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Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) and real-world data (RWD) in patients with atrial fibrillation have shown that-compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKAs)-non-VKA oral anticoagulants (NOACs) are at least as effective in the prevention of ischaemic stroke, while decreasing the risk of bleeding. We aim to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the NOAC apixaban versus other NOACs (dabigatran, edoxaban and rivaroxaban) and VKA, for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation by including the available data both from RCT and real-world analyses of all NOACs into one integrative previously published model. The model was updated to the current Dutch healthcare situation. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was calculated using either efficacy/effectiveness and safety data derived from a network meta-analysis (NMA) synthesizing NOAC RCTs or RWD. We conducted a systematic literature search to identify eligible publication to best inform the RWD-based analysis. Additional sensitivity and scenario analyses were conducted to test the robustness of the outcomes. In the NMA-based analysis, apixaban appeared to be cost-effective compared to VKA (€3,506 per quality adjusted life-year) and dominant (cost-saving and more effective) over dabigatran 110 mg, dabigatran 150 mg, edoxaban and rivaroxaban. In the RWD-based analysis, apixaban was dominant over all other anticoagulants. In the scenario analysis apixaban appeared to be not cost-effective compared to dabigatran 150 mg, when using equal event-unrelated treatment discontinuation rates for each drug. In all other scenarios apixaban is cost-effective or cost-saving compared to VKA and other NOACs. Based on RCTs as well as RWD, we conclude that apixaban is generally cost-effective or even cost-saving (less costly and more effective) compared to VKA and other NOACs in the overall population of patients with atrial fibrillation.

Stroke prevention is the main goal of treating patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Vitamin-K antagonists (VKAs) present an effective treatment in stroke prevention, however, the risk of bleeding and the requirement for regular coagulation monitoring are limiting their use. Apixaban is a novel oral anticoagulant associated with significantly lower hazard rates for stroke, major bleedings and treatment discontinuations, compared to VKAs. To estimate the cost-effectiveness of apixaban compared to VKAs in non-valvular AF patients in the Netherlands. Previously published lifetime Markov model using efficacy data from the ARISTOTLE and the AVERROES trial was modified to reflect the use of oral anticoagulants in the Netherlands. Dutch specific costs, baseline population stroke risk and coagulation monitoring levels were incorporated. Univariate, probabilistic sensitivity and scenario analyses on the impact of different coagulation monitoring levels were performed on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Treatment with apixaban compared to VKAs resulted in an ICER of €10,576 per quality adjusted life year (QALY). Those findings correspond with lower number of strokes and bleedings associated with the use of apixaban compared to VKAs. Univariate sensitivity analyses revealed model sensitivity to the absolute stroke risk with apixaban and treatment discontinuations risks with apixaban and VKAs. The probability that apixaban is cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of €20,000/QALY was 68%. Results of the scenario analyses on the impact of different coagulation monitoring levels were quite robust. In patients with non-valvular AF, apixaban is likely to be a cost-effective alternative to VKAs in the Netherlands.

ObjectivesPulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is widely accepted as an effective and safe treatment for symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). However, data on sex-related differences and associations with clinical outcome and safety of PVI with cryoballoon ablation are limited. We sought to compare sexrelated efficacy and safety of cryoballoon ablation and identify sex-related associations with clinical outcomes.Methods and resultsWe included 650 consecutive patients with AF undergoing PVI with cryoballoon ablation at our institution between 2013 and 2017. The efficacy outcome was the first documented recurrence (>30 s) of AF, atrial flutter or atrial tachycardia (AF/AT) or repeat ablation during follow-up, after a 90-day blanking period. The safety outcome was the incidence of periprocedural complications. Mean age of the population was 58±10, and 210 (32.3%) patients were women. Women were older, had a higher body mass index, had more renal dysfunction and less coronary artery disease as compared with men. The rate of AF/AT recurrence was similar between women and men at 12-month follow-up (27.6% vs 24.8%, p=0.445). The incidence of periprocedural complications was higher in women (12.9% vs 4.6%; p<0.001), specifically groin haematomas and phrenic nerve palsy. On multivariate analysis, left atrial volume index (adjusted OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.10; p=0.032) was associated with the incidence of procedural complications in women. For men, no relation with complications could be found.ConclusionThe efficacy of cryoballoon ablation was similar between women and men; however, women had a higher risk of procedural complications.

ObjectiveCritically ill patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) often develop atrial fibrillation (AF), with an incidence of around 5%. Stroke prevention in AF is well described in clinical guidelines. The extent to which stroke prevention is prescribed to ICU patients with AF is unknown. We aimed to determine the incidence of new-onset AF and describe stroke prevention strategies initiated on the ICU of our teaching hospital. Also, we compared mortality in patients with new-onset AF to critically ill patients with previously diagnosed AF and patients without any AF.MethodsThis study was a retrospective cohort study including all admissions to the ICU of the Martini Hospital (Groningen, The Netherlands) in the period 2011 to 2016. Survival analyses were performed using these real-world data.ResultsIn total, 3334 patients were admitted to the ICU, of whom 213 patients (6.4%) developed new-onset AF. 583 patients (17.5%) had a previous AF diagnosis, the other patients were in sinus rhythm. In-hospital mortality and 1-year mortality after hospital discharge were significantly higher for new-onset AF patients compared with patients with no history of AF or previously diagnosed AF. At hospital discharge, only 56.3% of the new-onset AF-patients eligible for stroke prevention received an anticoagulant. Anticoagulation was not dependent on CHA2DS2-VASc score or other patient characteristics. An effect of anticoagulative status on mortality was not significant.ConclusionAF is associated with increased mortality in critically ill patients admitted to the ICU. More guidance is needed to optimise anticoagulant treatment in critically ill new-onset AF patients.

BackgroundSex differences in atrial fibrillation (AF) are observed in terms of comorbidities, symptoms, therapies received, AF progression and cardiovascular complications.MethodsWe assessed the differences in prevalence and the determinants of AF progression, as well as the clinical characteristics and quality of life (QoL), between women and men with paroxysmal AF included in the RACE V (Reappraisal of Atrial Fibrillation: Interaction between hyperCoagulability, Electrical remodeling, and Vascular Destabilisation in the Progression of AF) study. At baseline, extensive phenotyping was done. To assess AF progression, implantable loop recorder (ILR) monitoring was used throughout follow-up. AF progression was defined as (1) progression to persistent or permanent AF or (2) progression of paroxysmal AF (>3% burden increase).Results417 patients were included, 179 (43%) of whom were women. Women were older (median 67 years vs 63 years, p<0.001), less often had coronary artery disease (n=11 (6%) vs n=36 (16%), p=0.003), had more obesity (n=57 (32%) vs n=50 (21%), p=0.013), had less epicardial and pericardial fat (median 144 (interquartile range [IQR] 94–191) mL vs 199 (IQR 146–248) mL, p<0.001; and median 89 (ICQ 61–121) mL vs 105 (IQR 83–133) mL, p<0.001, respectively) and had more impaired left atrial function. The median follow-up was 2.2 (1.6–2.8) years. 51 of 417 patients (5.5% per year) showed AF progression (15/179 (8.4%) women and 36/238 (15.1%) men, p=0.032). Multivariable analysis showed tissue factor pathway inhibitor, N-terminal prohormone brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and PR interval being associated with AF progression in women and factor XIIa:C1 esterase, NT-proBNP and proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 in men. QoL was not different between sexes.ConclusionDespite older age, the incidence of AF progression was lower in women. Parameters associated with AF progression varied in part between sexes, suggesting different underlying pathophysiological mechanisms.

ObjectiveAtrial fibrillation (AF) often progresses from paroxysmal AF (PAF) to more permanent forms. To improve personalised medicine, we aim to develop a new AF progression risk prediction model in patients with PAF.MethodsIn this interim-analysis of the Reappraisal of AF: Interaction Between HyperCoagulability, Electrical Remodelling, and Vascular Destabilisation in the Progression of AF study, patients with PAF undergoing extensive phenotyping at baseline and continuous rhythm monitoring during follow-up of ≥1 year were analysed. AF progression was defined as (1) progression to persistent or permanent AF or (2) progression of PAF with >3% burden increase. Multivariable analysis was done to identify predictors of AF progression.ResultsMean age was 65 (58–71) years, 179 (43%) were female. Follow-up was 2.2 (1.6–2.8) years, 51 of 417 patients (5.5%/year) showed AF progression. Multivariable analysis identified, PR interval, impaired left atrial function, mitral valve regurgitation and waist circumference to be associated with AF progression. Adding blood biomarkers improved the model (C-statistic from 0.709 to 0.830) and showed male sex, lower levels of factor XIIa:C1-esterase inhibitor and tissue factor pathway inhibitor, and higher levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 and peptidoglycan recognition protein 1 were associated with AF progression.ConclusionIn patients with PAF, AF progression occurred in 5.5%/year. Predictors for progression included markers for atrial remodelling, sex, mitral valve regurgitation, waist circumference and biomarkers associated with coagulation, inflammation, cardiomyocyte stretch and atherosclerosis. These prediction models may help to determine risk of AF progression and treatment targets, but validation is needed.Trial registration number NCT02726698.

ObjectiveTo investigate heart rate differences between non-dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers and beta-blockers in patients with non-permanent atrial fibrillation (AF).MethodsUsing data from ‘A Comparison of Rate Control and Rhythm Control in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation’ (AFFIRM), where patients were randomised 1:1 rate or rhythm control, we compared the effect of rate control drugs on heart rate during AF as well as during sinus rhythm. Multivariable logistic regression was used to adjust for baseline characteristics.ResultsA total of 4060 patients were enrolled in the AFFIRM trial, mean age was 70±9 years, 39% were women. Out of the total, 1112 patients were in sinus rhythm at baseline and used either non-dihydropyridine channel blockers or beta-blockers. Of them, 474 had AF during follow-up while remaining on the same rate control drugs, 218 (46%) on calcium channel blockers and 256 (54%) on beta-blockers. Mean age of calcium channel blocker patients was 70±8 years and 68±8 for beta-blocker patients (p=0.003), 42% were women. A resting heart rate <110 beats per min during AF was achieved in 92% of patients using calcium channel blockers and 92% of patients using beta-blockers (p=1.00). Bradycardia during sinus rhythm occurred in 17% of patients using calcium channel blockers vs 32% using beta-blockers (p<0.001). After adjusting for patient characteristics, calcium channel blockers were associated with a reduction in bradycardia during sinus rhythm (OR 0.41, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.90).ConclusionIn patients with non-permanent AF, calcium channel blockers instituted for rate control were associated with less bradycardia during sinus rhythm compared with beta-blockers.

IntroductionPulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is an important treatment for atrial fibrillation (AF). However, many patients need more than one procedure to maintain long-term sinus rhythm. Even after two PVIs some may suffer from AF recurrences. We aimed to identify characteristics of patients who fail after two PVI procedures.Methods and resultsWe included 557 consecutive patients undergoing a first PVI procedure with a second-generation 28 mm cryoballoon. Follow-up procedures were performed using radiofrequency ablation targeting reconnected PVs only. Recurrent AF was defined as any episode of AF lasting >30 s on ECG or 24 hour Holter monitoring performed at 3, 6 and 12 months post procedure. Mean age was 59.1±10.2 years, 383 (68.8%) were male, 448 (80.4%) had paroxysmal AF and the most common underlying condition was hypertension (36.6%). A total of 140/557 (25.1%) patients underwent redo procedure with PVI only. Of these patients 45 (32.4%) had recurrence of AF. These patients were comparable regarding age and sex to those in sinus rhythm after one or two procedures. Multivariate logistic regression showed that non-paroxysmal AF (OR 1.08 (95% CI 1.01 to 1.15), estimated glomerular filtration rate (OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.94 to 0.99), bundle branch block (OR 4.17, 95% CI 1.38 to 12.58), heart failure (OR 4.17, 95% CI 1.38 to 12.58) and Left Atrium Volume Index (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.08) were associated with AF recurrence after two PVIs. The area under the curve for the identified risk factors was 0.74.ConclusionsUsing a PVI-only approach, recurrence of AF after two AF ablation procedures is associated with more advanced underlying disease and persistent types of AF.

BackgroundWe aimed to evaluate the association between atrial fibrillation (AF) burden, duration and number of episodes with healthcare utilisation and quality of life in patients with early paroxysmal AF without a history of AF.MethodsIn this observational cohort study, we included 417 patients with paroxysmal AF from the Reappraisal of Atrial Fibrillation: interaction between hyperCoagulability, Electrical remodelling and Vascular destabilisation in the progression of AF (RACE V) Study. Patients were monitored with an insertable cardiac monitor for 1 year. Outcomes collected were healthcare utilisation, and quality of life assessed using the Atrial Fibrillation Severity Scale and EuroQol EQ-5D-5L questionnaires.ResultsDuring 1 year of follow-up, 63 973 AF episodes were detected in 353 (85%) patients. The median AF burden was 0.7% (IQR 0.1–4.0%). AF ablation was performed more frequently in patients with intermediate-to-high AF burdens (>0.2%) (16.2% vs 5.9%, p=0.01) and longer AF episode duration (>1 hour) (15.8% vs 2.0%, p=0.01), whereas cardioversions were more frequent in patients with longer episode duration (>1 hour) (9.5% vs 0%, p=0.04) and intermediate (0.2–1.9%) (but not high) AF burdens (13.6% vs 4.2%, p=0.01). Patients with many episodes (>147) reported higher symptom severity (p=0.001). No differences in symptom severity nor in EQ-5D-5L scores according to AF burden or duration were observed.ConclusionIn patients with early paroxysmal AF, higher AF burden and longer episode duration were associated with increased rates of healthcare utilisation but not with symptoms and quality of life. Patients with a higher number of episodes experienced more severe symptoms.Trial registration numberNCT02726698.

Heart rate control is one of the cornerstones of atrial fibrillation (AF) management and is recommended in all AF patients, even as background therapy for rhythm control. Both non-dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers and beta blockers are recommended as first choice rate control drugs, but no preference is given. Even though there are important differences in pharmacological mechanisms and side effects between these drugs, large randomized controlled trials are lacking. We aim to critically evaluate and synthesize the scientific evidence comparing calcium channel blockers and beta blockers. A systematic review is conducted in four databases: MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Central, collecting all original research published up until March 2025. Studies including patients with AF (P) treated with non-dihydropyridine calcium channel blockers (I) or beta blockers (C) reporting heart rate (O) or other key secondary outcomes such as major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events or mortality will be included. Titles and abstracts, as well as full texts, will be screened by two reviewers, and results will be reported using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses checklist. Assessment of risk of bias is evaluated using the Cochrane Risk-of-Bias (RoB 2) tool for randomized controlled trials and the Risk Of Bias In Non-Randomized Studies - of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool for non-randomized studies. If sufficient homogeneous data are available, meta-analyses are performed. Current systematic reviews on rate control in AF have primarily focused on acute rate control using the intravenous administration of calcium channel blockers and beta blockers. However, systematic reviews comparing these two drug classes for long-term rate control are lacking, and current guidelines offer little guidance for choosing one drug over the other. This systematic review with meta-analysis will compare the effects of calcium channel blockers and beta blockers on heart rate and provide a comprehensive overview of clinical outcomes and side effects in the treatment of AF. It aims to provide a comprehensive overview, helping clinicians tailor rate control for individual patients. PROSPERO CRD42024526695.