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The prevalence of HIV-1 in Guangxi is very high, and the rate of HIV-1 infection among men who have sex with men (MSM) has been increasing. Therefore, it is necessary to explore the patterns and risk factors of HIV transmission in Guangxi. For this purpose, individuals diagnosed with HIV-1 during 2013–2018 in Guangxi were recruited. Phylogenetic relationship, transmission clusters, and genotypic drug resistance analyses were performed based on HIV-1 pol sequences. Related factors were analysed to assess for their association with HIV-1 transmission. CRF07_BC (50.4%) and CRF01_AE (33.4%) were found to be the predominant subtypes. The analysed 1633 sequences (50.15%, Guangxi; 49.85%, other provinces) were segregated into 80 clusters (size per cluster, 2–704). We found that 75.3% of the individuals were in three clusters (size ˃ 100), and 73.8% were high-risk spreaders (links ≥ 4). Infection time, marital status, and subtype were significantly associated with HIV-1 transmission. Additionally, 80.2% of recent infections were linked to long-term infections, and 46.2% were linked to other provinces. A low level of transmitted drug resistance was detected (4.8%). Our findings indicated superclusters and high-risk HIV-1 spreaders among the MSM in Guangxi. Effective strategies blocking the route of transmission should be developed.

To control the HIV/AIDS epidemics in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region in China, Guangxi government launched the 5-year Guangxi AIDS Conquering Project (GACP, Phase I: 2010-2014, Phase II: 2015-2020). In the project, three measures are implemented, such as great improvements of the coverage of HIV/AIDS education, promotion of HIV voluntary counseling and testing, and enhancement of antiretroviral treatment. In this paper, we explore the effects of the three measures of GACP by construction of a Susceptible-Infected-Diagnosed-Treated population compartments model and via evaluation of the basic reproduction number derived from the model. A computational framework is developed for estimating the model parameters based on the HIV surveillance data, with application of the Markov-Chain Monte-Carlo method and Nonlinear Least Squares method. By estimating the new infections and evaluating the basic reproduction number, we find that the implementation of the three measures of GACP has a significant effect on controlling the rise of HIV/AIDS cases and the epidemic trend. Compared with HIV voluntary counseling and testing, strengthening HIV/AIDS education and expanding the coverage of antiretroviral treatment show a greater impact on HIV/AIDS epidemic control, which provides a reference project for other provinces with a similar epidemic situation in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. At the same time, our research fills the current research gap for the evaluation of large-scale AIDS prevention and control projects in developing areas.

The prevalence of AIDS and mortality rates among HIV-infected individuals in Guangxi remain relatively high, potentially due to impaired CD4 + cell recovery. This study aims to identify factors hindering CD4 + cell recovery in people living with HIV. We conducted a retrospective study on people living with HIV in Guangxi, China, with data collection extending to the end of 2023. CD4 + T cells were categorized into “immunological responders” and “non-responders” based on CD4 + cell recovery after treatment. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze factors associated with the development of immunological non-responders. Recovery of CD4 + T lymphocytes was assessed using the Generalized Additive Mixed Model (GAMM) and Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE). Additionally, multivariate Cox regression identified factors influencing survival rates. Our findings indicated a 52.44% incidence of immunological non-responders after two years of treatment. Factors such as age, sex, education, occupation, infection route, pre-treatment CD4 + T cell count, HIV subtype, and treatment regimen were linked to immunological non-response. Specifically, male gender, education up to high school, farming occupation, heterosexual transmission, CRF01_AE subtype, pre-treatment CD4 + T cell count < 200/µL, and the 3TC + EFV + TDF regimen were identified as significant risk factors. Statistically significant differences in CD4 + T lymphocyte recovery rates were observed among different HIV subtypes ( P  < 0.05). Beyond age, sex, ethnicity, occupation, subtype, and treatment regimen, being an immunological non-responder was found to be a risk factor for both mortality and accelerated disease progression. The study highlights the complexity of factors affecting CD4 + cell recovery post-HIV treatment in Guangxi and underscores the need for vigilant clinical monitoring of people living with HIV, particularly those with low pre-treatment CD4 + T cell levels.

Background The widespread use of antiretroviral therapy (ART) has resulted in the development of transmitted drug resistance (TDR), which reduces ART efficacy. We explored TDR prevalence and its associated risk factors in newly diagnosed individuals in Guangxi. Methods We enrolled 1324 participants who were newly diagnosed with HIV-1 and had not received ART at voluntary counselling and testing centres (VCT) in Guangxi, China, who had not received ART. Phylogenetic relationship, transmission cluster, and genotypic drug resistance analyses were performed using HIV-1 pol sequences. We analysed the association of demographic and virological factors with TDR. Results In total, 1151 sequences were sequenced successfully, of which 83 (7.21%) showed evidence of TDR. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that there was significant difference between the prevalence of TDR and unmarried status (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 2.41, 95% CI: 1.23–4.71), and CRF08_BC subtype (aOR = 2.03, 95% CI: 1.13–3.64). Most cases of TDR were related to resistance to non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (4.87%) and V179E was the most common mutation detected. We identified a total of 119 HIV transmission clusters ( n  = 585, 50.8%), of which 18 (15.1%) clusters showed evidence of TDR (36, 41.86%). Three clusters were identified that included drug-resistant individuals having a transmission relationship with each other. The following parameters were associated with TDR transmission risk: Unmarried status, educational level of junior high school or below, and CRF08_BC subtype may be a risk of the transmission of TDR. Conclusions Our findings indicated that moderate TDR prevalence and highlighted the importance of continuous TDR monitoring and designing of strategies for TDR mitigation.

In the realm of road–rail dual-use bridges, conducting accurate vehicle–bridge coupling analysis is crucial, as the combined effects of road traffic and rail transit induce complex dynamic challenges. This study investigates a road–rail dual-use network arch bridge, highlighting the dynamic effects induced by light rail loadings. By employing a noniterative vehicle–bridge coupling analysis method, the dynamic responses of hangers caused by vehicular and light rail loads are effectively captured. Additionally, this study explores the influence of various parameters, including vehicle types, driving lanes, and road surface roughness on the responses of hangers positioned at different locations along the bridge. The findings reveal that light rail induces significantly larger dynamic effects compared to motor vehicles. When the light rail operates closer to the hanger, the responses of hangers are more pronounced. Furthermore, different road surface roughness level notably affects the amplitude of axial stress and bending moment fluctuations. Poorer road conditions amplify these dynamic effects, leading to increased stress variations. These insights underscore the necessity of integrating considerations for both road and rail traffic in the structural analysis and design of network arch bridges to ensure their reliability and serviceability.

Channel encroachment and financing decisions are prevalent in practice. Utilizing the Stackelberg game framework, we investigate the impact of a retailer’s capital position and financing strategies on supply chain dynamics in which a supplier considers establishing a direct sales channel. We find that the retailer’s equilibrium financing strategy is impacted by demand volatility and the initial working capital. The supplier’s encroachment decision hinges on the entry cost when neither trade credit financing nor bank credit financing is available. When both types of credit are available, the choice of financing is a complex interplay involving initial working capital, entry cost, and demand volatility. Notably, the supplier’s decision to encroach may shift from a binary stance of either encroaching or not encroaching, or it may oscillate from encroachment to non-encroachment and back to encroachment, particularly with an increase in demand volatility when the entry cost is moderate. The novelty of this study lies in its integration of supplier channel decisions with retailer operational decisions and financing strategies, examining how the capital position and financing strategies impact channel decisions. This study provides managerial insights into the interplay between supplier’s channel dynamics and retailer’s financial considerations, shedding light on unexplored aspects of channel management. In future studies, some assumptions in this study can be modified to obtain more managerial insights.

Background The proportion of people living with HIV (PLHIV) in Guangxi who are men who have sex with men (MSM) increased rapidly to nearly 10% in 2023; notably, over 95% of this particular population is currently receiving antiretroviral therapy (ART). This study aimed to describe the survival of MSM PLHIV, depict the characteristics and trends of changes in CD4 + T cell counts, CD4 + /CD8 + T cell ratio, and viral load, and explore immunological indicators that may be related to mortality during different stages of treatment. Methods Immunological indicators of MSM PLHIV receiving ART were extracted and categorized into baseline, mid-treatment, and last values. These were then incorporated into the Cox models in the form of repeated measurements to evaluate the associations (Adjusted-hazard ratios, aHRs ) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs ) of these immunological indicators with mortality at different stages. Results A total of 5,642 patients who met the criteria were enrolled in the study, and 160 died, representing a mortality of 2.8%. The first, median, and last values of the CD4 + count and the CD4 + /CD8 + ratio in surviving patients were significantly greater than the corresponding values in nonsurviving patients ( P  < 0.001). Except for the first viral load ( P  = 0.379), the median and last viral loads of the former were significantly lower than those of the latter ( P  < 0.001). In Cox model, with 2,144 cases, immunological indicators of increased mortality risk included a baseline CD4 + count below 200 cells/µL ( aHR : 4.58, 95% CI : 2.28–9.19), a median ( aHR : 8.46, 95% CI : 3.05–23.46), and a final ( aHR : 4.43, 95% CI : 1.06–18.45) ratio below 0.7 and a median ( aHR : 9.47, 95% CI : 4.02–22.35) and final ( aHR : 14.46, 95% CI : 4.50–46.50) viral load 100,000 copies/mL and above. Conclusions Mortality among MSM PLHIV on ART in Guangxi is relatively low, and both high viral loads and low CD4 + /CD8 + T cell ratios during treatment and at recent follow-up are strongly predictive of a serious prognosis and should be closely monitored.

Background Pretreatment drug resistance (PDR) can limit the effectiveness of HIV antiretroviral therapy (ART). The aim of this study was to assess the prevalence of PDR among HIV-positive individuals that initiated antiretroviral therapy in 2014–2020 in southwestern China. Methods Consecutive cross-sectional surveys were conducted in Qinzhou, Guangxi. We obtained blood samples from individuals who were newly diagnosed with HIV in 2014–2020. PDR and genetic networks analyses were performed by HIV-1 pol sequences using the Stanford HIV-database algorithm and HIV-TRACE, respectively. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to explore the potential factors associated with PDR. Results In total, 3236 eligible HIV-positive individuals were included. The overall prevalence of PDR was 6.0% (194/3236). The PDR frequency to NNRTI (3.3%) was much higher than that of NRTI (1.7%, p < 0.001) and PI (1.2%, p < 0.001). A multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that PDR was significantly higher among individuals aged 18–29 (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.79, 95% CI 1.28–2.50) or 30–49 (aOR: 2.82, 95% CI 1.73–4.82), and harboring CRF08_BC (aOR: 3.23, 95% CI 1.58–6.59). A total of 1429 (43.8%) sequences were linked forming transmission clusters ranging in size from 2 to 119 individuals. Twenty-two individuals in 10 clusters had the same drug resistant mutations (DRMs), mostly to NNRTIs (50%, 5/10). Conclusions The overall prevalence of PDR was medium, numerous cases of the same DRMs among genetically linked individuals in networks further illustrated the importance of surveillance studies for mitigating PDR.

Background Antiretroviral therapy (ART) has reduced mortality among people living with HIV (PLWH) in China, but co-infections of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) may individually or jointly reduce the effect of ART. This study aimed to evaluate the impacts of HBV/HCV coinfections on treatment drop-out and mortality among PLWH on ART. Methods A retrospective cohort study analysis of 58 239 people living with HIV (PLWH) who initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) during 2010–2018 was conducted in Guangxi Province, China. Data were from the observational database of the National Free Antiretroviral Treatment Program. Cox proportional hazard models were fitted to evaluate the effects of baseline infection of HBV or HCV or both on death and treatment attrition among PLWH. Results Our study showed high prevalence of HBV (11.5%), HCV (6.6%) and HBV-HCV (1.5%) co-infections. The overall mortality rate and treatment attrition rate was 2.95 [95% confidence interval ( CI ) 2.88–3.02] and 5.92 (95% CI 5.82–6.01) per 100 person-years, respectively. Compared with HIV-only patients, HBV-co-infected patients had 42% higher mortality [adjusted hazard ratio (a HR ) = 1.42; 95% CI 1.32–1.54], HCV-co-infected patients had 65% higher mortality (a HR  = 1.65; 95% CI 1.47–1.86), and patients with both HCV and HBV co-infections had 123% higher mortality (a HR  = 2.23; 95% CI 1.87–2.66). Conclusions HBV and HCV coinfection may have an additive effect on increasing the risk of all-cause death among PLWH who are on ART. It is suggested that there is need for primary prevention and access to effective hepatitis treatment for PLWH. Graphical Abstract

The high proportion of AIDS cases and mortality rates in Guangxi underscores the urgency to investigate the influence of HIV-1 genetic diversity on disease progression in this region. Newly diagnosed HIV-1 patients were enrolled from January 2016 to December 2021, and the follow-up work and detection of CD4+T lymphocytes were carried out every six months until December 2022. Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the factors affecting pre-treatment CD4+T lymphocyte counts, while local weighted regression models (LOESS) and generalized estimating equation models (GEE) were conducted to assess factors influencing CD4+T Lymphocyte Recovery. Cox regression analysis was utilized to examine the impact of subtypes on survival risk. Additionally, HIV-1 env sequences were utilized for predicting CXCR4 and CCR5 receptors. The study encompassed 1867 individuals with pol sequences and 281 with env sequences. Our findings indicate that age over 30, divorced/widowed, peasant, heterosexual infection, CRF01_AE, long-term infection, and Pre-treatment Viral load >10000 copies/ml were factors associated with higher risk for pre-treatment CD4+T lymphocyte decline. Specifically, male gender, age over 30, heterosexual infection (HETs), long-term infection, CRF01_AE, and Pre-treatment CD4 T cell counts below 350/µL were identified as risk factors impeding CD4+T lymphocyte recovery. Pre-treatment CD4+T lymphocyte counts and recovery in individuals infected with CRF01_AE were lower compared to CRF07_BC and CRF55_01B. Additionally, CRF01_AE and CRF08_BC subtypes exhibited higher mortality rates than CRF07_BC, CRF55_01B, and other subtypes. Notably, CRF01_AE demonstrated the highest percentage of CXCR4 affinity ratios. This research unveils the intricate influence of HIV-1 gene diversity on CD4+T lymphocyte dynamics and clinical outcomes. It highlights the multifaceted nature of HIV infection in Guangxi, providing novel insights into subtype-specific disease progression among HIV-infected individuals in this region.