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result(s) for
"أسعار الصرف"
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روشتة إنقاذ الجنيه : أفكار لحصد الدولار .. للقطاعين (العام والخاص)
يشرح الكتاب الملامح الرئيسية للاقتصاد العالمي الجديد، وكيف أصبح العالم سلسلة متشابكة من سلاسل القيمة، وكيف تحصل الدول المتقدمة والشركات الكبرى على النصيب الأكبر من ثروات العالم، نتيجة التحول من الاقتصاد التقليدي إلى اقتصاد المعرفة المعتمد على رأس المال الفكري، وكيف تحولت الدول من منهج التخطيط التوجيهي إلى التخطيط التأشيري الذي يرسم المسار للقطاع الخاص، وكيف تتمكن الشركات من توسيع نطاق أعمالها عبر الحدود في الاقتصاد الجديد بتصدير حقوق الامتياز (الفرنشايز)، وكيف يمكن للشركات المصرية الاستفادة منه وتطويعه لتصدير المنتجات والخدمات والعلامات التجارية المصرية إلى الأسواق العالمية. كما يقدم الكتاب سبل التمويل والنظام الاستثماري الأنسب لتخطي عقبات الاستثمار، ونماذج لمشروعات إدارة وتسويق فرنشايز (تجارية / صناعية / خدمية) يمكن تطبيقها في جميع القطاعات الاقتصادية من قبل القطاعين العام والخاص.
أثر أنماط الملكية على التدفق النقدي الحر في ظل التقلبات الاقتصادية
2025
تهدف الدراسة إلى التعرف على أثر أنماط الملكية (العائلية- الحكومية - المؤسسية- الأجنبية) على التدفق النقدي الحر في ظل التقلبات الاقتصادية (التغير في سعر الصرف) للشركات المدرجة بمؤشر EGX30، كما تم إدخال متغيرات رقابية (القيمة السوقية للشركة) طبقت الدراسة على (18) شركة خلال الفترة من (2016- 2023) ، وقام الباحث باستخدام المنهج الوصفي، واختبار فروض الدراسة عن طريق اختبار الانحدار الخطى المتعدد من أجل تحليل العلاقة بين متغير واحد بمجموعة متغيرات أخرى في ظل المتغير المعدل بالاعتماد على SPSS(v25)، ووضحت النتائج أنه في ظل التفاعل بين أنماط الملكية (العائلية، الأجنبية، المؤسسية) وسعر الصرف كان التأثير سلبي ومعنوي عند مستوى معنوية 5%، بينما كان التأثير سلبي وغير معنوي في ظل الملكية الحكومية، كما أوصى الباحث بضرورة تعزيز الحوكمة المالية لضمان عدم استغلال التدفقات النقدية في استثمارات غير مجدية أو توزيع أرباح مبالغ فيها تجنب تحويل الأرباح بشكل مبالغ فيه إلى الخارج في فترات انخفاض سعر الصرف بالنسبة للملكية الأجنبية.
Journal Article
The Relationship between Inflation and Stock Market Return
2024
The rapid economic developments and successive crises prompted many researchers to search for ways to confront the obstacles facing investment in the financial markets, with the aim of mitigating the impact of economic variables on investment in them. Hence, this study deals with the impact of inflation on financial markets, by studying the impact of inflation on returns Stocks Because stocks are a good hedge against inflation risks, they also provide an important indicator to contribute to making decisions about the optimal diversification of assets. According to results of the analysis, the research concluded that the Inflation rate (M-OM) significant with (RDWX) (0.05) which is equal the significance level of (0.05), since that the correlation coefficient (r) was positive and weak with RDWX (0.212), according to this result we can say that there is a positive and weak relation between Inflation rate (M-O-M) and Stock market return at DSE.
Journal Article
Evaluating the Effectiveness of the Exchange Rate-Channel in Transmitting the Impact of Monetary Policy to Inflation in Algeria from \1990-2017\
2024
This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the exchange rate channel in transmitting the impact of monetary policy to inflation in Algeria during the period (1990- 2017 ), by trying to answer the problem of the study which is: in measuring the effectiveness of the exchange rate channel in transmitting the effects of monetary policy to inflation in Algeria, relying on the SVAR autoregressive methodology. The results of the study led to the acceptance of the second hypothesis, which is that there is little relative effectiveness of the exchange rate channel in transmitting the effects of monetary policy to inflation in Algeria, which reached a rate of (0.09 %).
Journal Article
Impact Exchange Rate Dinar / Dollar on the Volume of Imports in Algeria
2025
The objective of this inquiry is to rigorously assess how fluctuations in the dinar-dollar monetary relationship have intricately influenced the trajectory of Algeria's international procurement trends, leveraging an analytical and econometric approach during the period (2000-2024). To describe the relationship between the study variables, factor analysis using principal components (ACP) was applied. To achieve this objective, the stability of the time series was examined using the Dickey-Fuller test, which indicated that there is no cointegration between the variables. Accordingly, the investigation employed a Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework, which reveals a statistically robust negative correlation between variations in Algeria's monetary valuation and the associated patterns in international procurement dynamics.
Journal Article
Asymmetric Impact of Oil Price and Exchange Rate on Inflation in Algeria
2023
In this paper, we examine the asymmetric effects of both the world oil price and the exchange rate on inflation in Algeria using annual data from 1973 to 2021. In doing so, we employed the newly established Non-Linear Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model to divide oil price and exchange rate fluctuations into positive and negative variations. The empirical results show that fluctuations in oil prices have an asymmetric effect on Algerian inflation in both the short and long term. More importantly, we discover that positive oil price increases have an asymmetrically greater effect on inflation than negative oil price changes. Furthermore, a rise in the Algerian dinar's depreciation is significantly increasing Algeria's inflation, whereas a decline in the exchange rate (the Algerian dinar's appreciation) fails to decrease inflation. Yet, the asymmetric impact of exchange rate fluctuations to inflation is only in the short run.
Journal Article
Effect of Oil Price, Inflation Rate on Exchange Rate in Ngeria
2023
The study investigates the effect of oil price on inflation and exchange rate. The study spanned 1980- 2019 in Nigeria. The paper first revealed the descriptive statistics of the dependent and independent variable. Among the pair of variables examined the exchange rate has the highest mean value of 115.0664 which implies that Nigeria exchange rate relative to dollar depreciated sharply during the study period. The study further conducted a stationary test by using Augmented Dickey Fuller test so as to avoid spurious regression result. It was observed that all the variables were stationary at level. this further propel the study to run abound co-integration test to ascertain, the existence of long run equilibrium relationship between oil price, exchange rate and inflation rate. The result observed that crude oil price is a determinant of exchange rate. The result of the bound co-integration test showed the existence of long run equilibrium relationship between oil price, inflation and exchange rate. The study therefore recommends that since the oil price is a strong determinant variation in inflation and exchange rate, the government should concentrate on diversifying our economy.
Journal Article
The Impact of Global Supply Chain Disruptions on Egypt's Inflation
2025
Global supply chain disruptions due to COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukraine war have increased inflation worldwide in recent years. So, this study aims to examine the effects of these disruptions on inflation in Egypt, utilizing the structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model, with disaggregated monthly data from January 2014 to May 2024. through comparing the response of domestic inflation measures like the consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI) to supply chain disruption measures by using global prices of oil, food, and shipping costs. In addition to using the real exchange rate (RER). The results indicate that according to structural impulse response functions (IRFs), the global oil price shock and RER immediately positively impact Egypt's CPI and PPI. While shipping costs have an immediate positive impact on PPI and a negative impact on CPI. According to structural variance decomposition, oil prices and shipping costs have tended to significantly affect the PPI more significantly than the CPI. While RER and food have tended to have a more significant effect on the CPI than the PPI. The study's findings could spur policymakers to lessen the inflationary effect of high oil prices by switching to other renewable energy sources and adopting energy-efficient and fuel-efficient technologies. Diversify import sources from geographically close regions to mitigate the effects of inflation resulting from shipping costs. Moreover, it should also enhance all social protection systems for vulnerable categories, maintain currency stability, and enhance export competitiveness.
Journal Article