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"Pilling, Luke C."
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Red cell distribution width and common disease onsets in 240,477 healthy volunteers followed for up to 9 years
2018
Higher Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW or anisocytosis) predicts incident coronary artery disease (CAD) plus all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, but its predictive value for other common diseases in healthy volunteers is less clear. We aimed to determine the shorter and longer term associations between RDW and incident common conditions in participants free of baseline disease, followed for 9 years. We undertook a prospective analysis of RDW% using 240,477 healthy UK Biobank study volunteers aged 40-70 years at baseline, with outcomes ascertained during follow-up (≤9 years). Participants were free of anemia, CAD, type-2 diabetes, stroke, hypertension, COPD, and any cancer (except non-melanoma skin cancer) at baseline. Survival models (with competing Hazards) tested associations with outcomes from hospital admission records and death certificates. High RDW (≥15% variation, n = 6,050) compared to low (<12.5% n = 20,844) was strongly associated with mortality (HR 3.10: 95% CI 2.57 to 3.74), adjusted for age, sex, smoking status, education level, mean cell volume and hemoglobin concentration. Higher RDW was also associated with incident CAD (sub-HR 1.67: 1.40 to 1.99), heart failure, peripheral vascular disease, atrial fibrillation, stroke, and cancer (sHR 1.37: 1.21 to 1.55; colorectal cancer sHR 1.92: 1.36 to 2.72), especially leukemia (sHR 2.85: 1.63 to 4.97). Associations showed dose-response relationships, and RDW had long-term predictive value (≥4.5 years after assessment) for the majority of outcomes, which were similar in younger and older persons. In conclusion, higher RDW predicted onsets of a wide range of common conditions as well as mortality in a large healthy volunteer cohort. RDW is not just a short term predictor, as high levels were predictive 4.5 to 9 years after baseline in healthy volunteers. The wide range of outcomes reflects known RDW genetic influences, including diverse disease risks. RDW may be a useful clinical marker for inclusion in wellness assessments.
Journal Article
Telomere length and aging‐related outcomes in humans: A Mendelian randomization study in 261,000 older participants
2019
Inherited genetic variation influencing leukocyte telomere length provides a natural experiment for testing associations with health outcomes, more robust to confounding and reverse causation than observational studies. We tested associations between genetically determined telomere length and aging‐related health outcomes in a large European ancestry older cohort. Data were from n = 379,758 UK Biobank participants aged 40–70, followed up for mean of 7.5 years (n = 261,837 participants aged 60 and older by end of follow‐up). Thirteen variants strongly associated with longer telomere length in peripheral white blood cells were analyzed using Mendelian randomization methods with Egger plots to assess pleiotropy. Variants in TERC, TERT, NAF1, OBFC1, and RTEL1 were included, and estimates were per 250 base pairs increase in telomere length, approximately equivalent to the average change over a decade in the general white population. We highlighted associations with false discovery rate‐adjusted p‐values smaller than .05. Genetically determined longer telomere length was associated with lowered risk of coronary heart disease (CHD; OR = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.92–0.98) but raised risk of cancer (OR = 1.11, 95% CI: 1.06–1.16). Little evidence for associations were found with parental lifespan, centenarian status of parents, cognitive function, grip strength, sarcopenia, or falls. The results for those aged 60 and older were similar in younger or all participants. Genetically determined telomere length was associated with increased risk of cancer and reduced risk of CHD but little change in other age‐related health outcomes. Telomere lengthening may offer little gain in later‐life health status and face increasing cancer risks.
We estimated associations between measured telomere length (TL) and several aging outcomes by using TL‐associated inherited genetic variants, which are robust to later environmental exposures (confounders)(top X). Genetically determined TL was associated with increased risks of cancers and reduced risks of cardiovascular disease, but little change in other studied age‐related health outcomes. There was genetic evidence consistent with these findings being caused through telomere length itself, rather than through another (unknown) pathway (bottom X).
Journal Article
HFE genotypes, haemochromatosis diagnosis and clinical outcomes at age 80 years: a prospective cohort study in the UK Biobank
2024
ObjectivesHFE haemochromatosis genetic variants have an uncertain clinical penetrance, especially to older ages and in undiagnosed groups. We estimated p.C282Y and p.H63D variant cumulative incidence of multiple clinical outcomes in a large community cohort.DesignProspective cohort study.Setting22 assessment centres across England, Scotland, and Wales in the UK Biobank (2006–2010).Participants451 270 participants genetically similar to the 1000 Genomes European reference population, with a mean of 13.3-year follow-up through hospital inpatient, cancer registries and death certificate data.Main outcome measuresCox proportional HRs of incident clinical outcomes and mortality in those with HFE p.C282Y/p.H63D mutations compared with those with no variants, stratified by sex and adjusted for age, assessment centre and genetic stratification. Cumulative incidences were estimated from age 40 years to 80 years.Results12.1% of p.C282Y+/+ males had baseline (mean age 57 years) haemochromatosis diagnoses, with a cumulative incidence of 56.4% at age 80 years. 33.1% died vs 25.4% without HFE variants (HR 1.29, 95% CI: 1.12 to 1.48, p=4.7×10-4); 27.9% vs 17.1% had joint replacements, 20.3% vs 8.3% had liver disease, and there were excess delirium, dementia, and Parkinson’s disease but not depression. Associations, including excess mortality, were similar in the group undiagnosed with haemochromatosis. 3.4% of women with p.C282Y+/+ had baseline haemochromatosis diagnoses, with a cumulative incidence of 40.5% at age 80 years. There were excess incident liver disease (8.9% vs 6.8%; HR 1.62, 95% CI: 1.27 to 2.05, p=7.8×10-5), joint replacements and delirium, with similar results in the undiagnosed. p.C282Y/p.H63D and p.H63D+/+ men or women had no statistically significant excess fatigue or depression at baseline and no excess incident outcomes.ConclusionsMale and female p.C282Y homozygotes experienced greater excess morbidity than previously documented, including those undiagnosed with haemochromatosis in the community. As haemochromatosis diagnosis rates were low at baseline despite treatment being considered effective, trials of screening to identify people with p.C282Y homozygosity early appear justified.
Journal Article
The genetics of human ageing
by
Ferrucci Luigi
,
Melzer, David
,
Pilling, Luke C
in
Aging
,
Genetic research
,
Genome-wide association studies
2020
The past two centuries have witnessed an unprecedented rise in human life expectancy. Sustaining longer lives with reduced periods of disability will require an understanding of the underlying mechanisms of ageing, and genetics is a powerful tool for identifying these mechanisms. Large-scale genome-wide association studies have recently identified many loci that influence key human ageing traits, including lifespan. Multi-trait loci have been linked with several age-related diseases, suggesting shared ageing influences. Mutations that drive accelerated ageing in prototypical progeria syndromes in humans point to an important role for genome maintenance and stability. Together, these different strands of genetic research are highlighting pathways for the discovery of anti-ageing interventions that may be applicable in humans.Bringing together different strands of genetic research, including results from recent large-scale genome-wide association studies relevant to human ageing, the authors highlight how genetics can further our understanding of the underlying mechanisms of ageing.
Journal Article
Understanding the causes and consequences of low statin adherence: evidence from UK Biobank primary care data
2025
Background
Statins are prescribed to lower LDL cholesterol. Clinical guidelines recommend 30–50% reduction within 3 months, yet many patients do not achieve this. We investigated predictors of LDL-c reduction, treatment adherence, and adverse clinical outcomes in a sample of UK Biobank participants.
Methods
We analysed 76,000 UK Biobank participants prescribed atorvastatin or simvastatin in primary care: 41,000 had LDL-c measurements before statin initiation (median = 16 days prior, IQR = 28) and within a year of starting treatment (median = 89 days, IQR = 125). Adherence was defined as the “proportion of days covered” (PDC). We estimated associations between PDC within 1 year of statin initiation, genetic factors, post-treatment LDL-c reduction, and clinical adverse outcomes. For 13,000 patients with ≥ 3 LDL-c measures, we used inverse probability of treatment weighting methods to estimate the effect of sustained adherence intervention on LDL-c reduction longitudinally.
Results
LDL-c reduction following statin initiation was predicted by time until the 1st measurement (up to 26% greater reduction if returned ≤ 3 months vs > 3 months), PDC (up to 38% reduction when PDC > 95% [high] vs. 15% when PDC < 50% [low]), and the pharmacogenetic variant
SLCO1B1
*5 (lowest reduction in CC-allele: 37% versus TT-allele: 39.5%). Longitudinal causal modelling showed that the most recent PDC measure exerted the largest influence on overall LDL-c reduction, followed by the initial PDC.
Genetic predictors of reduced PDC included liability to schizophrenia (Coef
top 20%
− 1.94, 95%CI − 2.69 to − 1.19), while genetic liability to cardiovascular diseases increased PDC (Coef
top 20%
1.30, 95%CI 0.55 to 2.05). High PDC was associated with increased risk of incident iron deficiency anaemia (HR 1.30, 95%CI 1.09–1.54) and cataract (HR 1.20, 95%CI 1.07–1.34), and decreased risk of incident coronary heart disease (HR 0.78, 95%CI 0.73–0.84).
Conclusions
We identify substantial variability in the time to first on-treatment LDL-c measurements and also in adherence to statin medication, highlighting a gap between NHS guidelines, LDL-c monitoring, and statin adherence. We show its subsequent impact on long-term health, demonstrating the potential effect of targeted interventions to improve adherence. We identify important predictors of reduced statin effectiveness, including pharmacogenetic variants, polygenic scores, but most of all, adherence. Tailored statin therapy strategies with patient education on statin indication and adherence could optimize treatment efficacy, safety, and long-term clinical outcomes.
Journal Article
Red blood cell distribution width: Genetic evidence for aging pathways in 116,666 volunteers
2017
Variability in red blood cell volumes (distribution width, RDW) increases with age and is strongly predictive of mortality, incident coronary heart disease and cancer. We investigated inherited genetic variation associated with RDW in 116,666 UK Biobank human volunteers.
A large proportion RDW is explained by genetic variants (29%), especially in the older group (60+ year olds, 33.8%, <50 year olds, 28.4%). RDW was associated with 194 independent genetic signals; 71 are known for conditions including autoimmune disease, certain cancers, BMI, Alzheimer's disease, longevity, age at menopause, bone density, myositis, Parkinson's disease, and age-related macular degeneration. Exclusion of anemic participants did not affect the overall findings. Pathways analysis showed enrichment for telomere maintenance, ribosomal RNA, and apoptosis. The majority of RDW-associated signals were intronic (119 of 194), including SNP rs6602909 located in an intron of oncogene GAS6, an eQTL in whole blood.
Although increased RDW is predictive of cardiovascular outcomes, this was not explained by known CVD or related lipid genetic risks, and a RDW genetic score was not predictive of incident disease. The predictive value of RDW for a range of negative health outcomes may in part be due to variants influencing fundamental pathways of aging.
Journal Article
Very Low and High Levels of Vitamin D Are Associated with Shorter Leukocyte Telomere Length in 148,321 UK Biobank Participants
2023
Background: Shorter leukocyte telomere length (LTL) is observed in multiple age-related diseases, which are also associated with vitamin D deficiency (i.e., osteosarcopenia, neurocognitive disorders, cancer, osteoarthritis, etc.), suggesting a close association between vitamin D and LTL. In this study, we examined the relationship between vitamin D levels and LTL in older participants of the UK Biobank. Methods: Data were collected from the UK Biobank. Participants aged 60 and older (n = 148,321) were included. Baseline LTL was measured using a multiplex qPCR technique and expressed as the ratio of the telomere amplification product (T) to that of a single-copy gene (S) (T/S ratio). Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25OHD) was stratified by z score and linked to LTL in a linear regression model adjusting for covariates. Results: Compared to the medium level, a low (in the range of 16.6 nmol/L, 29.7 nmol/L) or extremely low (≤16.6 nmol/L) level of serum 25OHD was associated with shorter LTL: 0.018 SD (standardized β = −0.018, 95% CI −0.033 to −0.003, p = 0.022) and 0.048 SD (standardized β = −0.048, 95% CI −0.083 to −0.014, p = 0.006), respectively. Additionally, the high serum 25OHD groups (>95.9 nmol/L) had 0.038 SD (standardized β = −0.038, 95% CI −0.072 to −0.004, p = 0.030) shorter mean LTL than the group with medium 25OHD levels. The associations above were adjusted for multiple variables. Conclusions: In this population-based study, we identified an inverted U-shape relationship between LTL and vitamin D status. Our findings could be affected by unmeasured confounders. Whether high or low vitamin D-associated shorter LTL is mechanistically related to age-related conditions remains to be elucidated.
Journal Article
Proteomic analysis of APOEε4 carriers implicates lipid metabolism, complement and lymphocyte signaling in cognitive resilience
by
Shadyab, Aladdin H.
,
Tian, Qu
,
Kapogiannis, Dimitrios
in
Aged
,
Aged, 80 and over
,
Alzheimer Disease - blood
2024
Background
Apolipoprotein E (
APOE
) ε4 allele is the strongest genetic risk factor for late onset Alzheimer’s disease (AD). This case-cohort study used targeted plasma biomarkers and large-scale proteomics to examine the biological mechanisms that allow some
APOE
ε4 carriers to maintain normal cognitive functioning in older adulthood.
Methods
APOE
ε4 carriers and
APOE
ε3 homozygotes enrolled in the Women’s Health Initiative Memory Study (WHIMS) from 1996 to 1999 were classified as
resilient
if they remained cognitively unimpaired beyond age 80, and as
non-resilient
if they developed cognitive impairment before or at age 80. AD pathology (Aß
42/40
) and neurodegeneration (NfL, tau) biomarkers, as well as 1007 proteins (Olink) were quantified in blood collected at study enrollment (on average 14 years prior) when participants were cognitively normal. We identified plasma proteins that distinguished between resilient and non-resilient
APOE
ε4 carriers, examined whether these associations generalized to
APOE
ε3 homozygotes, and replicated these findings in the UK Biobank.
Results
A total of 1610 participants were included (baseline age: 71.3 [3.8 SD] years; all White; 42%
APOEε
4 carriers). Compared to resilient
APOE
ε4 carriers, non-resilient
APOE
ε4 carriers had lower Aß
42/40
/tau ratio and greater NfL at baseline. Proteomic analyses identified four proteins differentially expressed between resilient and non-resilient
APOEε
4 carriers at an FDR-corrected
P
< 0.05. While one of the candidate proteins, a marker of neuronal injury (NfL), also distinguished resilient from non-resilient
APOE
ε3 homozygotes, the other three proteins, known to be involved in lipid metabolism (ANGPTL4) and immune signaling (PTX3, NCR1), only predicted resilient vs. non-resilient status among
APOE
ε4 carriers (protein*genotype interaction-
P
< 0.05). Three of these four proteins also predicted 14-year dementia risk among
APOE
ε4 carriers in the UK Biobank validation sample (
N
= 9420). While the candidate proteins showed little to no association with targeted biomarkers of AD pathology, protein network and enrichment analyses suggested that natural killer (NK) cell and T lymphocyte signaling (via PKC-θ) distinguished resilient from non-resilient
APOE
ε4 carriers.
Conclusions
We identified and replicated a plasma proteomic signature associated with cognitive resilience among
APOEε
4 carriers. These proteins implicate specific immune processes in the preservation of cognitive status despite elevated genetic risk for AD. Future studies in diverse cohorts will be needed to assess the generalizability of these results.
Journal Article
Hemochromatosis Genetic Variants and Musculoskeletal Outcomes: 11.5‐Year Follow‐Up in the UK Biobank Cohort Study
2023
The iron overload disorder hemochromatosis is primarily caused by the homozygous
HFE
p.C282Y variant, but the scale of excess related musculoskeletal morbidity is uncertain. We estimated hemochromatosis‐genotype associations with clinically diagnosed musculoskeletal outcomes and joint replacement surgeries in the UK Biobank community cohort. A total of 451,143 European ancestry participants (40 to 70 years at baseline) were followed in hospital records (mean 11.5‐years). Cox proportional hazards models estimated
HFE
p.C282Y and p.H63D associations with incident outcomes. Male p.C282Y homozygotes (
n
= 1294) had increased incidence of osteoarthritis (
n
= 52, hazard ratio [HR]: 2.12 [95% confidence interval, CI: 1.61 to 2.80];
p
= 8.8 × 10
−8
), hip replacement (
n
= 88, HR: 1.84 [95% CI: 1.49 to 2.27];
p
= 1.6 × 10
−8
), knee replacement (
n
= 61, HR: 1.54 [95% CI: 1.20 to 1.98];
p
= 8.4 × 10
−4
), and ankle and shoulder replacement, compared to males with no
HFE
mutations. Cumulative incidence analysis, using Kaplan–Meier lifetable probabilities demonstrated 10.4% of male homozygotes were projected to develop osteoarthritis and 15.5% to have hip replacements by age 75, versus 5.0% and 8.7% respectively without mutations. Male p.C282Y homozygotes also had increased incidence of femoral fractures (
n
= 15, HR: 1.72 [95% CI: 1.03 to 2.87];
p
= 0.04) and osteoporosis (
n
= 21, HR: 1.71 [95% CI: 1.11 to 2.64];
p
= 0.02), although the latter association was limited to those with liver fibrosis/cirrhosis diagnoses. Female p.C282Y homozygotes had increased incidence of osteoarthritis only (
n
= 57, HR: 1.46, [95% CI: 1.12 to 1.89];
p
= 0.01). Male p.C282Y/p.H63D compound heterozygotes experienced a modest increased risk of hip replacements (
n
= 234, HR: 1.17 [95% CI: 1.02 to 1.33],
p
= 0.02), but this did not pass multiple testing corrections. In this large community cohort, the p.C282Y homozygote genotype was associated with substantial excess musculoskeletal morbidity in males. Wider
HFE
genotype testing may be justified, including in orthopedic clinics serving higher
HFE
variant prevalence populations. © 2023 The Authors.
JBMR Plus
published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
Journal Article
A genome‐wide association study of the frailty index highlights brain pathways in ageing
2021
Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome and strongly associated with disability, mortality and hospitalization. Frailty is commonly measured using the frailty index (FI), based on the accumulation of a number of health deficits during the life course. The mechanisms underlying FI are multifactorial and not well understood, but a genetic basis has been suggested with heritability estimates between 30 and 45%. Understanding the genetic determinants and biological mechanisms underpinning FI may help to delay or even prevent frailty. We performed a genome‐wide association study (GWAS) meta‐analysis of a frailty index in European descent UK Biobank participants (n = 164,610, 60–70 years) and Swedish TwinGene participants (n = 10,616, 41–87 years). FI calculation was based on 49 or 44 self‐reported items on symptoms, disabilities and diagnosed diseases for UK Biobank and TwinGene, respectively. 14 loci were associated with the FI (p < 5*10−8). Many FI‐associated loci have established associations with traits such as body mass index, cardiovascular disease, smoking, HLA proteins, depression and neuroticism; however, one appears to be novel. The estimated single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) heritability of the FI was 11% (0.11, SE 0.005). In enrichment analysis, genes expressed in the frontal cortex and hippocampus were significantly downregulated (adjusted p < 0.05). We also used Mendelian randomization to identify modifiable traits and exposures that may affect frailty risk, with a higher educational attainment genetic risk score being associated with a lower degree of frailty. Risk of frailty is influenced by many genetic factors, including well‐known disease risk factors and mental health, with particular emphasis on pathways in the brain.
This genome‐wide association study meta‐analysis of the frailty index (FI) in UK Biobank and TwinGene, identified 14 loci associated with the FI. Many FI‐associated loci have established associations with well‐known disease risk factors such as BMI, cardiovascular disease, smoking, HLA proteins, depression and neuroticism. However 1 was novel. Risk of frailty is influenced by many genetic factors, including well‐known disease risk factors and mental health, with particular emphasis on pathways in the brain.
Journal Article