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"Ravaioli, Alessandra"
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Five-year annual incidence and clinico-molecular features of breast cancer after the last negative screening mammography at age 68–69
2022
Objective
The European Commission Initiative on Breast Cancer recommendation for triennial screening of women aged 70–74 is based on very weak evidence. A cohort of Italian women who had their last biennial screening mammography at age 68–69 was followed up for 5 years, assumed to represent the interval to another hypothetical screening mammography, in order to determine the annual proportional incidence of interval breast cancer.
Methods
The cohort included 118,370 women. They had their last mammography between 1997 and 2008. Incident breast cancers were identified by record-linking the cohort with the regional breast cancer registry. The expected incidence in the age range 65–74 was estimated with an age-period-cohort model. The number of interval cancers was divided by the expected number to obtain their proportional incidence.
Results
Overall, there were 298,658 woman-years at risk with 371 interval cancers versus 988.8 expected. In the first, second, third, fourth, and fifth interval year, the proportional incidence was 0.09 (95% confidence interval, 0.06–0.13), 0.32 (0.25–0.39), 0.60 (0.49–0.73), 0.75 (0.60–0.92), and 0.81 (0.60–1.07), respectively. Between the second and the fifth year, tumour stage and molecular subtype did not change significantly.
Conclusion
Though not supported by these findings, the proposal of triennial screening for women aged 70–74 merits further research, because the 95% confidence interval of the third-year proportional incidence of interval cancer included 0.50—the maximum limit considered acceptable for women aged 50–69.
Key Points
• The third-year incidence of breast cancer relative to the expected one was 0.60 (95% confidence interval, 0.49–0.73).
• Between the second and the fifth year, tumour stage and molecular subtype did not change significantly (p >0.10).
• The proposal of a 3-year screening interval at age 70–74 merits further evaluation.
Journal Article
Metastatic Recurrence of Breast Cancer by Stage and Molecular Profile: A Population‐Based Study Among Italian Women
by
Seghini, Pietro
,
Ravaioli, Alessandra
,
Capocaccia, Riccardo
in
Adolescent
,
Adult
,
Age Factors
2026
Background This study aims to estimate the long‐term risk of metastatic recurrence (MR) among Italian women with breast cancer (BC) by period, age, stage, and surrogate molecular profile. Methods Data on 59,968 women below age 75 years diagnosed in 1997–2017 with stage I‐III BC from 7 population‐based Italian cancer registries were analyzed. We used a novel modeling method, based on an illness–death process coupled with a mixture cure model, to estimate relative survival and MR risks up to 15 years after BC diagnosis according to calendar period, age, stage, and profile. Results The risk of MR for the entire cohort at 15 years decreased from 20.6% in 1997–2006 to 12.3% in 2007–2017, when MR risk within 15 years was 3.0% for stage I, 16.0% for stage II, and 42.7% for stage III. The conditional risk of MR decreased with time since diagnosis, with stage I–III triple‐negative BC having a higher risk of developing MR in the first 5 years regardless of age (16.0% at age 15–54 years and 18.3% at 55–74 years), but < 1% once they survived for 5 years without recurrence. In contrast, hormone receptor‐positive BC had a lower but persisting risk of MR of about 6% for both age groups in the first 10 years, halving to about 3% in the following 5 years after diagnosis. Conclusions This study provides a population‐based estimate of the long‐term risk of MR for women with BC by major prognostic factors. These findings may help in tailoring follow‐up strategies through informative risk stratification.
Journal Article
Female breast cancer subtypes in the Romagna Unit of the Emilia-Romagna cancer registry, and estimated incident cases by subtypes and age in Italy in 2020
by
Crocetti, Emanuele
,
Vattiato, Rosa
,
Falcini, Fabio
in
Breast cancer
,
breast neoplasms
,
Breast Neoplasms - metabolism
2023
Purpose
The aim of this study was to estimate the Italian burden of incident breast cancer (BC) by subtypes, according to the distribution of hormonal receptor (HR) status and expression of human epidermal growth factor 2 (HER2).
Methods
Female breast cancers incidence in the Romagna Unit of the Emilia-Romagna registry (
n
. 10,711) were grouped into: HR+ /HER2–, HR+ /HER2+ , HR–/HER2+ , HR–/HER2– and missing, and by age: < 50, 50–69 and 70+ years. Data were compared with other published Italian population-bases series before using them for national estimates. We used national and regional numbers of expected breast cancers published by the Italian network of cancer registries considering the age- and geographic-specific variation of the Italian population.
Results
Overall, 70.7% of incident BC cases are expected to be HR+ /HER2-, 8.5% HR+ /HER2+ , 7.5% HR-/HER2-, 4.1% HR-/HER2+ and 9.3% missing. The global ranking is similar across age-groups but with age-specific differences. The proportion of missing was around 3-times lower than in the other Italian published population-based series and similar to the SEER one. In Italy, are estimated 38,841 HR+ /HER2- breast cancer cases, 4665 HR+ /HER2+ , 4098 HR-/HER2-, 2281 HR-/HER2+ , and 5092 not specified. Numbers by age-group were provided.
Conclusions
The present estimates relied on high-quality population-based data and provide a clinically relevant information on the burden of breast cancer subtypes. These data will support the planning of therapy needs for oncologists, decision-makers, and all other stakeholders.
Journal Article
Cancer and risk of suicide: follow-up and multidisciplinarity may offer opportunities for prevention.
by
Ravaioli, Alessandra
,
Bucchi, Lauro
in
Cancer Care Facilities - organization & administration
,
Cancer Survivors - psychology
,
Depression - epidemiology
2018
Suicide rate is two-fold higher among cancer patients than in the general population. General and cancer-related risk factors for suicide are easily identified by caregivers interacting with patients, but with the exception of depression - the strongest one. This hampers the feasibility of screening of patients by the treating personnel. While new treatments tend to make cancer a chronic disease, which exposes patients to prolonged periods of uncertainty about recurrences, two recent advances have improved the possibility to prevent suicide. On the one hand, the emerging concept of cancer survivorship care has placed the identification of long-term consequences of cancer and its treatments, including an increased risk for suicide, among the objectives of patient follow-up. On the other hand, models of multidisciplinary team care have been implemented in several areas of cancer management. Although the psycho-oncologist has a complementary role, a clear definition of its relationship with the multidisciplinary teams facilitates the adoption of screening programmes for the detection of conditions of increased risk for suicide in cancer care facilities.
Journal Article
Incidence, detection, and tumour stage of breast cancer in a cohort of Italian women with negative screening mammography report recommending early (short-interval) rescreen
2010
Background
Although poorly described in the literature, the practice of early (short-interval) rescreen after a negative screening mammogram is controversial due to its financial and psychological burden and because it is of no proven benefit.
Methods
The present study targeted an Italian 2-yearly screening programme (Emilia-Romagna Region, 1997-2002). An electronic dataset of 647,876 eligible negative mammography records from 376,257 women aged 50-69 years was record-linked with the regional breast cancer registry. The statistical analysis addressed the following research questions: (1) the prevalence of recommendation for early (<24 months) rescreen (RES) among negative mammography reports; (2) factors associated with the likelihood of a women receiving RES; and (3) whether women receiving RES and women receiving standard negative reports differed in terms of proportional incidence of interval breast cancer, recall rate at the next rescreen, detection rate of breast cancer at the next rescreen and the odds of having late-stage breast cancer during the interscreening interval and at the next rescreen.
Results
RES was used in eight out of 13 screening centres, where it was found in 4171 out of 313,320 negative reports (average rate 1.33%; range 0.05%-4.33%). Reports with RES were more likely for women aged 50-59 years versus older women (odds ratio (OR) 1.33; 95% CI 1.25-1.42), for the first versus subsequent screening rounds (OR 1.91; 95% CI 1.79-2.04) and with a centre-specific recall rate below the average of 6.2% (OR 1.41; 95% CI 1.32-1.50). RES predicted a 3.51-fold (95% CI 0.94-9.29) greater proportional incidence of first-year interval cancers, a 1.90-fold (95% CI 1.62-2.22) greater recall rate at the next screen, a 1.72-fold (95% CI 1.01-2.74) greater detection rate of cancer at the next screen and a non-significantly decreased risk of late disease stage (OR 0.59; 95% CI 0.23-1.53).
Conclusion
The prevalence of RES was in line with the maximum standard level established by the Italian national guidelines. RES identified a subset of women with greater incidence of interval cancers and greater prevalence of cancers detected at the next screen.
Journal Article
How a faecal immunochemical test screening programme changes annual colorectal cancer incidence rates: an Italian intention-to-screen study
2022
BackgroundThis study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of a biennial faecal immunochemical test (FIT) screening programme in reducing annual colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence in its dynamic target population.MethodsThe target population included over 1,000,000 persons aged 50–69 living in a region of northern Italy. The average annual response rate to invitation was 51.4%. Each observed annual age-standardised (Europe) rate per 100,000 persons between 2005, the year of introduction of the programme, and 2016 was compared with each expected annual rate as estimated with age-period-cohort (men) and age-period (women) models.ResultsFor both sexes, the rates observed in 1997–2004 and those expected in 2005–2016 were stable. Observed rates increased in 2005, peaked in 2006 (the first full year of screening), dropped significantly below the expected level in 2009, and continued to decrease until 2013 (the eighth full year), after which no further significant changes occurred. In the pooled years 2013–2016, the observed incidence rate per 100,000 persons was 102.2 [95% CI: 97.4, 107.1] for men, 75.6 [95% CI: 71.6, 79.7] for women and 88.4 [95% CI: 85.3, 91.5] for both sexes combined, with an observed:expected incidence rate ratio of 0.68 [95% CI: 0.65, 0.71], 0.79 [95% CI: 0.76, 0.82] and 0.72 [95% CI: 0.66, 0.81], respectively.DiscussionThe study provided multiple consistent proofs of a causal relationship between the introduction of screening and a stable 28% decrease in annual CRC incidence after eight years.
Journal Article
Patterns and determinants of receipt of follow-up mammography and/or clinical examination in a cohort of Italian breast cancer survivors
by
Caranci, Nicola
,
Vattiato, Rosa
,
Colamartini, Americo
in
Aged
,
Aged, 80 and over
,
Breast cancer
2016
Information regarding the use of mammography by breast cancer survivors is limited. This study aimed at evaluating the compliance to surveillance mammography and/or clinical breast examination and the associated factors among patients living in northern Italy. A cancer registry-based cohort of 1304 patients living in the Health Care District of Forlì was followed up for 10 years. Eighty percent of patients had a mammogram and/or clinical breast examination during the first year after treatment. The proportion decreased to 67 % at 10 years of follow-up. Three demographic characteristics were independently associated with lower odds of having an annual mammogram and/or clinical breast examination: age at diagnosis [odds ratio (OR) 0.51, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.41–0.63 for patients aged 65–74 years; and OR 0.14, 95 % CI 0.11–0.18, for patients ≥75 years versus patients aged <64 year]; socio-economic status (OR 0.81, 95 % CI 0.65–1.00, for deprived patients versus patients of the reference class); and hospital travel time greater than 30 min (OR 0.44, 95 % CI 0.29–0.68 versus ≤15 min). With respect to clinical and disease characteristics, lower odds were observed for patients treated with mastectomy (OR 0.79, 95 % CI 0.65–0.97), for patients diagnosed with in situ breast cancer (OR 0.68, 95 % CI 0.46–0.99) as well as with stage II + breast cancer (OR 0.77, 95 % CI 0.63–0.94), and for patients with ≥3 Elixhauser comorbidities (OR 0.43, 95 % CI 0.26–0.71). Adherence to follow-up declined over time. Knowledge of associated factors may assist in improving access to care for breast cancer survivors.
Journal Article
Prevalence of a BRCA2 Pathogenic Variant in Hereditary-Breast-and-Ovarian-Cancer-Syndrome Families with Increased Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in a Restricted Italian Area
2023
PVs and LPVs in BRCA1/2 genes are correlated to a high risk of developing breast cancer and/or ovarian cancer (Hereditary Breast and Ovarian Cancer syndrome, HBOC); additionally, in recent years, an increasing number of BRCA 1/2 variants have been identified and associated with pancreatic cancer. Epidemiologic studies have highlighted that inherited factors are involved in 10% to 20% of PCs, mainly through deleterious variants of BRCA2. The frequency of BRCA1/2 germline alterations fluctuates quite a lot among different ethnic groups, and the estimated rate of PVs/LPVs variants in Italian HBOC families is not very accurate, according to different reports. The aim of our study is to describe the prevalence of a BRCA2 PV observed in a selected cohort of HBOC patients and their relatives, whose common origin is the eastern coast of Emilia Romagna, a region of Italy. This study provides insight into the frequency of the variant detected in this area and provides evidence of an increased risk of pancreatic and breast cancer, useful for genetic counseling and surveillance programs.
Journal Article