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69 result(s) for "Stambaugh, Michael C."
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A fire deficit persists across diverse North American forests despite recent increases in area burned
Rapid increases in wildfire area burned across North American forests pose novel challenges for managers and society. Increasing area burned raises questions about whether, and to what degree, contemporary fire regimes (1984–2022) are still departed from historical fire regimes (pre-1880). We use the North American tree-ring fire-scar network (NAFSN), a multi-century record comprising >1800 fire-scar sites spanning diverse forest types, and contemporary fire perimeters to ask whether there is a contemporary fire surplus or fire deficit, and whether recent fire years are unprecedented relative to historical fire regimes. Our results indicate, despite increasing area burned in recent decades, that a widespread fire deficit persists across a range of forest types and recent years with exceptionally high area burned are not unprecedented when considering the multi-century perspective offered by fire-scarred trees. For example, ‘record’ contemporary fire years such as 2020 burned 6% of NAFSN sites—the historical average—well below the historical maximum of 29% sites that burned in 1748. Although contemporary fire extent is not unprecedented across many North American forests, there is abundant evidence that unprecedented contemporary fire severity is driving forest loss in many ecosystems and adversely impacting human lives, infrastructure, and water supplies. Across many North American forests, recent years with exceptional area burned are not unprecedented when considering the multi-century perspective offered by fire-scarred trees. Nevertheless, abundant evidence suggests that the severity of contemporary wildfire is unprecedented in its adverse impacts on forests and humans.
Understanding flammability and bark thickness in the genus Pinus using a phylogenetic approach
Pinus species dominate fire-prone ecosystems throughout the northern hemisphere. Their litter drive fires that control plant community flammability and multiple ecological processes. To better understand the patterns and mechanisms of pine flammability, we measured leaf characteristics (needle length and thickness) and conducted combustion experiments on litter from 31 species. We paired flammability results with bark accumulation data and used phylogenetic generalized least squares regression to examine relationships between physical traits and flammability. Pine flammability varied widely among pines: flame heights and fuel consumption varied three-fold, and flaming and smoldering durations varied three- to six-fold. Subgenus Pinus species were the most flammable and subgenus Strobus species had the lowest flammability. Needle length was the best predictor of flammability with a significant interaction with subgenus, suggesting that flammability of pines in subgenus Strobus was more affected by physical traits than pines in subgenus Pinus . Species in the subgenus Pinus that accumulated outer bark rapidly also had high flammability, while the relationship was not significant in subgenus Strobus . These results highlight the diverse patterns of flammability in North American pines and the complexity in the mechanisms causing differential flammability.
The importance of drought-pathogen interactions in driving oak mortality events in the Ozark Border Region
Forests are expected to become more vulnerable to drought-induced tree mortality owing to rising temperatures and changing precipitation patterns that amplify drought lethality. There is a crucial knowledge gap regarding drought-pathogen interactions and their effects on tree mortality. The objectives of this research were to examine whether stand dynamics and 'background' mortality rates were affected by a severe drought in 2012; and to evaluate the importance of drought-pathogen interactions within the context of a mortality event that killed 10.0% and 26.5% of white (Quercus alba L.) and black (Q. velutina Lam.) oak stems, respectively, in a single year. We synthesized (i) forest inventory data (24 years), (ii) 11 years of ecosystem flux data with supporting biological data including predawn leaf water potential and annual forest inventories, (iii) tree-ring analyses of individual white oaks that were alive and ones that died in 2013, and (iv) documentation of a pathogen infection. This forest displayed stand dynamics consistent with expected patterns of decreasing tree density and increasing basal area. Continued basal area growth outpaced mortality implying a net accumulation of live biomass, which was supported by eddy covariance ecosystem carbon flux observations. Individual white and black oaks that died in 2013 displayed historically lower growth with the majority of dead trees exhibiting Biscogniauxia cankers. Our observations point to the importance of event-based oak mortality and that drought-Biscogniauxia interactions are important in shaping oak stand dynamics in this region. Although forest function has not been significantly impaired, these drought-pathogen interactions could amplify mortality under future climate conditions and thus warrant further investigation.
A new approach towards climate monitoring in Rocky Mountain alpine plant communities: A case study using herb-chronology and Penstemon whippleanus
The alpine ecosystem of the Rocky Mountains is experiencing significant increases in growing season length, summer maximum temperatures, and shifting patterns in precipitation. Alpine herbs are specifically sensitive to these changes. Biomass accumulation and reproductive effort are often negatively affected by elevated temperatures and earlier snowmelt. Here, we assess the use of herb-chronology, the study of annual growth rings in the woody underground organs, to retroactively monitor effects of monthly to seasonal climate on growth of the alpine forb species Penstemon whippleanus. We explored methods for building the strongest growth chronology possible by comparing the mean interseries correlations (MICs) of the whole population to that of groupings by cohorts, spatial locations, and random groupings using a permutation procedure. MIC for the whole population was low (0.034). Our permutation grouping performed best, producing a maximum MIC of 0.263. Using the permutation-derived chronology (2008-2015), we found significant decrease in growth with increased maximum temperatures in July, decreased May rainfall, increased drought between April and August, and lower minimum temperatures in September. Herb-chronology proved useful for understanding growth dynamics with climate in this alpine system; expanding this practice to similar systems could elucidate unknown effects of shifting climate on annual growth of alpine herbaceous species.
Performance of Burn-Severity Metrics and Classification in Oak Woodlands and Grasslands
Burn severity metrics and classification have yet to be tested for many eastern U.S. deciduous vegetation types, but, if suitable, would be valuable for documenting and monitoring landscape-scale restoration projects that employ prescribed fire treatments. Here we present a performance analysis of the Composite Burn Index (CBI) and its relationship to spectral data (differenced Normalized Burn Ratio (dNBR) and its relative form (RdNBR)) across an oak woodland - grassland landscape in southwestern Oklahoma, USA. Correlation and regression analyses were used to compare CBI strata, assess models describing burn severity, and determine thresholds for burn severity classes. Confusion matrices were used to assess burn severity classification accuracy. Our findings suggest that dNBR and RdNBR, thresholded using total CBI, can produce an accurate burn severity map in oak woodlands, particularly from an initial assessment period. Lower accuracies occurred for burn severity classifications of grasslands and raises questions related to definitions and detection of burn severity for grasslands, particularly in transition to more densely treed structures such as savannas and woodlands.
Wave of fire: an anthropogenic signal in historical fire regimes across central Pennsylvania, USA
Increasingly detailed records of long‐term fire regime characteristics are needed to test ecological concepts and inform natural resource management and policymaking. We reconstructed and analyzed twelve 350+ yr‐long fire scar records developed from 2612 tree‐ring dated fire scars on 432 living and dead pine (Pinus pungens, Pinus rigida, Pinus resinosa, Pinus echinata) trees from across central Pennsylvania. We used multiple spatial and time series analysis methods to quantify fire regime characteristics (frequency, seasonality, percentages of trees scarred, extent) and fire–climate–human associations. Prior to the 20th‐century fire suppression, fire regimes at the majority of sites consisted of frequent, low‐to‐moderate severity, dormant season fires. Fires were often regionally synchronous when preceded by significantly dry years. Using documentary archives, we provide the first description of a “wave of fire”—an anthropogenic signal in fire frequency that progressively moved across the region. This “wave of fire” reflects a changing progression of anthropogenic fire regimes from Native American occupation and depopulation, to Euro‐American settlement, to industrialization and declining fire use up to the 20th century era of fire suppression. The wave of fire provides a new perspective on historical and modern fire regime dynamics and identifies socio‐ecological impacts since North American colonization. Because the anthropogenic wave of fire exists at sites across North America, we emphasize the need for a broader determination of its geographic prevalence and variability as such determinations could influence historical ecology interpretations and perspectives on past and future roles of humans in managing ecosystems with fire.
The theory, direction, and magnitude of ecosystem fire probability as constrained by precipitation and temperature
The effects of climate on wildland fire confronts society across a range of different ecosystems. Water and temperature affect the combustion dynamics, irrespective of whether those are associated with carbon fueled motors or ecosystems, but through different chemical, physical, and biological processes. We use an ecosystem combustion equation developed with the physical chemistry of atmospheric variables to estimate and simulate fire probability and mean fire interval (MFI). The calibration of ecosystem fire probability with basic combustion chemistry and physics offers a quantitative method to address wildland fire in addition to the well-studied forcing factors such as topography, ignition, and vegetation. We develop a graphic analysis tool for estimating climate forced fire probability with temperature and precipitation based on an empirical assessment of combustion theory and fire prediction in ecosystems. Climate-affected fire probability for any period, past or future, is estimated with given temperature and precipitation. A graphic analyses of wildland fire dynamics driven by climate supports a dialectic in hydrologic processes that affect ecosystem combustion: 1) the water needed by plants to produce carbon bonds (fuel) and 2) the inhibition of successful reactant collisions by water molecules (humidity and fuel moisture). These two postulates enable a classification scheme for ecosystems into three or more climate categories using their position relative to change points defined by precipitation in combustion dynamics equations. Three classifications of combustion dynamics in ecosystems fire probability include: 1) precipitation insensitive, 2) precipitation unstable, and 3) precipitation sensitive. All three classifications interact in different ways with variable levels of temperature.
Reconsidering the fire ecology of the iconic American chestnut
The iconic American chestnut (Castanea dentata) once spanned a large portion of eastern North America before its functional extinction in the early 20th century due primarily to non‐native fungal pathogens. The pronounced loss of this species likely resulted in an abrupt alteration of many ecological processes, including fire. The potential to resurrect this species through resistance breeding or other methods holds promise, but more information on the fire ecology of American chestnut may provide helpful information to assist restoration. Here we summarize the existing direct and indirect research on the fire history and fire ecology within the former range of American chestnut. We found multiple lines of evidence to suggest fire was frequent throughout much of its historical range. A broadscale analysis of historical fire frequency revealed that 88% of the American chestnut range had a mean fire return interval of 20 yr or less, corresponding to finer‐scale fire history and forest structure studies. In much of the historical range of American chestnut, the stand structure was much more open, fire scar studies of associated species were very frequent (mean fire return interval ranged between 1.9 and 19.8 yr), and, in many cases, charcoal abundance and American chestnut pollen were positively related. This evidence coupled with American chestnut’s suite of traits associated with tolerance of frequent fire, such as highly flammable litter, tall stature, rapid growth, and resprouting ability, reinforce concepts that fire was historically an important component of many woodlands and forests containing American chestnut. While these lines of evidence are strongly suggestive, we provide potential areas of further inquiry to expand and refine our understanding of American chestnut fire ecology.
Spatial variability of historical fires across a red pine–oak landscape, Pennsylvania, USA
Long‐term, ecosystem‐specific fire regime information improves natural community restoration and management by providing a basis for scientifically reasoned fire management prescriptions. Historical fire regimes can be reconstructed to sub‐annual resolution using fire‐scarred trees, and while such reconstructions have become increasingly prevalent across the eastern USA, little information regarding how they vary at landscape scale is available. Most studies report fire regime characteristics (i.e., frequency, seasonality) at site‐composite levels, commonly at ≤1 km2 spatial resolution. In this study, we analyzed the historical spatial variation of fire regime characteristics over the past four centuries (1620 CE to present) in a red pine/oak landscape (30.75 km2) in north‐central Pennsylvania, USA. Fire event data were reconstructed based on fire scars and locations of 192 living and dead red pines. The spatial and temporal distributions of fire scars revealed a historical fire regime dominated by frequent, dormant season fires most often detected at relatively small spatial extents and by relatively few trees. There was, however, evidence of less frequent, relatively large fires that scarred high percentages of trees. These fire regime characteristics likely resulted in a spatially and temporally transient patchwork of varying vegetation age and structures resulting in a heterogeneous landscape. At the landscape scale, fire frequency changed with human cultures, while fire spatial extent and scarring patterns appeared to be modulated by drought conditions. Results from this study show historical precedence for landscape‐scale burning across a broad range of drought conditions and spatial extents, which should be considered when designing fire‐management and ecosystem restoration objectives.
Impacts of the Millennium Eruption and climate change on vegetation species composition of Changbaishan
Large explosive volcanic eruptions can cover wide areas of land with tephra, sometimes with profound hydrological, ecological, and societal impacts. However, while consequences of tephra fallout and flow deposits have been well studied on annual to decadal timescale, little is known about centennial and longer-term changes in vegetation composition. Here, we consider the enduring impacts of the 946 CE Millennium Eruption of the Changbaishan volcano. We reconstruct the pre-eruption vegetation composition based on species, age, and size of carbonized trees recovered from the pyroclastic deposits and analysis of phytolith records in peat cores. Compared with the early 10th century forest composition and structure, the present montane forest hosts a higher abundance of broad-leaved species. Higher elevations, which today are dominated by alpine tundra, were covered in a spruce forest before the eruption. These differences reflect the long process of ecological recovery following the eruption rather than the effects of recent warming, as has been suggested. However, present warming trends are likely to drive the ecological succession towards a reduction of the alpine vegetation zone. Our study emphasizes the importance of interpreting contemporary ecological change in the context of past massive disturbances, together with subfossil evidence of vegetation composition. The millennium volcano eruption rather than climate change primarily alters montane vegetation compositions at Changbaishan, causing larger abundance of broad-leaf forests with tundra dominating at high elevations, based on reconstructive vegetation from deposits and remote sensing data.