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This study aimed to estimate the lifetime cost of alcohol consumption per individual drinker in Thailand to support policy formulation. Using an incidence-based cost-of-illness (COI) approach, a hybrid model combining a decision tree and a Markov model, incorporating six major alcohol-related diseases and conditions (i.e., hypertension, hemorrhagic stroke, liver cirrhosis, liver cancer, alcohol use disorders, and road injuries), was employed to analyze both direct costs (i.e., direct medical, direct nonmedical, property damage) and indirect costs (i.e., absenteeism, premature mortality). All costs were reported in Thai baht 2022 (35.06 THB = 1US$). From a societal perspective, the lifetime costs for individual male and female drinker were estimated at 721,344 THB (95% CI: 687,910–754,779) and 263,812 THB (95% CI: 249,250–278,374), respectively. Quitting earlier reduced costs significantly, with average quitting ages resulting in the cost of 568,932 THB for males and 115,167 THB for females. On average, each Thai drinker incurs a cost of 498,196 THB. These findings highlight the substantial economic burden of alcohol consumption in Thailand, underscoring the critical need for effective interventions and policies, along with more rigorous enforcement of current regulations aimed at encouraging early cessation and preventing the initiation of drinking, such as through advertising bans, sales restrictions, improving access to counseling and treatment.

Currently, interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA) is costly and not included as latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) screening test strategy in Thailand’s Universal Coverage Scheme (UCS) benefit package. The objective of this study was to assess the cost-utility of LTBI screening strategies among tuberculosis (TB) contacts in Thailand. A hybrid decision tree and Markov model was developed to compare the lifetime costs and health outcomes of tuberculin skin test (TST) and IGRA, in comparison to no screening, based on a societal perspective. Health outcomes were the total number of TB cases averted and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), with results presented as an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to explore uncertainties in all parameters. The ICER of TST compared with no screening was 27,645 baht per QALY gained, while that of IGRA compared to TST was 851,030 baht per QALY gained. In a cohort of 1000 TB contacts, both TST and IGRA strategies could avert 282 and 283 TB cases, respectively. At the Thai societal willingness-to-pay threshold of 160,000 baht per QALY gained, TST was deemed cost-effective, whereas IGRA would not be cost-effective, unless the cost of IGRA was reduced to 1,434 baht per test.

Conventional tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis is time-consuming, while newer molecular assays such as Xpert MTB/RIF and loop-mediated amplification test for TB (TB-LAMP) provide faster results but at a higher cost compared to sputum smear microscopy (SSM) with culture and drug susceptibility testing (DST) in Thailand. This study assessed the cost-utility of TB diagnostic algorithms as either initial or add-on tests from a societal perspective for TB diagnosis in the general Thai population. A dynamic transmission model was employed to evaluate five TB diagnostic algorithms over a 15-year period. Costs were calculated in 2023 Thai Baht, with results presented as incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) compared to SSM with culture and DST. One-way and probability sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess parameter uncertainty. Compared to SSM with culture and DST, the ICER values (Baht per QALY gained) of TB-LAMP Add-On (3,563), Xpert MTB/RIF Add-On (3,670), and TB-LAMP Initial (6,429) indicated that these algorithms were cost-effective, while Xpert MTB/RIF Initial emerged as a cost-saving option. One-way sensitivity analysis results revealed that the utility of the first-line treatment exhibited the highest variability in ICERs, followed by the unit cost of Xpert MTB/RIF. The results supported the adoption of Xpert MTB/RIF as an initial test for the general Thai population. These findings provide evidence for policymakers to integrate molecular testing into Thailand’s Universal Coverage Scheme benefit package, aligning with national TB strategies to reduce TB incidence and mortality.

Tuberculosis (TB) causes an economic impact on the patients and their households. Although Thailand has expanded the national health benefit package for TB treatment, there was no data on out-of-pocket payments and income losses due to TB from patients and their household perspectives. This national TB patient cost survey was conducted to examine the TB-related economic burden, and assess the proportion of TB patients and their households facing catastrophic total costs because of TB disease. A cross-sectional TB patient cost survey was employed following WHO methods. Structured interviews with a paper-based questionnaire were conducted from October 2019 to July 2021. Both direct and indirect costs incurred from the patient and their household perspective were valued in 2021 and estimated throughout pre- and post-TB diagnosis episodes. We assessed the proportion of TB-affected households facing costs > 20% of household expenditure due to TB. We analyzed 1400 patients including 1382 TB (first-line treatment) and 18 drug-resistant TB patients (DR-TB). The mean total costs per TB episode for all study participants were 903 USD (95% confident interval; CI 771–1034 USD). Of these, total direct non-medical costs were the highest costs (mean, 402 USD, and 95%CI 334–470 USD) incurred per TB-affected household followed by total indirect costs (mean, 393 USD, and 95%CI 315–472 USD) and total direct medical costs (mean, 107 USD, and 95%CI 81–133 USD, respectively. The proportion of TB-affected households facing catastrophic costs was 29.5% (95%CI 25.1–34.0%) for TB (first-line), 61.1% (95%CI 29.6–88.1%) for DR-TB and 29.9% (95%CI 25.6–34.4%) overall. This first national survey highlighted the economic burden on TB-affected households. Travel, food/nutritional supplementation, and indirect costs contribute to a high proportion of catastrophic total costs. These suggest the need to enhance financial and social protection mechanisms to mitigate the financial burden of TB-affected households.

No cost-effectiveness information of preventive strategies for mother-to-child transmission (MTCT) of hepatitis B virus (HBV) has existed for policy decision making. This study aimed to compare the cost-effectiveness of alternative strategies to prevent MTCT of HBV in Vietnam. Cost-utility analysis using a hybrid decision-tree and Markov model were performed from healthcare system and societal perspectives. Preventive strategies included HBV universal vaccination (S1), hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) for infants of mothers with HBeAg( +) (S2), HBIG for infants of mothers with HBsAg( +) (S3), tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) for mothers with high viral load (S4) and mothers with HBeAg( +) (S5), and the current practice (S6) with HBV vaccine in all infants and TDF for high viral load mothers. The current practice was dominant to all preventive strategies with interventions in only infants for both perspectives. In contrast, the strategies S4 and S5 were dominant to the current practice with incremental net monetary benefit varying from $33.94 to $70.64 under a healthcare system perspective and from $44.22 to $93.71 under a societal perspective. Addition of HBIG in infants born to mothers infected HBV and tenofovir prophylaxis for mothers with positive HBeAg was the most cost-effective strategy to prevent vertical transmission of HBV in Vietnam.

Seasonal influenza is a major cause of mortality worldwide. Routine immunization of children has the potential to reduce this mortality through both direct and indirect protection, but has not been adopted by any low- or middle-income countries. We developed a framework to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of influenza vaccination policies in developing countries and used it to consider annual vaccination of school- and preschool-aged children with either trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (TIV) or trivalent live-attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV) in Thailand. We also compared these approaches with a policy of expanding TIV coverage in the elderly. We developed an age-structured model to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of eight vaccination policies parameterized using country-level data from Thailand. For policies using LAIV, we considered five different age groups of children to vaccinate. We adopted a Bayesian evidence-synthesis framework, expressing uncertainty in parameters through probability distributions derived by fitting the model to prospectively collected laboratory-confirmed influenza data from 2005-2009, by meta-analysis of clinical trial data, and by using prior probability distributions derived from literature review and elicitation of expert opinion. We performed sensitivity analyses using alternative assumptions about prior immunity, contact patterns between age groups, the proportion of infections that are symptomatic, cost per unit vaccine, and vaccine effectiveness. Vaccination of children with LAIV was found to be highly cost-effective, with incremental cost-effectiveness ratios between about 2,000 and 5,000 international dollars per disability-adjusted life year averted, and was consistently preferred to TIV-based policies. These findings were robust to extensive sensitivity analyses. The optimal age group to vaccinate with LAIV, however, was sensitive both to the willingness to pay for health benefits and to assumptions about contact patterns between age groups. Vaccinating school-aged children with LAIV is likely to be cost-effective in Thailand in the short term, though the long-term consequences of such a policy cannot be reliably predicted given current knowledge of influenza epidemiology and immunology. Our work provides a coherent framework that can be used for similar analyses in other low- and middle-income countries.

Although public health guidelines have implications for resource allocation, these issues were not explicitly considered in previous WHO pandemic preparedness and response guidance. In order to ensure a thorough and informed revision of this guidance following the H1N1 2009 pandemic, a systematic review of published and unpublished economic evaluations of preparedness strategies and interventions against influenza pandemics was conducted. The search was performed in September 2011 using 10 electronic databases, 2 internet search engines, reference list screening, cited reference searching, and direct communication with relevant authors. Full and partial economic evaluations considering both costs and outcomes were included. Conversely, reviews, editorials, and studies on economic impact or complications were excluded. Studies were selected by 2 independent reviewers. 44 studies were included. Although most complied with the cost effectiveness guidelines, the quality of evidence was limited. However, the data sources used were of higher quality in economic evaluations conducted after the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. Vaccination and drug regimens were varied. Pharmaceutical plus non-pharmaceutical interventions are relatively cost effective in comparison to vaccines and/or antivirals alone. Pharmaceutical interventions vary from cost saving to high cost effectiveness ratios. According to ceiling thresholds (Gross National Income per capita), the reduction of non-essential contacts and the use of pharmaceutical prophylaxis plus the closure of schools are amongst the cost effective strategies for all countries. However, quarantine for household contacts is not cost effective even for low and middle income countries. The available evidence is generally inconclusive regarding the cost effectiveness of preparedness strategies and interventions against influenza pandemics. Studies on their effectiveness and cost effectiveness should be readily implemented in forthcoming events that also involve the developing world. Guidelines for assessing the impact of disease and interventions should be drawn up to facilitate these studies.

Background Many economic evaluations ignore economies of scale in their cost estimation, which means that cost parameters are assumed to have a linear relationship with the level of production. Economies of scale is the situation when the average total cost of producing a product decreases with increasing volume caused by reducing the variable costs due to more efficient operation. This study investigates the significance of applying the economies of scale concept: the saving in costs gained by an increased level of production in economic evaluation of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) and human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccinations. Methods The fixed and variable costs of providing partial (20% coverage) and universal (100% coverage) vaccination programs in the Philippines were estimated using various methods, including costs of conducting questionnaire survey, focus-group discussion, and analysis of secondary data. Costing parameters were utilised as inputs for the two economic evaluation models for PCV and HPV. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) and 5-year budget impacts with and without applying economies of scale to the costing parameters for partial and universal coverage were compared in order to determine the effect of these different costing approaches. Results The program costs of the partial coverage for the two immunisation programs were not very different when applying and not applying the economies of scale concept. Nevertheless, the program costs for universal coverage were 0.26 and 0.32 times lower when applying economies of scale compared to not applying economies of scale for the pneumococcal and human papillomavirus vaccinations, respectively. ICERs varied by up to 98% for pneumococcal vaccinations, whereas the change in ICERs in the human papillomavirus vaccination depended on both the costs of cervical cancer screening and the vaccination program. This results in a significant difference in the 5-year budget impact, accounting for 30 and 40% of reduction in the 5-year budget impact for the pneumococcal and human papillomavirus vaccination programs. Conclusions This study demonstrated the feasibility and importance of applying economies of scale in the cost estimation in economic evaluation, which would lead to different conclusions in terms of value for money regarding the interventions, particularly with population-wide interventions such as vaccination programs. The economies of scale approach to costing is recommended for the creation of methodological guidelines for conducting economic evaluations.

Background The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends that the cost effectiveness of introducing human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination is considered before such a strategy is implemented. However, developing countries often lack the technical capacity to perform and interpret results of economic appraisals of vaccines. To provide information about the feasibility of using such models in a developing country setting, we evaluated models of HPV vaccination in terms of their capacity, requirements, limitations and comparability. Methods A literature review identified six HPV vaccination models suitable for low-income and middle-income country use and representative of the literature in terms of provenance and model structure. Each model was adapted by its developers using standardised data sets representative of two hypothetical developing countries (a low-income country with no screening and a middle-income country with limited screening). Model predictions before and after vaccination of adolescent girls were compared in terms of HPV prevalence and cervical cancer incidence, as was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of vaccination under different scenarios. Results None of the models perfectly reproduced the standardised data set provided to the model developers. However, they agreed that large decreases in type 16/18 HPV prevalence and cervical cancer incidence are likely to occur following vaccination. Apart from the Thai model (in which vaccine and non-vaccine HPV types were combined), vaccine-type HPV prevalence dropped by 75% to 100%, and vaccine-type cervical cancer incidence dropped by 80% to 100% across the models (averaging over age groups). The most influential factors affecting cost effectiveness were the discount rate, duration of vaccine protection, vaccine price and HPV prevalence. Demographic change, access to treatment and data resolution were found to be key issues to consider for models in developing countries. Conclusions The results indicated the usefulness of considering results from several models and sets of modelling assumptions in decision making. Modelling groups were prepared to share their models and expertise to work with stakeholders in developing countries. Please see related article: http://www.biomedcentral.com/1741-7007/9/55

This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of blood pressure (BP) screening strategies, including 1) home blood pressure measurement (HBPM), (2) serial screening by CBPM followed by HBPM among individuals with high BP i.e., clinic BP ≥140/90 mmHg (Serial1), (3) serial screening by CBPM followed by HBPM among individuals without high BP i.e., clinic blood pressure <140/90 mmHg (Serial2) compared to CBPM alone. A Markov model was applied among Thai population aged 35 years who had not been previously diagnosed with hypertension (HT) during a lifetime horizon with one-year cycle length from a societal perspective. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses using Monte Carlo simulation with 1,000 replications were performed. The total cost of Serial2 (118,283 baht) was the highest and followed by HBPM (110,767 baht), CBPM (110,588 baht) and Serial1 (78,310 baht). The total quality adjusted life years (QALYs) for the population undergoing BP screening with CBPM, HBPM, Serial1, and Serial2 were 22.1557, 22.1511, 22.1286, and 22.1564, respectively. Compared to CBPM, Serial1 was associated with an incremental cost saving of 32,278 and an incremental QALY loss of 0.0271, whereas HBPM was dominated by CBPM due to higher cost (179 baht) and fewer QALY (-0.0046). Additionally, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of Serial2 was the highest (10,992,000 baht per QALY gained). Moreover, the incidence rate of HT among individuals at age 40–49 years was the most sensitive factor influencing the ICER of HBPM, Serial1 and Serial2. At the Thai societal willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of 160,000 baht per QALY gained, the cost saving associated with Serial1 outweighed the QALY loss. Therefore, it is recommended that Serial1 be implemented as a BP screening option in Thailand. This evidence informed policy information could be invaluable for policymakers in making decision regarding BP screening through village health volunteer mechanism in Thailand and similar settings.