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90 result(s) for "Shepherd, Simon G"
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Review of the accomplishments of mid-latitude Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN) HF radars
The Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN) is a network of high-frequency (HF) radars located in the high- and mid-latitude regions of both hemispheres that is operated under international cooperation. The network was originally designed for monitoring the dynamics of the ionosphere and upper atmosphere in the high-latitude regions. However, over the last approximately 15 years, SuperDARN has expanded into the mid-latitude regions. With radar coverage that now extends continuously from auroral to sub-auroral and mid-latitudes, a wide variety of new scientific findings have been obtained. In this paper, the background of mid-latitude SuperDARN is presented at first. Then, the accomplishments made with mid-latitude SuperDARN radars are reviewed in five specified scientific and technical areas: convection, ionospheric irregularities, HF propagation analysis, ion-neutral interactions, and magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) waves. Finally, the present status of mid-latitude SuperDARN is updated and directions for future research are discussed.
Simultaneous Observation of Duskside and Dawnside Subauroral Polarization Streams During an Intense Magnetic Storm
The duskside and dawnside subauroral polarization streams (SAPS) refer to high‐velocity westward and eastward plasma flows located equatorward of the auroral oval. While extensive research has focused on the duskside SAPS, the simultaneous evolution of both dawnside and duskside SAPS remains unreported. In this study, for the first time, we investigated the simultaneous evolution of duskside and dawnside SAPS using multiple Super Dual Auroral Radar Network radars during an intense storm. Observations indicate that the duskside SAPS exhibits a wider magnetic local time extension (∼7 MLT) and longer duration (∼1 hr) than the dawnside SAPS. Furthermore, the duskside SAPS resides within low‐density mid‐latitude troughs, whereas the dawnside SAPS is not located within the trough. The dawnside SAPS exhibits significantly higher electron density but comparable velocity to the duskside SAPS. These findings highlight the distinct evolution of dawnside and duskside SAPS, providing new insights into the electrodynamic processes of subauroral ionosphere and magnetosphere coupling.
Correction to: Review of the accomplishments of mid-latitude Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN) HF radars
After publication of this article (Nishitani et al. 2019), it was brought to our attention that the figure 5 is incorrect, where the positions of DCE and SPS were misplaced. The correct figure 5 is as below, the original publication has been corrected.
Effects of Abrupt Variations of Solar Wind Dynamic Pressure on the High-Latitude Ionosphere
We show the results of a statistical study on the effects in the high-latitude ionosphere of abrupt variations of solar wind dynamic pressure, using Super Dual Auroral Radar Network (SuperDARN) data in both hemispheres. We find that, during periods of quiet ionospheric conditions, the amount of radar backscatter increases when a variation in the dynamic pressure occurs, both positive (increase of the pressure) and negative (decrease of the pressure). We also investigate the behaviour of the Cross-Polar Cap Potential (CPCP) during pressure variations and show preliminary results.
Attenuation of decameter sky noise during x-ray solar flares in 2013-2017 based on the observations at midlatitude radars
Based on a joint analysis of the data from 10 midlatitude decameter radars the effects are investigated during 80 x-ray flares in the period 2013-2017. For the investigation nine mid-latitude SuperDARN radars of the northern hemisphere and Ekaterinburg coherent decameter radar of ISTP SB RAS are used. All the radars work in the same 8-20MHz frequency band and have similar hardware and software. During the analysis the temporal dynamics of noise from each of the radar direction and for each flare is investigated separately. As a result, on the basis of about 13000 daily measurements we found a strong anticorrelation between noise power and x-ray flare intensity, that allows to use short-wave sky noise to diagnose the ionospheric effects of x-ray solar flares. It is shown that in 88.3\\% of cases an attenuation of daytime decameter radio noise is observed during solar flare, correlating with the temporal dynamics of the solar flare. The intensity of decameter noise anticorrelates well (the Pearson correlation coefficient better than -0.5) with the shape of the X-ray flare in the daytime (for solar elevation angle \\(>0\\)) in 33\\% of cases, the average Pearson correlation over the daytime is about -0.34. Median regression coefficient between GOES 0.1-0.8nm x-ray intensity and daytime sky-noise attenuation is about \\(-4.410^4\\ [dB m^2/Wt]\\). Thus, it has been shown that measurements of the decameter sky noise level at midlatitude decameter radars can be used to study the ionospheric absorption of high-frequency waves in the lower ionosphere during x-ray solar flares. This can be explained by the assumption that the most part of decameter sky noise detected by the radars can be interpreted as produced by ground sources at distances of the first propagation hop ( 3000 km).
Storylines: an alternative approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change
As climate change research becomes increasingly applied, the need for actionable information is growing rapidly. A key aspect of this requirement is the representation of uncertainties. The conventional approach to representing uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change is probabilistic, based on ensembles of climate model simulations. In the face of deep uncertainties, the known limitations of this approach are becoming increasingly apparent. An alternative is thus emerging which may be called a ‘storyline’ approach. We define a storyline as a physically self-consistent unfolding of past events, or of plausible future events or pathways. No a priori probability of the storyline is assessed; emphasis is placed instead on understanding the driving factors involved, and the plausibility of those factors. We introduce a typology of four reasons for using storylines to represent uncertainty in physical aspects of climate change: (i) improving risk awareness by framing risk in an event-oriented rather than a probabilistic manner, which corresponds more directly to how people perceive and respond to risk; (ii) strengthening decision-making by allowing one to work backward from a particular vulnerability or decision point, combining climate change information with other relevant factors to address compound risk and develop appropriate stress tests; (iii) providing a physical basis for partitioning uncertainty, thereby allowing the use of more credible regional models in a conditioned manner and (iv) exploring the boundaries of plausibility, thereby guarding against false precision and surprise. Storylines also offer a powerful way of linking physical with human aspects of climate change.
Structures of virus-like capsids formed by the Drosophila neuronal Arc proteins
Arc, a neuronal gene that is critical for synaptic plasticity, originated through the domestication of retrotransposon Gag genes and mediates intercellular messenger RNA transfer. We report high-resolution structures of retrovirus-like capsids formed by Drosophila dArc1 and dArc2 that have surface spikes and putative internal RNA-binding domains. These data demonstrate that virus-like capsid-forming properties of Arc are evolutionarily conserved and provide a structural basis for understanding their function in intercellular communication.Arc, a master regulator of synaptic plasticity, can mediate intercellular RNA transfer. Arc evolved from retrotransposon genes. Erlendsson et al. present structures of retroviral-like Arc capsids as a basis to understand their function.
The future sea-level contribution of the Greenland ice sheet: a multi-model ensemble study of ISMIP6
The Greenland ice sheet is one of the largest contributors to global mean sea-level rise today and is expected to continue to lose mass as the Arctic continues to warm. The two predominant mass loss mechanisms are increased surface meltwater run-off and mass loss associated with the retreat of marine-terminating outlet glaciers. In this paper we use a large ensemble of Greenland ice sheet models forced by output from a representative subset of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) global climate models to project ice sheet changes and sea-level rise contributions over the 21st century. The simulations are part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). We estimate the sea-level contribution together with uncertainties due to future climate forcing, ice sheet model formulations and ocean forcing for the two greenhouse gas concentration scenarios RCP8.5 and RCP2.6. The results indicate that the Greenland ice sheet will continue to lose mass in both scenarios until 2100, with contributions of 90±50 and 32±17 mm to sea-level rise for RCP8.5 and RCP2.6, respectively. The largest mass loss is expected from the south-west of Greenland, which is governed by surface mass balance changes, continuing what is already observed today. Because the contributions are calculated against an unforced control experiment, these numbers do not include any committed mass loss, i.e. mass loss that would occur over the coming century if the climate forcing remained constant. Under RCP8.5 forcing, ice sheet model uncertainty explains an ensemble spread of 40 mm, while climate model uncertainty and ocean forcing uncertainty account for a spread of 36 and 19 mm, respectively. Apart from those formally derived uncertainty ranges, the largest gap in our knowledge is about the physical understanding and implementation of the calving process, i.e. the interaction of the ice sheet with the ocean.
End of season influenza vaccine effectiveness in primary care in adults and children in the United Kingdom in 2018/19
2018/19 was the first season of introduction of a newly licensed adjuvanted influenza vaccine (aTIV) for adults aged 65 years and over and the sixth season in the roll-out of a childhood influenza vaccination programme with a quadrivalent live attenuated influenza vaccine (LAIV). The season saw mainly A(H1N1)pdm09 and latterly A(H3N2) circulation. End-of-season adjusted vaccine effectiveness (aVE) estimates against laboratory confirmed influenza infection in primary care were calculated using the test negative case control method adjusting for key confounders. End-of-season aVE was 44.3% (95% CI: 26.8, 57.7) against all laboratory-confirmed influenza; 45.7% (95% CI: 26.0, 60.1) against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and 35.1% (95% CI: −3.7,59.3) against A(H3N2). Overall aVE was 49.9% (95%CI: −13.7, 77.9) for all those ≥ 65 years of age and 62.0% (95% CI: 3.4, 85.0) for those who received aTIV. Overall aVE for 2–17 year olds receiving LAIV was 48.6% (95% CI: −4.4, 74.7). The paper provides evidence of overall significant influenza VE in 2018/19, most notably against influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, however, as seen in 2017/18, there was reduced, non-significant VE against A(H3N2). aTIV provided significant protection for those 65 years of age and over.