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Managing our transition to sustainability requires a solid understanding of how conditions of financial crisis affect our natural environment. Yet, there has been little focus on the nature of the relationship between financial crises and environmental sustainability, especially in relation to forests and deforestation. This study addressed this gap by providing novel evidence on the impact of financial crises on deforestation. A panel data approach is used looking at Global Forest Watch deforestation data from > 150 countries in > 100 crises in the twenty-first century. This includes an analysis of crises effects on principle drivers of deforestation; timber and agricultural commodities—palm oil, soybean, coffee, cattle, and cocoa. At a global level, financial crises are associated with a reduction in deforestation rates (− 36 p.p) and deforestation drivers; roundwood (− 6.7 p.p.), cattle (− 2.3 p.p.) and cocoa production (− 8.3 p.p.). Regionally, deforestation rates in Asia, Africa, and Europe decreased by − 83, − 43, and 22 p.p, respectively. Drivers behind these effects may be different, from palm oil (− 1.3 p.p.) and cocoa (− 10.5 p.p.) reductions in Africa, to a combination of timber (− 9.5 p.p) and palm oil in Asia. Moreover, financial crises have a larger effect on deforestation in low-income, than upper middle- and high-income countries (− 51 vs − 39 and − 18 p.p. respectively). Using another main dataset on yearly forest cover—the ESA-Climate Change Initiative—a picture arises showing financial crises leading to small global decreases in forest cover (− 0.1 p.p.) with a small agricultural cover increase (0.1 p.p). Our findings point to financial crises as important moments for global deforestation dynamics. Yet, to consolidate benefits on decreasing deforestation, governments need to enhance their sustainable forest management during crisis periods rather than let it slip down national agendas. Finally, to achieve the SDGs related to forests, better global forest cover datasets are needed, with better forest loss/gain data, disturbance history, and understanding of mosaicked landscape dynamics within a satellite pixel.

Background Previous research suggests education is inversely associated with blood pressure, but little work has examined whether this relationship differs by race and gender jointly. Identifying the most vulnerable groups may inform hypertension prevention strategies. In this population-based study, we investigate the association between education and blood pressure overall and across race-by-gender subgroups. Methods Our analytic sample included participants aged 50 + to the US Health and Retirement Study data from 2006 to 2008 ( N  = 24,526). Our exposure was education, measured as self-reported years of schooling and modeled as a spline with a knot and discontinuity at 12 years representing high school diploma. We used generalized estimating equations to estimate the relationship between education and repeated measurements of two blood pressure outcomes: systolic blood pressure (SBP) and hypertension (HTN), then included race-by-gender interactions with education to evaluate differential associations. All models were adjusted for age, birthplace, parents’ education, and survey year. Results Mean age was 64.4 years, mean SBP was 129.9 mmHg, and HTN prevalence was 63.1%. Overall, below 12 years, each additional year of education was not associated with blood pressure, while twelve years of schooling was associated with lower blood pressure (b=-1.02; 95% CI: -2.04, 0.00 for SBP) and each additional year of education after 12 years was associated with lower SBP and lower odds of HTN (e.g., SBP: b=-0.75 mmHg; 95% CI: -0.88, -0.62). We observed some differential relationships by demographic subgroup such that, among Black men, 12 years of education predicted higher odds of HTN compared to White men (interaction OR = 1.60; 95% CI: 1.02, 2.52), and each additional year of education after 12 years was associated with larger SBP benefits for White, Hispanic and Black women compared to White men. Conclusions We found an overall protective relationship between more education and blood pressure/hypertension such that each additional year of college education was associated with lower blood pressure/hypertension, particularly among White and Hispanic women. However, we also found evidence of diminished benefits to high school degree attainment among Black men compared to other groups in hypertension prevalence.

Background Life‐course food insecurity may influence cognition through pathways of stress and poor health. Yet, few longitudinal studies examine whether life‐course food insecurity is associated with cognition among U.S. adults. Methods We performed a secondary data analysis using National Longitudinal Youth Survey 1979 data from 1979‐2016 (N = 7,320). Annual food security status was estimated between the ages of 22‐45 using 2008 Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program eligibility requirements for household income and assets as a proxy. Sequence and cluster analyses were used to identify prototypical food security status trajectories. We identified seven trajectory groups ranging from persistently food secure to persistently food insecure. Trajectory groups varied by order, timing and duration of food security status. Cognition (ages 45‐59) was measured using five assessments, which were summarized into z‐scores (attention, memory, overall cognitive) and Langa‐Weir cognition score. We used linear regression to model associations between food security trajectory groups and cognition, while controlling for covariates. Results Most respondents were in the persistently food secure group (65%), with a Langa‐Weir cognition score of 15.84 (SD = 4.57, scale = 0‐27), and z‐scores as follows: memory, 0.00 (SD = 0.00); attention, 0.01 (SD = 0.76), overall cognitive, 0.00 (SD = 0.00). Compared to the persistently food secure group, the following groups were negatively associated with cognition after adjustment: persistently food insecure (β Langa‐Weir cognition: ‐2.08, 95% CI [‐2.64,‐1.52]), food insecure with bouts of food security in emerging and early adulthood (β Langa‐Weir cognition: ‐1.51,[‐2.19, ‐0.83]), food secure through middle adulthood and food insecure in later adulthood, (β Langa‐Weir cognition: ‐1.19, [‐1.73, ‐0.65]), and food insecure through middle adulthood and food secure in later adulthood (β Langa‐Weir cognition: ‐0.66, [‐1.17, ‐0.14]) Coefficients were consistent for z‐score outcomes. Conclusions We observed a dose‐response trend, such that cognitive ability decreased among groups with prolonged food insecurity exposure. Food insecurity is modifiable; therefore, strengthening policies to improve food access among Americans is imperative.

Background Inequitable follow-up of abnormal cancer screening tests may contribute to racial/ethnic disparities in colon and breast cancer outcomes. However, few multi-site studies have examined follow-up of abnormal cancer screening tests and it is unknown if racial/ethnic disparities exist. Objective This report describes patterns of performance on follow-up of abnormal colon and breast cancer screening tests and explores the extent to which racial/ethnic disparities exist in public hospital systems. Design We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from five California public hospital systems. We used multivariable robust Poisson regression analyses to examine whether patient-level factors or site predicted receipt of follow-up test. Main Measures Using data from five public hospital systems between July 2015 and June 2017, we assessed follow-up of two screening results: (1) colonoscopy after positive fecal immunochemical tests (FIT) and (2) tissue biopsy within 21 days after a BIRADS 4/5 mammogram. Key Results Of 4132 abnormal FITs, 1736 (42%) received a follow-up colonoscopy. Older age, Medicaid insurance, lack of insurance, English language, and site were negatively associated with follow-up colonoscopy, while Hispanic ethnicity and Asian race were positively associated with follow-up colonoscopy. Of 1702 BIRADS 4/5 mammograms, 1082 (64%) received a timely biopsy; only site was associated with timely follow-up biopsy. Conclusion Despite the vulnerabilities of public-hospital-system patients, follow-up of abnormal cancer screening tests occurs at rates similar to that of patients in other healthcare settings, with colon cancer screening test follow-up occurring at lower rates than follow-up of breast cancer screening tests. Site-level factors have larger, more consistent impact on follow-up rates than patient sociodemographic traits. Resources are needed to identify health system–level factors, such as test follow-up processes or data infrastructure, that improve abnormal cancer screening test follow-up so that effective health system–level interventions can be evaluated and disseminated.

Recent developments in international trade theory give growing emphasis to the quality of the exported products, showing that it affects both the direction of trade and the countries' export performances. However, as quality is unobservable, a measurement problem clearly emerges. In this paper we measure product quality relying on a nested logit demand structure developed by Berry (1994) and then applied to trade data by Khandelwal (2010). Our main goal is to investigate the reliability and the properties of the estimated qualities, focusing on the EU food sector, where the growing attention on quality and safety issues is leading to an increase in the demand for high quality products. Main results give credence to the accuracy of the quality estimates, which display some interesting properties. Indeed, the quality rankings we draw are in line with the expectations, and quality growth proves to be strongly correlated with TFP growth. Moreover, results reveal that the competitive strategy of countries (high-quality vs. low-price) tends to change when moving from OECDs to non-OECDs. Finally, we provide evidence that the quality and price components of export unit values behave differently when testing their relationship with trade costs.

Melitz and Ottaviano's (2008) firm-heterogeneity model predicts that trade liberalization induces a selection process from low to high productivity firms, which translates to an industry productivity growth. A similar firms' selection effect is induced by market size. In this paper, these predictions are tested across 25 European countries and 9 food industries, over the 1995-2008 period. Using different dynamic panel estimators we find strong support for the model predictions, namely that an increase in import penetration is systematically positively related to productivity growth. The results are robust to measurement issues in productivity, controlling for market size, country and sector heterogeneities, and for the endogeneity of import competition. Interestingly, this positive relationship is almost exclusively driven by competition in final products coming from developed (especially EU-15) countries, suggesting that EU food imports are closer substitutes for domestic production than non-EU imports. These results have some potentially interesting policy implications.

This paper investigates the relationship between the diffusion of EU standards and product quality upgrading using highly disaggregated import data to the EU in the food industry. Results show that, on average, the diffusion of EU voluntary standards boosts the rate of quality upgrading. However the results are heterogeneous when moving from primary to processed foods, and from ISO to non-ISO standards.

Melitz and Ottaviano's (2008) firm-heterogeneity model predicts that trade liberalization induces a selection process from low to high productivity firms, which translates to an industry productivity growth. A similar firms' selection effect is induced by market size. In this paper, these predictions are tested across 25 European countries and 9 food industries, over the 1995-2008 period. Using different dynamic panel estimators we find strong support for the model predictions, namely that an increase in import penetration is systematically positively related to productivity growth. The results are robust to measurement issues in productivity, controlling for market size, country and sector heterogeneities, and for the endogeneity of import competition. Interestingly, this positive relationship is almost exclusively driven by competition in final products coming from developed (especially EU-15) countries suggesting that EU food imports are closer substitutes for domestic production than non-EU imports. These results have some potentially interesting policy implications.(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Recent development in international trade theory gives growing emphasis to the quality of the exported products, showing that it affects both the direction of trade and the countries' export performances. However, as quality is unobservable, a measurement problem clearly emerges. In this paper we measure product quality relying on a nested logit demand structure developed by Berry (1994) and then applied to trade data by Khandelwal (2010). Our main goal is to investigate the reliability and the properties of this quality estimate, focusing on the EU food sector, where the growing attention on quality and safety issues have led to an increase in the demand for high quality products. Main results give credence to the accuracy of the quality estimates, which display some interesting properties. Indeed, the quality rankings we draw are in line with the expectations, and quality growth proves to be strongly correlated with TFP growth. Moreover, results reveal that the competitive strategy of countries, (high-quality vs. low-price) tends to change when moving from OECDs to non-OECDs. Finally, products quality proves to converge more rapidly in short than in long quality ladder markets. These results may have clear and interesting implications.

Melitz and Ottaviano's (2008) firm heterogeneity model predicts that trade liberalization induces a selection process from low to high productivity firms, that translates into an industry productivity growth. A similar firms' selection effect is induced by market size. These predictions are tested across 25 European countries and 9 food industries, over the 1995-2008 period. Using different dynamic panel estimators we find a strong support for the model predictions, namely that import penetration is systematically positively related to productivity growth. The results are robust to measurement issues in productivity after controlling for market size, country and sector heterogeneities, and for the endogeneity of import competition. Interestingly, this positive relationship is almost exclusively driven by competition in final products coming from developed (especially EU-15) countries, suggesting that EU food imports constitute closer substitutes for domestic production than non-EU imports. These results have some potentially interesting policy implications.