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"Ambiguity Political aspects."
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Imagined borders/lived ambiguity : intersections of repression and resistance
Imagined Borders / Lived Ambiguity: Intersections of Repression and Resistance examines the theoretical versatility of the concept of \"borders.\" The impulse to categorize, while present from antiquity in Western culture, has increased in intensity since the advent of the modern age with its corresponding political rise in the ideology of the sovereign nation-state. While immigration is the common mental image Westerners have when discussing borders, immigration is only the tip of the iceberg for this book. The belief in mutually exclusive, clear, and concrete categories creates large swathes of exceptions where people live ambiguous lives nationally, racially, sexually, ethnically, and in terms of gender.Identity is discussed in the book through the lens of borders and ambiguity. The fervor over categorization, best embodied in recent political history by the Trump administration in the United States, is both a desire to identify and control \"dangerous\" populations, but also creates the very ambiguity categorization is intended to alleviate. The volume weaves together discussions on the subjective meaning-making in ambiguity, policies that create ambiguity, historical creations of ambiguity that persist to the present, and theoretical considerations on the relationship between borders and ambiguity.
Book
Innovation and its discontents
The United States patent system has become sand rather than lubricant in the wheels of American progress. Such is the premise behind this provocative and timely book by two of the nation's leading experts on patents and economic innovation.
eBook
The Implied Truth Effect: Attaching Warnings to a Subset of Fake News Headlines Increases Perceived Accuracy of Headlines Without Warnings
What can be done to combat political misinformation? One prominent intervention involves attaching warnings to headlines of news stories that have been disputed by third-party fact-checkers. Here we demonstrate a hitherto unappreciated potential consequence of such a warning: an
implied truth effect
, whereby false headlines that
fail
to get tagged are considered validated and thus are seen as
more
accurate. With a formal model, we demonstrate that Bayesian belief updating can lead to such an implied truth effect. In Study 1 (
n
= 5,271 MTurkers), we find that although warnings do lead to a modest reduction in perceived accuracy of false headlines relative to a control condition (particularly for politically concordant headlines), we also observed the hypothesized implied truth effect: the presence of warnings caused untagged headlines to be seen as more accurate than in the control. In Study 2 (
n
= 1,568 MTurkers), we find the same effects in the context of decisions about which headlines to consider sharing on social media. We also find that attaching verifications to some true headlines—which removes the ambiguity about whether untagged headlines have not been checked or have been verified—eliminates, and in fact slightly reverses, the implied truth effect. Together these results contest theories of motivated reasoning while identifying a potential challenge for the policy of using warning tags to fight misinformation—a challenge that is particularly concerning given that it is much easier to produce misinformation than it is to debunk it.
This paper was accepted by Elke Weber, judgment and decision making.
Journal Article
The Political Energy of the Backway: Government, Migration, and Youth in The Gambia (2010s–21)
During the 2010s, The Gambia came under the spotlight of the European migration regime because of the numbers of its citizens requesting asylum in Europe. Historically sensitive ethnography highlights the specificity of this phase of Gambian migrations and situates it in the country’s political history. The political energy that the “backway”—as undocumented migrations to Europe have been popularly known in The Gambia since the 2000s—manifested at different levels, often simultaneously, over the span of few years is considered in light of the reproduction of authoritarian rule until 2016, the following postdictatorship transition, and the evolving ambiguous relationship among the national government, young people’s desires of mobility, and European requests to reduce their outflow.
Journal Article
The Long March: Deep Democracy in Cross-National Perspective
Abstract
Over the last several decades, dozens of dictatorships have become democracies. Yet while each has held free and fair elections, they have varied in the extent to which their citizens realize the ideal of self-rule. Why do some democracies distribute power to citizens while other democracies withhold it? Existing research is suggestive, but its implications are ambiguous. Cross-national studies have focused on democracy’s formal dimensions, while work on substantive democracy is case-based. We find that one of the most consistent and powerful explanations of substantive democratization is the length of unarmed pro-democratic mobilization prior to a transition. Through a case study of Brazil, we illustrate that these movements matter in three ways: first, because practices of self-organizing model and enable democratic reforms; second, because movement veterans use state office to deepen democracy; and third, because long movements yield civil societies with the capacity to demand the continuous deepening of democracy.
Journal Article
Corporate Sovereign Awakening and the Making of Modern State Sovereignty: New Archival Evidence from the English East India Company
The English East India Company's “company-state” lasted 274 years—longer than most states. This research note uses new archival evidence to study the Company as a catalyst in the development of modern state sovereignty. Drawing on the records of 16,740 managerial and shareholder meetings between 1678 and 1795, I find that as the Company grew through wars, its claim to sovereign authority shifted from a privilege delegated by Crown and Parliament to a self-possessed right. This “sovereign awakening” sparked a reckoning within the English state, which had thus far tolerated ambiguity in Company sovereignty based on the early modern shared international understanding of divisible, nonhierarchical layered sovereignty. But self-possessed nonstate sovereignty claimed from the core of the state became too much. State actors responded by anchoring sovereign authority along more hierarchical, indivisible foundations espoused by theorists centuries earlier. The new research makes two contributions. First, it introduces the conceptual dynamic of “war awakens sovereigns” (beyond making states) by entangling entities in peacemaking to defend sovereign claims. Second, it extends arguments about the European switch from layered sovereignty to hierarchical statist forms by situating the Company's sovereign evolution in this transformation. Ultimately, this study enables fuller historicization of both nonstate authority and the social construction of sovereignty in international politics.
Journal Article
The Moral Ambiguity of Public Prosecution
Classic crimes like theft and assault are in the first instance wrongs against individuals, not against the state or the polity that it represents. Yet our legal system denies crime victims the right to initiate or intervene in the criminal process, relegating them to the roles of witness or bystander-even as the system treats prosecution as an institutional analog of the interpersonal processes of moral blame and accountability, which give pride of place to those most directly wronged. Public prosecution reigns supreme, with the state claiming primary and exclusive moral standing to call offenders to account for their wrongs. Although likely justified all things considered, this legal arrangement upends the structures of accountability familiar from ordinary life, where the victims of wrongdoing enjoy moral standing of a caliber greater than that of most if not all third parties. By inverting these structures of accountability, the state that acts as exclusive public prosecutor exceeds its moral standing and incurs a debt to the crime victim, who retains a persisting moral complaint, even against a state that justifiably monopolizes the prosecution function. The victim's persisting moral complaint is different from the wellknown grievance that a criminal legal system that marginalizes or excludes crime victims risks injuring their dignity and impairing their prospects for vindication and reconciliation. If the state showed crime victims greater solicitude and accommodated their interests and considered preferences more deliberately, the criminal process might dignify victims and enhance their wellbeing. But the state still would exceed its moral standing if it accommodated the victim as a matter of benevolent grace, rather than in recognition of the victim's moral prerogative.
Journal Article
Emotional Support and Opposition for National Environmental Policies in the UK
Understanding affective responses to the climate and ecological emergency is essential for developing and ensuring compliance with mitigation policies. Previous evidence indicates that individuals feeling negative emotions about the state of nature and the climate are more likely to show greater support for environmental policy. This study investigates which of twenty distinct emotions predict attitudes towards nationally relevant UK environmental policies, with specific hypotheses differentiating between unambiguous and ambiguous emotions. We conducted two cross-sectional online surveys with 651 UK residents, who rated their support for three policy sets: the Conservative Government’s manifesto, the Climate and Ecology Bill, and the Green New Deal Bill. By integrating theoretical expectations with exploratory analysis, we found that higher levels of worry and horror predicted greater policy support, whereas boredom predicted opposition. Our analytical strategy underscores the importance of integrating both a priori and explorative models to enhance statistical sensitivity, thereby capturing a broader spectrum of affective states that might otherwise be overlooked but may be crucial for designing targeted interventions. These findings suggest that policymakers can leverage specific emotions, such as worry, to foster support, while addressing boredom to mitigate resistance, thereby enhancing the effectiveness of environmental communication and interventions.
Journal Article
Environmental policy and equity prices
The information quality hypothesis suggests that, theoretically, the relationship between expected returns and conditional volatility is ambiguous and depends on the precision of the information signal, hence, it is affected by investors’ level of uncertainty. When investors’ uncertainty increases, the relationship may become negative. Using environmental policy as an imprecise signal of future economic performance, I find that a newspaper-based environmental policy-related uncertainty indicator (EPN) has a low correlation with equity market volatility, but has a significant negative impact on expected returns. A managed equity market portfolio that takes less (more) risk when the past EPN-related uncertainty is high (low) produces significant equity-risk-adjusted alphas. In particular, I show that EPN-timing is profitable, because it foresees the attractiveness of the mean-variance trade-off. Overall, an EPN-managed equity portfolio generates an annualized equity-risk-adjusted alpha of 5–6%. Interestingly, I find that the uncertainty around environmental policy is on average lower and, therefore, the strategy performs better during periods when the Republicans control the senate.
Journal Article
Paris: Beyond the Climate Dead End through Pledge and Review?
The Paris Climate Agreement of December 2015 marks a decisive break from the unsuccessful Kyoto regime. Instead of targets and timetables, it established a Pledge and Review system, under which states will offer Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) to reducing emissions that cause climate change. But this successful negotiation outcome was achieved at the price of vagueness of obligations and substantial discretion for governments. Many governments will be tempted to use the vagueness of the Paris Agreement, and the discretion that it permits, to limit the scope or intensity of their proposed actions. Whether Pledge and Review under the Paris Agreement will lead to effective action against climate change will therefore depend on the inclination both of OECD countries and newly industrializing countries to take costly actions, which for the OECD countries will include financial transfers to their poorer partners. Domestic politics will be crucial in determining the attitudes of both sets of countries to pay such costs. The actual impact of the Paris Agreement will depend on whether it can be used by domestic groups favoring climate action as a point of leverage in domestic politics—that is, in a “two-level game” simultaneously involving both international and domestic politics.
Journal Article