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252 result(s) for "Xie, Pingping"
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Performance of high-resolution satellite precipitation products over China
A gauge‐based analysis of hourly precipitation is constructed on a 0.25° latitude/longitude grid over China for a 3 year period from 2005 to 2007 by interpolating gauge reports from ∼2000 stations collected and quality controlled by the National Meteorological Information Center of the China Meteorological Administration. Gauge‐based precipitation analysis is applied to examine the performance of six high‐resolution satellite precipitation estimates, including Joyce et al.'s (2004) Climate Prediction Center Morphing Technique (CMORPH) and the arithmetic mean of the microwave estimates used in CMORPH; Huffman et al.'s (2007) Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) precipitation product 3B42 and its real‐time version 3B42RT; Turk et al.'s (2004) Naval Research Laboratory blended product; and Hsu et al.'s (1997) Precipitation Estimation From Remotely Sensed Information Using Artificial Neural Network (PERSIANN). Our results showed the following: (1) all six satellite products are capable of capturing the overall spatial distribution and temporal variations of precipitation reasonably well; (2) performance of the satellite products varies for different regions and different precipitation regimes, with better comparison statistics observed over wet regions and for warm seasons; (3) products based solely on satellite observations present regionally and seasonally varying biases, while the gauge‐adjustment procedures applied in TRMM 3B42 remove the large‐scale bias almost completely; (4) CMORPH exhibits the best performance in depicting the spatial pattern and temporal variations of precipitation; and (5) both the relative magnitude and the phase of the warm season precipitation over China are estimated quite well, but the early morning peak associated with the Mei‐Yu rainfall over central eastern China is substantially under‐estimated by all satellite products.
Reprocessed, Bias-Corrected CMORPH Global High-Resolution Precipitation Estimates from 1998
The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) morphing technique (CMORPH) satellite precipitation estimates are reprocessed and bias corrected on an 8 km × 8 km grid over the globe (60°S–60°N) and in a 30-min temporal resolution for an 18-yr period from January 1998 to the present to form a climate data record (CDR) of high-resolution global precipitation analysis. First, the purely satellite-based CMORPH precipitation estimates (raw CMORPH) are reprocessed. The integration algorithmis fixed and the input level 2 passivemicrowave (PMW) retrievals of instantaneous precipitation rates are fromidentical versions throughout the entire data period. Bias correction is then performed for the raw CMORPH through probability density function (PDF) matching against the CPC daily gauge analysis over land and through adjustment against the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) pentadmerged analysis of precipitation over ocean. The reprocessed, bias-corrected CMORPH exhibits improved performance in representing the magnitude, spatial distribution patterns, and temporal variations of precipitation over the global domain from 60°S to 608N. Bias in the CMORPH satellite precipitation estimates is almost completely removed over land during warm seasons (May–September), while during cold seasons (October–April) CMORPH tends to underestimate the precipitation due to the less-thandesirable performance of the current-generation PMWretrievals in detecting and quantifying snowfall and cold season rainfall. An intercomparison study indicated that the reprocessed, bias-corrected CMORPH exhibits consistently superior performance than the widely used TRMM 3B42 (TMPA) in representing both daily and 3-hourly precipitation over the contiguous United States and other global regions.
Kalman Filter–Based CMORPH
A Kalman filter (KF)-based Climate Prediction Center (CPC) morphing technique (CMORPH) algorithm is developed to integrate the passive microwave (PMW) precipitation estimates from low-Earth-orbit (LEO) satellites and infrared (IR) observations from geostationary (GEO) platforms. With the new algorithm, the precipitation analysis at a grid box of 8 × 8 km² is defined in three steps. First, PMW estimates of instantaneous rain rates closest to the target analysis time in both the forward and backward directions are propagated from their observation times to the analysis time using the cloud system advection vectors (CSAVs) computed from the GEO–IR images. The “prediction” of the precipitation analysis is then defined by averaging the forward- and backward-propagated PMW estimates with weights inversely proportional to their error variance. The IR-based precipitation estimates are incorporated if the gap between the two PMW observations is longer than 90 min. Validation tests showed substantial improvements of the KF-based CMORPH against the original version in both the pattern correlation and fidelity of probability density function (PDF) of the precipitation intensity. In general, performance of the original CMORPH degrades sharply with poor pattern correlation and substantially elevated (damped) frequency for light (heavy) precipitation events when PMW precipitation estimates are available from fewer LEO satellites. The KF-based CMORPHis capable of producing high-resolution precipitation analysis with much more stable performance with various levels of availability for the PMW observations.
A Scalable Data-Driven Surrogate Model for 3D Dynamic Wind Farm Wake Prediction Using Physics-Inspired Neural Networks and Wind Box Decomposition
Wake effects significantly reduce efficiency and increase structural loads in wind farms. Therefore, accurate and computationally efficient models are crucial for wind farm layout optimization and operational control. High-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations, while accurate, are too slow for these tasks, whereas faster analytical models often lack dynamic fidelity and 3D detail, particularly under complex conditions. Existing data-driven surrogate models based on neural networks often struggle with the high dimensionality of the flow field and scalability to large wind farms. This paper proposes a novel data-driven surrogate modeling framework to bridge this gap, leveraging Neural Networks (NNs) trained on data from the high-fidelity SOWFA (simulator for wind farm applications) tool. A physics-inspired NN architecture featuring an autoencoder for spatial feature extraction and latent space dynamics for temporal evolution is introduced, motivated by the time–space decoupling structure observed in the Navier–Stokes equations. To address scalability for large wind farms, a “wind box” decomposition strategy is employed. This involves training separate NN models on smaller, canonical domains (with and without turbines) that can be stitched together to represent larger farm layouts, significantly reducing training data requirements compared to monolithic farm simulations. The development of a batch simulation interface for SOWFA to generate the required training data efficiently is detailed. Results demonstrate that the proposed surrogate model accurately predicts the 3D dynamic wake evolution for single-turbine and multi-turbine configurations. Specifically, average velocity errors (quantified as RMSE) are typically below 0.2 m/s (relative error < 2–5%) compared to SOWFA, while achieving computational accelerations of several orders of magnitude (simulation times reduced from hours to seconds). This work presents a promising pathway towards enabling advanced, model-based optimization and control of large wind farms.
The Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly Analysis (New Version 2.3) and a Review of 2017 Global Precipitation
The new Version 2.3 of the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP) Monthly analysis is described in terms of changes made to improve the homogeneity of the product, especially after 2002. These changes include corrections to cross-calibration of satellite data inputs and updates to the gauge analysis. Over-ocean changes starting in 2003 resulted in an overall precipitation increase of 1.8% after 2009. Updating the gauge analysis to its final, high-quality version increases the global land total by 1.8% for the post-2002 period. These changes correct a small, incorrect dip in the estimated global precipitation over the last decade given by the earlier Version 2.2. The GPCP analysis is also used to describe global precipitation in 2017. The general La Niña pattern for 2017 is noted and the evolution from the early 2016 El Niño pattern is described. The 2017 global value is one of the highest for the 1979–2017 period, exceeded only by 2016 and 1998 (both El Niño years), and reinforces the small positive trend. Results for 2017 also reinforce significant trends in precipitation intensity (on a monthly scale) in the tropics. These results for 2017 indicate the value of the GPCP analysis, in addition to research, for climate monitoring.
Flexibility-Oriented AC/DC Hybrid Grid Optimization Using Distributionally Robust Chance-Constrained Method
With the increasing integration of stochastic sources and loads, ensuring the flexibility of AC/DC hybrid distribution networks has become a pressing challenge. This paper aims to enhance the operational flexibility of AC/DC hybrid distribution networks by proposing a flexibility-oriented optimization framework that addresses the growing uncertainties. Notably, a comprehensive evaluation method for operational flexibility assessment is first established. Based on this, this paper further proposes a flexibility-oriented operation optimization model using the distributionally robust chance-constrained (DRCC) method. A customized solution method utilizing second-order cone relaxation and sample average approximation (SAA) is also introduced. The results of case studies indicate that the flexibility of AC/DC hybrid distribution networks is enhanced through sharing energy storage among multiple feeders, adaptive reactive power regulation using soft open points (SOPs) and static var compensators (SVCs), and power transfer between feeders via SOPs.
Multimodal MRI analysis of COVID-19 effects on pediatric brain
The COVID-19 pandemic has raised significant concerns regarding its impact on the central nervous system, including the brain. While the effects on adult populations are well documented, less is known about its implications for pediatric populations. This study investigates alterations in cortical metrics and structural covariance networks (SCNs) based on the Local Gyrification Index (LGI) in children with mild COVID-19, alongside changes in non-invasive MRI proxies related to glymphatic function. We enrolled 19 children with COVID-19 and 22 age-comparable healthy controls. High-resolution T1-weighted and diffusion-weighted MRI images were acquired. Cortical metrics, including thickness, surface area, volume, and LGI, were compared using vertex-wise general linear models. SCNs were analyzed for differences in global and nodal metrics, and MRI proxies, including diffusion tensor imaging along the perivascular space and choroid plexus (CP) volume, were also assessed. Our results showed increased cortical area, volume, and LGI in the left superior parietal cortex, as well as increased cortical thickness in the left lateral occipital cortex among children with COVID-19. SCN analysis revealed altered network topology and larger CP volumes in the COVID group, suggesting virus-induced neuroinflammation. These findings provide evidence of potential brain alterations in children following mild COVID-19, emphasizing the need for further investigation into long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes.
Multi-angle perception and convolutional neural network for service quality evaluation of cross-border e-commerce logistics enterprise
The development of cross-border e-commerce logistics services has injected new vitality into the development of international trade, and therefore has become a new hot spot in theoretical research. In order to ensure the healthy development of cross-border e-commerce, it is urgent to build a set of scientific and effective evaluation mechanisms to scientifically evaluate the logistics service quality of cross-border e-commerce. Multi-angle perceptual convolutional neural network is a framework for service scene identification of cross-border e-commerce logistics enterprises based on deep convolutional neural network and multi-angle perceptual width learning. In this article, both shallow features and deep features were input into the deep perception model (DPM) to obtain a set of distinguishable features with causal structure, which was used to completely describe the high-level semantic information of cross-border e-commerce logistics enterprise services. Among them, DPM mainly adopts the fusion strategy of shallow feature and deep feature. Meanwhile, the feature representation is input into the width learning pattern recognition system for training and classification, so as to evaluate the service quality of cross-border e-commerce logistics enterprises. The multi-angle perceptual convolutional neural network can effectively solve the problems of high similarity between service classes of cross-border e-commerce logistics enterprises and large differences within the class, and achieve better generalization performance and algorithm complexity than support vector machine, random forest and convolutional neural network.
An assessment of the surface climate in the NCEP climate forecast system reanalysis
This paper analyzes surface climate variability in the climate forecast system reanalysis (CFSR) recently completed at the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). The CFSR represents a new generation of reanalysis effort with first guess from a coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice–land forecast system. This study focuses on the analysis of climate variability for a set of surface variables including precipitation, surface air 2-m temperature (T2m), and surface heat fluxes. None of these quantities are assimilated directly and thus an assessment of their variability provides an independent measure of the accuracy. The CFSR is compared with observational estimates and three previous reanalyses (the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis or R1, the NCEP/DOE reanalysis or R2, and the ERA40 produced by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts). The CFSR has improved time-mean precipitation distribution over various regions compared to the three previous reanalyses, leading to a better representation of freshwater flux (evaporation minus precipitation). For interannual variability, the CFSR shows improved precipitation correlation with observations over the Indian Ocean, Maritime Continent, and western Pacific. The T2m of the CFSR is superior to R1 and R2 with more realistic interannual variability and long-term trend. On the other hand, the CFSR overestimates downward solar radiation flux over the tropical Western Hemisphere warm pool, consistent with a negative cloudiness bias and a positive sea surface temperature bias. Meanwhile, the evaporative latent heat flux in CFSR appears to be larger than other observational estimates over most of the globe. A few deficiencies in the long-term variations are identified in the CFSR. Firstly, dramatic changes are found around 1998–2001 in the global average of a number of variables, possibly related to the changes in the assimilated satellite observations. Secondly, the use of multiple streams for the CFSR induces spurious jumps in soil moisture between adjacent streams. Thirdly, there is an inconsistency in long-term sea ice extent variations over the Arctic regions between the CFSR and other observations with the CFSR showing smaller sea ice extent before 1997 and larger extent starting in 1997. These deficiencies may have impacts on the application of the CFSR for climate diagnoses and predictions. Relationships between surface heat fluxes and SST tendency and between SST and precipitation are analyzed and compared with observational estimates and other reanalyses. Global mean fields of surface heat and water fluxes together with radiation fluxes at the top of the atmosphere are documented and presented over the entire globe, and for the ocean and land separately.
Comprehensive Evaluation of a Pumped Storage Operation Effect Considering Multidimensional Benefits of a New Power System
This paper focuses on the evaluation of the operational effect of a pumped storage plant in a new power system. An evaluation index system is established by selecting key indicators from the four benefit dimensions of system economy, low carbon, flexibility, and reliability. The evaluation criteria are based on the values of indexes for pumped storage plants that have already been put into operation. Using this method, the operational effect of pumped storage plants with different installed capacities, regulation durations, and conversion efficiencies are comprehensively evaluated and analyzed. The calculation results show that the operation effect of a pumped storage plant with high regulation performance and high comprehensive conversion efficiency is better, indicating that the established index system and evaluation method can comprehensively and truly reflect the positive benefits brought by a pumped storage plant to a new power system. This study can provide a practical reference for the early planning and decision making of pumped storage in a new power system.