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"Watts, Adam C"
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Unmanned Aircraft Systems in Remote Sensing and Scientific Research: Classification and Considerations of Use
by
Ambrosia, Vincent G.
,
Watts, Adam C.
,
Hinkley, Everett A.
in
aerial survey
,
Aircraft
,
Data collection
2012
Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) have evolved rapidly over the past decade driven primarily by military uses, and have begun finding application among civilian users for earth sensing reconnaissance and scientific data collection purposes. Among UAS, promising characteristics are long flight duration, improved mission safety, flight repeatability due to improving autopilots, and reduced operational costs when compared to manned aircraft. The potential advantages of an unmanned platform, however, depend on many factors, such as aircraft, sensor types, mission objectives, and the current UAS regulatory requirements for operations of the particular platform. The regulations concerning UAS operation are still in the early development stages and currently present significant barriers to entry for scientific users. In this article we describe a variety of platforms, as well as sensor capabilities, and identify advantages of each as relevant to the demands of users in the scientific research sector. We also briefly discuss the current state of regulations affecting UAS operations, with the purpose of informing the scientific community about this developing technology whose potential for revolutionizing natural science observations is similar to those transformations that GIS and GPS brought to the community two decades ago.
Journal Article
Brown carbon aerosols from burning of boreal peatlands: microphysical properties, emission factors, and implications for direct radiative forcing
2016
The surface air warming over the Arctic has been almost twice as much as the global average in recent decades. In this region, unprecedented amounts of smoldering peat fires have been identified as a major emission source of climate-warming agents. While much is known about greenhouse gas emissions from these fires, there is a knowledge gap on the nature of particulate emissions and their potential role in atmospheric warming. Here, we show that aerosols emitted from burning of Alaskan and Siberian peatlands are predominantly brown carbon (BrC) – a class of visible light-absorbing organic carbon (OC) – with a negligible amount of black carbon content. The mean fuel-based emission factors for OC aerosols ranged from 3.8 to 16.6 g kg−1. Their mass absorption efficiencies were in the range of 0.2–0.8 m2 g−1 at 405 nm (violet) and dropped sharply to 0.03–0.07 m2 g−1 at 532 nm (green), characterized by a mean Ångström exponent of ≈ 9. Electron microscopy images of the particles revealed their morphologies to be either single sphere or agglomerated “tar balls”. The shortwave top-of-atmosphere aerosol radiative forcing per unit optical depth under clear-sky conditions was estimated as a function of surface albedo. Only over bright surfaces with albedo greater than 0.6, such as snow cover and low-level clouds, the emitted aerosols could result in a net warming (positive forcing) of the atmosphere.
Journal Article
Patient and healthcare professional perspectives on which potential prognostic factors for failure of total elbow replacement should be investigated
by
Watts, Adam C.
,
Hamoodi, Zaid
,
Kearsley-Fleet, Lianne
in
Aged
,
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Elbow - adverse effects
,
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Elbow - psychology
2025
Background
Total elbow replacement (TER) is an established treatment for the painful arthritic elbow; however, TER has higher failure rates than other joint replacements, such as hip and knee replacement. Understanding the prognostic factors associated with failure of TER is essential for informed decision-making between patients and clinicians, patient selection, and service planning. The aim of this study is to explore the views of patients and healthcare professionals on which potential prognostic factors should be investigated in relation to TER failure.
Methods
This evaluation comprised of two Patient and Public Involvement (PPI) workshops and a survey. PPI workshop 1 consisted of five PPI participants who helped to develop a survey assessing the importance of potential prognostic factors to investigate. The survey was shared electronically with members of the British Elbow and Shoulder Society (BESS) and clinicians internationally. In PPI workshop 2, 15 PPI participants listed factors they thought important to investigate, and 12 completed the survey.
Results
Patients and healthcare professionals agreed that most factors in the survey should be investigated. Although this is not a comparative study, more of the healthcare professionals disagreed that ethnicity (49% v 33%) and VTE prophylaxis (42% v none) were important enough to be investigated, whilst more of the patients disagreed that socioeconomic status is important to be investigated (54% v 17%). Patients and healthcare professionals also suggested other factors not listed in the survey.
Conclusions
Patients and healthcare professionals agreed on the importance of investigating most prognostic factors, but some factors were favoured by only one group. The results of this evaluation could help researchers decide which prognostic factors to investigate and which to routinely collect.
Journal Article
Prognostic factors associated with failure of total elbow replacement: a protocol for analysis of National Joint Registry data in England
by
Sayers, Adrian
,
Sergeant, Jamie C
,
Hamoodi, Zaid
in
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Elbow - adverse effects
,
Clinical outcomes
,
Datasets
2025
IntroductionUnderstanding the prognostic factors associated with the failure of total elbow replacement (TER) is crucial for informing patients about risks and enabling shared decision-making regarding TER as a definitive management option. This protocol outlines the planned analysis of National Joint Registry (NJR) data to investigate prognostic factors for TER failure.Methods and analysisThe primary analysis will use the NJR elbow dataset, including all eligible patients who underwent TER surgery between April 2012 and December 2023. To incorporate ethnicity and comorbidities as potential prognostic factors, the NJR will be linked to the National Health Service (NHS) England Hospital Episode Statistics-Admitted Patient Care (HES-APC) data for a secondary analysis. The analysis will adhere to the REporting recommendations for tumour MARKer prognostic studies guidelines. The primary outcome under investigation is TER failure, defined as requiring revision surgery. Initially, the overall prognosis of TER will be examined using unadjusted net implant failure via the Kaplan-Meier method. The list of potential prognostic factors to be investigated in this study has been informed by a systematic review on this topic, input from patient and public involvement and engagement (PPIE) groups and a survey shared with healthcare professionals providing TER services. The relationship between each potential prognostic factor and failure will be assessed using univariable regression methods. Based on the findings from our systematic review, the univariable association will also be adjusted for age, sex and indication for TER surgery using multivariable regression methods. The extent of missing data will be reported, and the reasons for missing data will be explored. A very high degree of data completeness is expected, and a complete case analysis will be performed as the primary analysis. Multiple imputations will be considered as a sensitivity analysis.Ethics and disseminationThe NJR research committee approved this analysis, and the NHS Health Research Authority tool guidance dictates that the secondary use of such data for research does not require approval from a research ethics committee. The results from this analysis will be published in a peer-reviewed journal and presented at scientific conferences.Trial registration numberNCT06760585.
Journal Article
Gaseous, PM2.5 mass, and speciated emission factors from laboratory chamber peat combustion
2019
Peat fuels representing four biomes of boreal (western Russia and Siberia), temperate (northern Alaska, USA), subtropical (northern and southern Florida, USA), and tropical (Borneo, Malaysia) regions were burned in a laboratory chamber to determine gas and particle emission factors (EFs). Tests with 25 % fuel moisture were conducted with predominant smoldering combustion conditions (average modified combustion efficiency (MCE) =0.82±0.08). Average fuel-based EFCO2 (carbon dioxide) are highest (1400 ± 38 g kg−1) and lowest (1073 ± 63 g kg−1) for the Alaskan and Russian peats, respectively. EFCO (carbon monoxide) and EFCH4 (methane) are ∼12 %–15 % and ∼0.3 %–0.9 % of EFCO2, in the range of 157–171 and 3–10 g kg−1, respectively. EFs for nitrogen species are at the same magnitude as EFCH4, with an average of 5.6 ± 4.8 and 4.7 ± 3.1 g kg−1 for EFNH3 (ammonia) and EFHCN (hydrogen cyanide); 1.9±1.1 g kg−1 for EFNOx (nitrogen oxides); and 2.4±1.4 and 2.0 ± 0.7 g kg−1 for EFNOy (total reactive nitrogen) and EFN2O (nitrous oxide). An oxidation flow reactor (OFR) was used to simulate atmospheric aging times of ∼2 and ∼7 d to compare fresh (upstream) and aged (downstream) emissions. Filter-based EFPM2.5 varied by > 4-fold (14–61 g kg−1) without appreciable changes between fresh and aged emissions. The majority of EFPM2.5 consists of EFOC (organic carbon), with EFOC ∕ EFPM2.5 ratios in the range of 52 %–98 % for fresh emissions and ∼14 %–23 % degradation after aging. Reductions of EFOC (∼7–9 g kg−1) after aging are most apparent for boreal peats, with the largest degradation in low-temperature OC1 that evolves at < 140 ∘C, indicating the loss of high-vapor-pressure semivolatile organic compounds upon aging. The highest EFLevoglucosan is found for Russian peat (∼16 g kg−1), with ∼35 %–50 % degradation after aging. EFs for water-soluble OC (EFWSOC) account for ∼20 %–62 % of fresh EFOC. The majority (> 95 %) of the total emitted carbon is in the gas phase, with 54 %–75 % CO2, followed by 8 %–30 % CO. Nitrogen in the measured species explains 24 %–52 % of the consumed fuel nitrogen, with an average of 35 ± 11 %, consistent with past studies that report ∼1/3 to 2∕3 of the fuel nitrogen measured in biomass smoke. The majority (> 99 %) of the total emitted nitrogen is in the gas phase, with an average of 16.7 % as NH3 and 9.5 % as HCN. N2O and NOy constituted 5.7 % and 2.9 % of consumed fuel nitrogen. EFs from this study can be used to refine current emission inventories.
Journal Article
The Myths of Restoration Ecology
by
Randle, April M.
,
Watts, Adam C.
,
Hilderbrand, Robert H.
in
carbon copy
,
command and control
,
Conservation biology
2005
Journal Article
Total elbow replacement in England: a protocol for analysis of National Joint Registry and Hospital Episode Statistics data
by
Whitehouse, Michael R.
,
Watts, Adam C.
,
Sergeant, Jamie C.
in
Aged
,
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Elbow - statistics & numerical data
,
Elbow
2024
Introduction
Primary total elbow replacement (TER) services in England are being restructured with the goal of centralising care to specialised centres. It is important to monitor the impact of this service redesign. This protocol outlines an intended analysis to provide detailed descriptions of the patients who are receiving primary TER, where and by whom TER is being performed, and what the current surgical practices for TER are in England before the reconfiguration.
Methods
This analysis will use the National Joint Registry (NJR) elbow dataset and link it with NHS England Hospital Episode Statistics-Admitted Patient Care (HES-APC). It will include eligible patients from the start of the NJR elbow dataset in April 2012 to December 2022. The main objective is to determine the incidence of TER in England. Age-sex standardised rates will be calculated for groups including different ethnicities, and socioeconomic backgrounds, using the mid-year population data provided by the Office for National Statistics. This planned analysis will summarise patient characteristics such as age, sex, body mass index (BMI), hand dominance, American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) grade, indication for TER, socioeconomic status, and patient co-morbidities. It will also examine implant fixation type, classification, brand/type, and changes over time in implant types used in England. Additionally, it will explore the characteristics and volume of the surgeons and hospitals providing primary TER services, including the grade of the primary surgeons, funding source for surgery, and admission type. The analysis will cover the number of procedures performed by surgeons and hospitals annually in England and in each region of England. Finally, the planned analysis will summarise the elective wait time, postoperative length of stay, and any serious adverse events or re-admissions within 30 and 90 days after the TER.
Discussion
This protocol describes the first deep dive analysis into the NJR elbow dataset to describe the incidence of TER surgery in England and the characteristics of patients who are receiving it. This analysis will summarise current primary TER practices in England before service reconfigurations. The impact of reconfiguration can be monitored by comparing future practice to the outcomes from this study.
Trial registration
ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT06355011. Registered 02 April 2024,
https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT06355011
.
Journal Article
Prognostic factors associated with failure of total elbow replacement: a protocol for a systematic review
by
Sergeant, Jamie C
,
Bull, Lucy M
,
Gehringer, Celina K
in
Adult orthopaedics
,
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Elbow
,
Elbow & shoulder
2023
IntroductionTotal elbow replacement (TER) has higher failure rates requiring revision surgery compared with the replacement of other joints. Understanding the factors associated with failure is essential for informed decision-making between patients and clinicians, and for reducing the failure rate. This review aims to identify, describe and appraise the literature examining prognostic factors for failure of TER.Methods and analysisThis systematic review will be conducted and reported in line with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols guidelines. Electronic literature searches will be conducted using Medline, EMBASE, PubMed and Cochrane. The search strategy will be broad, including a combination of subject headings (MESH) and free text search. This search will be supplemented with a screening of reference lists of the included studies and relevant reviews. Two independent reviewers will screen all search results in two stages (title and abstract, and full text) based on the Population, Index prognostic factor, Comparator prognostic factor, Outcome, Time and Setting criteria. The types of evidence included will be randomised trials, non-randomised trials, prospective and retrospective cohort studies, registry studies and case–control studies. If the literature lacks enough studies, then case series with 50 or more TERs will be considered for inclusion. Data extraction and risk of bias assessment for included studies will be performed by two independent reviewers using the Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modelling Studies for Prognostic Factors and Quality In Prognostic Studies tools.Meta-analyses of prognostic estimates for each factor will be undertaken for studies that are deemed to be sufficiently robust and comparable. Several challenges are likely to arise due to heterogeneity between studies, therefore, subgroup and sensitivity analyses will be performed to account for the differences between studies. Heterogeneity will be assessed using Q and I2 statistics. If I2>40% then pooled estimates will not be reported. When quantitative synthesis is not possible, a narrative synthesis will be undertaken. The quality of the evidence for each prognostic factor will be assessed using the Grades of Recommendation Assessment, Development and Evaluation tool.PROSPERO registration numberCRD42023384756.
Journal Article
Wildland fire smoke alters the composition, diversity, and potential atmospheric function of microbial life in the aerobiome
2022
The atmosphere contains a diverse reservoir of microbes but the sources and factors contributing to microbial aerosol variability are not well constrained. To advance understanding of microbial emissions in wildfire smoke, we used unmanned aircraft systems to analyze the aerosols above high-intensity forest fires in the western United States. Our results show that samples of the smoke contained ~four-fold higher concentrations of cells (1.02 ± 0.26 × 105 m−3) compared to background air, with 78% of microbes in smoke inferred to be viable. Fivefold higher taxon richness and ~threefold enrichment of ice nucleating particle concentrations in smoke implies that wildfires are an important source of diverse bacteria and fungi as well as meteorologically relevant aerosols. We estimate that such fires emit 3.71 × 1014 microbial cells ha−1 under typical wildfire conditions in western US forests and demonstrate that wildland biomass combustion has a large-scale influence on the local atmospheric microbial assemblages. Given the long-range transport of wildfire smoke emissions, these results expand the concept of a wildfire’s perimeter of biological impact and have implications to biogeography, gene flow, the dispersal of plant, animal, and human pathogens, and meteorology.
Journal Article
Anatomic versus reverse total shoulder replacement for patients with osteoarthritis and intact rotator cuff: the RAPSODI-UK randomised controlled trial protocol
by
Brealey, Stephen
,
Trail, Ian
,
Foster, Nadine E
in
Aged
,
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Shoulder - economics
,
Arthroplasty, Replacement, Shoulder - methods
2025
IntroductionShoulder osteoarthritis most commonly affects older adults, causing pain, reduced function and quality of life. Total shoulder replacements (TSRs) are indicated once other non-surgical options no longer provide adequate pain relief. Two main types of TSRs are widely used: anatomic TSR (aTSR) and reverse TSR (rTSR). It is not clear whether one TSR type provides better short- or long-term outcomes for patients, and which, if either, is more cost-effective for the National Health Service (NHS).Methods and analysisRAPSODI-UK is a multi-centre, pragmatic, two-parallel arm, superiority randomised controlled trial comparing the clinical- and cost-effectiveness of aTSR versus rTSR for adults aged 60+ with a primary diagnosis of osteoarthritis, an intact rotator cuff and bone stock suitable for TSR. Participants in both arms of the trial will receive usual post-operative rehabilitation. We aim to recruit 430 participants from approximately 28 NHS sites across the UK. The primary outcome is the Shoulder Pain and Disability Index (SPADI) at 2 years post-randomisation. Outcomes will be collected at 3, 6, 12, 18 and 24 months after randomisation. Secondary outcomes include the pain and function subscales of the SPADI, the Oxford Shoulder Score, health-related quality of life (EQ-5D-5L), complications, range of movement and strength, revisions and mortality. The between-group difference in the primary outcome will be derived from a constrained longitudinal data analysis model. We will also undertake a full health economic evaluation and conduct qualitative interviews to explore perceptions of acceptability of the two types of TSR and experiences of recovery with a sample of participants.Ethics and disseminationEthics committee approval for this trial was obtained (London - Queen Square Research Ethics Committee, Rec Reference 22/LO/0617) on 4 October 2022. The results of the main trial will be submitted for publication in a peer-reviewed journal and using other professional and media outlets.Trial registration numberISRCTN12216466.
Journal Article