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باراك أوباما ... وروح أمريكا : نهاية الليبرالية
يناقش الكاتب التغيرات التي طرأت على السياسة الأمريكية فى العقود الأخيرة وإنحرافها من الليبرالية الاجتماعية إلى الليبرالية الجديدة وكيف سيطر التيار المحافظ على أمور السياسة والحكم فيها وتحليل لمناخ الانتخابات الأمريكية الأخيرة (٢٠٠٨) وكيف ولماذا نجح أوباما وهل سينجح فى تحقيق التغيير الذي اتخذه شعارا لحملته في الانتخابات وهل سيصلح ما أفسدته إدارتا جورج بوش وتحليل أخر عن أمريكا ومكانتها وعلاقتها بدول اليسار وبدول الشرق الأوسط وقضايا الإرهاب ونشر الديمقراطية وعن مستقبل التغيير في العالم العربي.
Book
Barack Obama
In this insightful biography, Burton I. Kaufman explores
how the political career of Barack Obama was marked by conservative
tendencies that frustrated his progressive supporters and gave the
lie to socialist fearmongering on the right. Obama's was a landmark
presidency that paradoxically, Kaufman shows, resulted in few, if
any, radical shifts in policy. Following his election,
President Obama's supporters and detractors anticipated radical
reform. As the first African American to serve as president, he
reached the White House on a campaign promise of change. But
Kaufman finds in Obama clear patterns of classical conservativism
of an ideological sort and basic policy-making pragmatism. His
commitment to usher in a multiracial, multiethnic, and
multicultural society was fundamentally connected to opening up,
but not radically altering, the existing free enterprise system.
The Affordable Care Act, arguably President Obama's greatest policy
achievement, was a distillation of his complex motivations for
policy. More conservative than radical, the ACA fitted the
expansion of health insurance into the existing system. Similarly,
in foreign policy, Obama eschewed the use of force to affect regime
change. Yet he kept boots on the ground in the Middle East and
supported ballot-box revolts geared toward achieving in foreign
countries the same principles of liberalism, free enterprise, and
competition that existed in the United States.
In estimating the course and impact of Obama's full political
life, Kaufman makes clear that both the desire for and fear of
change in the American polity affected the popular perception but
not the course of action of the forty-fourth US president.
eBook
Sex, Drugs, and Bitcoin
Cryptocurrencies are among the largest unregulated markets in the world. We find that approximately one-quarter of bitcoin users are involved in illegal activity. We estimate that around $76 billion of illegal activity per year involve bitcoin (46% of bitcoin transactions), which is close to the scale of the U.S. and European markets for illegal drugs. The illegal share of bitcoin activity declines with mainstream interest in bitcoin and with the emergence of more opaque cryptocurrencies. The techniques developed in this paper have applications in cryptocurrency surveillance. Our findings suggest that cryptocurrencies are transforming the black markets by enabling “black e-commerce.”
Journal Article
Sources of Inaction in Household Finance
We build an empirical model to attribute delays in mortgage refinancing to psychological costs inhibiting refinancing until incentives are sufficiently strong; and behavior, potentially attributable to information-gathering costs, lowering the probability of household refinancing per unit time at any incentive. We estimate the model on administrative panel data from Denmark, where mortgage refinancing without cash-out is unconstrained. Middle-aged and wealthy households act as if they have high psychological refinancing costs; but older, poorer, and less-educated households refinance with lower probability irrespective of incentives, thereby achieving lower savings. We use the model to understand frictions in the mortgage channel of monetary policy transmission.
Journal Article
الأداء الاستراتيجي الأمريكي بعد العام 2008 : إدارة باراك أوباما أنموذجا
يحاول المؤلف في هذا الكتاب إيضاح بعض الأفكار المهمة في عالم اليوم المتسارع جدا بأحداثه ومعطياته وحراكه الدولي على صعيد الأداء الاستراتيجي للقوى الدولية ولا سيما في ظل تغير مفهوم القوة وصورها، فضلا على ظهور التحديات العالمية المجابهة لمكانة القوى الدولية عالميا ولعله من نافلة القول أن الولايات المتحدة الأمريكية هي الدولة الأكثر تأثيرا في السياسة الدولية المعاصرة لما تمتلكه من مدخلات القوة والتأثير ضمن أداء استراتيجي منضبط مرتكن إلى عقيدة تسير الماكينة الأمريكية بمجملها نحو هدف واحد، ألا وهو التربع على قمة الهرم الدولي.
BOOK
Inflating Away the Public Debt? An Empirical Assessment
This paper proposes a new method for measuring the impact of inflation on the real value of public debt. The distribution of debt debasement is based on two inputs: the distribution of privately held nominal debt by maturity, for which we provide new estimates, and the distribution of risk-adjusted inflation dynamics, for which we provide a novel copula estimator using options data. We find that inflation by itself is unlikely to lower the U.S. fiscal burden significantly because debt is concentrated at short maturities and perceived inflation shocks have little short-run persistence and are small.
Journal Article
باراك أوباما من الأمل إلى الواقع : متابعات في السياسة الدولية 2008-2010
يتبع هذا الكتاب القضايا والعلاقات الدولية في الفترة من 2008-2010 ويوحي عنوان الكتاب \"أوباما من الأمل إلى الواقع\" بإنه يركز على مجيىء \"بارك أوباما\" إلى الحكم والثورة السياسية والاجتماعية التي أحدثها مجيئة في السياسة الأمريكية والمجتمع الأمريكي والتوقعات والآمال التي أرتبط بها مجيئه ويتتبع الكتاب سياسات إدارة أوباما وكيف تطورت من الآمال إلى الأصطدام بالواقع وهو التطور التي خبت معها الجذوة التي أحدتها مجيئة.
BOOK
Losing an enemy : Obama, Iran, and the triumph of diplomacy
The definitive book on President Obama's historic nuclear deal with Iran from the U.S. foreign policy expert and acclaimed author of Treacherous Alliance.
In Losing an Enemy, Middle East policy expert Trita Parsi examines President Obama's strategy toward Iran's nuclear program and reveals how the historic agreement of 2015 broke the persistent stalemate in negotiations that had blocked earlier efforts. The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, commonly known as the Iran nuclear deal, accomplished two major feats in one stroke: it averted the threat of war with Iran and prevented the possibility of an Iranian nuclear bomb.
Parsi advised the Obama White House throughout the talks and had access to decision-makers and diplomats on the U.S. and Iranian sides alike. With his unique insight, he examines every facet of a triumph that could become as important and consequential as Nixon's rapprochement with China. Drawing from more than seventy-five in-depth interviews with key decision-makers, including Iran's Foreign Minister Javad Zarif and U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, this is the first authoritative account of President Obama's signature foreign policy achievement.
\"A detailed and gripping account of the 22 months of negotiations over Iran's nuclear program that resulted in the 2015 deal.\"—John Waterbury, Foreign Affairs
eBook