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9 result(s) for "Pereira-Antunes, José Américo"
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Ingresos distintos a intereses y el riesgo de crédito: el caso de la banca colombiana
Este estudio busca analizar de qué forma los ingresos diferentes a intereses impactan el riesgo bancario en el caso de la economía colombiana. Para esto, se construye un panel de datos para el periodo 20162022 con 29 establecimientos de crédito. Los resultados muestran que el aumento de los ingresos no tradicionales globales no incrementa ni las probabilidades de quiebra ni el riesgo de crédito. No obstante, cuando se analizan los ingresos por su tipo, se encuentra que el aumento de los ingresos por operaciones con divisas y comisiones sí pueden impulsar el riesgo bancario. Por lo tanto, la sugerencia es mejorar la regulación sobre los ingresos no tradicionales debido a su rápido crecimiento y las posibilidades de generar inestabilidad macrofinanciera.
To supervise or to self-supervise: A machine learning based comparison on credit supervision
This study investigates the need for credit supervision as conducted by on-site banking supervisors. It builds on a real bank on-site credit examination to compare the performance of a hypothetical self-supervision approach, in which banks themselves assess their loan portfolios without external intervention, with the on-site banking supervision approach of the Central Bank of Brazil. The experiment develops two machine learning classification models: the first model is based on good and bad ratings informed by banks, and the second model is based on past on-site credit portfolio examinations conducted by banking supervision. The findings show that the overall performance of the on-site supervision approach is consistently higher than the performance of the self-supervision approach, justifying the need for on-site credit portfolio examination as conducted by the Central Bank.
Effects of monetary policy and credibility on financial intermediation: evidence from the Brazilian banking sector
Since, under inflation targeting (IT), the main monetary policy instrument to control inflation is the basic interest rate, an important question that arises is: How do changes in this instrument affect financial intermediation? On the other hand, under IT, one of the main goals of the central bank is to make monetary policy credible. In this sense, how can credibility affect the relation between monetary policy and financial intermediation? Are the transmission mechanism and the effects of credibility the same for state-owned banks and privately owned banks? Using data from the Brazilian banking sector, this paper analyzes the effects of monetary policy on financial intermediation and investigates the existence of the “Paradox of Credibility.” The findings suggest the monetary policy interest rate affects financial intermediation. Moreover, the results show that credibility is able to cushion the effect of monetary policy on financial intermediation. And finally, the results reveal how the different effects analyzed in the paper, and especially the mitigating effect of credibility, differ between privately owned and state-owned banks.
Financial intermediation analysis from financial flows
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the financial friction effect of non-performing loans (NPLs) on financial intermediation (FI) through empirical evidence from the Brazilian experience. Design/methodology/approach The authors develop a new variable, financial intermediation flow and a new indicator, FI, both measures of FI. To empirically test FI, the authors use a dynamic panel data framework that draws on 101 banks (December 2000 to December 2015). Findings An increase in NPL reduces FI. Thus, NPL amplifies financial friction in FI. This result holds in different time frames, such as the pre-crisis period, the crisis period and the post-crisis period. Practical implications The FI measure developed in this study offers the policymakers a possibility to monitor financial stability. Originality/value This study adds to this debate by proposing a measure of FI derived from financial flows. This measure allows one to estimate the role of NPL as a financial friction that can pose a threat to financial stability.
What is the effect of banking concentration and competition on financial development? An international assessment
PurposeThis paper analyzes the effect of the banking market (concentration and competition) on financial development.Design/methodology/approachIn order to estimate the effects of banking concentration and competition on financial development, we conducted an empirical analysis using the System Generalized Method of Moments (S-GMM) through a dynamic panel data model.FindingsThe main results suggest that concentration and competition affect financial development. In particular, an increase in bank concentration may inhibit the country's financial development, due to the lack of competition. Our results do not confirm the controversy between concentration and competition, suggesting that concerning financial development, concentration is the reverse of competition.Practical implicationsThe results of this study add a new perspective on banking market power: a financial system concentrated or uncompetitive constrains financial development.Originality/valueThe literature that combines the investigation of the effects of banking market structure (concentration) and banking market conduct (competition) on financial development is scarce. Although a concentrated banking sector can reduce competition through barriers to new entrants (which could expand financial services offer), it is also true that a concentrated banking sector can be competitive. In order to avoid the controversy, our paper chooses to look into a comprehensive approach considering independent measures of bank concentration and bank competition, which together refer to the banking framework.
The great financial crisis and the behavior of the credit market in Brazil: Does control matter?
This paper investigates the effects of the great financial crisis on the behavior of the Brazilian credit market through a panel of 101 Brazilian banks. For that, we measure the amount of cash involved in the credit activity in the different segments that compound the Brazilian financial system. The results show that: (i) the crisis did not change the relationship between the credit market and the credit risk, regarding the Brazilian financial system as a whole; (ii) both the state-owned and the private-owned segments of the financial system were significantly affected by the crisis, but in opposite directions. While the private segment extracted cash from the credit portfolio, reacting to the worsening in credit risk, the state-owned segment injected cash in the credit portfolio, acting counter-cyclically and compensating the private reaction.
Ingresos distintos a intereses y el riesgo de crédito: el caso de la banca colombiana
Este estudio busca analizar de qué forma los ingresos diferentes a intereses impactan el riesgo bancario en el caso de la economía colombiana. Para esto, se construye un panel de datos para el periodo 20162022 con 29 establecimientos de crédito. Los resultados muestran que el aumento de los ingresos no tradicionales globales no incrementa ni las probabilidades de quiebra ni el riesgo de crédito. No obstante, cuando se analizan los ingresos por su tipo, se encuentra que el aumento de los ingresos por operaciones con divisas y comisiones sí pueden impulsar el riesgo bancario. Por lo tanto, la sugerencia es mejorar la regulación sobre los ingresos no tradicionales debido a su rápido crecimiento y las posibilidades de generar inestabilidad macrofinanciera.
What is the Importance of a Country's Banking Market for Financial Development?
This paper analyzes the effect of the banking market on countries' financial development. For this purpose, we use a dynamic panel with annual data, from 2006 to 2015, comprising 89 countries – 28 developed and 61 emerging. The banking market is measured with concentration (total assets of the largest banks in relation to total assets) and competition (Lerner and Boone indexes) metrics. As proxies for measuring the financial development, we use the index developed by Sahay et al. (2015) and Svirydzenka (2016), which covers depth, access, and efficiency, aspects of the financial intermediation provided by banks. The main results suggest that an increase in bank concentration may inhibit the country's financial development and that an increase in competition may increase financial development. In short, an improvement in the banking market (a decrease in concentration or an increase in competition) is relevant to financial development. This result is also verified for emerging countries.