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result(s) for
"Nelson, Arthur C"
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The New Urbanity: The Rise of a New America
2009
The period from 2010 to 2030 will see as sweeping a change to America s metropolitan landscape as the half century after World War II. During the baby boom era, 1946 through 1964, about half of American households were raising children; in 2030, only about a quarter will be. Between 2010 and 2030, the increase in the number of single-person households will be more than double the increase in the number of households with children. A major reason is the aging of the boomers: in 2010,13 percent of the population will be age sixty-five or over; but by 2030, 19 percent of the population will be. There will be changes in the kind of housing and neighborhoods that households prefer. More than half of all households will prefer housing in neighborhoods that comprise such \"urbanity\" attributes as transit accessibility; proximity to shopping and restaurants; mixed uses including mixed housing choices; and mixed incomes, ages, and ethnicities. Moving toward this new urbanity will require reconsideration of several policies with roots dating from the baby boom era.
Journal Article
Missing Middle Housing
2020
Today, there is a tremendous mismatch between the available housing stock in the US and the housing options that people want and need.The post-WWII, auto-centric, single-family-development model no longer meets the needs of residents.
Reshaping metropolitan America : development trends and opportunities to 2030
by
Nelson, Arthur C.
,
Blumenauer, Earl
in
Americans
,
City planning
,
City planning -- United States
2013
Nearly half the buildings that will be standing in 2030 do not exist today.That means we have a tremendous opportunity to reinvent our urban areas, making them more sustainable and livable for future generations.
Complete Streets as a Redevelopment Strategy
2024
This article asserts that converting America’s main streets and thoroughfares into Complete Streets is an important redevelopment strategy. Although this article will show that they improve safety, their principal purpose—the extent to which they are associated with redevelopment—has not been researched. This article presents the first comprehensive assessment of the role of Complete Streets as a redevelopment strategy. Using statistical analysis applied to 26 Complete Streets in 16 central counties, research reported in this article establishes associations between Complete Streets and increased jobs, people, and households; improved jobs-housing balance; increased commuting via transit, walking, and biking; working from home; and increased multifamily residential rents with respect to proximity, meaning that people are more willing to pay to be close to Complete Streets. Moreover, constituting less than six-tenths of one percent of their central county urbanized land areas between 2013 and 2019 (after the Great Recession but before the COVID-19 pandemic), Complete Streets accounted for disproportionately large shares of central county growth and change. Although the Complete Streets in the research sample cost about $600 million to build (in 2023 dollars), much of which would have been spent anyway in the normal cycle of street rehabilitation and upgrades, it is estimated that they are associated with $6 billion in redevelopment investments. Few economic development programs match this return on investment. Although some evidence indicates gentrification, policy interventions are outlined to help mitigate adverse outcomes. It may be difficult to imagine more cost-effective redevelopment strategies than Complete Streets.
Journal Article
Structural equation models of VMT growth in US urbanised areas
by
Ewing, Reid
,
Gallivan, Frank
,
Nelson, Arthur C
in
Built environments
,
Cross-sectional analysis
,
Externality
2014
Vehicle miles travelled (VMT) is a primary performance indicator for land use and transportation, bringing with it both positive and negative externalities. This study updates and refines previous work on VMT in urbanised areas, using recent data, additional metrics and structural equation modelling (SEM). In a cross-sectional model for 2010, population, income and freeway capacity are positively related to VMT, while gasoline prices, development density and transit service levels are negatively related. Findings of the cross-sectional model are generally confirmed in a more tightly controlled longitudinal study of changes in VMT between 2000 and 2010, the first model of its kind. The cross-sectional and longitudinal models together, plus the transportation literature generally, give us a basis for generalising across studies to arrive at elasticity values of VMT with respect to different urban variables.
Journal Article
Environmental regulations and housing costs
2009,2008
Many communities across the nation still lack affordable housing. And many officials continue to claim that \"affordable housing\" is an oxymoron. Buildinginexpensively is impossible, they say, because there are too many regulations. Required environmental impact statements and habitat protection laws, they contend, drive up the costs of construction. But is this actually true? In a comprehensive study of the question, the authors of this eye-opening book separate fact from myth.
Plan Quality and Mitigating Damage from Natural Disasters: A Case Study of the Northridge Earthquake with Planning Policy Considerations
2002
Planners have long believed as an article of faith that land use planning can reduce damage from natural hazards. After evaluating the relationship between the seismic safety elements of comprehensive plans prepared in the Los Angeles region of California and damage caused by the 1994 North-ridge earthquake, we provide evidence that this faith is not misplaced. The State of California requires every local government to include a seismic safety element in its comprehensive land use plan. The 1994 Northridge earthquake provided an opportunity to evaluate the extent to which the quality of state-mandated, locally prepared seismic safety elements reduce earthquake damage. We found that fewer homes were damaged when local governments had developed high-quality factual bases, formulated goals for improving seismic safety, crafted regulatory policies to manage development in hazardous areas, and advanced policies that made the public aware of seismic risks. We conclude that including a high-quality seismic safety element in land use plans can reduce property damage associated with seismic events. Our work has broad implications for land use planning.
Journal Article
The Mass Market for Suburban Low-Density Development Is Over
by
Nelson, Arthur C.
in
City planning and redevelopment law
,
Commercial buildings
,
Forecasts and trends
2012
[...]I pose numerous recommendations for reshaping America' s suburbs to meet new market demands. [...]I worry that the inertia of planning and zoning designed to meet the needs of past generations will be unable to prevent yet another housing collapse less than a generation from now.
Journal Article