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10 result(s) for "Zapata-Rios, Xavier"
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Spatio-Temporal Description of the NDVI (MODIS) of the Ecuadorian Tussock Grasses and Its Link with the Hydrometeorological Variables and Global Climatic Indices
This study examined the changes in tussock grass greenness over 18 years (2001–2018) using NDVI data from 10 key areas of the Páramo ecosystem in the Ecuadorian Andes. In addition, the study investigated the influence of hydrometeorological variables (precipitation, soil temperature, and water availability) and climatic indices (AAO, MEI, MJO, NAO, PDO, El Niño 1 + 2, 3, 3.4, and 4) on greenness dynamics. The spatial and temporal variations of NDVI were studied, applying several analysis and indicators, such as: the standard deviation, z-score anomalies, Sen slope, Mann–Kendall test, and time integrated-NDVI (TI-NDVI). Linear and multilinear correlations were used to evaluate the influence of hydrometeorological variables and climatic indices on the greenness of tussock. The findings of the study show that Páramo, located in the Inter-Andean valley above 2° S, is the most productive, followed by those located in the Royal Range (eastern cordillera). The anomalies and trends of NDVI on the Royal Range tended to be greening over time. NDVI showed a moderate multilinear correlation with precipitation and soil temperature, and a strong response to water availability. Finally, NDVI was weakly linearly related to the climatic indices, the most representative being the MJO, and slightly related to ENSO events. Understanding the regional and global-scale variables that control tussock grasses’ phenology will help to determine how present and future climate changes will impact this ecosystem.
Spatial and temporal phosphorus distribution changes in a large wetland ecosystem
Long‐ and short‐term changes in the spatial distribution of surface water phosphorus concentrations were assessed for the Everglades wetland (USA) from 12 years of monitoring data. Changes in phosphorus spatial distributions, before and after implementation of measures to reduce phosphorus, including stormwater treatment areas (STAs) and best management practices (BMPs), were used to evaluate the effect of the remediation strategies in the naturally oligotrophic wetland. Results showed a clear spatial and temporal gradient in phosphorus concentrations, with highest total phosphorus (TP) reaching 200μg/L in the northern Water Conservation Areas (WCAs) because of canal inflow from the Everglades Agricultural Area (EAA). Long‐term records of TP concentrations from 1995 to 2007 showed declines in Water Conservation Area WCA1 during the dry season (−5.1%). Short‐term changes (2003–2007) showed increasing trends in TP concentrations elsewhere in the Everglades, mainly in the southern areas: WCA3 and Everglades National Park (ENP). From 2003 to 2007, phosphorus increased by 7.4% per year in the ENP during the dry season. The area of the Everglades that exceeded the 10μg/L surface water TP concentration ecological threshold was quantified and showed a long‐term overall decline. However, except for the ENP, more than 65% of the Everglades surface area exceeded the 10μg/L water quality threshold in 2007. During recent years, ENP and WCA3 surface areas that exceeded the alternative 15 μg/L annual geometric mean slightly increased, confirming the need to closely monitor these two regions. Key Points A valuable tool is presented to assess water quality changes through time Long‐term changes indicate a reduction in water phosphorus concentrations Short‐term changes indicate a shift to the south of potential areas of concern
Application of Neural Network Models and ANFIS for Water Level Forecasting of the Salve Faccha Dam in the Andean Zone in Northern Ecuador
Despite the importance of dams for water distribution of various uses, adequate forecasting on a day-to-day scale is still in great need of intensive study worldwide. Machine learning models have had a wide application in water resource studies and have shown satisfactory results, including the time series forecasting of water levels and dam flows. In this study, neural network models (NN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS) models were generated to forecast the water level of the Salve Faccha reservoir, which supplies water to Quito, the Capital of Ecuador. For NN, a non-linear input–output net with a maximum delay of 13 days was used with variation in the number of nodes and hidden layers. For ANFIS, after up to four days of delay, the subtractive clustering algorithm was used with a hyperparameter variation from 0.5 to 0.8. The results indicate that precipitation was not influencing input in the prediction of the reservoir water level. The best neural network and ANFIS models showed high performance, with a r > 0.95, a Nash index > 0.95, and a RMSE < 0.1. The best the neural network model was t + 4, and the best ANFIS model was model t + 6.
Multitemporal Monitoring of Ecuadorian Andean High Wetlands Using Radar and Multispectral Remote Sensing
High-altitude wetlands in the Ecuadorian Andes are key ecosystems for water regulation and biodiversity conservation but remain poorly monitored due to persistent cloud cover and complex terrain. This study aims to develop a multitemporal approach to map and monitor these wetlands under challenging environmental conditions. We integrated Sentinel-1 (SAR) and Sentinel-2 (multispectral) satellite imagery within the Google Earth Engine platform, applying a Random Forest classifier and soil moisture estimation through the Water Cloud Model. Results show that using only multispectral data underestimated wetland extent (18,919 ha in 2022; 4.7% of the area). In contrast, integrating radar and multispectral data enabled dynamic analysis, identifying 2023 as the peak year (28,972 ha; 7.2%), with the highest monthly coverage in April (6.7%). Soil moisture estimates showed stable monthly wetland extents (15.3–15.9%), with a maximum of 3065 ha in January–February, and demonstrated a strong link with cumulative rainfall patterns. This integrated approach offers a reliable method for high-resolution, seasonal wetland monitoring in cloud-prone mountain environments, supporting data-driven conservation and land management strategies.
Influence of climate variability on water partitioning and effective energy and mass transfer in a semi-arid critical zone
The critical zone (CZ) is the heterogeneous, near-surface layer of the planet that regulates life-sustaining resources. Previous research has demonstrated that a quantification of the influxes of effective energy and mass transfer (EEMT) to the CZ can predict its structure and function. In this study, we quantify how climate variability in the last 3 decades (1984–2012) has affected water availability and the temporal trends in EEMT. This study takes place in the 1200 km2 upper Jemez River basin in northern New Mexico. The analysis of climate, water availability, and EEMT was based on records from two high-elevation SNOTEL stations, PRISM data, catchment-scale discharge, and satellite-derived net primary productivity (MODIS). Results from this study indicated a decreasing trend in water availability, a reduction in forest productivity (4 g C m−2 per 10 mm of reduction in precipitation), and decreasing EEMT (1.2–1.3 MJ m2 decade−1). Although we do not know the timescales of CZ change, these results suggest an upward migration of CZ/ecosystem structure on the order of 100 m decade−1, and that decadal-scale differences in EEMT are similar to the differences between convergent/hydrologically subsidized and planar/divergent landscapes, which have been shown to be very different in vegetation and CZ structure.
Stream water carbon controls in seasonally snow-covered mountain catchments: impact of inter-annual variability of water fluxes, catchment aspect and seasonal processes
Stream water carbon (C) export is one important pathway for C loss from seasonally snow-covered mountain ecosystems and an assessment of overarching controls is necessary. However, such assessment is challenging because changes in water fluxes or flow paths, seasonal processes, as well as catchment specific characteristics play a role. For this study we elucidate the impact of: (i) changes in water flux (by comparing years of variable wetness), (ii) catchment aspect [north-facing (NF) vs. south-facing (SF)] and (iii) season (snowmelt vs. summer) on all forms of dissolved stream water C [dissolved organic C (DOC), chromophoric dissolved organic matter (CDOM) and dissolved inorganic C (DIC)] in forested catchments within the Valles Caldera National Preserve, New Mexico. The significant correlation between annual water and C fluxes (e.g. DOC r² = 0.83, p < 0.02) confirms annual stream water discharge as the overarching control on C efflux, likely from a well-mixed ground water reservoir as indicated by previous research. However, CDOM exhibited a dominantly terrestrial fluorescence signature (59–71 %) year round, signaling a strong riparian and near stream soil control on CDOM composition. During snowmelt, the role of water as C transporter was superimposed on its control as C reservoir, when the NF stream transported significantly more soil C (40 % DOC, 56 % DIC) than the SF stream as a result of hillslope flushing. Inter-annual variations in winter precipitation were paramount in regulating annual stream C effluxes, e.g., reducing C effluxes three-fold after a dry (relative to wet) winter season. During the warmer summer months % dissolved oxygen saturation decreased, δ¹³CDIC increased and CDOM assumed a more microbial signature, consistent with heterotrophic respiration in the stream and riparian soils. As a result of stream C incubation and soil respiration, [Formula: see text] increased up to 12 times atmospheric values leading to substantial degassing.
A net ecosystem carbon budget for snow dominated forested headwater catchments
Climate-driven changes in carbon (C) cycling of forested ecosystems have the potential to alter long-term C sequestration and the global C balance. Prior studies have shown that C uptake and partitioning in response to hydrologic variation are system specific, suggesting that a comprehensive assessment is required for distinct ecosystems. Many sub-humid montane forest ecosystems in the US are projected to experience increased water limitation over the next decades and existing water-limited forests can be used as a model for how changes in the hydrologic cycle will impact such ecosystems more broadly. Toward that goal we monitored precipitation, net ecosystem exchange and lateral soil and stream C fluxes in three semi-arid to sub-humid montane forest catchments for several years (WY 2009–2013) to investigate how the amount and timing of water delivery affect C stores and fluxes. The key control on aqueous and gaseous C fluxes was the distribution of water between winter and summer precipitation, affecting ecosystem C uptake versus heterotrophic respiration. We furthermore assessed C stores in soil and above- and below-ground biomass to assess how spatial patterns in water availability influence C stores. Topographically- driven patterns in catchment wetness correlated with modeled soil C stores, reflecting both long-term trends in local C uptake as well as lateral redistribution of C leached from upslope organic soil horizons to convergent landscape positions. The results suggest that changes in the seasonality of precipitation from winter snow to summer rain will influence both the amount and the spatial distribution of soil C stores.
Estimates of groundwater discharge to a coastal wetland using multiple techniques: Taylor Slough, Everglades National Park, USA
Quantifying water exchange between a coastal wetland and the underlying groundwater is important for closing water, energy and chemical budgets. The coastal wetlands of the Florida Everglades (USA) are at the forefront of a large hydrologic restoration project, and understanding of groundwater/surface-water interactions is needed to comprehend the effects of the project. Four independent techniques were used to identify water exchange at varying spatial and temporal scales in Taylor Slough, Everglades National Park. The techniques included a water-budget study and measurements of hydraulic head gradients, geochemical tracers, and temperature. During the 18-month study, the four methods converged as to the timing of groundwater discharge, typically between June and September, contemporaneous with the wet season and increasing surface-water levels. These results were unexpected, as groundwater discharge was predicted to be greatest when surface-water levels were low, typically during the dry season. Either a time lag of 1–5 months in the response of groundwater discharge to low surface-water levels or precipitation-induced groundwater discharge may explain the results. Groundwater discharge was a significant contributor (27 %) to the surface water in Taylor Slough with greater rates of discharge observed towards the coastline in response to seawater intrusion.
The influence of climate and landscape on hydrological processes, vegetation dynamics, biogeochemistry and the transfer of effective energy and mass to the critical zone
The Critical Zone (CZ) is the surficial layer of the planet that sustains life on Earth and extends from the base of the weathered bedrock to the top of the vegetation canopy. Its structure influences water fluxes, biogeochemistry and vegetation. In this dissertation, I explore the relationships between climate, water fluxes, vegetation dynamics, biogeochemistry, and effective energy and mass transfer fluxes (EEMT) in a semi-arid critical zone. This research was carried out in the upper Jemez River Basin in northern New Mexico across gradients of climate and elevation. The main research objectives were to (i) quantify relations among inputs of mass and energy (EEMT), hydrological and biogeochemical processes within the CZ, (ii) determine water fluxes and vegetation dynamics in high elevation mountain catchments with different terrain aspect and solar radiation, and (iii) study temporal variability of climate and its influence on the CZ water availability, forest productivity and energy and mass fluxes. The key findings of this study include (i) significant correlations between EEMT, water transit times (WTT) and mineral weathering products around Redondo Peak. Significant correlations were observed between dissolved weathering products (Na+ and DIC) and maximum EEMT. Similarly, 3H concentrations measured at the springs were significantly correlated with maximum EEMT; (ii) terrain aspect strongly controls energy, water distribution, and vegetation productivity in high elevation ecosystems in catchments draining different aspects of Redondo Peak. The predominantly north facing catchment, when compared to the other two eastern catchments, receives less solar radiation, exhibits less forest cover and smaller biomass, has more surface runoff and smaller vegetation water consumption. Furthermore, the north facing catchment showed smaller NDVI values and shorter growing season length as a consequence of energy limitation, and (iii) from 1984 to 2012 a decreasing trend in water availability, increased vegetation water use, a reduction in both forest productivity and EEMT was observed at the upper Jemez River Basin. These changes point towards a hotter, drier and less productive ecosystem which may alter critical zone processes in high elevation semi-arid systems.