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Multiple biomarkers have been investigated in the risk stratification of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). This systematic review and meta-analysis is the first to investigate the prognostic value of (NT-pro)BNP in patients with PAH. A systematic literature search was performed using MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library and Google scholar to identify studies on the prognostic value of baseline (NT-pro)BNP levels in PAH. Studies reporting hazard ratios (HR) for the endpoints mortality or lung transplant were included. A random effects meta-analysis was performed to calculate the pooled HR of (NT-pro)BNP levels at the time of diagnosis. To account for different transformations applied to (NT-pro)BNP, the HR was calculated for a 2-fold difference of the weighted mean (NT-pro)BNP level of 247 pmol/L, for studies reporting a HR based on a continuous (NT-pro)BNP measurement. Sixteen studies were included, representing 6999 patients (mean age 45.2-65.0 years, 97.3% PAH). Overall, 1460 patients reached the endpoint during a mean follow-up period between 1 and 10 years. Nine studies reported HRs based on cut-off values. The risk of mortality or lung transplant was increased for both elevated NT-proBNP and BNP with a pooled HR based on unadjusted HRs of 2.75 (95%-CI: 1.86-4.07) and 3.87 (95% CI 2.69-5.57) respectively. Six studies reported HRs for (NT-pro)BNP on a continues scale. A 2-fold difference of the weighted mean NT-proBNP resulted in an increased risk of mortality or lung transplant with a pooled HR of 1.17 (95%-CI: 1.03-1.32). Increased levels of (NT-pro)BNP are associated with a significantly increased risk of mortality or lung transplant in PAH patients.

Completeness of follow-up is a crucial aspect of data quality in cohort studies and clinical trials. This study aims to provide an overview of different methods to calculate follow-up completeness. In addition, the performance of these methods is tested in several scenarios using simulated datasets and a use case, with the aim of guiding researchers in selecting the most appropriate method for their data. The literature was searched for methods of quantification of follow-up completeness. These methods were investigated in simulated datasets, in which the true completeness of follow-up was known. A total of 27 different scenarios were investigated, based on different survival distributions, total proportions of dropout of participants, and different time points of dropout. The methods were also investigated using real-world mortality data from the population-based Rotterdam Study cohort. Kaplan–Meier curves were used to depict observed survival, and completeness of follow-up was calculated in percentages using a freely available GitHub package developed by our research group. In total, six methods were found in the literature for quantification of follow-up completeness. Overall, two methods (the simplified person-time method and the modified Clark's Completeness Index C∗) were closest to the true follow-up completeness in the 27 scenarios. Researchers should make attempts to report follow-up completeness. This simulation study may assist researchers in selecting the most appropriate method to calculate follow-up completeness in different scenarios. •The Simplified Person-Time Method (SPT) performs best in most simulated scenarios.•This study provides an overview of when to use each method, depending on the dataset.•Researchers should make attempts to report follow-up completeness and methods used.

Consensus regarding optimal cerebral protection strategy in aortic arch surgery is lacking. We therefore performed a systematic review and meta-analysis to assess outcome differences between unilateral antegrade cerebral perfusion (ACP), bilateral ACP, retrograde cerebral perfusion (RCP) and deep hypothermic circulatory arrest (DHCA). A systematic literature search was performed in Embase, Medline, Web of Science, Cochrane and Google Scholar for all papers published till February 2021 reporting on early clinical outcome after aortic arch surgery utilizing either unilateral, bilateral ACP, RCP or DHCA. The primary outcome was operative mortality. Other key secondary endpoints were occurrence of postoperative disabling stroke, paraplegia, renal and respiratory failure. Pooled outcome risks were estimated using random-effects models. A total of 222 studies were included with a total of 43 720 patients. Pooled postoperative mortality in unilateral ACP group was 6.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 5.3–8.1%], 9.1% (95% CI 7.9–10.4%), 7.8% (95% CI 5.6–10.7%), 9.2% (95% CI 6.7–12.7%) in bilateral ACP, RCP and DHCA groups, respectively. The incidence of postoperative disabling stroke was 4.8% (95% CI 3.8–6.1%) in the unilateral ACP group, 7.3% (95% CI 6.2–8.5%) in bilateral ACP, 6.4% (95% CI 4.4–9.1%) in RCP and 6.3% (95% CI 4.4–9.1%) in DHCA subgroups. The present meta-analysis summarizes the clinical outcomes of different cerebral protection techniques that have been used in clinical practice over the last decades. These outcomes may be used in advanced microsimulation model. These findings need to be placed in the context of the underlying aortic disease, the extent of the aortic disease and other comorbidities. Prospero registration number: CRD42021246372 METC: MEC-2019-0825

Aims Sufficient myocardial recovery with the subsequent explantation of a left ventricular assist device (LVAD) occurs in approximately 1–2% of the cases. However, follow‐up data about this condition are scarcely available in the literature. This study aimed to report the long‐term outcomes and clinical management following LVAD explantation. Methods and results An analysis of the European Registry for Patients with Mechanical Circulatory Support was performed to identify all adult patients with myocardial recovery and successful explantation. Pre‐implant characteristics were retrieved and compared with the non‐recovery patients. The follow‐up data after explantation were collected via a questionnaire. A Kaplan–Meier analysis for freedom of the composite endpoint of death, heart transplantation, LVAD reimplantion, or heart failure (HF) relapse was conducted. A total of 45 (1.4%) cases with myocardial recovery resulting in successful LVAD explantation were identified. Compared with those who did not experience myocardial recovery, the explanted patients were younger (44 vs. 56 years, P < 0.001), had a shorter duration of cardiac disease (P < 0.001), and were less likely to have ischaemic cardiomyopathy (9% vs. 41.8%, P < 0.001). Follow‐up after explantation could be acquired in 28 (62%) cases. The median age at LVAD implantation was 43 years (inter‐quartile range: 29–52), and 23 (82%) were male. Baseline left ventricular ejection fraction was 18% (inter‐quartile range: 10–20%), and 60.7% of the patients had Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support Profile 1 or 2. Aetiologies of HF were dilated cardiomyopathy in 36%, myocarditis in 32%, and ischaemic in 14% of the patients, and 18% had miscellaneous aetiologies. The devices implanted were HeartMate II in 14 (50%), HVAD in 11 (39%), HeartMate 3 in 2 (7%), and 1 unknown with a median duration of support of 410 days (range: 59–1286). The median follow‐up after explantation was 26 months (range 0.3–73 months), and 82% of the patients were in New York Heart Association Class I or II. Beta‐blockers were prescribed to 85%, angiotensin‐converting enzyme inhibitors to 71%, and loop diuretics to 50% of the patients, respectively. Freedom from the composite endpoint was 100% after 30 days and 88% after 2 years. Conclusions The survival after LVAD explantation is excellent without the need for heart transplantation or LVAD reimplantation. Only a minority of the patients suffer from a relapse of significant HF.

Proof-of-concept to determine the direct biomechanical effects of cardiac contractility modulation (CCM) on living myocardial slices (LMS) from patients with end-stage heart failure (HF). Left ventricular LMS from patients with end-stage HF were produced and cultured in a biomimetic system with mechanical loading and electrical stimulation. CCM stimulation (80 mA, 40 ms delay, 21 ms duration) enhanced maximum contractile force (CCM: 1229 µN (587–2658) vs. baseline: 1066 µN (529–2128), p = 0.05) and area under the contractile curve (CCM: 297 (151–562) vs. baseline: 243 (129–464), p = 0.05) but did not significantly impact contractile duration, time to peak, or time to relaxation. Increasing CCM stimulation delay, duration, and amplitude resulted in a higher fraction of LMS with a positive inotropic response. Furthermore, CCM attenuated the negative force-frequency relationship in HF-LMS. CCM stimulation enhanced contractile force in HF-LMS. The fraction of LMS exerting a positive inotropic response to CCM increased with increasing delay, duration, and amplitude settings, suggesting that personalizing stimulation parameters could optimize the beneficial effects of CCM. CCM is a novel device-based therapy that may improve contractile function, ejection fraction, functional outcomes, and quality of life in patients with heart failure. However, continuous efforts are needed to identify true responders to CCM therapy, understand the exact mechanisms, and optimize the contractile response to CCM stimulation. The present study revealed that CCM enhanced the contractile force of HF-LMS in a stimulation setting-dependent manner, reaching a larger fraction of the myocardium while increasing delay, duration, and amplitude. This understanding may contribute to the individualization of CCM stimulation settings.

PurposeWith the increasing interest in treatment decision-making based on risk prediction models, it is essential for clinicians to understand the steps in developing and interpreting such models.MethodsA retrospective registry of 20 Dutch hospitals with data on patients treated for castration-resistant prostate cancer was used to guide clinicians through the steps of developing a prediction model. The model of choice was the Cox proportional hazard model.ResultsUsing the exemplary dataset several essential steps in prediction modelling are discussed including: coding of predictors, missing values, interaction, model specification and performance. An advanced method for appropriate selection of main effects, e.g. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression, is described. Furthermore, the assumptions of Cox proportional hazard model are discussed, and how to handle violations of the proportional hazard assumption using time-varying coefficients.ConclusionThis study provides a comprehensive detailed guide to bridge the gap between the statistician and clinician, based on a large dataset of real-world patients treated for castration-resistant prostate cancer.

OBJECTIVES In complex double outlet right ventricle (DORV) patients, the optimal surgical approach may be difficult to assess based on conventional 2-dimensional (2D) ultrasound (US) and computed tomography (CT) imaging. The aim of this study is to assess the added value of 3-dimensional (3D) printed and 3D virtual reality (3D-VR) models of the heart used for surgical planning in DORV patients, supplementary to the gold standard 2D imaging modalities. METHODS Five patients with different DORV subtypes and high-quality CT scans were selected retrospectively. 3D prints and 3D-VR models were created. Twelve congenital cardiac surgeons and paediatric cardiologists, from 3 different hospitals, were shown 2D-CT first, after which they assessed the 3D print and 3D-VR models in random order. After each imaging method, a questionnaire was filled in on the visibility of essential structures and the surgical plan. RESULTS Spatial relationships were generally better visualized using 3D methods (3D printing/3D-VR) than in 2D. The feasibility of ventricular septum defect patch closure could be determined best using 3D-VR reconstructions (3D-VR 92%, 3D print 66% and US/CT 46%, P < 0.01). The percentage of proposed surgical plans corresponding to the performed surgical approach was 66% for plans based on US/CT, 78% for plans based on 3D printing and 80% for plans based on 3D-VR visualization. CONCLUSIONS This study shows that both 3D printing and 3D-VR have additional value for cardiac surgeons and cardiologists over 2D imaging, because of better visualization of spatial relationships. As a result, the proposed surgical plans based on the 3D visualizations matched the actual performed surgery to a greater extent. Double outlet right ventricle (DORV) is a complex congenital heart disease (CHD), in which both the pulmonary artery and the aorta originate predominantly (>50%) or completely from the morphologically right ventricle.

In this study, we aim to elucidate the clinical impact and long-term course of tricuspid regurgitation (TR), taking into account its dynamic nature, after biatrial orthotopic heart transplant (OHT). All consecutive adult patients undergoing biatrial OHT (1984−2017) with an available follow-up echocardiogram were included. Mixed-models were used to model the evolution of TR. The mixed-model was inserted into a Cox model in order to address the association of the dynamic TR with mortality. In total, 572 patients were included (median age: 50 years, males: 74.9%). Approximately 32% of patients had moderate-to-severe TR immediately after surgery. However, this declined to 11% on 5 years and 9% on 10 years after surgery, adjusted for survival bias. Pre-implant mechanical support was associated with less TR during follow-up, whereas concurrent LV dysfunction was significantly associated with more TR during follow-up. Survival at 1, 5, 10, 20 years was 97% ± 1%, 88% ± 1%, 66% ± 2% and 23% ± 2%, respectively. The presence of moderate-to-severe TR during follow-up was associated with higher mortality (HR: 1.07, 95% CI (1.02-1.12), p = 0.006). The course of TR was positively correlated with the course of creatinine (R = 0.45). TR during follow-up is significantly associated with higher mortality and worse renal function. Nevertheless, probability of TR is the highest immediately after OHT and decreases thereafter. Therefore, it may be reasonable to refrain from surgical intervention for TR during earlier phase after OHT.

BackgroundPrevious research on congenital aortic stenosis (AS) mainly focused on children, while data on long-term outcomes in adults is scarce. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate outcomes in adult patients with congenital AS and identify prognostic markers for aortic valve replacement (AVR).MethodsIn this multicentre study, patients aged 18–55 years with congenital AS (peak velocity ≥2.5 m/s) registered in the Dutch CONCOR (Congential Cor Vitia) registry from expert centres for congenital heart disease between 2001 and 2019 were included. Exclusion criteria were severe aortic regurgitation (AR) or prior AVR. Associations with the composite endpoint of all-cause mortality and AVR were assessed with multivariable Cox regression.ResultsOf the 427 included patients (median age 26 years, 62.5% male) median aortic peak velocity was 3.1 (IQR 2.7–3.6) m/s, 35% had moderate AR and 29% showed signs of left ventricular (LV) remodelling. During a median follow-up period of 7.9 (IQR 4.1–12.6) years, 7 patients died (1.6%) and 177 patients underwent AVR (41.5%). LV systolic dysfunction was the primary indication for AVR in three patients (1.7%). Peak velocity at baseline (HR 3.17, 95% CI 2.29 to 4.39), non-sinus rhythm (HR 3.12, 95% CI 1.62 to 6.02) and concentric LV geometry (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.04 to 2.58) were associated with the primary endpoint beside age. Significant male–female differences were observed in prognostic factors for the primary endpoint.ConclusionAVR was often indicated in adult patients with congenital AS, even if the stenosis at baseline was mild. Moreover, monitoring LV remodelling alongside severity of AS is more important than focusing on systolic LV dysfunction.

Abstract Aims This study aims to provide a contemporary overview of outcomes after tricuspid valve (TV) surgery for functional tricuspid regurgitation (TR). Methods and results The literature was systematically searched for papers published between January 2005 and December 2017 reporting on clinical/echocardiographic outcomes after TV surgery for functional TR. A random effects meta-analysis was conducted for outcome variables, and late outcomes are visualized by pooled Kaplan–Meier curves. Subgroup analyses were performed for studies with a within-study comparison of suture vs. ring repair and flexible vs. rigid ring repair. Eighty-seven publications were included, encompassing 13 184 patients (mean age: 62.1 ± 11.8 years, 55% females). A mitral valve procedure was performed in 92% of patients. Pooled mean follow-up was 4.0 ± 2.8 years. Pooled early mortality was 3.9% (95% CI: 3.2–4.6), and late mortality rate was 2.7%/year (95% CI: 2.0–3.5), of which approximately half was cardiac-related 1.2%/year (95% CI: 0.8–1.9). Pooled risk of early moderate-to-severe TR at discharge was 9.4% (95% CI: 7.0–12.1). Late moderate-to-severe TR rate after discharge was 1.9%/year (95% CI: 1.0–3.5). Late reintervention rate was 0.3%/year (95% CI: 0.2–0.4). Mortality and overall (early and late) TR rate were comparable between suture vs. ring annuloplasty (14 studies), whereas overall TR rate was higher after flexible ring vs. rigid ring annuloplasty (6 studies) (7.5%/year vs. 3.9%/year, P = 0.002). Conclusion This study shows that patients undergoing surgery for functional tricuspid regurgitation (FTR) have an acceptable early and late mortality. However, TR remains prevalent after surgery. The results of this study can be used to inform patients and clinicians about the expected outcome after surgery for FTR and can results serve as a benchmark for the performance of emerging transcatheter TV interventions.