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Despite uncertain benefits, antidepressants are used in the management of personality disorders (PDs). We investigated the association between antidepressants and two adverse outcomes - suicidal behaviour and violent crimes - in individuals with PDs. We used nationwide Danish healthcare registries to identify all individuals with a diagnosed PD aged 18-64 years from 2007 to 2016. Antidepressant use was identified using dispensed prescriptions. Individuals were followed up for healthcare presentations of suicidal behaviour and separately for police-recorded charges of violent crimes. We applied a within-individual design comparing rates of suicidal behaviour and violent crimes during time periods of antidepressant treatment with periods without treatment. Subgroup analyses were performed according to PD clusters, individual antidepressants, specific PDs, psychiatric comorbidities, and history of suicidal behaviour and violent crime. The cohort included 167,319 individuals with a diagnosed PD, 19,519 (12%) of whom were prescribed antidepressants and presented at least one outcome event during follow-up, making them eligible for within-individual analyses. Overall, we found an association with lower rates of suicidal behavior during periods of antidepressant treatment, compared with periods when individuals were not on antidepressants (incidence rate ratio 0.86, 95% CI 0.84-0.89). However, this association was modified by specific PDs, individual antidepressants, comorbidities, and past history. For violent crimes, we did not observe consistent associations in any direction. Antidepressants were associated with lower rates of suicidal behaviour, but less clearly in violent crimes. Types of PDs, individual antidepressants, and comorbidities modified these associations.

Background When conducting randomised controlled trials is impractical, an alternative is to carry out an observational study. However, making valid causal inferences from observational data is challenging because of the risk of several statistical biases. In 2016 Hernán and Robins put forward the ‘target trial framework’ as a guide to best design and analyse observational studies whilst preventing the most common biases. This framework consists of (1) clearly defining a causal question about an intervention, (2) specifying the protocol of the hypothetical trial, and (3) explaining how the observational data will be used to emulate it. Methods The aim of this scoping review was to identify and review all explicit attempts of trial emulation studies across all medical fields. Embase, Medline and Web of Science were searched for trial emulation studies published in English from database inception to February 25, 2021. The following information was extracted from studies that were deemed eligible for review: the subject area, the type of observational data that they leveraged, and the statistical methods they used to address the following biases: (A) confounding bias, (B) immortal time bias, and (C) selection bias. Results The search resulted in 617 studies, 38 of which we deemed eligible for review. Of those 38 studies, most focused on cardiology, infectious diseases or oncology and the majority used electronic health records/electronic medical records data and cohort studies data. Different statistical methods were used to address confounding at baseline and selection bias, predominantly conditioning on the confounders ( N  = 18/49, 37%) and inverse probability of censoring weighting ( N  = 7/20, 35%) respectively. Different approaches were used to address immortal time bias, assigning individuals to treatment strategies at start of follow-up based on their data available at that specific time ( N  = 21, 55%), using the sequential trial emulations approach ( N  = 11, 29%) or the cloning approach ( N  = 6, 16%). Conclusion Different methods can be leveraged to address (A) confounding bias, (B) immortal time bias, and (C) selection bias. When working with observational data, and if possible, the ‘target trial’ framework should be used as it provides a structured conceptual approach to observational research.

Failure to thrive (FTT) is an inadequate growth in young children. It can increase the risk of overweight or obesity later in life. Patients with renal tubulopathies can present FTT due to solute losses in the urine. We aimed to test our hypothesis that children with tubulopathies have an increased risk of overweight and obesity due to rebound following FTT that could complicate these conditions. We enrolled 26 patients with tubulopathies and evaluated for the first time within the first 12 months of life (mean age: 4.8 months ± 2.6 SDS). FTT was evident in 17 out of 26 patients (65.4%). The mean age at the last follow-up was 14.1 years ± 5.5 SDS. The mean age at overweight/obesity onset was 9.0 years ± 3.6 SDS. The prevalence of overweight/obesity was 73.1% (19/26). Among the patients with FTT, 15 (88.2%) developed overweight/obesity compared to 4 out of the 9 patients (44.4%) without FFT ( p  = 0.028). The presence of FTT determined an OR for obesity/overweight of 9.4 (95% CI: 1.3–67.6; p  = 0.026). FTT continued to be significantly associated with obesity/overweight also after adjustment for preterm birth and birth weight <10th percentile (OR = 23.3; 95% CI: 1.95–279.4; p  = 0.01). In conclusion, in our series, patients with tubulopathies presented an increased risk of overweight/obesity due to the FTT that can complicate these conditions.

Observations in people with cerebral cavernous malformations, and in preclinical models of this disorder, suggest that the β-blocker propranolol might reduce the risk of intracerebral haemorrhage. We aimed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of prolonged treatment with propranolol to reduce the incidence of symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage or focal neurological deficit in people with familial cerebral cavernous malformations. We conducted a randomised, open-label, blinded-endpoint, phase 2 pilot trial (Treat_CCM) at six national reference centres for rare diseases in Italy. People aged 18 years or older with symptomatic familial cerebral cavernous malformation were eligible for enrolment. Participants were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive either oral propranolol (20–320 mg daily) plus standard care (intervention group), or standard care alone (control group), for 24 months. Participants, caregivers, and investigators were aware of treatment group assignment. Participants had clinical assessments and 3 T brain MRI at baseline and at 12 and 24 months. The primary outcome was new occurrence of symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage or focal neurological deficit attributable to cerebral cavernous malformation over 24 months. Outcome assessors were masked to treatment group assignment. The primary analysis was done in the intention-to-treat population. Because of the pilot study design, we chose a one-sided 80% CI, which could either exclude a clinically meaningful effect or show a signal of efficacy. This trial is registered with EudraCT, 2017-003595-30, and ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03589014, and is closed to recruitment. Between April 11, 2018, and Dec 5, 2019, 95 people were assessed for eligibility and 83 were enrolled, of whom 57 were assigned to the propranolol plus standard care group and 26 to the standard care alone group. The mean age of participants was 46 years (SD 15); 48 (58%) were female and 35 (42%) were male. The incidence of symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage or focal neurological deficit was 1·7 (95% CI 1·4–2·0) cases per 100 person-years (two [4%] of 57 participants) in the propranolol plus standard care group and 3·9 (3·1–4·7) per 100 person-years (two [8%] of 26) in the standard care alone group (univariable hazard ratio [HR] 0·43, 80% CI 0·18–0·98). The univariable HR showed a signal of efficacy, according to predefined criteria. The incidence of hospitalisation did not differ between groups (8·2 cases [95% CI 7·5–8·9] per 100 person-years in the propranolol plus standard care group vs 8·2 [95% CI 7·1–9·3] per 100 person-years in the standard care alone group). One participant in the standard care alone group died of sepsis. Three participants in the propranolol plus standard care group discontinued propranolol due to side-effects (two reported hypotension and one reported weakness). Propranolol was safe and well tolerated in this population. Propranolol might be beneficial for reducing the incidence of clinical events in people with symptomatic familial cerebral cavernous malformations, although this trial was not designed to be adequately powered to investigate efficacy. A definitive phase 3 trial of propranolol in people with symptomatic familial cerebral cavernous malformations is justified. Italian Medicines Agency, Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro, Swedish Science Council, Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, CARIPLO Foundation, Italian Ministry of Health.

Objectives To test whether quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) of cerebral cavernous malformations (CCMs) assessed at baseline may predict the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs at 1-year follow-up. Methods Familial CCM patients were enrolled in the longitudinal multicentre study Treat-CCM. The 3-T MRI scan allowed performing a semi-automatic segmentation of CCMs and computing the maximum susceptibility in each segmented CCM (QSMmax) at baseline. CCMs were classified as haemorrhagic and non-haemorrhagic at baseline and then subclassified according to the 1-year (t1) evolution. Between-group differences were tested, and the diagnostic accuracy of QSMmax in predicting the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs in CCMs was calculated with ROC analyses. Results Thirty-three patients were included in the analysis, and a total of 1126 CCMs were segmented. QSMmax was higher in haemorrhagic CCMs than in non-haemorrhagic CCMs ( p < 0.001). In haemorrhagic CCMs at baseline, the accuracy of QSMmax in differentiating CCMs that were still haemorrhagic from CCMs that recovered from haemorrhage at t1 calculated as area under the curve (AUC) was 0.78 with sensitivity 62.69%, specificity 82.35%, positive predictive value (PPV) 93.3% and negative predictive value (NPV) 35.9% (QSMmax cut-off ≥ 1462.95 ppb). In non-haemorrhagic CCMs at baseline, AUC was 0.91 in differentiating CCMs that bled at t1 from stable CCMs with sensitivity 100%, specificity 81.9%, PPV 5.1%, and NPV 100% (QSMmax cut-off ≥ 776.29 ppb). Conclusions The QSMmax in CCMs at baseline showed high accuracy in predicting the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs at 1-year follow-up. Further effort is required to test the role of QSM in follow-up assessment and therapeutic trials in multicentre CCM studies. Key Points • QSM in semi-automatically segmented CCM was feasible. • The maximum magnetic susceptibility in a single CCM at baseline may predict the presence or absence of haemorrhagic signs at 1-year follow-up. • Multicentric studies are needed to enforce the role of QSM in predicting the CCMs’ haemorrhagic evolution in patients affected by familial and sporadic forms.

Cerebral cavernous malformations (CCM) consist of clusters of irregular dilated capillaries and represent the second most common type of vascular malformation affecting the central nervous system. CCM might be asymptomatic or cause cerebral hemorrhage, seizures, recurrent headaches and focal neurologic deficits. Causative mutations underlining CCM have been reported in three genes: KRIT1/CCM1, MGC4607/CCM2 and PDCD10/CCM3. Therapeutic avenues are limited to surgery. Here we present clinical, neuroradiological and molecular findings in a cohort of familial and sporadic CCM patients. Thirty subjects underwent full clinical and radiological assessment. Molecular analysis was performed by direct sequencing and MLPA analysis. Twenty-eight of 30 subjects (93%) experienced one or more typical CCM disturbances with cerebral/spinal hemorrhage being the most common (43%) presenting symptom. A molecular diagnosis was achieved in 87% of cases, with three novel mutations identified. KRIT1/CCM1 patients displayed higher risk of de novo CCMs appearance and bleedings. Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) showed that infratentorial region was more frequently affected in mutated subjects while brainstem was often spared in patients with negative genetic testing.