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Decoding, i.e. prediction from brain images or signals, calls for empirical evaluation of its predictive power. Such evaluation is achieved via cross-validation, a method also used to tune decoders' hyper-parameters. This paper is a review on cross-validation procedures for decoding in neuroimaging. It includes a didactic overview of the relevant theoretical considerations. Practical aspects are highlighted with an extensive empirical study of the common decoders in within- and across-subject predictions, on multiple datasets –anatomical and functional MRI and MEG– and simulations. Theory and experiments outline that the popular “leave-one-out” strategy leads to unstable and biased estimates, and a repeated random splits method should be preferred. Experiments outline the large error bars of cross-validation in neuroimaging settings: typical confidence intervals of 10%. Nested cross-validation can tune decoders' parameters while avoiding circularity bias. However we find that it can be favorable to use sane defaults, in particular for non-sparse decoders. [Display omitted] •We give a primer on cross-validation to measure decoders predictive power.•We assess on many datasets its practical use for decoding selection and tuning.•Cross-validation displays large confidence intervals, in particular leave one out.•Default parameters on standard decoders can outperform parameter tuning.

A key goal in neuroscience is to understand brain mechanisms of cognitive functions. An emerging approach is “brain decoding”, which consists of inferring a set of experimental conditions performed by a participant, using pattern classification of brain activity. Few works so far have attempted to train a brain decoding model that would generalize across many different cognitive tasks drawn from multiple cognitive domains. To tackle this problem, we proposed a multidomain brain decoder that automatically learns the spatiotemporal dynamics of brain response within a short time window using a deep learning approach. We evaluated the decoding model on a large population of 1200 participants, under 21 different experimental conditions spanning six different cognitive domains, acquired from the Human Connectome Project task-fMRI database. Using a 10s window of fMRI response, the 21 cognitive states were identified with a test accuracy of 90% (chance level 4.8%). Performance remained good when using a 6s window (82%). It was even feasible to decode cognitive states from a single fMRI volume (720ms), with the performance following the shape of the hemodynamic response. Moreover, a saliency map analysis demonstrated that the high decoding performance was driven by the response of biologically meaningful brain regions. Together, we provide an automated tool to annotate human brain activity with fine temporal resolution and fine cognitive granularity. Our model shows potential applications as a reference model for domain adaptation, possibly making contributions in a variety of domains, including neurological and psychiatric disorders.

•Reliable estimates of the TDP in data-derived clusters are needed in fMRI inference.•Notip yields statistical guarantees on the TDP of data-derived clusters.•Notip improves power substantially compared to state-of-the-art methods. Cluster-level inference procedures are widely used for brain mapping. These methods compare the size of clusters obtained by thresholding brain maps to an upper bound under the global null hypothesis, computed using Random Field Theory or permutations. However, the guarantees obtained by this type of inference - i.e. at least one voxel is truly activated in the cluster - are not informative with regards to the strength of the signal therein. There is thus a need for methods to assess the amount of signal within clusters; yet such methods have to take into account that clusters are defined based on the data, which creates circularity in the inference scheme. This has motivated the use of post hoc estimates that allow statistically valid estimation of the proportion of activated voxels in clusters. In the context of fMRI data, the All-Resolutions Inference framework introduced in Rosenblatt et al. (2018) provides post hoc estimates of the proportion of activated voxels. However, this method relies on parametric threshold families, which results in conservative inference. In this paper, we leverage randomization methods to adapt to data characteristics and obtain tighter false discovery control. We obtain Notip, for Non-parametric True Discovery Proportion control: a powerful, non-parametric method that yields statistically valid guarantees on the proportion of activated voxels in data-derived clusters. Numerical experiments demonstrate substantial gains in number of detections compared with state-of-the-art methods on 36 fMRI datasets. The conditions under which the proposed method brings benefits are also discussed.

Population imaging markedly increased the size of functional-imaging datasets, shedding new light on the neural basis of inter-individual differences. Analyzing these large data entails new scalability challenges, computational and statistical. For this reason, brain images are typically summarized in a few signals, for instance reducing voxel-level measures with brain atlases or functional modes. A good choice of the corresponding brain networks is important, as most data analyses start from these reduced signals. We contribute finely-resolved atlases of functional modes, comprising from 64 to 1024 networks. These dictionaries of functional modes (DiFuMo) are trained on millions of fMRI functional brain volumes of total size 2.4 ​TB, spanned over 27 studies and many research groups. We demonstrate the benefits of extracting reduced signals on our fine-grain atlases for many classic functional data analysis pipelines: stimuli decoding from 12,334 brain responses, standard GLM analysis of fMRI across sessions and individuals, extraction of resting-state functional-connectomes biomarkers for 2500 individuals, data compression and meta-analysis over more than 15,000 statistical maps. In each of these analysis scenarii, we compare the performance of our functional atlases with that of other popular references, and to a simple voxel-level analysis. Results highlight the importance of using high-dimensional “soft” functional atlases, to represent and analyze brain activity while capturing its functional gradients. Analyses on high-dimensional modes achieve similar statistical performance as at the voxel level, but with much reduced computational cost and higher interpretability. In addition to making them available, we provide meaningful names for these modes, based on their anatomical location. It will facilitate reporting of results. •We contribute finely-resolved high-dimensional functional modes for fMRI analysis.•Those are trained on millions of varied fMRI functional brain volumes, using a sparse matrix factorisation algorithm. The total training size is 2.4TB.•These Dictionaries of Functional Modes (DiFuMo) are multi-scale, with a number of functional networks ranging from 64 to 1024.•Our benchmarks reveal the importance of using high-dimensional “soft” continuous-valued functional atlases when extracting image-derived phenotypes.•We provide an anatomical name to each of the modes of the DiFuMo atlases. Those are available at https://parietal-inria.github.io/DiFuMo/.

Magnetoencephalography and electroencephalography (M/EEG) are non-invasive modalities that measure the weak electromagnetic fields generated by neural activity. Estimating the location and magnitude of the current sources that generated these electromagnetic fields is an inverse problem. Although it can be cast as a linear regression, this problem is severely ill-posed as the number of observations, which equals the number of sensors, is small. When considering a group study, a common approach consists in carrying out the regression tasks independently for each subject using techniques such as MNE or sLORETA. An alternative is to jointly localize sources for all subjects taken together, while enforcing some similarity between them. By pooling S subjects in a single joint regression, the number of observations is S times larger, potentially making the problem better posed and offering the ability to identify more sources with greater precision. Here we show how the coupling of the different regression problems can be done through a multi-task regularization that promotes focal source estimates. To take into account intersubject variabilities, we propose the Minimum Wasserstein Estimates (MWE). Thanks to a new joint regression method based on optimal transport (OT) metrics, MWE does not enforce perfect overlap of activation foci for all subjects but rather promotes spatial proximity on the cortical mantle. Besides, by estimating the noise level of each subject, MWE copes with the subject-specific signal-to-noise ratios with only one regularization parameter. On realistic simulations, MWE decreases the localization error by up to 4 ​mm per source compared to individual solutions. Experiments on the Cam-CAN dataset show improvements in spatial specificity in population imaging compared to individual models such as dSPM as well as a state-of-the-art Bayesian group level model. Our analysis of a multimodal dataset shows how multi-subject source localization reduces the gap between MEG and fMRI for brain mapping. •MEG and EEG source imaging is notoriously hard due to the low number of measurements.•More measurements are required to make the problem less ill-posed.•Multi-task regression (MTR) boosts accuracy by pooling data from many subjects.•Optimal transport (OT) allows to model the spatial variability across subjects.•Combining MTR and OT for M/EEG source imaging leads to improved spatial specificity.

Responding to widespread concerns about reproducibility, the Organization for Human Brain Mapping created a working group to identify best practices in data analysis, results reporting and data sharing to promote open and reproducible research in neuroimaging. We describe the challenges of open research and the barriers the field faces. Given concerns about the reproducibility of scientific findings, neuroimaging must define best practices for data analysis, results reporting, and algorithm and data sharing to promote transparency, reliability and collaboration. We describe insights from developing a set of recommendations on behalf of the Organization for Human Brain Mapping and identify barriers that impede these practices, including how the discipline must change to fully exploit the potential of the world's neuroimaging data.

•Methods that improve inter-subject decoding accuracy reduce inter-individual variability without losing signal specificity.•Functional alignment methods consistently improve inter-subject decoding on several datasets, with the best methods recovering half of the signal lost in anatomical-only alignment.•For whole-brain alignment, piecewise alignment (performed in non-overlapping regions) is more accurate and much more efficient than searchlight alignment.•Shared Response Model and Optimal Transport yield highest decoding accuracy gains. Inter-individual variability in the functional organization of the brain presents a major obstacle to identifying generalizable neural coding principles. Functional alignment—a class of methods that matches subjects’ neural signals based on their functional similarity—is a promising strategy for addressing this variability. To date, however, a range of functional alignment methods have been proposed and their relative performance is still unclear. In this work, we benchmark five functional alignment methods for inter-subject decoding on four publicly available datasets. Specifically, we consider three existing methods: piecewise Procrustes, searchlight Procrustes, and piecewise Optimal Transport. We also introduce and benchmark two new extensions of functional alignment methods: piecewise Shared Response Modelling (SRM), and intra-subject alignment. We find that functional alignment generally improves inter-subject decoding accuracy though the best performing method depends on the research context. Specifically, SRM and Optimal Transport perform well at both the region-of-interest level of analysis as well as at the whole-brain scale when aggregated through a piecewise scheme. We also benchmark the computational efficiency of each of the surveyed methods, providing insight into their usability and scalability. Taking inter-subject decoding accuracy as a quantification of inter-subject similarity, our results support the use of functional alignment to improve inter-subject comparisons in the face of variable structure-function organization. We provide open implementations of all methods used.

Reaching a global view of brain organization requires assembling evidence on widely different mental processes and mechanisms. The variety of human neuroscience concepts and terminology poses a fundamental challenge to relating brain imaging results across the scientific literature. Existing meta-analysis methods perform statistical tests on sets of publications associated with a particular concept. Thus, large-scale meta-analyses only tackle single terms that occur frequently. We propose a new paradigm, focusing on prediction rather than inference. Our multivariate model predicts the spatial distribution of neurological observations, given text describing an experiment, cognitive process, or disease. This approach handles text of arbitrary length and terms that are too rare for standard meta-analysis. We capture the relationships and neural correlates of 7547 neuroscience terms across 13 459 neuroimaging publications. The resulting meta-analytic tool, neuroquery.org, can ground hypothesis generation and data-analysis priors on a comprehensive view of published findings on the brain.

Assessing probabilities and predicting future events are fundamental for perception and adaptive behavior, yet the neural representations of probability remain elusive. While previous studies have shown that neural activity in several brain regions correlates with probability-related factors such as surprise and uncertainty, similar correlations have not been found for probability. Here, using 7 Tesla functional magnetic resonance imaging, we uncover a representation of the probability of the next event in a sequence within the human dorsolateral prefrontal and intraparietal cortices. Crucially, univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that this representation employs a highly non-monotonic code. Tuning curves for probability exhibit selectivity to various probability ranges, while the code for confidence accompanying these estimates is predominantly monotonic. Given such diversity in tuning curves, future studies should move from assuming monotonic or simple canonical forms of tuning curves to considering richer representations, and clarify why different types of code exist. The neural basis of how the brain represents probabilities is not well understood. Here, the authors show with high-field functional imaging that human prefrontal and parietal cortices encode probabilities with diverse, nonmonotonic tuning curves

Associating brain systems with mental processes requires statistical analysis of brain activity across many cognitive processes. These analyses typically face a difficult compromise between scope—from domain-specific to system-level analysis—and accuracy. Using all the functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) statistical maps of the largest data repository available, we trained machine-learning models that decode the cognitive concepts probed in unseen studies. For this, we leveraged two comprehensive resources: NeuroVault—an open repository of fMRI statistical maps with unconstrained annotations—and Cognitive Atlas—an ontology of cognition. We labeled NeuroVault images with Cognitive Atlas concepts occurring in their associated metadata. We trained neural networks to predict these cognitive labels on tens of thousands of brain images. Overcoming the heterogeneity, imbalance and noise in the training data, we successfully decoded more than 50 classes of mental processes on a large test set. This success demonstrates that image-based meta-analyses can be undertaken at scale and with minimal manual data curation. It enables broad reverse inferences, that is, concluding on mental processes given the observed brain activity.