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In breast cancer, gene signatures that predict the risk of metastasis after surgical tumor resection are mainly indicative of early events. The purpose of this study was to identify genes linked to metastatic recurrence more than three years after surgery. Affymetrix HG U133A and Plus 2.0 array datasets with information on metastasis-free, disease-free or overall survival were accessed via public repositories. Time restricted Cox regression models were used to identify genes associated with metastasis during or after the first three years post-surgery (early- and late-type genes). A sequential validation study design, with two non-adjuvantly treated discovery cohorts (n = 409) and one validation cohort (n = 169) was applied and identified genes were further evaluated in tamoxifen-treated breast cancer patients (n = 923), as well as in patients with non-small cell lung (n = 1779), colon (n = 893) and ovarian (n = 922) cancer. Ten late- and 243 early-type genes were identified in adjuvantly untreated breast cancer. Adjustment to clinicopathological factors and an established proliferation-related signature markedly reduced the number of early-type genes to 16, whereas nine late-type genes still remained significant. These nine genes were associated with metastasis-free survival (MFS) also in a non-time restricted model, but not in the early period alone, stressing that their prognostic impact was primarily based on MFS more than three years after surgery. Four of the ten late-type genes, the ribosome-related factors EIF4B, RPL5, RPL3, and the tumor angiogenesis modifier EPN3 were significantly associated with MFS in the late period also in a meta-analysis of tamoxifen-treated breast cancer cohorts. In contrast, only one late-type gene (EPN3) showed consistent survival associations in more than one cohort in the other cancer types, being associated with worse outcome in two non-small cell lung cancer cohorts. No late-type gene was validated in ovarian and colon cancer. Ribosome-related genes were associated with decreased risk of late metastasis in both adjuvantly untreated and tamoxifen-treated breast cancer patients. In contrast, high expression of epsin (EPN3) was associated with increased risk of late metastasis. This is of clinical relevance considering the well-understood role of epsins in tumor angiogenesis and the ongoing development of epsin antagonizing therapies.

The importance of inflammation is increasingly noticed in cancer. The aim of this study was to analyze the prognostic influence of pre-operative serum C-reactive protein (CRP) in a cohort of 148 lymph node-negative breast cancer patients. The prognostic significance of CRP level for disease-free survival (DFS), metastasis-free survival (MFS) and overall survival (OS) was evaluated using univariate and multivariate Cox regression, also including information on age at diagnosis, tumor size, tumor grade, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) status, proliferation index (Ki67) and molecular subtype, as well as an assessment of the presence of necrosis and inflammation in the tumor tissue. Univariate analysis showed that CRP, as a continuous variable, was significantly associated with DFS (P = 0.002, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.04, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.02-1.07) and OS (P = 0.036, HR= 1.03, 95% CI = 1.00-1.06), whereas a trend was observed for MFS (P = 0.111). In the multivariate analysis, CRP retained its significance for DFS (P = 0.033, HR= 1.01, 95% CI = 1.00-1.07) as well as OS (P = 0.023, HR= 1.03, 95% CI = 1.00-1.06), independent of established prognostic factors. Furthermore, large-scale gene expression analysis by Affymetrix HG-U133A arrays was performed for 72 (48.6%) patients. The correlations between serum CRP and gene expression levels in the corresponding carcinoma of the breast were assessed using Spearman's rank correlation, controlled for false-discovery rate. No significant correlation was observed between CRP level and gene expression indicative of an ongoing local inflammatory process. In summary, pre-operatively elevated CRP levels at the time of diagnosis were associated with shorter DFS and OS independent of established prognostic factors in node-negative breast cancer, supporting a possible link between inflammation and prognosis in breast cancer.

Background Inhibitors targeting the cell cycle-regulated aurora kinase A (AURKA) are currently being developed. Here, we examine the prognostic impact of AURKA in node-negative breast cancer patients without adjuvant systemic therapy (n = 766). Methods AURKA was analyzed using microarray-based gene-expression data from three independent cohorts of node-negative breast cancer patients. In multivariate Cox analyses, the prognostic impact of age, histological grade, tumor size, estrogen receptor (ER), and HER2 were considered. Results Patients with higher AURKA expression had a shorter metastasis-free survival (MFS) in the Mainz (HR 1.93; 95% CI 1.34 – 2.78; P < 0.001), Rotterdam (HR 1.95; 95% CI 1.45– 2.63; P<0.001) and Transbig (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.14–2.04; P=0.005) cohorts. AURKA was also associated with MFS in the molecular subtype ER+/HER2- carcinomas (HR 2.10; 95% CI 1.70–2.59; P<0.001), but not in ER-/HER2- nor in HER2+ carcinomas. In the multivariate Cox regression adjusted to age, grade and tumor size, AURKA showed independent prognostic significance in the ER+/HER2- subtype (HR 1.73; 95% CI 1.24–2.42; P=0.001). Prognosis of patients in the highest quartile of AURKA expression was particularly poor. In addition, AURKA correlated with the proliferation metagene (R=0.880; P<0.001), showed a positive association with grade (P<0.001), tumor size (P<0.001) and HER2 (P<0.001), and was inversely associated with ER status (P<0.001). Conclusions AURKA is associated with worse prognosis in estrogen receptor positive breast carcinomas. Patients with the highest AURKA expression (>75% percentile) have a particularly bad prognosis and may profit from therapy with AURKA inhibitors.

Background Cyclooxygenases (COX) play a key role in prostaglandin metabolism and are important for tumor development and progression. The aim of this study was to analyze the prognostic impact of COX-2 expression in a cohort of lymph node-negative breast cancer patients not treated in the adjuvant setting. Methods COX-2 expression was determined by immunohistochemistry (IHC) in tumor tissue of 193 node-negative breast cancer patients. Additionally, mRNA expression was determined in corresponding tumor samples using microarray based gene-expression data. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses adjusted for age at diagnosis, tumor size, histological grade, human epithelial growth factor receptor 2 (HER2), estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PR) were performed to evaluate the association of both COX-2 protein and mRNA expression with survival. Survival rates were determined by the Kaplan-Meier method. Correlations between COX-2 expression and established prognostic factors were analyzed using the Chi-square test. A potential correlation between COX-2 protein expression and COX-2 mRNA expression was assessed utilizing the Kruscal-Wallis-H-test. Results COX-2 protein expression was positive in 24.9% of the breast cancer samples. Univariate analysis showed that COX-2 protein expression was associated with shorter disease-free survival (DFS) (P = 0.0001), metastasis-free survival (MFS) (P = 0.002) as well as breast cancer specific overall survival (OS) (P = 0.043). In multivariate analysis COX-2 expression retained its significance independent of established prognostic factors for shorter DFS (P < 0.001, HR = 2.767, 95% CI = 1.563-4.901) and for inferior MFS (P = 0.002, HR = 2.7, 95% CI = 1.469-5.263) but not for OS (P = 0.096, HR = 1.929, 95% CI = 0.889-4.187). In contrast, COX-2 mRNA expression was not related to survival and failed to show a correlation with protein expression (P = 0.410). Conclusions The present findings support the hypothesis that COX-2 protein but not mRNA expression is associated with an unfavorable outcome in node-negative breast cancer.

Biomarkers of the immune system are currently not used as prognostic factors in breast cancer. We analyzed the association of the B cell/plasma cell marker immunoglobulin kappa C (IGKC) and survival of untreated node-negative breast cancer patients. IGKC expression was evaluated by immunostaining in a cohort of 335 node-negative breast cancer patients with a median follow-up of 152 months. The prognostic significance of IGKC for disease-free survival (DFS) and breast cancer-specific overall survival (OS) was evaluated with Kaplan-Meier survival analysis as well as univariate and multivariate Cox analysis adjusted for age at diagnosis, pT stage, histological grade, estrogen receptor (ER) status, progesterone receptor (PR) status, Ki-67 and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER-2) status. 160 patients (47.7%) showed strong expression of IGKC. Univariate analysis showed that IGKC was significantly associated with DFS (P = 0.017, hazard ratio [HR] = 0.570, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.360-0.903) and OS (P = 0.011, HR = 0.438, 95% CI = 0.233-0.822) in the entire cohort. The significance of IGKC was especially strong in ER negative and in luminal B carcinomas. In multivariate analysis IGKC retained its significance independent of established clinical factors for DFS (P = 0.004, HR = 0.504, 95% CI = 0.315-0.804) as well as for OS (P = 0.002, HR = 0.371, 95% CI = 0.196-0.705). Expression of IGKC has an independent protective impact on DFS and OS in node-negative breast cancer.

Purpose The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic influence of epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EpCAM) in an unselected cohort of ovarian cancer (OC) patients. Methods Expression of EpCAM was determined by immunohistochemistry in an unselected cohort of 117 patients with OC. Univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses adjusted for age, tumor stage, histological grading, histological subtype, postoperative tumor burden and completeness of chemotherapy were performed in order to determine the prognostic influence of EpCAM. The Kaplan–Meier method is used to estimate survival rates. Results Univariable Cox regression analysis showed that overexpression of EpCAM is associated with favorable prognosis in terms of progression-free survival (PFS) ( p  = 0.011) and disease-specific survival (DSS) ( p  = 0.003). In multivariable Cox regression analysis, overexpression of EpCAM retains its significance independent of established prognostic factors for longer PFS [hazard ratios (HR) 0.408, 95 % confidence interval (CI) 0.197–0.846, p  = 0.003] but not for PFS (HR 0.666, 95 % CI 0.366–1.212, p  = 0.183). Kaplan–Meier plots demonstrate an influence on 5-year PFS rates (0 vs. 27.6 %, p  = 0.048) and DSS rates (11.8 vs. 54.0 %, p  = 0.018). Conclusions These findings support the hypothesis that the expression of EpCAM is associated with favorable prognosis in OC.

The identification of prognostic markers has clinical implications in epithelial ovarian carcinoma (EOC). Here, we studied markers for proliferation (Ki-67), endocrine regulation [progesterone receptor (PR), estrogen receptor (ER)], and invasion [urokinase-type plasminogen activator (uPA) and plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI-1)]. All patients with available follow-up information and EOC tissue, who were treated at our institution between 1997 and 2004, were enrolled in the present study. Expression of Ki-67, PR and ER was determined by immunohistochemical analyses. uPA and PAI-1 antigen levels were determined using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. One hundred and eight patients entered the present study. The median follow-up time was 43.3 (range 11.4-68.0) months. In multivariable Cox regression analyses, Ki-67 expression showed an independent negative impact on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) [hazard ratio (HR) for DFS, 11.5; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.64-49.7; p=0.001 and HR for OS, 21.2; 95% CI, 9.9-113.1; p<0.001]. After cut-off optimization, PR expression showed an independent positive impact on prognosis (HR for DFS, 0.15; 95% CI, 0.03-0.68; p=0.014 and HR for OS, 0.13; 95% CI, 0.03-0.68; p=0.016). Furthermore, postoperative residual tumor burden and completeness of chemotherapy determined the prognosis. ER, uPA and PAI-1 were not associated with survival. PR and ER, and postoperative residual tumor burden and tumor stage showed a strong correlation in an explorative Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (rho=0.759 and rho=0.426, respectively). Ki-67 and cut-off optimized PR are independently associated with the prognosis of EOC. Further prospective studies are warranted to confirm these associations and to elucidate the underlying mechanisms.

Purpose In 2013, 2009 and 2006, the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Gynäkologische Onkologie evaluated the therapeutic approaches for endometrial carcinoma and the adherence to their guideline in Germany. Here, the adjuvant treatment decisions were presented. Methods A questionnaire was developed and sent to all 682 German gynecological departments in 2013 (775 in 2009 and 500 in 2006, respectively). The results of the questionnaires were compared with the recommendations of the guideline and with each other using Fisher’s exact test. Results Responses were available in 40.0 % in 2013, 33.3 % in 2009 and 35.8 % in 2006. Participants recommended external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) in 13 out of 16 requested stages and vaginal brachytherapy (VBT) in only 10 out of 16 requested stages as suggested by the guideline. Comparing the results of 2013 with 2009, less participants used EBRT and VBT in 7 out of 16 and in 6 out of 16 requested stages, respectively. Conversely, more participants offered adjuvant chemotherapy (CT) in 2013 (90.4 %) compared to 61.9 % in 2009 ( p  < 0.001) and 48.8 % in 2006 ( p  < 0.001), respectively. However, the stage-adjusted recommendations of CT were not in line with the guideline in 11 out of 15 requested stages. In total, 77.3 % of the participants use a multiple drug schedule with a platinum and a taxane compound. Conclusions The results suggest non-adherence to the guideline concerning the stage-adjusted use of VBT and CT in endometrial carcinoma. These findings emphasize great uncertainties and the need of more clarifying trials. Furthermore, a shift from radiotherapy toward CT is observable.

Purpose In 2013, 2009, and 2006, the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Gynäkologische Onkologie evaluated the therapeutic approaches and the adherence to their guidelines for endometrial carcinoma (EC) in Germany. Here, we present the results concerning the surgical procedures. Methods A questionnaire was developed and sent to 682 German gynecological departments in 2013 (775 in 2009 and 500 in 2006). The results were compared with the recommendations of the guideline and with each other. Results Responses were available in 40.0 % in 2013, 33.3 % in 2009, and 35.8 % in 2006, respectively. Pelvic lymphadenectomy (LAN) was performed in accordance with the guidelines with some exceptions in 2013, 2009, and 2006, whereas paraaortic LAN was performed in accordance with the guideline only in 2009. Histological high-risk subtypes of EC received pelvic and paraaortic LAN in 2013, 2009, and 2006 in accordance with the guidelines with small exceptions. LAN for Patients, who were postoperatively upstaged or upgraded, was not conducted in accordance with the guidelines in 2013, 2009, and 2006. In 2013, 84.6 % of the participants offered the laparoscopic approach (LSA) for hysterectomy and bilateral salpingo-oophorectomy, 63.3 % for pelvic LAN, and 49.1 % for paraaortic LAN, respectively. More participants offered the LSA in 2013 compared to 2009 and 2006 ( p values <0.014). Conclusions The paraaortic LAN was the second operation on patients, who are postoperatively upstaged, and the LSA was not conducted in accordance with the guideline. Improvements concerning surgical treatment are possible and might lead to higher survival rates and a reduction of morbidity in patients with EC in Germany.

OBJECTIVEIn 2009 and 2006, the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Gynäkologische Onkologie evaluated therapeutic approaches for endometrial carcinoma (EC) in Germany. METHODS AND MATERIALSA questionnaire was developed and sent to 775 German gynecologic departments in 2009 (500 in 2006). The results of the questionnaires were compared with each other and with the recommendations of the Arbeitsgemeinschaft Gynäkologische Onkologie’s guideline. Subgroup analyses were performed, dividing the participating centers into small and large centers and into centers with less and more experience with EC. RESULTSResponses were available in 33.3% in 2009 and 35.8% in 2006. Comparing 2009 with 2006, it became apparent that peritoneal washing cytology was performed in 94.6% versus 86.9% (P = 0.008), pelvic lymphadenectomy (LAN) in 98.3% versus 95.3%, and paraaortic LAN in 90.2% versus 73.8% (P < 0.001) for endometrioid EC, and LAN for histologic high-risk subtypes of EC in 99.6% versus 94.2% (P = 0.001), respectively. In 2009, all these criteria met the recommendation of the guidelines. Reoperation for LAN after postoperative upstaging was performed in 66.1% versus 50.6% (P = 0.002), and adjuvant systemic treatment with chemotherapy and endocrine therapy was performed in 63.7% versus 48.8% (P = 0.003) and 25.7% versus 15.4% (P = 0.014), respectively. This showed nonadherence to the guidelines. Laparoscopic approach was performed in 30.4% versus 19.7% (P = 0.014) of the participating centers, respectively. In subgroup analysis, laparoscopic approach showed a significant difference between small centers (11.5%) and large centers (27.3%) in 2006 (P = 0.012). CONCLUSIONSGerman hospitals increasingly follow the guidelines concerning LAN and peritoneal washing cytology. However, recommendations concerning reoperating in upstaged patients and adjuvant treatment decisions do not meet the guidelines, thus underlining great uncertainties in this field of gynecologic oncology.