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In a complex environment such as an urban area, accurate prediction of the atmospheric dispersion of airborne harmful materials such as radioactive substances is necessary for establishing response actions and assessing risk or damage. Given the variety of urban atmospheric dispersion models available, evaluation and inter-comparison exercises are vital for assessing quantitatively and qualitatively their capabilities and differences. To that end, the European Commission/Directorate General Joint Research Centre with support from the European Commission/Directorate General-Migration and Home Affairs, and with the contribution of the U.S. Defense Threat Reduction Agency, launched the Urban Dispersion INternational Evaluation Exercise (UDINEE) project. Within UDINEE, nine atmospheric dispersion models are evaluated and intercompared. Sulphur hexafluoride concentrations from puffs released near the ground during the Joint Urban 2003 (JU2003) field experiment are used in UDINEE to evaluate atmospheric dispersion models. The JU2003 experiment is chosen because UDINEE aims at the better understanding of modelling capabilities for radiological dispersal devices in urban areas, and the neutrally-buoyant puff releases performed in the JU2003 experiment are the closest scenario to this purpose. The present study evaluates the capability of models at simulating the presence and concentration levels of the tracer at sampling locations. The fraction of predicted concentrations and time-integrated concentrations within a factor-of-two of observations are less than 0.36 and 0.4 respectively. The analysis reveals an improvement in the performance of models by using time-varying inflow conditions. Since the simulation of the dispersion of puff release is particularly challenging, the results of UDINEE could constitute a benchmark for future model developments.

The capabilities of nine atmospheric dispersion models in predicting near-field dispersion from puff releases in an urban environment are addressed under the Urban Dispersion INternational Evaluation Exercise (UDINEE) project. The model results are evaluated using tracer observations from the Joint Urban 2003 (JU2003) experiment where neutrally-buoyant puffs were released in the downtown area of Oklahoma City, USA. Sulphur hexafluoride concentration time series measured at ten sampling locations during four daytime and four night-time puff releases are used to evaluate how the models simulate the puff passage at the measurement locations. The neutrally-buoyant puff releases in the JU2003 experiment are the closest scenario to radiological dispersal device (RDD) releases in urban areas, and therefore, UDINEE is a first step towards improving the emergency response to an RDD explosion in the urban environment. We investigate for each puff and sampler the model capability of simulating the peak concentration; the peak and puff arrival times; and time duration, defined as the period over which concentrations exceed 10% of the peak concentration. This analysis points out differences on the performance of models: the fraction within a factor-of-two values ranges from 0.10 to 0.6 for peak concentration, from 0 to 1 for the peak and arrival times, and from 0 to 0.8 for the time duration. The results reveal that the characteristics of the release site largely influence the model simulation as it affects initial puff size and the initial downwind spread of the puff.

In the land use planning framework in the neighbourhood of industrial facilities, the current approach to predicting the consequences of massive toxic gas releases is generally based on Gaussian or integral models. For many years, CFD models have been more and more used in this context, in accordance with the development of high-performance computing (HPC). The present paper focuses on harmonising input data for atmospheric transport and dispersion (AT&D) modelling between the widely used approaches. First, a synthesis of the practice’s harmonisation for atmospheric dispersion modelling within the framework of risk assessment is presented. Then, these practices are applied to a large-scale INERIS ammonia experimental release. For illustration purposes, the impact of the proposed harmonisation will be evaluated using different approaches: the SLAB model, the FDS model, and the Code_Saturne model. The two main focuses of this paper are the adaptation of the source term dealing with a massive release and the wind flow modelling performance using an experimental signal for CFD model inflow. Finally, comparisons between the modelling and experimental results enable checking the consistency of these approaches and reinforce the importance of the input data harmonisation for each AT&D modelling approach.

The specification of inlet boundary conditions plays a critical role in computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations of pollutant dispersion from nuclear facilities, particularly in regions characterized by uneven terrain. Previous studies have often simplified such terrain by approximating it as a flat surface to reduce computational complexity. However, this approach fails to adequately capture the realistic atmospheric boundary layer dynamics inherent to uneven topographies. To address this limitation, this study conducted atmospheric dispersion tracer experiments specifically designed for nuclear facilities situated on non-uniform terrain. A novel inlet boundary condition, termed the Atmospheric Boundary Layer of Uneven Terrain (ABLUT), was developed by modifying the existing atmBoundaryLayer model in OpenFOAM. Numerical simulations were performed using both the default and the proposed ABLUT boundary conditions, incorporating different turbulence models and examining the influence of turbulent Schmidt numbers across a range of 0.3 to 1.3. The results demonstrate that the ABLUT boundary condition, particularly when coupled with a turbulent Schmidt number of 0.7 and the SST k−ω turbulence model, yields the closest agreement with experimental tracer dispersion data. Notably, comparative analyses between the default and improved models revealed significant discrepancies in near-surface wind speed profiles, with deviations becoming increasingly pronounced at higher elevations. Numerical simulations were conducted to assess the ground-level distribution of Total Effective Dose Equivalent (TEDE) for four typical radionuclides (3H, 14C, 85Kr and 129I) emitted from nuclear facilities under both higher and lower wind speed conditions. Results demonstrate that the TEDE maxima across all scenarios remain orders of magnitude below regulatory annual limits. These findings provide critical insights for enhancing the accuracy of wind field simulations in the vicinity of nuclear facilities located on uneven terrain, thereby contributing to improved risk assessment and environmental impact evaluations.

Simulations of the atmospheric dispersion of methane emissions were created for a region containing 26 oil and gas production sites in the Permian Basin in Texas. Virtual methane sensors were placed at 24 of the 26 sites, with at most 1 sensor per site. Continuous and intermittent emissions from each of the 26 oil and gas production sites, over 4 week-long meteorological episodes, representative of winter, spring, summer, and fall meteorology, were simulated. The trade-offs between numbers of sensors and precision of sensors required to reliably detect methane emissions of 1 to 10 kg/h were characterized. A total of 15 sensors, able to detect concentration enhancements of 1 ppm, were capable of identifying emissions at all 26 sites in all 4 week-long meteorological episodes, if emissions were continuous at a rate of 10 kg/h. More sensors or sensors with lower detection thresholds were required if emissions were intermittent or if emission rates were lower. The sensitivity of the required number of sensors to site densities in the region, emission dispersion calculation approaches, meteorological conditions, intermittency of the emissions, and emission rates, were examined. The results consistently indicated that, for the conditions in the Permian Basin, a fixed monitoring network with approximately one continuous monitor per site is likely to be capable of consistently detecting site-level methane emissions in the range of 5–10 kg/h.

Recent advances in the development of large eddy simulation (LES) atmospheric models with corresponding atmospheric transport and dispersion (AT&D) modeling capabilities have made it possible to simulate short, time-averaged, single realizations of pollutant dispersion at the spatial and temporal resolution necessary for common atmospheric dispersion needs, such as designing air sampling networks, assessing pollutant sensor system performance, and characterizing the impact of airborne materials on human health. The high computational burden required to form an ensemble of single-realization dispersion solutions using an LES and coupled AT&D model has, until recently, limited its use to a few proof-of-concept studies. An example of an LES model that can meet the temporal and spatial resolution and computational requirements of these applications is the joint outdoor-indoor urban large eddy simulation (JOULES). A key enabling element within JOULES is the computationally efficient graphics processing unit (GPU)-based LES, which is on the order of 150 times faster than if the LES contaminant dispersion simulations were executed on a central processing unit (CPU) computing platform. JOULES is capable of resolving the turbulence components at a suitable scale for both open terrain and urban landscapes, e.g., owing to varying environmental conditions and a diverse building topology. In this paper, we describe the JOULES modeling system, prior efforts to validate the accuracy of its meteorological simulations, and current results from an evaluation that uses ensembles of dispersion solutions for unstable, neutral, and stable static stability conditions in an open terrain environment.

In case of a release of hazardous radioactive matter to the atmosphere from e.g., a nuclear power plant accident, atmospheric dispersion models are used to predict the spatial distribution of radioactive particles and gasses. However, at the early stages of an accident, only limited information about the release may be available. Thus, there is a need for source term estimation methods suitable for operational use shortly after an accident. We have developed a Bayesian inverse method for estimating the multi-nuclide source term describing a radioactive release from a nuclear power plant. The method provides a probabilistic source term estimate based on the early available observations of air concentration and gamma dose rate by monitoring systems. The method is intended for operational use in case of a nuclear accident, where no reliable source term estimate exists. We demonstrate how the probabilistic formulation can be used to provide estimates of the released amounts of each radionuclide as well as estimates of future gamma dose rates. The method is applied to an artificial case of a radioactive release from the Loviisa nuclear power plant in southern Finland, considering the most important dose-contributing nuclides. The case demonstrates that only limited air concentration measurement data may be available shortly after the release, and that to a large degree one will have to rely on gamma dose rate observations from a frequently reporting denser monitoring network. Further, we demonstrate that information about the core inventory of the nuclear power plant can be used to constrain the release rates of certain radionuclides, thereby decreasing the number of free parameters of the source term.

Traffic emissions are a major source of ambient air pollution, and exposure to these emissions has been linked to numerous adverse health effects. Our study investigated the reduction of traffic emissions in downtown Tianjin, China, and assessed its health benefits. Based on the vehicle emission inventory, The Atmospheric Dispersion Modelling System (ADMS) was adopted for simulating the dispersion of traffic-related air pollutants including primary fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and carbon monoxide (CO). The Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program (BenMAP) was then used to quantify the benefits of emission reductions with respect to cardiovascular disease and respiratory disease. We found a downward trend in PM2.5 and CO concentrations from 2015 to 2019 (PM2.5: 17.8 to 10.5μg/m3, CO: 2.3 to 1.3mg/m3). Furthermore, in line with the reduction of average annual PM2.5 and CO attributable to traffic emissions during 2016–2019 compared with 2015, the accumulative deaths from the two diseases mentioned above in these years decreased by 156 and 961 respectively. Our study constructs an integrated framework combining emission inventories, air quality modeling, and population health benefits, which can be used for further health effects of related air quality improvement.

The calculation of the three-dimensional atmospheric dispersion model is often time-consuming, which makes the model difficult to apply to the emergency field. With the aim of addressing this problem, we propose a parallel computing algorithm for the CALPUFF atmospheric dispersion model. Existing methods for parallelizing the atmospheric dispersion model can be divided into two categories, with one using the parallel computing interface to rewrite the source code and the other directly dividing the repetitive elements in the computation task. This paper proposes an improved method based on the latter approach. Specifically, the method of spatial division with buffers is adopted to parallelize the wind field module of the CALPUFF model system, and the method for receptor layering is adopted to parallelize the dispersion module. In addition, the message queue software RabbitMQ is used as the communication middleware. A performance test is conducted on nine computing nodes on the Alibaba Cloud Computing Platform for a single-source continuous emergency leak case. The results show that the division method with a buffer of ten cells is most suitable for the case above in order to maintain the balance between computation speed and accuracy. This reduces the computation time of the model to about one-sixth, which is of great significance for extending the atmospheric dispersion model to the emergency field.

Locating and quantifying the emission source plays a significant role in the emergency management of hazardous gas leak accidents. Due to the lack of a desirable atmospheric dispersion model, current source estimation algorithms cannot meet the requirements of both accuracy and efficiency. In addition, the original optimization algorithm can hardly estimate the source accurately, because of the difficulty in balancing the local searching with the global searching. To deal with these problems, in this paper, a source estimation method is proposed using an artificial neural network (ANN), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and a simulated annealing algorithm (SA). This novel method uses numerous pre-determined scenarios to train the ANN, so that the ANN can predict dispersion accurately and efficiently. Further, the SA is applied in the PSO to improve the global searching ability. The proposed method is firstly tested by a numerical case study based on process hazard analysis software (PHAST), with analysis of receptor configuration and measurement noise. Then, the Indianapolis field case study is applied to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method in practice. Results demonstrate that the hybrid SAPSO algorithm coupled with the ANN prediction model has better performances than conventional methods in both numerical and field cases.