Azraq) and 37.5% (Zaatari), and for family planning services by 47.4% (Azraq) and 47.6% (Zaatari). Health services for maternal healthcare and noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) did not show major changes between the pre- and during COVID-19 periods. What do these findings mean? The findings indicate that refugees did not pose a threat of spreading COVID-19 in the study locations, but may themselves have been affected by external COVID-19 transmission. There was a mix of health service performance in the first year of the pandemic, although services in the camps appeared to function better than in noncamp settings. Findings are limited by the challenges to conducting research in humanitarian settings including difficulties measuring health system performance and capturing external characteristics that could affect study results. The results set the stage for follow-up research on COVID-19 in humanitarian settings, including how infection rates may change over time, which mitigation strategies are appropriate, and how health services are affected.
Increased utilization of health care services for non-communicable diseases during the COVID-19 pandemic among refugees in Jordan: a mixed-methods study
Maintaining routine health services during epidemics and humanitarian crises is instrumental to reduce preventable mortality and morbidity. Given the health service disruptions observed during the COVID-19 pandemic worldwide, we aimed to investigate the evolution of health care service utilization for acute and routine chronic care among refugees in Jordan during distinct phases of the COVID-19 pandemic and discuss the interventions that may have contributed to the observed changes in utilization. We conducted a mixed-methods study with three components: (1) interrupted time-series analysis of routine health data in Azraq and Zaatari camps; (2) a household survey among refugees in and out-of-camps (descriptive statistics and comparisons across pandemic periods using Poisson models with household-correlated robust variance estimation); 3) focus group discussions among refugees in and out-of-camps (inductive and deductive thematic content analysis). The analyses compared outcomes across four study periods: (1) Pre-COVID-19 (January 2018-March 2020); (2) Lockdown (April 2020-June 2021); (3) Post-lockdown (July 2021-April 2022); (4) Normalization (May 2022-March 2023), and three refugee groups (Syrian in-camps, Syrian out-of-camps, non-Syrian out-of-camps). Study outcomes included health care utilization for acute and chronic conditions (average number of outpatient consultations per person per year) and self reported health care seeking behaviour. Acute care utilization declined sharply during the lockdown and recovered gradually to pre-pandemic level during the post-lockdown period. Diabetes care utilization was low before the pandemic across groups. After a reduction during lockdown, it increased significantly during the normalization phase to above pre-pandemic rates. A package of service adaptations was introduced to facilitate access to services and medicines: multi-months drug prescription; new distribution system for medication home delivery; home visits; telephonic follow-up; hotline for questions. Study participants reported different experiences in accessing care, from spontaneous support to perceived barriers and limited access. While challenges were highlighted (waiting time, transportation, cost), most participants appreciated the intervention package and praised the comprehensiveness of the provided services. This paper investigates changes in health care services utilization of acute and routine chronic care among refugees in Jordan during the COVID-19 pandemic. We learned that acute care will likely rebound back to pre-shock levels and that the utilization of chronic care benefitted from introduced changes in the approach of service delivery, namely a package of complementary interventions that proved helpful in facilitating access to care and medicines for NCD patients while reducing COVID-19 exposure. By documenting UNHCR's and partners' efforts, we provide examples of concrete interventions that should be implemented to improve future pandemic responses.
Impact of Climate Variation on Land Use Land Cover Change in Kassala State, Sudan
Change in global weather pattern has become a major concern because of their direct impact on land use and land cover (LULC). This study, conducted in Kassala State, Sudan, examines how climatic variability influences these changes. Additionally, the study is intended to find out the possible intervention to reduce the impact of wind and sandstorms in the area. Primary data were collected through interview, focus group discussion, direct observation, and analysis of satellite images. Landsat TM 5 (2002) and Landsat 8 OLI (2023) images were used for LULC mapping. Meteorological data were obtained from local weather stations, while social data were gathered through stakeholder interviews. Quantitative data were analyzed using SPSS and Microsoft Excel while satellite images were processed using supervised classification and change detection techniques in ERDAS and ArcMap. The result showed fluctuations in rainfall ( R 2 = 0.04), an increase temperature ( R 2 = 0.01), and higher wind speeds ( R 2 = 0.02). Forest cover declined from 17.11% to 13.20%, while bare land and shrubland expanded. The study recommends agroforestry systems interventions including windbreak and shelterbelts using Acacia tortilis and Acacia raddiana to mitigate the effects of sandstorms and land degradation.