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•48.3% children are fully vaccinated in the super-high-risk union councils districts of Pakistan.•Vaccination coverage varies considerably across the super-high-risk union council districts.•Dropout rate between vaccine visits is as higher as 60.5% and as low as 4.9% in the districts.•Full immunization is associated with parental education level. The current polio epidemiology in Pakistan poses a unique challenge for global eradication as the country is affected by ongoing endemic poliovirus transmission. Across the country, 40 union councils (UCs) which serve as core reservoirs for poliovirus with continuous incidences of polio cases are categorized as super-high-risk union councils (SHRUCs). A cross-sectional survey was conducted in 39 SHRUCs using a two-stage stratified cluster sampling technique. 6,976 children aged 12–23 months were covered. A structured questionnaire was used for data collection. Data were analyzed using STATA version 17. Based on both vaccination records and recall, 48.3% of children were fully-, 35.4 % were partially-, and 16.3% were non-vaccinated in the SHRUC districts. A child is considered fully vaccinated when h/she completed vaccination for BCG, OPV0, OPV 1-3, Penta 1-3, PCV 1-3, IPV, and MCV1. Vaccination cards were seen for over half of the children in the SHRUC districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) and the majority of the SHRUC districts in Sindh, except for the SHRUC district of Malir the districts of Balochistan. Results for polio vacancies show that 60.9% of children from the SHRUC districts were vaccinated with at least three doses of OPV and one dose of IPV, while 20.4% were vaccinated with any OPV doses or IPV and 18.7% of children did not receive any polio vaccines. The dropout rate between vaccine visits was higher than the WHO-recommended cutoff point of 10% for all vaccine doses in the SHRUC districts. The likelihood of being fully vaccinated was higher among the children of educated parents. Full vaccination was found significant among the children of any SHRUC districts compared to district Killa Abdullah. Context-specific strategies with more focus on community engagement and targeted mobilization, along with robust monitoring mechanisms, would help address the underlying challenges of under-immunization in the SHRUCs.

Background: Large urban centers in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) often have persistent pockets of under-immunized children, despite higher overall vaccination coverage than rural areas. Lahore, a megacity in Pakistan, had the lowest rate of fully immunized children in Punjab province as of 2022 (70%), partly due to challenges in its urban slums. In 2023, an innovative intervention was implemented, utilizing Pakistan’s extensive polio eradication workforce to identify and reach children who were missing routine vaccinations. Objective: The objective was to assess changes in routine immunization coverage during a pre–post evaluation period in which polio campaign workers were engaged to support routine immunization among under-immunized urban populations in Lahore. Methods: A special outreach strategy engaged polio vaccination teams to conduct door-to-door visits of children aged 12–23 months, recording each child’s routine immunization status. These data were integrated into the electronic health system and provided to Expanded Programme on Immunization (EPI) staff for targeted follow-up. Two cross-sectional household surveys of caregivers of children aged 12–23 months were conducted: a 2022 baseline survey and a 2023 follow-up survey conducted six months after implementation. Both surveys used two-stage cluster sampling and WHO-standard immunization coverage methods, with vaccination status verified using cards or caregiver recall. Results: A total of 773 children were surveyed at baseline and 780 at endline. Full immunization coverage increased from 69.8% (CI: 64.13–74.98) to 85.1% (CI: 81.01–88.51). Partial immunization declined from 26.9% (CI: 22.37–31.92) to 14.5% (CI: 11.27–18.50), and the proportion of children not vaccinated at all dropped from 3.3% (CI: 1.92–5.60) to 0.3% (CI: 0.11–0.98). Penta-3 coverage improved from 83.2% (CI: 78.65–87.04) to 94.1% (CI: 91.15–96.07), and Measles 1 from 76.9% (CI: 71.80–81.40) % to 92.1% (CI: 88.71–94.56). Immunization card retention increased from 69.9% (CI: 64.15–75.16) to 84% (CI:81.19–86.94). Improvements were observed across all socio-demographic groups, with a higher impact in peri-urban clusters and low socio-economic groups, and all remained statistically significant. Conclusions: Our findings showed improvements in routine immunization coverage in urban Lahore between 2022 and 2023. This period coincided with district-wide implementation of a polio worker outreach strategy as well as the broader post-COVID-19 recovery of immunization services. This study lacked a control group; therefore, the findings indicate a temporal association occurring during the post COVID-19 recovery period, rather than definitive evidence of causal impact. Nonetheless, integrating the workforce of the polio program into routine immunization could be a promising programmatic strategy to close immunization gaps in urban areas.

IntroductionStunting is a global public health challenge, resulting from chronic undernutrition that begins in utero and continues through the first 2 years of life. In Afghanistan, the burden is severe, with nearly 45% of children under five being stunted. Maternal undernutrition, suboptimal breastfeeding, inadequate complementary feeding and other risks are the major contributors towards stunting. Despite ongoing nutrition interventions, evidence on integrated and context-specific approaches in Afghanistan is scarce. This study aims to assess the effectiveness of specialised nutritious food, promotion of local diets through local nutritious seasonal foods, appropriate maternal, infant and young child feeding practices and social and behaviour change communication (SBCC) to prevent stunting among children 6–24 months and to improve nutritional status and dietary diversity among pregnant and breastfeeding women (PBW).Methods and analysisA mixed-method observational study design will be employed, combining a prospective longitudinal cohort study, process evaluation and pre–post cross-sectional surveys. The intervention package will be implemented in two districts through health posts and community-based platforms. Lipid-based nutrient supplements for children aged 6–24 months and wheat–soya blend for PBW will be distributed monthly, along with SBCC sessions. Statistical analysis will use descriptive analysis, time-to-event analysis, generalised linear mixed models and thematic analysis for qualitative process evaluation. Expected outcomes include improved dietary diversity, reduced prevalence of stunting, underweight and wasting and enhanced weight and linear growth. Process evaluation will assess programme implementation fidelity, acceptability and dose–response relationships.

BackgroundThe effects of multiple early adverse psychosocial and biological factors on child development at preschool age in deprived settings are not fully understood.MethodsThe ‘Etiology, Risk Factors and Interactions of Enteric Infections and Malnutrition and the Consequences for Child Health and Development’ (MAL-ED) project followed children from eight countries, recording sociodemographic, nutritional, illness, enteroinfection biomarkers and scores for quality of home environment (Home Observation for Measurement of the Environment (HOME)), development (Bayley) and maternal depression during the first year of life. In the Pakistan cohort, we investigated associations of these early factors with Z-scores (derived from the eight participating countries) of three developmental outcomes at 5 years: Executive Functions (Z-EF), the Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale for Intelligence (Z-WPPSI) and the externalising behaviours component of the Strength and Difficulties test (Z-externalising behaviours).ResultsMost children had 5-year development measurements below other MAL-ED countries (Z-EF<0, 80.3%, Z-WPPSI<0, 69.3%) and 45.6% had Z-externalising behaviours>0. Higher Z-EF was associated with higher HOME (coeff: 0.03 (95% CI 0.005, 0.05), p=0.017) and Bayley scores (0.01 (0.002, 0.01), p=0.010). Higher Z-WPPSI was associated with more household assets (0.02 (0.01, 0.03), p=0.003), but with lower alpha-1 antitrypsin (µmol/L, protein-losing enteropathy) (−0.01 (−0.02, –0.005), p=0.003). Lower externalising behaviour was associated with female sex (−0.30 (−0.53, –0.08), p=0.009), higher soluble-transferrin-receptors (mg/L) (−0.07 (−0.14, –0.01), p=0.024) and initiation of solids/semisolids≥6 months (−0.16 (−0.31, –0.01), p=0.033), but higher externalising behaviour was associated with underweight (0.35 (0.07, 0.62), p=0.014), more diarrhoeal episodes (0.03 (0.004, 0.06), p=0.022) and higher Maternal Depression Score (0.04 (0.01, 0.07), p=0.003) in the first year.ConclusionAdverse environmental, nutrition and infectious factors, and indicators of deprived early development in the first year of life have a negative association with developmental scores at 5 years. Addressing early stressors, improving diet, infections and environment stimulation early in life could positively impact child development in resource-constrained settings.

BackgroundVitamin D deficiency during pregnancy is a public health problem in Pakistan and is prevalent among most women of reproductive age in the country. Vitamin D supplementation during pregnancy is suggested to prevent adverse pregnancy outcomes and vitamin D deficiency in both the mother and her newborn.MethodsWe conducted a double-blinded, randomised controlled trial in Karachi, Pakistan to evaluate the effect of different doses of vitamin D supplementation during pregnancy on biochemical markers (serum 25(OH)D, calcium, phosphorus and alkaline phosphatase) in women and neonates, and on pregnancy and birth outcomes (gestational diabetes, pre-eclampsia, low birth weight, preterm births and stillbirths).ResultsPregnant women (N=350) in their first trimester were recruited and randomised to three treatment groups of vitamin D supplementation: 4000 IU/day (group A, n=120), 2000 IU/day (group B, n=115) or 400 IU/day (group C, n=115). Women and their newborn in group A had the lowest vitamin D deficiency at endline (endline: 75.9%; neonatal: 64.9%), followed by group B (endline: 84.9%; neonatal: 73.7%) and then the control group (endline: 90.2%; neonatal: 91.8%). Vitamin D deficiency was significantly lower in group A than in group C (p=0.006) among women at endline and lower in both groups A and B than in the control group (p=0.001) in neonates. Within groups, serum 25(OH)D was significantly higher between baseline and endline in group A and between maternal baseline and neonatal levels in groups A and B. Participant serum 25(OH)D levels at the end of the trial were positively correlated with those in intervention group A (4000 IU/day) (β=4.16, 95% CI 1.6 to 6.7, p=0.002), with food group consumption (β=0.95, 95% CI 0.01 to 1.89, p=0.047) and with baseline levels of serum 25(OH)D (β=0.43, 95% CI 0.29 to 0.58, p<0.0001).ConclusionThe evidence provided in our study indicates that vitamin D supplementation of 4000 IU/day was more effective in reducing vitamin D deficiency among pregnant women and in improving serum 25(OH)D levels in mothers and their neonates compared with 2000 IU/day and 400 IU/day. Trial registration number NCT02215213.

Iron deficiency Anemia (IDA) in children is a recognized public health problem that impacts adversely on child morbidity, mortality and impairs cognitive development. In Pakistan information on the true prevalence and predictors of IDA is limited. This study sought to investigate IDA in children under five years of age using data from a nationally representative stratified cross-sectional survey. Secondary analysis was performed on the National Nutrition Survey in Pakistan 2011-2012. We used a pre-structured instrument to collect socio demographic and nutritional data on mothers and children. We also collected Anthropometric measurements and blood samples for micronutrient deficiencies. IDA was defined as having both haemoglobin levels of <110 g/L and ferritin levels of < 12 μg/L. Data analysis was performed by applying univariate and multivariate techniques using logistic regression through SPSS. A total of 7138 children aged between 6-59 months were included in the analysis. The prevalence of IDA was 33.2%. In multivariate regression analysis adjusted odds ratios (AOR) were calculated. Age < 24 months (AOR 1.40, 95% CI 1.18-1.55 p <0.05), stunting (AOR 1.42 CI 1.23-1.63 p<0.05), presence of clinical anemia (AOR 5.69 CI 4.93-6.56 p<0.05), having a mother with IDA (AOR 1.72 CI 1.47-2.01 p<0.05) and household food insecurity (AOR 1.20 CI 1.10-1.40 P<0.05) were associated with IDA. Living in a rural area (AOR 0.77 CI 0.65-0.90 p<0.05) and being a female child (AOR 0.87 CI 0.76-0.98 p<0.05) were associated with reduced odds of IDA. The prevalence of IDA amongst Pakistani children represents a moderate burden that disproportionately affects the youngest, growth retarded children, affected children are more likely to have mothers with IDA and live in areas where food security is lacking. National efforts to alleviate the burden of IDA should involve both short term vertical programs such as iron supplementation and long term horizontal programs including wheat flour fortification.

In April 2019, an HIV screening camp for all ages was established in response to a report of an unusually large number of paediatric HIV diagnoses in Larkana, Pakistan. We aimed to understand the clinical profile of the children who registered for HIV care. In this cross-sectional study, we review the outbreak response from the government, academia, and UN agencies in Larkana, Sindh, Pakistan. We report age-stratified and sex-stratified HIV prevalence estimated among individuals screened. For children who registered for HIV care, clinical history of previous injections and blood transfusions, HIV disease stage, hepatitis B and hepatitis C status, and CD4 count was abstracted from clinical records from Sindh AIDS Control Program HIV Clinic (Shaikh Zayed Childrens Hospital, Larkana, Pakistan) and analysed using percentages, χ2 tests, and weight-for-age Z scores. We also analysed data for parents who were tested for HIV. Between April 24, and July 15, 2019, 31 239 individuals underwent HIV testing, of whom 930 (3%) tested positive for HIV. Of these, 763 (82%) were younger than 16 years and 604 (79%) of these were aged 5 years and below. Estimated HIV prevalence was 3% overall; 7% (283 of 3803) in children aged 0–2 years, 6% (321 of 5412) in children aged 3–5 years, and 1% (148 of 11 251) in adults aged 16–49 years. Of the 591 children who registered for HIV care, 478 (81%) were 5 years or younger, 379 (64%) were boys, and 315 (53%) of 590 had a weight-for-age Z score of −3·2. Prevalence of hepatitis B surface antigen was 8% (48 of 574) and hepatitis C antibody positivity was 3% (15 of 574). Of children whose mothers tested for HIV, only 39 (11%) of 371 had HIV-positive mothers. Most children (404 [89%] of 453) reported multiple previous injections and 40 (9%) of 453 reported blood transfusions. This HIV outbreak is unprecedented among children in Pakistan: a 54% increase in paediatric HIV diagnoses over the past 13 years. The outbreak was heavily skewed towards young children younger than 5 years, with a predominance of boys. Epidemiological and molecular studies are needed to understand the full extent of the outbreak and its drivers to guide HIV control strategies. None.

Background: Anemia is a major public health issue, particularly among women of reproductive age (WRA) in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Pakistan’s National Nutrition Survey (NNS) 2011 showed a high prevalence of vitamin B12 (B12) and folate deficiency among WRA, necessitating further investigation in subsequent surveys. Methods: Blood samples from 31,828 WRA (15–49 years old) were collected using a stratified multi-stage sampling technique in NNS-2018. We conducted a secondary analysis using population-weighted logistic regression to assess the association of potential factors with B12 and folate deficiency. B12 (n = 4442) and folate (n = 12,662) samples were measured using an electrochemiluminescence immunoassay and a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, USA (CDC)-approved microbiologic assay, respectively. Results: Folate deficiency was present in 44.7% WRA, and 20.2% had B12 deficiency. Provincial distribution was associated with folate deficiency, i.e., Sindh (OR = 1.140, 95% CI 1.018, 1.285), Baluchistan (OR = 1.237, 95% CI 1.052, 1.453), and Islamabad (OR = 1.524, 95% CI 1.109, 2.092), while B12 deficiency was prevalent in Islamabad (OR = 1.673, 95% CI 1.122, 2.497), Gilgit Baltistan (OR = 2.472, 95% CI 1.197, 5.106), and newly merged districts of KPK (OR = 1.584, 95% CI 0.977, 2.570). Rural residence (OR = 1.407, 95% CI 1.125, 1.760), obesity (OR = 1.649, 95% CI 1.282, 2.122), and overweight (OR = 1.560, 95% CI 1.262, 1.928) were associated with B12 deficiency. Conclusions: Our results show regional and demographic differences in the prevalence of folate and B12 deficiencies among WRA. This underscores the need for targeted nutritional interventions and further longitudinal studies to identify potentially associated factors.

Background Unintended pregnancies are a global public health concern and contribute significantly to adverse maternal and neonatal health, social and economic outcomes and increase the risks of maternal deaths and neonatal mortality. In countries like Pakistan where data for the unintended pregnancies is scarce, studies are required to estimate its accurate prevalence and predictors using more specific tools such as the London Measure of Unplanned Pregnancies (LMUP). Methods We conducted a hospital based cross sectional survey in two tertiary care hospitals in Pakistan. We used a pre tested structured questionnaire to collect the data on socio-demographic characteristics, reproductive history, awareness and past experience with contraceptives and unintended pregnancies using six item the LMUP. We used Univariate and multivariate analysis to explore the association between unintended pregnancies and predictor variables and presented the association as adjusted odds ratios. We also evaluated the psychometric properties of the Urdu version of the LMUP. Results Amongst 3010 pregnant women, 1150 (38.2%) pregnancies were reported as unintended. In the multivariate analysis age < 20 years (AOR 3.5 1.1-6.5), being illiterate (AOR 1.9 1.1-3.4), living in a rural setting (1.7 1.2-2.3), having a pregnancy interval of = < 12 months (AOR 1.7 1.4-2.2), having a parity of >2 (AOR 1.4 1.2-1.8), having no knowledge about contraceptive methods (AOR 3.0 1.7-5.4) and never use of contraceptive methods (AOR 2.3 1.4-5.1) remained significantly associated with unintended pregnancy. The Urdu version of the LMUP scale was found to be acceptable, valid and reliable with the Cronbach's alpha of 0.85. Conclusions This study explores a high prevalence of unintended pregnancies and important factors especially those related to family planning. Integrated national family program that provides contraceptive services especially the modern methods to women during pre-conception and post-partum would be beneficial in averting unintended pregnancies and their related adverse outcomes in Pakistan

Culture-independent diagnostics have revealed a larger burden of Shigella among children in low-resource settings than previously recognized. We further characterized the epidemiology of Shigella in the first two years of life in a multisite birth cohort. We tested 41,405 diarrheal and monthly non-diarrheal stools from 1,715 children for Shigella by quantitative PCR. To assess risk factors, clinical factors related to age and culture positivity, and associations with inflammatory biomarkers, we used log-binomial regression with generalized estimating equations. The prevalence of Shigella varied from 4.9%-17.8% in non-diarrheal stools across sites, and the incidence of Shigella-attributable diarrhea was 31.8 cases (95% CI: 29.6, 34.2) per 100 child-years. The sensitivity of culture compared to qPCR was 6.6% and increased to 27.8% in Shigella-attributable dysentery. Shigella diarrhea episodes were more likely to be severe and less likely to be culture positive in younger children. Older age (RR: 1.75, 95% CI: 1.70, 1.81 per 6-month increase in age), unimproved sanitation (RR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.29), low maternal education (<10 years, RR: 1.14, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.26), initiating complementary foods before 3 months (RR: 1.10, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.20), and malnutrition (RR: 0.91, 95% CI: 0.88, 0.95 per unit increase in weight-for-age z-score) were risk factors for Shigella. There was a linear dose-response between Shigella quantity and myeloperoxidase concentrations. The burden of Shigella varied widely across sites, but uniformly increased through the second year of life and was associated with intestinal inflammation. Culture missed most clinically relevant cases of severe diarrhea and dysentery.