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Background Cancer outcomes vary widely among different countries. However, comparisons of cost-effectiveness and cost-efficiency of different systems are complex because the incidences of different cancers vary across countries and their chances of cure also differ substantially. We aim to propose a new standardized method for global comparison and to explore its relationship with economic indicators. Methods Cancer statistics from all 184 countries and 27 cancers listed in GLOBOCAN 2012 were analyzed. The complement of age-standardized mortality/incidence ratio [1 – (ASM/ASI)] was taken as the proxy relative survival (RS). Accounting for various country-specific cancer patterns, the cancer site-standardized proxy RS (proxy SS-RS) of individual countries were calculated by weighting the proportion of specific cancer sites as compared with the global pattern of incidence. Economic indicators of different countries listed by the World Bank were correlated with corresponding proxy SS-RS. Results Substantial variation in site-specific survival and new case distribution supported the use of proxy SS-RS, which ranged from 0.124 to 0.622 (median 0.359). The median total health expenditure per capita (HEpc) increased from US$44 for countries with proxy SS-RS < 0.25, to US$4643 for countries with proxy SS-RS ≥0.55. Results from logarithmic regression model showed exponential increase in total HEpc for better outcome. The expenditure varied widely among different strata, with the widest difference observed among countries with SS-RS ≥0.55 (total HEpc US$1412–$9361). Conclusions Similar to age-standardization, cancer site-standardization adjusted for variation in pattern of cancer incidence provides the best available and feasible strategies for comparing cancer survivals across countries globally. Furthermore, cancer outcome correlated significantly with economic indicators and the amount of HEpc escalated exponentially. Our findings call for more in-depth studies applying cancer-site standardization to provide essential data for sharing of experience and urgent actions by policy makers to develop comprehensive and financially sustainable cancer plan for greater equity.

Incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is increasing in Asia, but population-based prevalence data are limited. This study examined IBD incidence and prevalence based on results of a territory-wide IBD registry in Hong Kong.MethodsWe collected data on 2575 patients with IBD (1541 ulcerative colitis [UC], 983 Crohn's disease [CD], 51 IBD unclassified) from 1981 to 2014 using hospital and territory-wide administrative coding system. Prevalence and incidence, disease phenotype, surgery, and mortality were analyzed.ResultsAdjusted prevalence of IBD, UC, CD, and IBD unclassified per 100,000 individuals in 2014 were 44.0, 24.5, 18.6, and 0.9, respectively. Age-adjusted incidence of IBD per 100,000 individuals increased from 0.10 (95% confidence interval, 0.06–0.16) in 1985 to 3.12 (95% confidence interval, 2.88–3.38) in 2014. UC:CD incidence ratio reduced from 8.9 to 1.0 over 30 years (P < 0.001). A family history of IBD was reported in 3.0% of patients. Stricturing or penetrating disease was found in 41% and perianal disease in 25% of patients with CD. 5-aminosalicylate use was common in UC (96%) and CD (89%). Cumulative rates of surgery for CD were 20.3% at 1 year and 25.7% at 5 years, and the corresponding rates for UC were 1.8% and 2.1%, respectively. Mortality for CD and UC was not significantly different from the general population.ConclusionsIn a population-based study in Hong Kong, prevalence of IBD is lower than in the west although comparable to that of other East Asian countries. Complicated CD is common. Overall mortality remains low in Asians with IBD.

ObjectiveNon-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affects 20–40% of the general adult population. Due to shared risk factors, it is postulated that NAFLD patients have an increased risk of colorectal neoplasm and should be a target group for screening. The aim of this study was to examine the prevalence of colorectal neoplasm in NAFLD patients and the risk of colorectal neoplasm in relation to the severity of NAFLD histology.DesignCross-sectional study.SettingUniversity hospital with case recruitment from the community and clinics.PatientsSubjects aged 40–70 years were recruited for colonoscopic screening from two study cohorts: (1) community subjects; and (2) consecutive patients with biopsy proven NAFLD. In the community cohort, hepatic fat was measured by proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy.Main outcome measuresPrevalence of colorectal adenomas. Advanced colorectal neoplasm was defined as cancer or adenomas with villous architecture or high grade dysplasia.ResultsNAFLD patients (N=199) had a higher prevalence of colorectal adenomas (34.7% vs 21.5%; p=0.043) and advanced neoplasms (18.6% vs 5.5%; p=0.002) than healthy controls (N=181). Thirteen of 29 (45%) NAFLD patients with advanced neoplasms had isolated lesions in the right sided colon. Among patients with biopsy proven NAFLD, patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (N=49) had a higher prevalence of adenomas (51.0% vs 25.6%; p=0.005) and advanced neoplasms (34.7% vs 14.0%; p=0.011) than those with simple steatosis (N=86). After adjusting for demographic and metabolic factors, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis remained associated with adenomas (adjusted OR 4.89, 95% CI 2.04 to 11.70) and advanced neoplasms (OR 5.34, 95% CI 1.92 to 14.84). In contrast, the prevalence of adenomas and advanced neoplasms was similar between patients with simple steatosis and control subjects.ConclusionsNon-alcoholic steatohepatitis is associated with a high prevalence of colorectal adenomas and advanced neoplasms. The adenomas are found more commonly in the right sided colon. Colorectal cancer screening is strongly indicated in this high risk group.

Studies on cancer risk in inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have yielded inconsistent results. We conducted a population-based study to determine the risk of cancer in patients with Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC). Using a territory-wide IBD registry in Hong Kong, we identified 2621 patients with IBD and no history of cancer from 1990 to 2016. We followed them from diagnosis until either September 2016, cancer development, proctocolectomy, or death. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of overall cancer and site-specific cancers were calculated. Of 2621 patients with IBD (1108 CD; 1603 UC; median age, 49 yr; 59.5% men) followed for 26,234 person-years, 88 patients developed cancer after IBD diagnosis. Patients with CD had an increased risk of anorectal cancers (SIR 4.11; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.84-9.14) and hematological cancers (SIR 3.86, 95% CI, 1.61-9.27) including leukemia (SIR 5.98; 95% CI, 1.93-18.54). Nonmelanoma skin cancer was significantly increased in both CD and UC (CD: SIR 13.88; 95% CI, 1.95-98.51; UC: SIR 9.05; 95% CI, 2.26-36.19). Patients with CD had a higher risk of renal-cell carcinoma (SIR 6.89; 95% CI, 2.22-21.37), and patients with UC had a higher risk of prostate cancer (SIR 2.47; 95% CI, 1.24-4.95). In a population-based study, Chinese patients with CD are at an increased risk of anorectal cancers and hematological cancers compared with the general population. A higher risk of nonmelanoma skin cancer was also observed in CD and UC. Cancer surveillance should be considered.

Background Because of high-risk behaviours, sedentary lifestyle and side effects of medications, psychiatric patients are at risk of viral hepatitis, alcohol-related liver disease and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. We aimed to study the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and cirrhotic complications in psychiatric patients. Methods We identified consecutive adult patients in all public hospitals and clinics in Hong Kong with psychiatric diagnoses between year 2003 and 2007 using the Clinical Data Analysis and Reporting System, which represents in-patient and out-patient data of approximately 80% of the 7.4-million local population. The patients were followed for liver-related events (HCC and cirrhotic complications) and deaths until December 2017. Age- and sex-standardized incidence ratio (SIR) of HCC in psychiatric patients to the general population was estimated by Poisson model. Results We included 105,763 psychiatric patients without prior liver-related events in the final analysis. During a median (interquartile range) follow-up of 12.4 (11.0–13.7) years, 1461 (1.4%) patients developed liver-related events; 472 (0.4%) patients developed HCC. Compared with the general population, psychiatric patients had increased incidence of HCC (SIR 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–1.57, P  < 0.001). The SIR was highest in patients with drug-induced (SIR 3.18, 95% CI 2.41–4.11, P  < 0.001) and alcohol-induced mental disorders (SIR 2.98, 95% CI 2.30–3.81, P  < 0.001), but was also increased in patients with psychotic disorders (SIR 1.39, 95% CI 1.16–1.65, P  < 0.001) and mood disorders (SIR 1.16, 95% CI 1.00–1.34, P  = 0.047). Liver disease was the fifth most common cause of death in this population, accounting for 595 of 10,614 (5.6%) deaths. Importantly, 569 (38.9%) patients were not known to have liver diseases at the time of liver-related events. The median age at HCC diagnosis (61 [range 26–83] years) was older and the median overall survival (8.0 [95% CI 5.0–10.9] months) after HCC diagnosis was shorter in this cohort of psychiatric patients than other reports from Hong Kong. Conclusions HCC, cirrhotic complications, and liver-related deaths are common in psychiatric patients, but liver diseases are often undiagnosed. More efforts are needed to identify liver diseases in the psychiatric population so that treatments and screening for HCC and varices can be provided to patients in need.

Background: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has affected millions of individuals since December 2019, resulting in significant morbidity and mortality globally. During the 1918 Influenza Pandemic, it was observed that influenza was associated with bacterial co-infections. However, empirical or prophylactic antibiotic use during viral pandemics should be balanced against the associated adverse drug events. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, we investigated bacterial co-infections in adults with COVID-19 in Hong Kong. Notably, at the time of writing this report, patients with varying disease severities were isolated in hospitals until confirmatory evidence of virological clearance or immunity was available. The study included adults with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to a single hospital cluster between 8 January 2020 and 1 May 2020. We obtained data regarding patient demographics, clinical presentations, blood test results, treatment, and outcomes. Bacteriological profiles and risk factors for co-infections were investigated. Antibiotic prescription practices were also reviewed. Results: Of the 147 patients recruited, clinical disease was suspected in 42% (n = 62) of patients who underwent testing for other respiratory infections. Notably, 35% (n = 52) of the patients were prescribed empirical antibiotics, predominantly penicillins or cephalosporins. Of these, 35% (n = 18) received more than one class of antibiotics and 37% (n = 19) received empirical antibiotics for over 1 week. Overall, 8.2% (n = 12) of patients developed bacterial co-infections since the detection of COVID-19 until discharge. Methicillin-susceptible Staphylococcus aureus was the most common causative pathogen identified. Although 8.2% (n = 12) of patients developed hypoxia and required oxygen therapy, no mortality was observed. Multivariate analysis showed that pneumonic changes on chest radiography at the time of admission predicted bacterial co-infections. Conclusion: These findings emphasise the importance of judicious administration of antibiotics throughout the disease course of COVID-19 and highlight the role of antimicrobial stewardship during a pandemic.

ObjectiveTransitional care is important to successful hospital discharge. Providing patients with a clear and concise summary of medication-related information can help improve outcomes, in particular, among older adults. The present study aimed to propose a framework for the development of salient medication reminders (SMR), which include drug-related risks and precautions, using the Delphi process.DesignIdentification of potential SMR statements for 80% of medication types used by older adult patients discharged from geriatric medicine departments, followed by a Delphi survey and expert panel discussion.SettingsMedical and geriatric departments of public hospitals in Hong Kong.ParticipantsA panel of 13 geriatric medical experts.Outcome measureA Likert scale ranging from 1 (strongly disagree) to 5 (strongly agree) points, scoring item relevance, importance and clarity. The minimum of 70% consensus was required for each statement to be included.ResultsThe expert panel achieved consensus through the Delphi process on 80 statements for 44 medication entities. Subsequently, the SMR steering group endorsed the inclusion of these statements in the SMR to be disseminated among older adults at the time of discharge from geriatric medicine departments.ConclusionsThe Delphi process contributed to the development of SMR for older adult patients discharged from public hospitals in Hong Kong. Patient experience with and staff response to the SMR were assessed at four hospitals before implementation at all public hospitals.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is increasing in prevalence worldwide. This study aimed to validate the NAFLD fibrosis score in the Chinese population. NAFLD patients were prospectively recruited for liver biopsy and blood tests. The NAFLD fibrosis score was calculated as -1.675 + 0.037 x age (yr) + 0.094 x BMI (kg/m(2)) + 1.13 x impaired fasting glucose/diabetes (yes = 1, no = 0) + 0.99 x AST/ALT ratio-0.013 x platelet (x10(9)/L)-0.66 x albumin (g/dL). Advanced fibrosis was defined as stage 3 to 4 fibrosis. One hundred sixty-two patients (age 46 +/- 10 yr, male 59%) were included in the study. Advanced fibrosis was found in 18 (11%) patients. Only 11 of 128 patients with the NAFLD fibrosis score below the proposed low cutoff point (<-1.455) were under-staged, resulting in a high negative predictive value of 91%. Only two patients exceeded the proposed high cutoff point (>0.676), but neither had advanced fibrosis. If the NAFLD fibrosis score was implemented in the Chinese population, 79% of liver biopsies could be avoided. The NAFLD fibrosis score has high negative predictive value in excluding advanced fibrosis in the Chinese population, and can reduce the burden of liver biopsy in the vast majority of cases. Since there were few cases of advanced fibrosis in this cohort, this study had limited power in validating the high cutoff point.

Mucosal healing (MH) has been associated with improved outcomes in ulcerative colitis but factors associated with MH are not well defined.MethodsConsecutive patients with ulcerative colitis in clinical remission (Mayo symptomatic subscore = 0) who had at least 1 colonoscopy since diagnosis from 6 centers were included. For patients who had at least 2 colonoscopies during follow-up, each colonoscopy was reviewed to define whether they had early MH (Mayo endoscopic subscore reduced to 0 within 3 yr of clinical remission). Factors associated with MH and early MH were determined using logistic regression.ResultsTwo hundred thirty-seven patients with ulcerative colitis (mean age 50.39 ± 14.10 yr; 56.5% male) were included. Independent factors for MH were clinical remission >3 years (odds ratio [OR] 4.0; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.2–13.1), mild/moderate mucosal inflammation (OR 3.3; 95% CI, 1.3–8.5), and immunosuppressant use (OR 4.6; 95% CI, 1.5–14.6). Among patients who had ≥2 of above factors, 74% achieved MH, whereas only 39% with <2 factors achieved MH (P < 0.001). Of patients in clinical remission <1 year, 1 to 3 years and >3 years, 30%, 45.9%, and 62.9% achieved MH, respectively. Immunosuppressant therapy was associated with early MH (P = 0.025). In multivariate analysis, patients with previous mild inflammation were more likely to achieve early MH than those with moderate/severe inflammation (OR 2.8; 95% CI, 1.2–6.2).ConclusionsA longer disease remission, previous less severe mucosal inflammation, and immunosuppressant use are associated with MH. Severity of mucosal inflammation and use of immunosuppressant are also associated with early MH.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to study the relationship between the hepatitis B virus (HBV) genotypes, core promoter/precore stop codon mutations, and histological liver damage among hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients. METHODS: Liver biopsy specimens of 55 HBeAg-negative chronic HBV-infected patients were studied. A histological activity index was scored for degree of necroinflammation (HAI-NI) and fibrosis (HAI-F) as described by Knodell et al. HBV DNA was determined by a cross-linking assay and polymerase chain reaction (PCR) at the core promoter/precore region and the S region. PCR-positive samples were directly sequenced for core promoter and precore mutations and examined by restriction fragment length polymorphism for genotyping. RESULTS: Forty-one males and 14 females at a median age of 43 were studied. HBV DNA was detectable in 32 (58%) and 37 (67%) patients by the cross-linking assay and PCR, respectively, at the time of liver biopsy. The median (range) HAI-NI and HAI-F scores were 5 (1–10) and 2 (0–4), respectively. HBV DNA detectable by either the cross-linking assay or PCR was associated with a higher HAI-NI score. Eleven and 31 patients had genotypes B and C HBV, respectively. Genotype C HBV was associated with higher HAI-NI than genotype B HBV. Core promoter mutations and precore stop codon mutation were detected in 74% and 40% patients, respectively, but they were not associated with higher HAI-NI or HAI-F scores. CONCLUSIONS: Detectable HBV DNA and genotype C HBV, but not core promoter or precore stop codon mutations, are associated with more severe liver damage in HBeAg-negative patients.