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In the 1990s, water level in the closed-basin Lake Van located in the Eastern Anatolia, Turkey, has risen up about 2 m. Analysis of the hydrometeorological data shows that change in the water level is related to the water budget of the lake. In this study, stochastic models are proposed for simulating monthly water level data. Two models considering mono- and multiple-trend time series are developed. The models are derived after removal of trend and periodicity in the dataset. Trend observed in the lake water level time series is fitted by mono- and multiple-trend lines. In the so-called mono-trend model, the time series is treated as a whole under the hypothesis that the lake water level has an increasing trend. In the second model (so-called multiple-trend), the time series is divided into a number of segments to each a linear trend can be fitted separately. Application on the lake water level data shows that four segments, each fitted with a trend line, are meaningful. Both the mono- and multiple-trend models are used for simulation of synthetic lake water level time series under the hypothesis that the observed mono- and multiple-trend structure of the lake water level persist during the simulation period. The multiple-trend model is found better for planning the future infrastructural projects in surrounding areas of the lake as it generates higher maxima for the simulated lake water level.

A comprehensive process-based rainfall-runoff model for simulating overland flow generated in rills and on interrill areas of a hillslope is evaluated using a laboratory experimental data set. For laboratory experiments, a rainfall simulator has been constructed together with a 6.50 m × 1.36 m erosion flume that can be given adjustable slopes changing between 5 % and 20 % in both longitudinal and lateral directions. The model is calibrated and validated using experimental data of simulated rainfall intensities between 45 and 105 mm/h. Results show that the model is capable of simulating the flow coming from the rill and interrill areas. It is found that most of the flow occurs in the form of rill flow. The hillslope-scale model can be used for better prediction of overland flow at the watershed-scale; it can also be used as a building block for an associated erosion and sediment transport model.

For the offline segmentation of long hydrometeological time series, a new algorithm which combines the dynamic programming with the recently introduced remaining cost concept of branch-and-bound approach is developed. The algorithm is called modified dynamic programming (mDP) and segments the time series based on the first-order statistical moment. Experiments are performed to test the algorithm on both real world and artificial time series comprising of hundreds or even thousands of terms. The experiments show that the mDP algorithm produces accurate segmentations in much shorter time than previously proposed segmentation algorithms.

Time series analysis is an important issue in the earth science-related engineering applications such as hydrology, meteorology and environmetrics. Inconsistency and nonhomogeneity that might arise in a time series yield segments with different statistical characteristics. In this study, an algorithm based on the first order statistical moment (average) of a time series is developed and applied on five time series with length ranging from 84 items to nearly 1,300. Comparison to the existing segmentation algorithms proves the applicability and usefulness of the proposed algorithm in long hydrometeorological and geophysical time series analysis.

Echocardiographically seen thrombus formation did not regress despite anticoagulant (heparin) and/or trombolytic (tissue plasminogen activator-tPA) administered for 3 weeks. 64 detector multislice CT angiography was performed in order to evaluate coronary arteries better.

First cardiac examination at delivery room revealed an arrhythmia on auscultation with an extra beat at every other beat with a heart rate 138/min and apical systolic murmur of 1-2/6.

Method A 7 year-old boy presented with complaints of cough and chest pain admitted to emergency department after seven days of getting antibiotics for URTI.

Transthoracic echocardiography revealed a patent foramen ovale with a high right-to-left shunt due to suprasystemic right-sided pressures, severe tricupid jet 150 mmHg, systolic doming and thickening of pulmonary valve and bulging of the interatrial and interventricular septum from right to the left (Figure 1).

In this study, three algorithms are presented for time series segmentation. The first algorithm is based on the branch-and-bound approach, the second on the dynamic programming while the third is a modified version of the latter into which the remaining cost concept of the former is introduced. A user-friendly computer program called AUG-Segmenter is developed. Segmentation-by-constant and segmentation-by-linear-regression can be performed by the program. The program is tested on real-world time series of thousands of terms and found useful in performing segmentation satisfactorily and fast.

Discussion Cardiac hydatid cysts are extremely rare particularly in the pediatric age. Because of its potential risk for rupture resulting in systemic or pulmonary dissemination, embolism or anaphylactic shock, prompt diagnosis and early surgery is crucial.