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Salman Rawaf discusses the implications of the most recent estimate of excess deaths associated with the Iraq war and subsequent occupation in the context of the current situation in Iraq. Please see later in the article for the Editors' Summary.

The COVID-19 pandemic has modified organisation and processes of primary care. In this paper, we aim to summarise experiences of international primary care systems. We explored personal accounts and findings in reporting on the early experiences from primary care during the pandemic, through the online Global Forum on Universal Health Coverage and Primary Health Care. During the early stage of the pandemic, primary care continued as the first point of contact to the health system but was poorly informed by policy makers on how to fulfil its role and ill equipped to provide care while protecting staff and patients against further spread of the infection. In many countries, the creativity and initiatives of local health professionals led to the introduction or extension of the use of telephone, e-mail and virtual consulting, and introduced triaging to separate 'suspected' COVID-19 from non-COVID-19 care. There were substantial concerns of collateral damage to the health of the population due to abandoned or postponed routine care. The pandemic presents important lessons to strengthen health systems through better connection between public health, primary care, and secondary care to cope better with future waves of this and other pandemics.

Previous studies have reported national and regional Global Burden of Disease (GBD) estimates for the UK. Because of substantial variation in health within the UK, action to improve it requires comparable estimates of disease burden and risks at country and local levels. The slowdown in the rate of improvement in life expectancy requires further investigation. We use GBD 2016 data on mortality, causes of death, and disability to analyse the burden of disease in the countries of the UK and within local authorities in England by deprivation quintile. We extracted data from the GBD 2016 to estimate years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), and attributable risks from 1990 to 2016 for England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland, the UK, and 150 English Upper-Tier Local Authorities. We estimated the burden of disease by cause of death, condition, year, and sex. We analysed the association between burden of disease and socioeconomic deprivation using the Index of Multiple Deprivation. We present results for all 264 GBD causes of death combined and the leading 20 specific causes, and all 84 GBD risks or risk clusters combined and 17 specific risks or risk clusters. The leading causes of age-adjusted YLLs in all UK countries in 2016 were ischaemic heart disease, lung cancers, cerebrovascular disease, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Age-standardised rates of YLLs for all causes varied by two times between local areas in England according to levels of socioeconomic deprivation (from 14 274 per 100 000 population [95% uncertainty interval 12 791–15 875] in Blackpool to 6888 [6145–7739] in Wokingham). Some Upper-Tier Local Authorities, particularly those in London, did better than expected for their level of deprivation. Allowing for differences in age structure, more deprived Upper-Tier Local Authorities had higher attributable YLLs for most major risk factors in the GBD. The population attributable fractions for all-cause YLLs for individual major risk factors varied across Upper-Tier Local Authorities. Life expectancy and YLLs have improved more slowly since 2010 in all UK countries compared with 1990–2010. In nine of 150 Upper-Tier Local Authorities, YLLs increased after 2010. For attributable YLLs, the rate of improvement slowed most substantially for cardiovascular disease and breast, colorectal, and lung cancers, and showed little change for Alzheimer's disease and other dementias. Morbidity makes an increasing contribution to overall burden in the UK compared with mortality. The age-standardised UK DALY rate for low back and neck pain (1795 [1258–2356]) was higher than for ischaemic heart disease (1200 [1155–1246]) or lung cancer (660 [642–679]). The leading causes of ill health (measured through YLDs) in the UK in 2016 were low back and neck pain, skin and subcutaneous diseases, migraine, depressive disorders, and sense organ disease. Age-standardised YLD rates varied much less than equivalent YLL rates across the UK, which reflects the relative scarcity of local data on causes of ill health. These estimates at local, regional, and national level will allow policy makers to match resources and priorities to levels of burden and risk factors. Improvement in YLLs and life expectancy slowed notably after 2010, particularly in cardiovascular disease and cancer, and targeted actions are needed if the rate of improvement is to recover. A targeted policy response is also required to address the increasing proportion of burden due to morbidity, such as musculoskeletal problems and depression. Improving the quality and completeness of available data on these causes is an essential component of this response. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and Public Health England.

Any analysis or risk assessment for unlocking should be framed within public health principles outlined as follows, and consider the above scientific evidence, or lack of it. [...]the doubling rate of infection, referring to the number of days needed to double the number of infected people. [...]case contacts, ideally expecting the number of contacts generated per case to be one or less. The measures that need to be taken may continue to affect communities' economy and lifestyle in the short and long term. [...]to ensure full public engagement, it is vital that governments are transparent and include community acceptance in the equation.

Global neglect of oral healthcare services (OHCS) provision, mainly in Low- and Middle-Income Countries, exacerbates the deterioration of health systems and increases global health inequality. Objectives The objective is to explore the profiles of available oral healthcare services in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR) countries. Methods A systematic literature search was conducted of grey literature and databases (PubMed, Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library). Peer-reviewed articles that reviewed and/or evaluated OHCS in WHO-EMR countries were identified. No time or language limitations were applied. Two independent reviewers conducted the screening and data extraction. A third reviewer arbitrated disagreement. The evaluation of the OHCS provision followed the WHO framework for health system performance assessment. The extraction included socio-demographic characteristics of the studied population, OHCS profile, responsiveness, and health insurance coverage. Results One hundred and thirty-seven studies were identified. The studies that met the inclusion criteria were fifteen published between 1987 and 2016. In addition, two reports were published in 2022. The included studies were conducted in Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Libya, Egypt, Oman, Syria, Jourdan, Kuwait, and Tunisia. Generally, Ministries of Health are the main providers of OHCS. The provision for national dental care prevention programmes was highly limited. Furthermore, most of these Ministries of Health have struggled to meet their local populations’ dental needs due to limited finances and resources for OHCS. Conclusions Oral and dental diseases are highly prevalent in the WHO-EMR region and the governments of the region face many challenges to meeting the OHCS needs of the population. Therefore, further studies to assess and re-design the OHCS in these countries to adapt dental care prevention into national health programmes are crucial.

Background Overweight and obesity are major risk factors for numerous communicable and non-communicable health conditions. Some of those diseases which can be prevented are cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease. In Arab countries, prevalence of overweight and obesity is double what it is globally, making obesity a top public health concern. This study seeks to investigate the regional burden of high BMI-attributable disease and compare it with global data, to shed light on this public health issue and inform future policies. Methods Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021, including global and Arab countries statistics, were systematically extracted and analysed. A high body mass index (BMI) was defined as a value of 25 kg/m² or greater. Trends for nine major causes of high BMI-attributable deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and years of life lost from mortality (YLLs) were analysed by age and sex, from 1990 to 2021. Results In Arab countries, the top causes of high BMI-attributable age-standardised deaths, DALYs, and YLLs in 2021 were cardiovascular diseases, diabetes and kidney diseases, and neoplasms (replacing chronic respiratory diseases in 1990). There was a notable increase in the disease burden attributable to high BMI between 1990 and 2021, with a consistently higher burden compared to global data. Mortality caused by cardiovascular diseases and diabetes and kidney diseases in Arab countries was higher in females than males, compared to global mortality data. Conclusions The considerable disease burden attributable to high BMI in Arab countries highlights the necessity for integrated, population-level interventions aimed at holistically preventing high BMI in this region. Longitudinal and qualitative research on perceptions and drivers of trends in high BMI within Arab countries are necessary to gain context and add to the evidence base, allowing for the development of suitable and effective interventions.

Background There are several definitions of resilience in health systems, many of which share some characteristics, but no agreed-upon framework is universally accepted. Here, we review the concept of resilience, identifying its definitions, attributes, antecedents and consequences, and present the findings of a concept analysis of health system resilience. Methods We follow Schwarz-Barcott and Kim’s hybrid model, which consists of three phases: theoretical, fieldwork and final analysis. We identified the concept definitions, attributes, antecedents and consequences of health system resilience and constructed an evidence-informed framework on the basis of the findings of this review. We searched PubMed, PsycINFO, CINAHL Complete, EBSCOhost-Academic Search and Premier databases and downloaded identified titles and abstracts on Covidence. We screened 3357 titles and removed duplicate and ineligible records; two reviewers then screened each title, and disagreements were resolved by discussion with the third reviewer. From the 130 eligible manuscripts, we identified the definitions, attributes, antecedents and consequences using a pre-defined data extraction form. Results Resilience antecedents are decentralization, available funds, investments and resources, staff environment and motivation, integration and networking and finally, diversification of staff. The attributes are the availability of resources and funds, adaptive capacity, transformative capacity, learning and advocacy and progressive leadership. The consequences of health system resilience are improved health system performance, a balanced governance structure, improved expenditure and financial management of health and maintenance of health services that support universal health coverage (UHC) throughout crises. Conclusion A resilient health system maintains quality healthcare through times of crisis. During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic, several seemingly robust health systems were strained under the increased demand, and services were disrupted. As such, elements of resilience should be integrated into the functions of a health system to ensure standardized and consistent service quality and delivery. We offer a systematic, evidence-informed method for identifying the attributes of health system resilience, intending to eventually be used to develop a measuring tool to evaluate a country’s health system resilience performance.

IntroductionFalls in older aged adults are an important public health problem. Insight into differences in fall-related injury rates between countries can serve as important input for identifying and evaluating prevention strategies. The objectives of this study were to compare Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 estimates on incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to fall-related injury in older adults across 22 countries in the Western European region and to examine changes over a 28-year period.MethodsWe performed a secondary database descriptive study using the GBD 2017 results on age-standardised fall-related injury in older adults aged 70 years and older in 22 countries from 1990 to 2017.ResultsIn 2017, in the Western European region, 13 840 per 100 000 (uncertainty interval (UI) 11 837–16 113) older adults sought medical treatment for fall-related injury, ranging from 7594 per 100 000 (UI 6326–9032) in Greece to 19 796 per 100 000 (UI 15 536–24 233) in Norway. Since 1990, fall-related injury DALY rates showed little change for the whole region, but patterns varied widely between countries. Some countries (eg, Belgium and Netherlands) have lost their favourable positions due to an increasing fall-related injury burden of disease since 1990.ConclusionsFrom 1990 to 2017, there was considerable variation in fall-related injury incidence, mortality, DALY rates and its composites in the 22 countries in the Western European region. It may be useful to assess which fall prevention measures have been taken in countries that showed continuous low or decreasing incidence, death and DALY rates despite ageing of the population.

BackgroundThe electronic health record (EHR) has been widely implemented internationally as a tool to improve health and healthcare delivery. However, EHR implementation has been comparatively slow amongst hospitals in the Arabian Gulf countries. This gradual uptake may be linked to prevailing opinions amongst medical practitioners. Until now, no systematic review has been conducted to identify the impact of EHRs on doctor-patient relationships and attitudes in the Arabian Gulf countries.ObjectiveTo understand the impact of EHR use on patient-doctor relationships and communication in the Arabian Gulf countries.DesignA systematic review of English language publications was performed using PRISMA chart guidelines between 1990 and 2023.MethodsElectronic database search (Ovid MEDLINE, Global Health, HMIC, EMRIM, and PsycINFO) and reference searching restricted to the six Arabian Gulf countries only. MeSH terms and keywords related to electronic health records, doctor-patient communication, and relationship were used. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS) quality assessment was performed.Results18 studies fulfilled the criteria to be included in the systematic review. They were published between 1992 and 2023. Overall, a positive impact of EHR uptake was reported within the Gulf countries studied. This included improvement in the quality and performance of physicians, as well as improved accuracy in monitoring patient health. On the other hand, a notable negative impact was a general perception of physician attention shifted away from the patients themselves and towards data entry tasks (e.g., details of the patients and their education at the time of the consultation).ConclusionThe implementation of EHR systems is beneficial for effective care delivery by doctors in Gulf countries despite some patients' perception of decreased attention. The use of EHR assists doctors with recording patient details, including medication and treatment procedures, as well as their outcomes. Based on this study, the authors conclude that widespread EHR implementation is highly recommended, yet specific training should be provided, and the subsequent effect on adoption rates by all users must be evaluated (particularly physicians). The COVID-19 Pandemic showed the great value of EHR in accessing information and consulting patients remotely.