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In this study involving severely obese patients with type 2 diabetes, Roux-en-Y gastric bypass and biliopancreatic diversion achieved better glucose control than conventional medical therapy as assessed at 2 years. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus is rapidly increasing worldwide, in parallel with the current obesity epidemic. In 2010, the global prevalence of type 2 diabetes was estimated at 8.3% of the adult population, a proportion that is projected to increase to 9.9% by 2030. 1 As many as 23% of patients with morbid obesity have type 2 diabetes, 2 and the prevalence of screening-detected diabetes is 8%. 2 Global spending on diabetes was estimated to be at least $376 billion in 2010 and projected to be $490 billion in 2030. 3 Conventional medical treatment of type 2 diabetes only partially achieves adequate . . .

Stable isotopes are currently used to measure glucose fluxes responsible for observed glucose concentrations, providing information on hepatic and peripheral insulin sensitivity. The determination of glucose turnover, along with fasting and postprandial glucose concentrations, is relevant for inferring insulin sensitivity levels. At equilibrium (e.g. during the fasting state) the rate of glucose entering the circulation equals its rate of disappearance from the circulation. If under these conditions tracer is infused at a constant rate and Specific Activity (SA) or Tracer to Tracee (TTR) ratio is computed, the Rate of Appearance (RA) equals the Rate of Disappearance (RD) and equals the ratio between infusion rate and TTR or SA. In the post-prandial situation or during perturbation studies, however, estimation of RA and RD becomes more complex because they are not necessarily equal and, furthermore, may vary over time due to gastric emptying, glucose absorption, appearance of ingested or infused glucose, variations of EGP and glucose disappearance. Up to now, the most commonly used approach to compute RA, RD and EGP has been the single-pool model by Steele. Several authors, however, report pitfalls in the use of this method, such as “paradoxical” increase in EGP immediately after meal ingestion and “negative” rates of EGP. Different attempts have been made to reduce the impact of these errors, but the same problems are still encountered. In the present work a completely different approach is proposed, where cold and labeled [6, 6-2H2] glucose observations are simultaneously fitted and where both RD and EGP are represented by simple but reasonable functions. As an example, this approach is applied to an intra-venous experiment, where cold glucose is infused at variable rates to reproduce a desired glycaemic time-course. The goal of the present work is to show that appropriate, if simple, modelling of the whole infusion procedure together with the underlying physiological system allows robust estimation of EGP with single-tracer administration, without the artefacts produced by the Steele method.

Randomised controlled trials have shown that bariatric surgery is more effective than conventional treatment for the short-term control of type-2 diabetes. However, published studies are characterised by a relatively short follow-up. We aimed to assess 5 year outcomes from our randomised trial designed to compare surgery with conventional medical treatment for the treatment of type 2 diabetes in obese patients. We did our open-label, randomised controlled trial at one diabetes centre in Italy. Patients aged 30–60 years with a body-mass index of 35 kg/m2 or more and a history of type 2 diabetes lasting at least 5 years were randomly assigned (1:1:1), via a computer-generated randomisation procedure, to receive either medical treatment or surgery by Roux-en-Y gastric bypass or biliopancreatic diversion. Participants were aware of treatment allocation before the operation and study investigators were aware from the point of randomisation. The primary endpoint was the rate of diabetes remission at 2 years, defined as a glycated haemaglobin A1c (HbA1c) concentration of 6·5% or less (≤47·5 mmol/mol) and a fasting glucose concentration of 5·6 mmol/L or less without active pharmacological treatment for 1 year. Here we analyse glycaemic and metabolic control, cardiovascular risk, medication use, quality of life, and long-term complications 5 years after randomisation. Analysis was by intention to treat for the primary endpoint and by per protocol for the 5 year follow-up. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT00888836. Between April 27, 2009, and Oct 31, 2009, we randomly assigned 60 patients to receive either medical treatment (n=20) or surgery by gastric bypass (n=20) or biliopancreatic diversion (n=20); 53 (88%) patients completed 5 years' follow-up. Overall, 19 (50%) of the 38 surgical patients (seven [37%] of 19 in the gastric bypass group and 12 [63%] of 19 in the bilipancreatic diversion group) maintained diabetes remission at 5 years, compared with none of the 15 medically treated patients (p=0·0007). We recorded relapse of hyperglycaemia in eight (53%) of the 15 patients who achieved 2 year remission in the gastric bypass group and seven (37%) of the 19 patients who achieved 2 year remission in the biliopancreatic diversion group. Eight (42%) patients who underwent gastric bypass and 13 (68%) patients who underwent biliopancreatic diversion had an HbA1c concentration of 6·5% or less (≤47·5 mmol/mol) with or without medication, compared with four (27%) medically treated patients (p=0·0457). Surgical patients lost more weight than medically treated patients, but weight changes did not predict diabetes remission or relapse after surgery. Both surgical procedures were associated with significantly lower plasma lipids, cardiovascular risk, and medication use. Five major complications of diabetes (including one fatal myocardial infarction) arose in four (27%) patients in the medical group compared with only one complication in the gastric bypass group and no complications in the biliopancreatic diversion group. No late complications or deaths occurred in the surgery groups. Nutritional side-effects were noted mainly after biliopancreatic diversion. Surgery is more effective than medical treatment for the long-term control of obese patients with type 2 diabetes and should be considered in the treatment algorithm of this disease. However, continued monitoring of glycaemic control is warranted because of potential relapse of hyperglycaemia. Catholic University of Rome.

The most well-known and widely used mathematical representations of the physiology of a diabetic individual are the Sorensen and Hovorka models as well as the UVAPadova Simulator. While the Hovorka model and the UVAPadova Simulator only describe the glucose metabolism of a subject with type 1 diabetes, the Sorensen model was formulated to simulate the behaviour of both normal and diabetic individuals. The UVAPadova model is the most known model, accepted by the FDA, with a high level of complexity. The Hovorka model is the simplest of the three models, well documented and used primarily for the development of control algorithms. The Sorensen model is the most complete, even though some modifications were required both to the model equations (adding useful compartments for modelling subcutaneous insulin delivery) and to the parameter values. In the present work several simulated experiments, such as IVGTTs and OGTTs, were used as tools to compare the three formulations in order to establish to what extent increasing complexity translates into richer and more correct physiological behaviour. All the equations and parameters used for carrying out the simulations are provided.

The growing availability of patient data from several clinical settings, fueled by advanced analysis systems and new diagnostics, presents a unique opportunity. These data can be used to understand disease progression and predict future outcomes. However, analysing this vast amount of data requires collaboration between physicians and experts from diverse fields like mathematics and engineering. Mathematical models play a crucial role in interpreting patient data and enable in-silico simulations for diagnosis and treatment. To facilitate the creation and sharing of such models, the CNR-IASI BioMatLab group developed the \"Gemini\" (MoSpec/Autocoder) system, a framework allowing researchers with basic mathematical knowledge to quickly and correctly translate biological problems into Ordinary Differential Equations models. The system facilitates the development and computation of mathematical models for the interpretation of medical and biological phenomena, also using data from the clinical setting or laboratory experiments for parameter estimation. Gemini automatically generates code in multiple languages (C++, Matlab, R, and Julia) and automatically creates documentation, including code, figures, and visualizations. This user-friendly approach promotes model sharing and collaboration among researchers, besides vastly increasing group productivity.

Abstract Context We compared the incidence of hypoglycemia after Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) vs sleeve gastrectomy (SG). Design, Setting, and Main Outcome Measures Randomized, open-label trial conducted at the outpatient obesity clinic in a university hospital in Rome, Italy. The primary aim was the incidence of reactive hypoglycemia (<3.1 mmol/L after 75-g oral glucose load) at 1 year after surgery. Secondary aims were hypoglycemia under everyday life conditions, insulin sensitivity, insulin secretion, and lipid profile. Results Of 175 eligible patients, 120 were randomized 1:1 to RYGB or SG; 117 (93%) completed the 12-month follow-up. Reactive hypoglycemia was detected in 14% and 29% of SG and RYGB patients (P = 0.079), respectively, with the effect of treatment in multivariate analysis significant at P = 0.018. Daily hypoglycemic episodes during continuous glucose monitoring did not differ between groups (P = 0.75). Four of 59 RYGB subjects (6.8%) had 1 to 3 hospitalizations for symptomatic hypoglycemia vs 0 in SG. The static β-cell glucose sensitivity index increased after both treatments (P < 0.001), but the dynamic β-cell glucose sensitivity index increased significantly in SG (P = 0.008) and decreased in RYGB (P = 0.004 for time × treatment interaction). Whole-body insulin sensitivity increased about 10-fold in both groups. Conclusions We show that reactive hypoglycemia is no less common after SG and is not a safer option than RYGB, but RYGB is associated with more severe hypoglycemic episodes. This is likely due to the lack of improvement of β-cell sensitivity to changes in circulating glucose after RYGB, which determines an inappropriately high insulin secretion. We found that reactive hypoglycemia is no less common after SG than after RYGB, but RYGB is associated with more severe hypoglycemic episodes.

Background The aim of the present study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of bariatric surgery, non-surgical weight loss and pharmacological non-surgical weight loss (BS-WL, NS-WL, PNS-WL) to avoid or delay total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in subjects with end-stage knee osteoarthritis and obesity. Methods The quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) were computed using a Markov State Model simulating outcomes and costs in 4000 potential subjects followed for 25 years. Model inputs were derived from the literature and internet sources. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the model assumptions. Results BS-WL and PNS-WL increased QALYs from 7.70 (TKA-only group) to 8.96 and 8.41, respectively, while NS-WL marginally increased QALY to 7.86. The BS-WL and PNS-WL ICERs were $27,127 and $33,461, respectively, far below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000. However, the NS-WL ICER was $57,843. The percentage of subjects needing first revision was greater after TKA-only (26.4%) and lower with the other strategies (12.9% with BS-WL, 23.5% with NS-WL and 20.1% with PNS-WL). The most sensitive parameter was BS-WL success in weight loss; 20% of the key input parameter variations produced BS-WL ICERs that were always below the threshold, as for the PNS-WL strategy. Conclusions Bariatric surgery is effective and cost-effective in delaying or preventing TKA in patients with severe obesity and reducing the need for primary and secondary surgical revision. Despite current limitations on the long-term effects of available antiobesity medications, semaglutide appears to also be cost-effective, while non-surgical weight loss is the least effective strategy. Clinicians and policy makers should consider the cost-effectiveness of losing weight prior to total knee replacement in patients with obesity.

Published compact and extended models of the glucose-insulin physiologic control system are compared, in order to understand why a specific functional form of the compact model proved to be necessary for a satisfactory representation of acute perturbation experiments such as the Intra Venous Glucose Tolerance Test (IVGTT). A spectrum of IVGTT's of virtual subjects ranging from normal to IFG to IGT to frank T2DM were simulated using an extended model incorporating the population-of-controllers paradigm originally hypothesized by Grodsky, and proven to be able to capture a wide array of experimental results from heterogeneous perturbation procedures. The simulated IVGTT's were then fitted with the Single-Delay Model (SDM), a compact model with only six free parameters, previously shown to be very effective in delivering precise estimates of insulin sensitivity and secretion during an IVGTT. Comparison of the generating, extended-model parameter values with the obtained compact model estimates shows that the functional form of the nonlinear insulin-secretion term, empirically found to be necessary for the compact model to satisfactorily fit clinical observations, captures the pancreatic reserve level of the simulated virtual patients. This result supports the validity of the compact model as a meaningful analysis tool for the clinical assessment of insulin sensitivity.

In 1978, Thomas J. Sorensen defended a thesis in chemical engineering at the University of California, Berkeley, where he proposed an extensive model of glucose-insulin control, model which was thereafter widely employed for virtual patient simulation. The original model, and even more so its subsequent implementations by other Authors, presented however a few imprecisions in reporting the correct model equations and parameter values. The goal of the present work is to revise the original Sorensen's model, to clearly summarize its defining equations, to supplement it with a missing gastrio-intestinal glucose absorption and to make an implementation of the revised model available on-line to the scientific community.

Aims/hypothesisThe small intestine plays an important role in hepatic and whole-body insulin sensitivity, as shown by bariatric surgery. Our goal was to study whether routes and dose of glucose administration have an acute impact on insulin sensitivity. The primary endpoint of this proof-of-concept study was the difference in insulin-mediated metabolic clearance rate (MCR/I) of glucose between the oral and intravenous routes of glucose administration. Secondary endpoints were differences in insulin effect on proteolysis, ketogenesis, lipolysis and glucagon levels.MethodsIn this parallel cohort study, we administered multiple oral glucose loads to 23 participants (aged between 18 and 65 years) with morbid obesity and with normal or impaired glucose tolerance or type 2 diabetes. In a different session, we administered isoglycaemic intravenous glucose infusions (IGIVI) to match the plasma glucose levels observed during the oral challenges. Glucose rate of appearance (Ra) and disappearance (Rd) and endogenous glucose production (EGP) were calculated by infusing [6,6-2H2]glucose with or without oral [U-13C6]glucose. Plasma small polar metabolites were measured by gas chromatography and time-of-flight mass spectrometry. Lipids were measured by ultra-HPLC and quadrupole mass spectrometry. Glucagon-like peptide-1, insulin, C-peptide and glucagon were also measured. Participants, caregivers, people doing measurements or examinations, and people assessing the outcomes were unblinded to group assignment.ResultsGlucose MCR/I was significantly higher during IGIVI than during oral glucose administration, independently of glycaemic status (12 ± 6 for IGIVI vs 7.4 ± 3 ml min−1 kg−1 per nmol/l for oral, p< 0.001 from paired t test). Insulin secretion was higher during oral administration than during IGIVI (p< 0.001). The disposition index was significantly lower during the oral procedure: 4260 ± 1820 vs 5000 ± 2360 (ml min−1 kg−1 (nmol/l)−1 pmol/min; p = 0.005). Insulin clearance was significantly higher when glucose was infused rather than ingested (2.53 ± 0.82 vs 2.16 ± 0.49 l/min in intravenous and oral procedure, respectively, p = 0.006). The efficacy of insulin in inhibiting lipolysis and proteolysis was decreased after oral glucose loads. A heat map diagram showed a different pattern for the metabolites between the two routes of glucose administration.Conclusions/interpretationOur study shows that insulin sensitivity depends on the route of glucose administration, the oral route leading to increased insulin secretion and compensatory insulin resistance compared with the intravenous route. The efficacy of insulin in blocking lipolysis and protein breakdown is lower after oral glucose loads vs the intravenous route. Our findings suggest that, while the glucose-mediated incretin release is followed by an increase in insulin release, the effect of the released insulin is limited by an increase in insulin resistance.Trial registrationClinicalTrials.gov NCT03223129.