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162 result(s) for "Watts, Emma"
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Quantifying the Impact of Rain-on-Snow Induced Flooding in the Western United States
The potentially destructive flooding resulting from rain-on-snow (ROS) events motivates efforts to better incorporate these events and their residual effects into flood-related infrastructure design. This paper examines relationships between measured streamflow surges at streamgages across the Western United States and the meteorological conditions preceding them at SNOTEL stations within the same water catchment. Relevant stream surges are identified using a peak detection algorithm via time series analysis, which are then labeled ROS- or non-ROS-induced based on the preceding meteorological conditions. Both empirical and model-derived differences between ROS- and non-ROS-induced stream surges are then explored, which suggest that ROS-induced stream surges are 3–20 percent larger than non-ROS-induced stream surges. Quantifying the difference between ROS and non-ROS-induced stream surges promises to aid the improvement of flood-related infrastructure design (such as culverts) to better guard against extreme flooding events in locations subject to ROS.
A database of experimentally measured lithium solid electrolyte conductivities evaluated with machine learning
The application of machine learning models to predict material properties is determined by the availability of high-quality data. We present an expert-curated dataset of lithium ion conductors and associated lithium ion conductivities measured by a.c. impedance spectroscopy. This dataset has 820 entries collected from 214 sources; entries contain a chemical composition, an expert-assigned structural label, and ionic conductivity at a specific temperature (from 5 to 873 °C). There are 403 unique chemical compositions with an associated ionic conductivity near room temperature (15–35 °C). The materials contained in this dataset are placed in the context of compounds reported in the Inorganic Crystal Structure Database with unsupervised machine learning and the Element Movers Distance. This dataset is used to train a CrabNet-based classifier to estimate whether a chemical composition has high or low ionic conductivity. This classifier is a practical tool to aid experimentalists in prioritizing candidates for further investigation as lithium ion conductors.
Characterising the wind-advected medial fall deposit from fissure 8 fountaining during the 2018 lower East Rift Zone eruption, Kīlauea
The 2018 eruption on the lower East Rift Zone, Hawaii, involved the opening of 24 fissures before the eruption focussed on a single point source, fissure 8 (F8). This study characterises the preserved medial F8 tephra deposit using an isopach map, maximum clast size data, and total grain size distribution analysis, shedding light on the tephra transport and dispersal mechanisms beyond the F8 cone occurring during the fountaining. The medial sheet-like deposit covers approximately 0.22 km 2 , best fit by a Power-Law thinning rate. The TephraFits model estimated the corresponding volume of the continuous medial tephra blanket to be ~ 2 × 10 4 m 3 , just 0.02% of the total volume erupted from fissure 8. Samples from the preserved medial deposit have grain size modes of − 3.5 to − 4 Φ, compatible with Voronoi tessellation calculations. Maximum clast size did not show a ‘typical’ fining relationship with distance from the vent; instead, it shows no clear pattern. One factor was that the extremely low clast density, a function of a secondary vesiculation event, enabled the pyroclasts to be re-entrained, often repeatedly, by large eddies downwind of the vent. This should be considered in future studies of prolonged fountaining episodes as the clasts involved in the medial fall are rarely well preserved in the geologic record due to their fragile nature but their presence adds complexity to the inferred eruption dynamics.
Human Neonatal Rotavirus Vaccine (RV3-BB) to Target Rotavirus from Birth
A strategy of administering a neonatal rotavirus vaccine at birth to target early prevention of rotavirus gastroenteritis may address some of the barriers to global implementation of a rotavirus vaccine. We conducted a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial in Indonesia to evaluate the efficacy of an oral human neonatal rotavirus vaccine (RV3-BB) in preventing rotavirus gastroenteritis. Healthy newborns received three doses of RV3-BB, administered according to a neonatal schedule (0 to 5 days, 8 weeks, and 14 weeks of age) or an infant schedule (8 weeks, 14 weeks, and 18 weeks of age), or placebo. The primary analysis was conducted in the per-protocol population, which included only participants who received all four doses of vaccine or placebo within the visit windows, with secondary analyses performed in the intention-to-treat population, which included all participants who underwent randomization. Among the 1513 participants in the per-protocol population, severe rotavirus gastroenteritis occurred up to the age of 18 months in 5.6% of the participants in the placebo group (28 of 504 babies), in 1.4% in the neonatal-schedule vaccine group (7 of 498), and in 2.7% in the infant-schedule vaccine group (14 of 511). This resulted in a vaccine efficacy of 75% (95% confidence interval [CI], 44 to 91) in the neonatal-schedule group (P<0.001), 51% (95% CI, 7 to 76) in the infant-schedule group (P=0.03), and 63% (95% CI, 34 to 80) in the neonatal-schedule and infant-schedule groups combined (combined vaccine group) (P<0.001). Similar results were observed in the intention-to-treat analysis (1649 participants); the vaccine efficacy was 68% (95% CI, 35 to 86) in the neonatal-schedule group (P=0.001), 52% (95% CI, 11 to 76) in the infant-schedule group (P=0.02), and 60% (95% CI, 31 to 76) in the combined vaccine group (P<0.001). Vaccine response, as evidenced by serum immune response or shedding of RV3-BB in the stool, occurred in 78 of 83 participants (94%) in the neonatal-schedule group and in 83 of 84 participants (99%) in the infant-schedule group. The incidence of adverse events was similar across the groups. No episodes of intussusception occurred within the 21-day risk period after administration of any dose of vaccine or placebo, and one episode of intussusception occurred 114 days after the third dose of vaccine in the infant-schedule group. RV3-BB was efficacious in preventing severe rotavirus gastroenteritis when administered according to a neonatal or an infant schedule in Indonesia. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation and others; Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry number, ACTRN12612001282875 .).
Carriage of Streptococcus pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Moraxella catarrhalis, and Staphylococcus aureus in Indonesian children: A cross-sectional study
Streptococcus pneumoniae is an important cause of infection and commonly colonizes the nasopharynx of young children, along with other potentially pathogenic bacteria. The objectives of this study were to estimate the carriage prevalence of S. pneumoniae, Haemophilus influenzae, Moraxella catarrhalis, and Staphylococcus aureus in young children in Indonesia, and to examine interactions between these bacterial species. 302 healthy children aged 12-24 months were enrolled in community health centers in the Bandung, Central Lombok, and Padang regions. Nasopharyngeal swabs were collected and stored according to World Health Organization recommendations, and bacterial species detected by qPCR. Pneumococcal serotyping was conducted by microarray and latex agglutination/Quellung. Overall carriage prevalence was 49.5% for S. pneumoniae, 27.5% for H. influenzae, 42.7% for M. catarrhalis, and 7.3% for S. aureus. Prevalence of M. catarrhalis and S. pneumoniae, as well as pneumococcal serotype distribution, varied by region. Positive associations were observed for S. pneumoniae and M. catarrhalis (OR 3.07 [95%CI 1.91-4.94]), and H. influenzae and M. catarrhalis (OR 2.34 [95%CI 1.40-3.91]), and a negative association was found between M. catarrhalis and S. aureus (OR 0.06 [95%CI 0.01-0.43]). Densities of S. pneumoniae, H. influenzae, and M. catarrhalis were positively correlated when two of these species were present. Prior to pneumococcal vaccine introduction, pneumococcal carriage prevalence and serotype distribution varies among children living in different regions of Indonesia. Positive associations in both carriage and density identified among S. pneumoniae, H. influenzae, and M. catarrhalis suggest a synergistic relationship among these species with potential clinical implications.
Early-life gut microbiome associates with positive vaccine take and shedding in neonatal schedule of the human neonatal rotavirus vaccine RV3-BB
Rotavirus vaccines are less effective in high mortality regions. A rotavirus vaccine administered at birth may overcome challenges to vaccine uptake posed by a complex gut microbiome. We investigated the association between the microbiome and vaccine responses following RV3-BB vaccine (G3P[6]) administered in a neonatal schedule (dose 1: 0-5 days), or infant schedule (dose 1: 6-8 weeks) in Indonesia (Phase 2b efficacy study) ( n  = 478 samples/193 infants) (ACTRN12612001282875) and in Malawi (Immunigenicity study) (n = 355 samples/186 infants) (NCT03483116). Vaccine responses assessed using anti-rotavirus IgA seroconversion (IgA), stool shedding of vaccine virus and vaccine take (IgA seroconversion and/or shedding). Here we report, high alpha diversity, beta diversity differences and high abundance of Bacteroides is associated with positive vaccine take and shedding following RV3-BB administered in the neonatal schedule, but not with IgA seroconversion, or in the infant schedule. Higher alpha diversity was associated with shedding after three doses of RV3-BB in the neonatal schedule compared to non-shedders, or the placebo group. High abundance of Streptococcus and Staphylococcus is associated with no shedding in the neonatal schedule group. RV3-BB vaccine administered in a neonatal schedule modulates the early microbiome environment and presents a window of opportunity to optimise protection from rotavirus disease. Here, the authors show that high alpha diversity, differences in beta diversity, and a high abundance of Bacteroides in the gut microbiome are associated with positive vaccine take and stool shedding following administration of RV3-BB vaccine in the neonatal schedule, but not in the infant schedule or placebo groups, suggesting that the early-life gut microbiome provides a gut environment that optimizes the potential for a positive vaccine response.
Immunogenicity of fractional and standard dose COVID-19 vaccine boosters among healthy adults in Indonesia: twenty four month follow-up from a randomised controlled trial
Although many high-income countries have regular COVID-19 vaccine booster schedules, there are limited data on the protective effects of some heterologous booster combinations. This observational follow-up study of a double blind randomised controlled parallel group trial evaluates long-term immunogenicity, safety and breakthrough infections to 24 months after booster doses (fractional or standard Pfizer BNT162b2, fractional or standard AstraZeneca ChAdOx1, and standard dose CoronaVac) following CoronaVac and AstraZeneca primary series in healthy adults in Indonesia. Of 1,289 trial participants, 962 (75%) complete follow-up to 24 months. Among CoronaVac-primed participants, responses are lower for fractional than standard dose Pfizer at 28 days (binding IgG geometric mean ratio: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.63-0.90), but differences diminish by 12 and 24 months. AstraZeneca-primed participants have lower initial responses than CoronaVac-primed participants following Pfizer and AstraZeneca boosters. Breakthrough infections occurred in >40% of participants between six and 12 months, and in >35% between 12 and 24 months. Fractional and standard doses of AstraZeneca and Pfizer among CoronaVac-primed or AstraZeneca-primed participants, boost immune responses to 24 months. However, fractional doses elicit lower initial responses than standard doses. These findings provide important information for booster strategies, especially in populations primed with inactivated vaccines. Funding: Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI). Trial registration : ina-registry.org , INA-GO0HLGB. Evaluating long-term immunogenicity and safety, this study shows that fractional and standard dose boosting with Pfizer and AstraZeneca vaccines following CoronaVac or AstraZeneca priming produces adequate immune responses, informing COVID-19 booster vaccination policy.
The safety and efficacy of a single dose of oral azithromycin given in labour to prevent skin and soft tissue infections in young infants in Fiji: a randomised controlled trial
Background Prophylactic azithromycin in pregnancy has been shown to lower infections in birthing parents and newborns, particularly skin and soft tissue infections (SSTIs) which are common in Fiji. We aimed to determine the safety and efficacy of 2 g of oral azithromycin administered during labour on infant SSTIs. Methods This blinded, randomised placebo-control trial included healthy, pregnant adults and their infants presenting for delivery at a tertiary hospital in Suva, Fiji. Participants in labour were randomly assigned a single dose of 2 g of oral azithromycin or placebo in a 1:1 ratio, stratified by ethnicity. Active and placebo drugs were identical to mask treatment allocation. The primary outcome was cumulative incidence of infant SSTIs by 3 months of age. Intention-to-treat analysis was used and included participants with SSTI data collected at all visits. Safety outcomes were described as percentages by arm at specified time points. Results From June 2019 to January 2022, 2110 pregnant persons were enrolled and randomised, with 1059 and 1063 births in the azithromycin and placebo groups, respectively. 1671 infants were included in the primary analysis (816 in azithromycin and 855 in placebo group). We found a 27% decrease in infant SSTIs in the azithromycin group (5.8%; 95% CI 4.4–7.6) compared to placebo (7.8%; 95% CI 6.2–9.8), but the 95% confidence interval crossed the null value (RR 0.73; 95% CI 0.51–1.06). We observed similar numbers of serious adverse events in both arms, and no cases of infant hypertrophic pyloric stenosis. Conclusions There was a modest relative reduction in infant SSTIs but this was small in absolute terms with no statistically discernible difference. Our findings do not support routine intrapartum azithromycin prophylaxis for this outcome alone. However, the rates of SSTIs highlight the importance of prevention and timely treatment in Fiji. Trial registration 2019–04-18, ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03925480