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•We investigated SARS-CoV-2 Variant-specific transmission during high-risk exposure.•Vaccination and prior infection reduced Alpha, Delta and Omicron transmission.•Escape from vaccine-induced and infection-acquired immunity was highest for Omicron.•Protection against Omicron by primary-vaccination had little effect on susceptibility.•Lower infectiousness after vaccination waned slowly and was less affected by variants. Vaccine effectiveness against transmission (VET) of SARS-CoV-2-infection can be estimated from secondary attack rates observed during contact tracing. We estimated VET, the vaccine-effect on infectiousness of the index case and susceptibility of the high-risk exposure contact (HREC). We fitted RT-PCR-test results from HREC to immunity status (vaccine schedule, prior infection, time since last immunity-conferring event), age, sex, calendar week of sampling, household, background positivity rate and dominant VOC using a multilevel Bayesian regression-model. We included Belgian data collected between January 2021 and January 2022. For primary BNT162b2-vaccination we estimated initial VET at 96% (95%CI 95–97) against Alpha, 87% (95%CI 84–88) against Delta and 31% (95%CI 25–37) against Omicron. Initial VET of booster-vaccination (mRNA primary and booster-vaccination) was 87% (95%CI 86–89) against Delta and 68% (95%CI 65–70) against Omicron. The VET-estimate against Delta and Omicron decreased to 71% (95%CI 64–78) and 55% (95%CI 46–62) respectively, 150–200 days after booster-vaccination. Hybrid immunity, defined as vaccination and documented prior infection, was associated with durable and higher or comparable (by number of antigen exposures) protection against transmission. While we observed VOC-specific immune-escape, especially by Omicron, and waning over time since immunization, vaccination remained associated with a reduced risk of SARS-CoV-2-transmission.

In Belgium, high-risk contacts of an infected person were offered PCR-testing irrespective of their vaccination status. We estimated vaccine effectiveness (VE) against infection and onwards transmission, controlling for previous infections, household-exposure and temporal trends. We included 301,741 tests from 25 January to 24 June 2021. Full-schedule vaccination was associated with significant protection against infection. In addition, mRNA-vaccines reduced onward transmission: VE-estimates increased to >90% when index and contact were fully vaccinated. The small number of viral-vector vaccines included limited interpretability.

•We quantified the effect of the VOC and waning on vaccine and infection-acquired immunity (VE).•VE against infectiousness (VEi) and susceptibility (VEs) was significant against Alpha and Delta.•Delta was associated with increased transmission and reduced VE, especially VEi.•Vaccine-induced immunity waned faster than hybrid immunity. During the first half of 2021, we observed high vaccine effectiveness (VE) against SARS-CoV2-infection. The replacement of the alpha-‘variant of concern’ (VOC) by the delta-VOC and uncertainty about the time course of immunity called for a re-assessment. We estimated VE against transmission of infection (VET) from Belgian contact tracing data for high-risk exposure contacts between 26/01/2021 and 14/12/2021 by susceptibility (VEs) and infectiousness of breakthrough cases (VEi) for a complete schedule of Ad26.COV2.S, ChAdOx1, BNT162b2, mRNA-1273 as well as infection-acquired and hybrid immunity. We used a multilevel Bayesian model and adjusted for personal characteristics (age, sex, household), background exposure, calendar week, VOC and time since immunity conferring-event. VET-estimates were higher for mRNA-vaccines, over 90%, compared to viral vector vaccines: 66% and 80% for Ad26COV2.S and ChAdOx1 respectively (Alpha, 0–50 days after vaccination). Delta was associated with a 40% increase in odds of transmission and a decrease of VEs (72–64%) and especially of VEi (71–46% for BNT162b2). Infection-acquired and hybrid immunity were less affected by Delta. Waning further reduced VET-estimates: from 81% to 63% for BNT162b2 (Delta, 150–200 days after vaccination). We observed lower initial VEi in the age group 65–84 years (32% vs 46% in the age group 45–64 years for BNT162b2) and faster waning. Hybrid immunity waned slower than vaccine-induced immunity. VEi and VEs-estimates, while remaining significant, were reduced by Delta and waned over time. We observed faster waning in the oldest age group. We should seek to improve vaccine-induced protection in older persons and those vaccinated with viral-vector vaccines.

Background Since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, most research has focused on the acute phase of COVID-19, yet some people experience symptoms beyond, referred to as post COVID-19 conditions (PCC). However, evidence on PCC and its impacts on health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is still scarce. This study aimed to assess the impact of COVID-19 and PCC on HRQoL. Methods This is a longitudinal cohort study of the Belgian adult population with recent SARS-CoV-2 infection. In total, 5,727 people were followed up between the time of their infection and three months later. HRQoL was measured with the EQ-5D-5L questionnaire before and during the infection and three months later. Linear mixed regression models were built to assess the longitudinal association between participants’ characteristics and the evolution of their HRQoL. Results This study found a significant decline in HRQoL during the SARS-CoV-2 infection in comparison to the situation before (β=-9.91, 95%CI=-10.13;-9.85), but no clinically important difference three months after the infection compared to the situation before, except among people reporting PCC (β=-11.15, 95%CI=-11.72;-10.51). The main symptoms of PCC with a significant negative impact on the different dimensions of HRQoL were fatigue/exhaustion (21%), headache (11%), memory problems (10%), shortness of breath (9%), and joint (7%) or muscle pain (6%). The dimension of HRQoL most negatively affected by several PCC symptoms was pain/discomfort. Conclusions With the growing number of people infected with SARS-CoV-2, PCC and its impact on HRQoL are becoming important public health issues. To allow people with PCC to recover and to limit its detrimental impact on HRQoL, it is essential to manage its various heterogeneous symptoms using a multidisciplinary approach.

Background Through contact tracing, researchers could reconstruct chains of linked cases by linking High-Risk Exposure Contacts (HREC) testing positive to their index case. We present chain-level descriptives, delays and an individual-level analysis of the events that determine chain progression. Methods We used data from contact tracing outside of collectivities between September 2020 and March 2022 in Belgium. We present chain-level generation counts and structure. The individual-level analysis focusses on the events necessary to establish transmission chains from index cases: inclusion, successful contact with the call center, reporting HREC, identifying HREC and testing of HREC. We adjusted for age, sex, household, calendar time, region, vaccination, laboratory-confirmed prior infection, viral load, symptoms and the place in the transmission chain: we differentiated Cases Identified As HREC (CIAH, index cases that had been identified as HREC of another index case) from primary cases. Results The percentage of CIAH over all cases was 14% and most CIAH (63%) were household-members of the index case. Unsuccessful contact of cases (34% of all index cases) and reporting no HREC (53% of successfully contacted index cases) ended most chains. Among identified HREC, 75% had at least one test result. Persons age 65 and over were less likely successfully contacted (OR 0.59 (95%CI 0.58–0.59)), reporting HREC (OR 0.55 (95%CI 0.54–0.56)) or tested as HREC (OR 0.87 (95%CI 0.85–0.89), reference 25–44 year old). Compared to primary cases, CIAH were associated with less HREC and lower HREC test positivity. Delays however were comparable. The delay from symptom-onset to test result exceeded 4 days for 29% of CIAH. Conclusions While contact tracing effectively reduced transmission within identified chains, over 80% of cases remained unlinked due to, amongst others, contact failures and non-reporting of HREC. Future efforts would benefit from operational improvements and enhanced population participation.

Background While many studies on the determinants of post-COVID-19 conditions (PCC) have been conducted, little is known about the relationship between SARS-CoV-2 variants and PCC. This study aimed to assess the association between different SARS-CoV-2 variants and the probability of having PCC three months after the infection. Methods This study was a longitudinal cohort study conducted between April 2021 and September 2022 in Belgium. In total, 8,238 adults with a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection were followed up between the time of their infection and three months later. The primary outcomes were the PCC status three months post infection and seven PCC symptoms categories (neurocognitive, autonomic, gastrointestinal, respiratory, musculoskeletal, anosmia and/or dysgeusia, and other manifestations). The main exposure variable was the type of SARS-CoV-2 variants (i.e. Alpha, Delta, and Omicron), extracted from national surveillance data. The association between the different SARS-CoV-2 variants and PCC as well as PCC symptoms categories was assessed using multivariable logistic regression. Results The proportion of PCC among participants infected during the Alpha, Delta, and Omicron-dominant periods was significantly different and respectively 50%, 50%, and 37%. Participants infected during the Alpha- and Delta-dominant periods had a significantly higher odds of having PCC than those infected during the Omicron-dominant period (OR = 1.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.33–1.96 and OR = 1.73, 95%CI = 1.54–1.93, respectively). Participants infected during the Alpha and Delta-dominant periods were more likely to report neurocognitive, respiratory, and anosmia/dysgeusia symptoms of PCC. Conclusions People infected during the Alpha- and Delta-dominant periods had a higher probability of having PCC three months after infection than those infected during the Omicron-dominant period. The lower probability of PCC with the Omicron variant must also be interpreted in absolute figures. Indeed, the number of infections with the Omicron variant being higher than with the Alpha and Delta variants, it is possible that the overall prevalence of PCC in the population increases, even if the probability of having a PCC decreases.

Background In Belgium, current research on socio-economic inequalities in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) crisis has mainly focused on excess mortality and data from the first epidemiological wave. The current study adds onto this by examining the association between COVID-19 incidence and area deprivation during the first five wave and interwave periods, thus adding a temporal gradient to the analyses. Methods We use all confirmed COVID-19 cases between March 2020 and June 2021 in Belgium, aggregated at the municipality-level. These data were collected by the national laboratory-based COVID-19 surveillance system. A level of area deprivation was assigned to each Belgian municipality using data of three socio-economic variables: the share of unemployed persons in the active population, the share of households without a car and the share of low-educated persons. The spatio-temporal association between COVID-19 incidence and area deprivation was assessed by performing multivariate negative-binomial regression analyses and computing population attributable fractions. Results A significant association between COVID-19 incidence and area deprivation was found over the entire study period, with the incidence in the most deprived areas predicted to be 24% higher than in the least deprived areas. This effect was dependent on the period during the COVID-19 crisis. The largest socio-economic inequalities in COVID-19 infections could be observed during wave 2 and wave 3, with a clear disadvantage for deprived areas. Conclusion Our results provide new insights into spatio-temporal patterns of socio-economic inequalities in COVID-19 incidence in Belgium. They reveal the existence of inequalities and a shift of these patterns over time.

Background Self-testing has been promoted as a means of increasing COVID-19 test coverage. In Belgium, self-testing was recommended as a complement to the formal, provider-administered indications, such as out of courtesy before meeting others and when feared to be infected. More than a year after the introduction of self-testing their place in the test strategy was evaluated. Methods We assessed trends in the number of self-tests sold, the number of positive self-tests reported, the proportion sold self-tests/total tests, and the proportion of all positive tests that were confirmed self-tests. To evaluate the reason why people use self-tests, we used the results of two online surveys among members of the general population: one among 27,397 people, held in April 2021, and one among 22,354 people, held in December 2021. Results The use of self-tests became substantial from end 2021 onwards. In the period mid-November 2021 – end-of-June 2022, the average proportion of reported sold self-tests to all COVID-19 tests was 37% and 14% of all positive tests were positive self-tests. In both surveys, the main reported reasons for using a self-test were having symptoms (34% of users in April 2021 and 31% in December 2021) and after a risk contact (27% in both April and December). Moreover, the number of self-tests sold, and the number of positive self-tests reported closely followed the same trend as the provider-administered tests in symptomatic people and high risk-contacts, which reinforces the hypothesis that they were mainly used for these two indications. Conclusions From end 2021 onwards, self-testing covered a significant part of COVID-19 testing in Belgium, which increased without doubt the testing coverage. However, the available data seem to indicate that self-testing was mostly used for indications outside of official recommendations. If and how this affected the control of the epidemic remains unknown.

Background Burden of disease estimates have become important population health metrics over the past decade to measure losses in health. In Belgium, the disease burden caused by COVID-19 has not yet been estimated, although COVID-19 has emerged as one of the most important diseases. Therefore, the current study aims to estimate the direct COVID-19 burden in Belgium, observed despite policy interventions, during 2020 and 2021, and compare it to the burden from other causes. Methods Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) are the sum of Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) and Years of Life Lost (YLLs) due to disease. DALYs allow comparing the burden of disease between countries, diseases, and over time. We used the European Burden of Disease Network consensus disease model for COVID-19 to estimate DALYs related to COVID-19. Estimates of person-years for (a) acute non-fatal disease states were calculated from a compartmental model, using Belgian seroprevalence, social contact, hospital, and intensive care admission data, (b) deaths were sourced from the national COVID-19 mortality surveillance, and (c) chronic post-acute disease states were derived from a Belgian cohort study. Results In 2020, the total number of COVID-19 related DALYs was estimated at 253,577 [252,541 − 254,739], which is higher than in 2021, when it was 139,281 [136,704 − 142,306]. The observed COVID-19 burden was largely borne by the elderly, and over 90% of the burden was attributable to premature mortality (i.e., YLLs). In younger people, morbidity (i.e., YLD) contributed relatively more to the DALYs, especially in 2021, when vaccination was rolled out. Morbidity was mainly attributable to long-lasting post-acute symptoms. Conclusion COVID-19 had a substantial impact on population health in Belgium, especially in 2020, when COVID-19 would have been the main cause of disease burden if all other causes had maintained their 2019 level.

ObjectivesSince the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, most research has focused on its acute pathophysiology, yet some people tend to experience persisting symptoms beyond the acute phase of infection, referred to as post COVID-19 condition (PCC). However, evidence on PCC is still scarce. This study aimed to assess the distribution, classification of symptoms and associated factors of PCC in adults.DesignLongitudinal online cohort study.SettingNational study in Belgium.ParticipantsParticipants were Belgian adults with a recent SARS-CoV-2 infection and were recruited when called up for contact tracing. A total of 3039 participants were included and completed an online questionnaire at the time of their infection and again 3 months later.Outcome measuresThe baseline questionnaire assessed the initial health status of the participants and their status during the acute phase of the infection. The follow-up questionnaire assessed their PCC status 3 months after infection. A latent class analysis (LCA) was performed to assess whether there are different classes of individuals with a similar set of self-reported PCC symptoms.ResultsHalf of the participants reported PCC 3 months after infection (47%). The most frequent symptoms were fatigue (21%), headache (11%) and memory problems (10%). The LCA highlighted three different classes of PCC symptoms with different risk factors: (1) a combination of loss of smell and taste, (2) a combination of neurological symptoms and (3) other heterogeneous symptoms.ConclusionsWith the increasing number of people who underwent COVID-19, PCC has become an important but complex public health problem due to the heterogeneity of its symptoms. The classification of symptoms performed in this study can help give insight into different aetiologies of PCC and better plan care according to the symptoms and needs of those affected.