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In February, 2017, the US Food and Drug Administration approved the blood infection marker procalcitonin for guiding antibiotic therapy in patients with acute respiratory infections. This meta-analysis of patient data from 26 randomised controlled trials was designed to assess safety of procalcitonin-guided treatment in patients with acute respiratory infections from different clinical settings. Based on a prespecified Cochrane protocol, we did a systematic literature search on the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, MEDLINE, and Embase, and pooled individual patient data from trials in which patients with respiratory infections were randomly assigned to receive antibiotics based on procalcitonin concentrations (procalcitonin-guided group) or control. The coprimary endpoints were 30-day mortality and setting-specific treatment failure. Secondary endpoints were antibiotic use, length of stay, and antibiotic side-effects. We identified 990 records from the literature search, of which 71 articles were assessed for eligibility after exclusion of 919 records. We collected data on 6708 patients from 26 eligible trials in 12 countries. Mortality at 30 days was significantly lower in procalcitonin-guided patients than in control patients (286 [9%] deaths in 3336 procalcitonin-guided patients vs 336 [10%] in 3372 controls; adjusted odds ratio [OR] 0·83 [95% CI 0·70 to 0·99], p=0·037). This mortality benefit was similar across subgroups by setting and type of infection (pinteractions>0·05), although mortality was very low in primary care and in patients with acute bronchitis. Procalcitonin guidance was also associated with a 2·4-day reduction in antibiotic exposure (5·7 vs 8·1 days [95% CI −2·71 to −2·15], p<0·0001) and a reduction in antibiotic-related side-effects (16% vs 22%, adjusted OR 0·68 [95% CI 0·57 to 0·82], p<0·0001). Use of procalcitonin to guide antibiotic treatment in patients with acute respiratory infections reduces antibiotic exposure and side-effects, and improves survival. Widespread implementation of procalcitonin protocols in patients with acute respiratory infections thus has the potential to improve antibiotic management with positive effects on clinical outcomes and on the current threat of increasing antibiotic multiresistance. National Institute for Health Research.

Background The clinical utility of serum procalcitonin levels in guiding antibiotic treatment decisions in patients with sepsis remains unclear. This patient-level meta-analysis based on 11 randomized trials investigates the impact of procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy on mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) patients with infection, both overall and stratified according to sepsis definition, severity, and type of infection. Methods For this meta-analysis focusing on procalcitonin-guided antibiotic management in critically ill patients with sepsis of any type, in February 2018 we updated the database of a previous individual patient data meta-analysis which was limited to patients with respiratory infections only. We used individual patient data from 11 trials that randomly assigned patients to receive antibiotics based on procalcitonin levels (the “procalcitonin-guided” group) or the current standard of care (the “controls”). The primary endpoint was mortality within 30 days. Secondary endpoints were duration of antibiotic treatment and length of stay. Results Mortality in the 2252 procalcitonin-guided patients was significantly lower compared with the 2230 control group patients (21.1% vs 23.7%; adjusted odds ratio 0.89, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.8 to 0.99; p  = 0.03). These effects on mortality persisted in a subgroup of patients meeting the sepsis 3 definition and based on the severity of sepsis (assessed on the basis of the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, occurrence of septic shock or renal failure, and need for vasopressor or ventilatory support) and on the type of infection (respiratory, urinary tract, abdominal, skin, or central nervous system), with interaction for each analysis being > 0.05. Procalcitonin guidance also facilitated earlier discontinuation of antibiotics, with a reduction in treatment duration (9.3 vs 10.4 days; adjusted coefficient −1.19 days, 95% CI −1.73 to −0.66; p  <  0.001). Conclusion Procalcitonin-guided antibiotic treatment in ICU patients with infection and sepsis patients results in improved survival and lower antibiotic treatment duration.

Autonomic dysregulation is one of the recognized pathophysiological mechanisms in sepsis, generating the hypothesis that heart rate variability (HRV) can be used to predict mortality in sepsis. This was a systematic review of studies evaluating HRV as a predictor of death in patients with sepsis. The search was performed by independent researchers in PubMed, LILACS and Cochrane, including papers in English, Portuguese or Spanish, indexed until August 20th, 2017 with at least 10 patients. Study quality was assessed by Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. To analyze the results, we divided the articles between those who measured HRV for short-term recordings (≤ 1 hour), and those who did long-term recordings (≥ 24 hours). Nine studies were included with a total of 536 patients. All of them were observational studies. Studies quality varied from 4 to 7 stars in Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. The mortality rate in the studies ranged from 8 to 61%. Seven studies performed HRV analysis in short-term recordings. With the exception of one study that did not explain which group had the lowest results, all other studies showed reduction of several HRV parameters in the non-survivors in relation to the surviving septic patients. SDNN (Standard deviation of the Normal to Normal interval), TP (Total Power), VLF (Very Low Frequency Power), LF (Low Frequency Power), LF/HF (Low Frequency Power / High Frequency Power), nLF (Normalized Low Frequency Power), α1/α2 (short-term and long-term fractal scaling coefficients from DFA) and r-MSSD (Square root of the squared mean of the difference of successive NN-intervals) of the non-survivor group were reduced in relation to the survivors in at least one study. Two studies found that SDNN is associated with mortality in sepsis, even after adjusting for possible confounding factors. Three studies performed HRV analysis using long-term recordings. Only one of these studies found difference between surviving and non-surviving groups, and even so, in only one HRV parameter: LogHF. Several HRV parameters are reduced in nonsurviving septic patients in short-term recording. Two studies have found that SDNN is associated with mortality in sepsis, even after adjusting for possible confounding factors.

Objective: To investigate if red blood cell distribution width (RDW) is a risk factor for hospital mortality in patients admitted to a public university hospital in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil. Methods: This observational prospective study included patients over 16 years who had been hospitalized for COVID‐19 between May and October 2020. A descriptive and time‐to‐death analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of the 161 patients included, 39 (24.2%) died during hospitalization. A total of 2227 blood counts were performed, an average of 13.8 tests per patient (standard deviation, SD 2.9). Upon admission, the RDW was normal (11.5% to 14.6%) in 115 patients (71.4%), elevated in 45 (28%), and low in 1 (0.6%). The mean RDW value at admission was 14.5 (SD 2.4), which falls within the normal reference range. Of the patients with normal RDW at admission, 82 (71.3%) maintained normal levels throughout their stay, while 33 (28.7%) showed increased RDW levels over time. Among those with elevated RDW at admission, 40 (88.9%) remained elevated, while 5 (11.1%) returned to normal levels. There was no significant difference in the mean RDW value at admission between survivors and nonsurvivors (14.4 [SD 2.4] for survivors vs. 14.9 [SD 2.4] for nonsurvivors; p = 0.2081). The risk for mortality in the group with high RDW upon admission was higher than in the group with normal RDW, but without statistical significance (31.1% vs. 21.7%; RR = 1.43; p = 0.413). When performing a multivariate analysis, the following continue to be risk factors for lower survival: age > 70 years, HR 4.8 (95% CI: 2.3; 10.3), p < 0.001; white race, HR 3.2 (95% CI: 1.2; 8.61), p = 0.018; and need for invasive MV, HR 3.8 (1.7; 8.7), p = 0.001. The presence of a chest X‐ray suggestive of COVID‐19, HR 3.5 (95% CI: 1.0; 11.5), p = 0.044, also appears to be a risk factor in this analysis. Conclusion: Alterations on RDW values on admission were not associated with higher mortality, and further increases in RDW during hospitalization were not linked to a higher risk of mortality across all age groups. Our findings suggest that while RDW may indicate disease severity, it may not serve as a reliable independent predictor of mortality when other factors are accounted for in this cohort.

Background. Procalcitonin algorithms may reduce antibiotic use for acute respiratory tract infections (ARIs). We undertook an individual patient data meta-analysis to assess safety of this approach in different ARI diagnoses and different clinical settings. Methods. We identified clinical trials in which patients with ARI were assigned to receive antibiotics based on a procalcitonin algorithm or usual care by searching the Cochrane Register, MEDLINE, and EMBASE. Individual patient data from 4221 adults with ARIs in 14 trials were verified and reanalyzed to assess risk of mortality and treatment failure—overall and within different clinical settings and types of ARIs. Results. Overall, there were 118 deaths in 2085 patients (5.7%) assigned to procalcitonin groups compared with 134 deaths in 2126 control patients (6.3%; adjusted odds ratio, 0.94; 95% confidence interval CI, .71–1.23)]. Treatment failure occurred in 398 procalcitonin group patients (19.1%) and in 466 control patients (21.9%; adjusted odds ratio, 0.82; 95% CI, .71–.97). Procalcitonin guidance was not associated with increased mortality or treatment failure in any clinical setting or ARI diagnosis. Total antibiotic exposure per patient was significantly reduced overall (median [interquartile range], from 8 [5–12] to 4 [0–8] days; adjusted difference in days, −3.47 [95% CI, −3.78 to −3.17]) and across all clinical settings and ARI diagnoses. Conclusions. Use of procalcitonin to guide initiation and duration of antibiotic treatment in patients with ARIs was effective in reducing antibiotic exposure across settings without an increase in the risk of mortality or treatment failure. Further high-quality trials are needed in critical-care patients.

Sepsis is a serious medical condition with increasing prevalence and high mortality. The role of the autonomic nervous system in pathophysiology of sepsis has been increasingly researched. The objective of this study is to evaluate the Heart rate variability (HRV) as a predictor of mortality in septic patients. This was a prospective cohort of patients diagnosed with sepsis. Patient recruitment was carried out at ICU in tertiary university hospital between March 2012 and February 2014. Clinical data and laboratory exams were collected at admission. Each patient underwent a 20-minute Holter and a 24-hour Holter on the first day of enrollment. The primary outcome was the 28-day all-cause mortality. A total of 63 patients were included. Patients were categorized into nonsurvivor group (n = 16) or survivor group (n = 47) depending on this endpoint. Survivors were younger (48.6 years vs. 63.0 years), had better renal function and lower values in severity scores (APACHE II and SOFA) compared to nonsurvivors. In the 20-minute Holter, SDNN, Total Power, VLF Power, LF Power and LF/HF of nonsurvivors were significantly lower than those of survivors (p = <0.001, p = 0.003, p = 0.002, p = 0.006, p = 0.009 respectively). ROC curve of SDNN was built, showing area under the curve of 0.772 (0.638-0.906) for mortality. The value of 17ms was chosen as best SDNN cutoff to discriminate survivors and nonsurvivors. In the Cox proportional regression, adjusted for SOFA score and for APACHE II, a SDNN ≤ 17ms was associated with a greater risk of death, with hazard ratios of 6.3 (1.4-28.0; p = 0.015) and 5.5 (1,2-24,8; p = 0.027), respectively. The addition of the dichotomized SDNN to the SOFA model reduced AIC and increased the concordance statistic and the R2, indicating that predictive power of the SDNN + SOFA model is better than predictive power of SOFA only. Several HRV parameters are reduced in nonsurviving septic patients. SDNN ≤17 is a risk factor for death in septic patients, even after adjusting for severity scores.

Inadequate antibiotic therapy, generally defined as microbiologically ineffective anti-infective therapy against the causative pathogen, can influence patient outcome. However, the detrimental effects of inadequate antibiotic therapy seem to become weaker in the most severely ill patients with short life expectancies. In addition to severity of illness, other methodological issues should be carefully examined in studies assessing the excess mortality due to inadequate therapy. To adjust for confounding as much as possible in order to obtain an unbiased estimate of the magnitude of the effect of inadequate therapy is a key methodological challenge for future research. With regard to the choice of antibiotic agents, β-lactam and aminoglycoside combination therapy does not seem to improve clinical outcome in most cases of sepsis caused by gram-negative bacteria, including Pseudomonas aeruginosa bacteremia. A potential benefit of combination therapy in the treatment of severe pneumococcal sepsis has been suggested in several observational studies, but recently published data have disputed this hypothesis. Finally, better risk scores and laboratory tools are urgently needed to improve the adequacy of empirical antibiotic therapy and patient outcomes.

Background The rational use of antibiotics is one of the main strategies to limit the development of bacterial resistance. We therefore sought to evaluate the effectiveness of a C-reactive protein-based protocol in reducing antibiotic treatment time in critically ill patients. Methods A randomized, open-label, controlled clinical trial conducted in two intensive care units of a university hospital in Brazil. Critically ill infected adult patients were randomly allocated to (i) intervention to receive antibiotics guided by daily monitoring of CRP levels and (ii) control to receive antibiotics according to the best practices for rational use of antibiotics. Results One hundred thirty patients were included in the CRP ( n  = 64) and control ( n  = 66) groups. In the intention-to-treat analysis, the median duration of antibiotic therapy for the index infectious episode was 7.0 (5.0–8.8) days in the CRP and 7.0 (7.0–11.3) days in the control ( p  = 0.011) groups. A significant difference in the treatment time between the two groups was identified in the curve of cumulative suspension of antibiotics, with less exposure in the CRP group only for the index infection episode ( p  = 0.007). In the per protocol analysis, involving 59 patients in each group, the median duration of antibiotic treatment was 6.0 (5.0–8.0) days for the CRP and 7.0 (7.0–10.0) days for the control ( p  = 0.011) groups. There was no between-group difference regarding the total days of antibiotic exposure and antibiotic-free days. Conclusions Daily monitoring of CRP levels may allow early interruption of antibiotic therapy in a higher proportion of patients, without an effect on total antibiotic consumption. The clinical and microbiological relevance of this finding remains to be demonstrated. Trial registry ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02987790 . Registered 09 December 2016.

Background Use of serum procalcitonin (PCT), an inflammatory biomarker for bacterial infections, has shown promising results for early stopping antibiotic treatment among patients with respiratory infections and sepsis. There is need for additional data regarding effectiveness and safety of this concept among patients with cancer. Methods Individual data of patients with a documented diagnosis of cancer and proven or suspected respiratory infection and/or sepsis were extracted from previous trials where adult patients were randomized to receive antibiotic treatment based on a PCT protocol or usual care (control group). The primary efficacy and safety endpoints were antibiotic exposure and 28-day all-cause mortality. Results This individual-patient data meta-analysis included 777 patients with a diagnosis of cancer from 15 randomized-controlled trials. Regarding efficacy, there was a 18% reduction in antibiotic exposure in patients randomized to PCT-guided care compared to usual care ([days] 8.2 ± 6.6 vs. 9.8 ± 7.3; adjusted difference, − 1.77 [95% CI, − 2.74 to − 0.80]; p  < 0.001). Regarding safety, there were 72 deaths in 379 patients in the PCT-guided group (19.0%) compared to 91 deaths in 398 participants in the usual care group (22.9%) resulting in an adjusted OR of 0.78 (95% CI, 0.60 to 1.02). A subgroup analysis showed a significant reduction in mortality in patients younger than 70 years (adjusted OR, 0.58 [95% CI, 0.40 to 0.86]). Conclusion Result of this individual patient meta-analysis from 15 previous trials suggests that among patients with cancer and suspected or proven respiratory infection or sepsis, use of PCT to guide antibiotic treatment decisions results in reduced antibiotic exposure with a possible reduction in mortality, particularly among younger patients.

Background C-reactive protein (CRP) is an inflammatory protein used in clinical practice to identify and monitor inflammatory and infectious processes. Recent data suggest CRP might be useful in guiding antibiotic therapy discontinuation among critical care patients. This meta-analysis analyzed the benefits and risks of CRP-guided protocols to guide antibiotic therapy in hospitalized patients in comparison with standard treatment. Methods Studies were searched in four databases: CENTRAL, Medline, Embase and LILACS. The search was performed until Jan 25th, 2023. The reference lists of the articles retrieved and related review studies were hand-screened to find eligible trials that might have been missed. Primary endpoints included the duration of antibiotic therapy for the index episode of infection. The secondary endpoint was the all-cause hospital mortality and infection relapses. The risk of bias was evaluated using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2.0 tool. Random effects were used to pool the mean differences and odds ratio of individual studies. The protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42021259977). Results The search strategy retrieved 5209 titles, out of which three studies met the eligibility criteria and were included in this meta-analysis. 727 adult patients were analyzed, of whom 278 were included in the intervention group and 449 were included in the control group. 55,7% of all patients were women. Meta-analysis indicated that experimental groups (CRP-guided) had a lower duration of antibiotic therapy (days) [MMD = -1.82, 95%IC -3.23; -0.40]; with no difference in mortality [OR = 1.19 95%IC 0.67–2.12] or in the occurrence of infection relapse [OR = 3.21 95%IC 0.85–12.05]. Conclusion The use of CRP-guided protocol reduces the total amount of time required for antibiotic therapy when compared to standard protocols of treatment in hospitalized patients with acute bacterial infection. We did not observe statistical differences regarding mortality and infection relapse rates.