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"Bewässerung"
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Spatiotemporal drought analysis by the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) in Sichuan Province, China
2021
Drought refers to a meteorological disaster that causes insufficient soil moisture and damage to crop water balance due to long-term lack of precipitation. With the increasing shortage of water resources, drought has become one of the hot issues of global concern. The standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) can effectively reflect the changes in drought characteristics of different geomorphologies in Sichuan on time and space scales, to explore the difference in drought characteristics between different physiognomy types in Sichuan Province, We calculated the SPI and SPEI values based on the data of 44 meteorological stations in Sichuan Province from 1961 to 2019 and used Mann–Kendall trend test and multivariable linear regression method (MLR) to quantify the significance of the drought characteristic trends at different time and space scales. The results as follow: (1) The SPEI drought trend in plain and hilly regions was greater than that in plateau and mountain regions on all time scales (− 0.039 year
−1
for 1-month in hilly, − 0.035 year
−1
for 1-month in plain, − 0.14 year
−1
for 1-month in plateau, − 0.026 year
−1
for 1-month in mountain) and the magnitude of trend of eastern (− 4.4 to 0.1 year
−1
) was lager than western (− 2.1 to 2.7 year
−1
), means that the drought trends transfer from northwest to east. (2) The drought intensity in the western region gradually increased (0.54–1.05) and drought events mainly occurred in the southwest plateau and central mountainous regions (24–47 times), means that drought meteorological hotspots were mainly concentrated in the Sichuan basin. (3) The MLR indicated altitude (
H
) is not the main influencing factor that causes the spatial unevenness of precipitation in Sichuan Province, but altitude (
H
), temperature (
T
), longitude (
L
o
) and latitude (
L
a
) can co-determined the precipitation. The results of this study are instructive and practical for drought assessment, risk management and application decision-making in Sichuan Province, and have guiding significance for agricultural disaster prevention, mitigation and agricultural irrigation in Sichuan Province.
Journal Article
Agricultural crops programmed cultivation using intelligent system of irrigated agrocoenoses productivity analyzing
by
Tokarev, K E
2021
The article considers the possibilities of controlling the programmed cultivation of agricultural crops using an intelligent system for analyzing the productivity of irrigated agrocoenoses. The information support of the intelligent system is standard information about agrometeological conditions, technical parameters of irrigation systems and irrigation machines, as well as information about the amount of water resources allocated for irrigation. The obtained results provide a strict theoretical basis for solving the issues of irrigation water distribution and operational management of the irrigation regime, clarify and simplify the procedure for choosing the optimal variant of the irrigation system design solution, and make it possible to make reasonable decisions related to the rational use of water resources in existing systems.
Journal Article
Global long-term observations of coastal erosion and accretion
2018
Changes in coastal morphology have broad consequences for the sustainability of coastal communities, structures and ecosystems. Although coasts are monitored locally in many places, understanding long-term changes at a global scale remains a challenge. Here we present a global and consistent evaluation of coastal morphodynamics over 32 years (1984–2015) based on satellite observations. Land losses and gains were estimated from the changes in water presence along more than 2 million virtual transects. We find that the overall surface of eroded land is about 28,000 km
2
, twice the surface of gained land, and that often the extent of erosion and accretion is in the order of km. Anthropogenic factors clearly emerge as the dominant driver of change, both as planned exploitation of coastal resources, such as building coastal structures, and as unforeseen side effects of human activities, for example the installment of dams, irrigation systems and structures that modify the flux of sediments, or the clearing of coastal ecosystems, such as mangrove forests. Another important driver is the occurrence of natural disasters such as tsunamis and extreme storms. The observed global trend in coastal erosion could be enhanced by Sea Level Rise and more frequent extreme events under a changing climate.
Journal Article
Understanding the Variability in Estimation of Water Quality of Lakes and Reservoirs
2020
This paper presents a critical review on the existing methodology of water quality assessment of lakes and reservoirs being used as a source of water supply and irrigation purposes. The seasonal and depth-wise variations in water quality are also analysed and presented through two case studies. It is inferred that water quality monitoring is a helpful tool not only to evaluate the impacts of pollution sources but also to ensure an efficient management of water resources and the protection of aquatic life. However, it is incomplete to make any meaningful prediction without correlating the prevailing catchment characteristics as well as imparting the scope for real-time action plan. The present study highlights a few strategic features causing variability in water quality and proposes a corroborative plan to address those issues.
Journal Article
Global food self-sufficiency in the 21st century under sustainable intensification of agriculture
by
Beltran-Peña, Areidy
,
D'Odorico, Paolo
,
Rosa, Lorenzo
in
21st century
,
Agricultural aircraft
,
Agricultural products
2020
Meeting the increasing global demand for agricultural products without depleting the limited resources of the planet is a major challenge that humanity is facing. Most studies on global food security do not make projections past the year 2050, just as climate change and increasing demand for food are expected to intensify. Moreover, past studies do not account for the water sustainability limits of irrigation expansion to presently rainfed areas. Here we perform an integrated assessment that considers a range of factors affecting future food production and demand throughout the 21st century. We evaluate the self-sufficiency of 165 countries under sustainability, middle-of-the-road, and business-as-usual scenarios considering changes in diet, population, agricultural intensification, and climate. We find that under both the middle-of-the-road and business-as-usual trajectories global food self-sufficiency is likely to decline despite increased food production through sustainable agricultural intensification since projected food demand exceeds potential production. Contrarily, under a sustainability scenario, we estimate that there will be enough food production to feed the global population. However, most countries in Africa and the Middle East will continue to be heavily reliant on imports throughout the 21st century under all scenarios. These results highlight future hotspots of crop production deficits, reliance on food imports, and vulnerability to food supply shocks.
Journal Article
Environmental flow limits to global groundwater pumping
by
de Graaf, Inge E. M.
,
Sutanudjaja, Edwin H.
,
(Rens) van Beek, L. P. H.
in
704/172/4081
,
704/242
,
Agricultural Irrigation - methods
2019
Groundwater is the world’s largest freshwater resource and is critically important for irrigation, and hence for global food security
1
–
3
. Already, unsustainable groundwater pumping exceeds recharge from precipitation and rivers
4
, leading to substantial drops in the levels of groundwater and losses of groundwater from its storage, especially in intensively irrigated regions
5
–
7
. When groundwater levels drop, discharges from groundwater to streams decline, reverse in direction or even stop completely, thereby decreasing streamflow, with potentially devastating effects on aquatic ecosystems. Here we link declines in the levels of groundwater that result from groundwater pumping to decreases in streamflow globally, and estimate where and when environmentally critical streamflows—which are required to maintain healthy ecosystems—will no longer be sustained. We estimate that, by 2050, environmental flow limits will be reached for approximately 42 to 79 per cent of the watersheds in which there is groundwater pumping worldwide, and that this will generally occur before substantial losses in groundwater storage are experienced. Only a small decline in groundwater level is needed to affect streamflow, making our estimates uncertain for streams near a transition to reversed groundwater discharge. However, for many areas, groundwater pumping rates are high and environmental flow limits are known to be severely exceeded. Compared to surface-water use, the effects of groundwater pumping are markedly delayed. Our results thus reveal the current and future environmental legacy of groundwater use.
Estimates for when critical environmental streamflow limits will be reached—with potentially devastating economic and environmental effects—are obtained using a global model that links groundwater pumping with the groundwater flow to rivers.
Journal Article
National food production stabilized by crop diversity
by
University of California [Santa Barbara] (UC Santa Barbara) ; University of California (UC)
,
Tilman, David
,
Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE) ; Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE) ; Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université Paris Sciences et Lettres (PSL)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD [Occitanie])-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro)
in
704/158/2456
,
704/158/670
,
Agricultural Irrigation - statistics & numerical data
2019
Increasing global food demand, low grain reserves and climatechange threaten the stability of food systems on national to globalscales. Policies to increase yields, irrigation and tolerance of cropsto drought have been proposed as stability-enhancing solutions.Here we evaluate a complementary possibility—that greaterdiversity of crops at the national level may increase the year-to-yearstability of the total national harvest of all crops combined. We testthis crop diversity–stability hypothesis using 5 decades of data onannual yields of 176 crop species in 91 nations. We find that greatereffective diversity of crops at the national level is associated withincreased temporal stability of total national harvest. Crop diversityhas stabilizing effects that are similar in magnitude to the observeddestabilizing effects of variability in precipitation. This greaterstability reflects markedly lower frequencies of years with sharpharvest losses. Diversity effects remained robust after statisticallycontrolling for irrigation, fertilization, precipitation, temperatureand other variables, and are consistent with the variance-scalingcharacteristics of individual crops required by theory for diversityto lead to stability. Ensuring stable food supplies is a challenge thatwill probably require multiple solutions. Our results suggest thatincreasing national effective crop diversity may be an additional wayto address this challenge.
Journal Article
The effects of climate extremes on global agricultural yields
by
Frieler, Katja
,
Meinshausen, Nicolai
,
Alexander, Lisa V
in
Agricultural production
,
agriculture
,
Algorithms
2019
Climate extremes, such as droughts or heat waves, can lead to harvest failures and threaten the livelihoods of agricultural producers and the food security of communities worldwide. Improving our understanding of their impacts on crop yields is crucial to enhance the resilience of the global food system. This study analyses, to our knowledge for the first time, the impacts of climate extremes on yield anomalies of maize, soybeans, rice and spring wheat at the global scale using sub-national yield data and applying a machine-learning algorithm. We find that growing season climate factors-including mean climate as well as climate extremes-explain 20%-49% of the variance of yield anomalies (the range describes the differences between crop types), with 18%-43% of the explained variance attributable to climate extremes, depending on crop type. Temperature-related extremes show a stronger association with yield anomalies than precipitation-related factors, while irrigation partly mitigates negative effects of high temperature extremes. We developed a composite indicator to identify hotspot regions that are critical for global production and particularly susceptible to the effects of climate extremes. These regions include North America for maize, spring wheat and soy production, Asia in the case of maize and rice production as well as Europe for spring wheat production. Our study highlights the importance of considering climate extremes for agricultural predictions and adaptation planning and provides an overview of critical regions that are most susceptible to variations in growing season climate and climate extremes.
Journal Article
Scientists’ warning to humanity on the freshwater biodiversity crisis
by
Winemiller, Kirk O.
,
Ripple, William J.
,
Duke-Sylvester, Scott M.
in
Agricultural land
,
Agricultural management
,
Agricultural production
2021
Freshwater ecosystems provide irreplaceable services for both nature and society. The quality and quantity of freshwater affect biogeochemical processes and ecological dynamics that determine biodiversity, ecosystem productivity, and human health and welfare at local, regional and global scales. Freshwater ecosystems and their associated riparian habitats are amongst the most biologically diverse on Earth, and have inestimable economic, health, cultural, scientific and educational values. Yet human impacts to lakes, rivers, streams, wetlands and groundwater are dramatically reducing biodiversity and robbing critical natural resources and services from current and future generations. Freshwater biodiversity is declining rapidly on every continent and in every major river basin on Earth, and this degradation is occurring more rapidly than in terrestrial ecosystems. Currently, about one third of all global freshwater discharges pass through human agricultural, industrial or urban infrastructure. About one fifth of the Earth’s arable land is now already equipped for irrigation, including all the most productive lands, and this proportion is projected to surpass one third by midcentury to feed the rapidly expanding populations of humans and commensal species, especially poultry and ruminant livestock. Less than one fifth of the world’s preindustrial freshwater wetlands remain, and this proportion is projected to decline to under one tenth by midcentury, with imminent threats from water transfer megaprojects in Brazil and India, and coastal wetland drainage megaprojects in China. The Living Planet Index for freshwater vertebrate populations has declined to just one third that of 1970, and is projected to sink below one fifth by midcentury. A linear model of global economic expansion yields the chilling prediction that human utilization of critical freshwater resources will approach one half of the Earth’s total capacity by midcentury. Although the magnitude and growth of the human freshwater footprint are greater than is generally understood by policy makers, the news media, or the general public, slowing and reversing dramatic losses of freshwater species and ecosystems is still possible. We recommend a set of urgent policy actions that promote clean water, conserve watershed services, and restore freshwater ecosystems and their vital services. Effective management of freshwater resources and ecosystems must be ranked amongst humanity’s highest priorities.
Journal Article
Strong contributions of local background climate to the cooling effect of urban green vegetation
2018
Utilization of urban green vegetation (UGV) has been recognized as a promising option to mitigate urban heat island (UHI) effect. While we still lack understanding of the contributions of local background climate to the cooling effect of UGV. Here we proposed and employed a cooling effect framework and selected eight typical cities located in Temperate Monsoon Climate (TMC) and Mediterranean Climate (MC) demonstrate that local climate condition largely affects the cooling effect of UGV. Specifically, we found increasing (artificial) rainfall and irrigation contribute to improving the cooling intensity of grassland in both climates, particularly in the hot-dry environment. The cities with high relative humidity would restrict the cooling effect of UGV. Increasing wind speed would significantly enhance the tree-covered while weakening the grass-covered UGVs’ cooling effect in MC cities. We also identified that, in order to achieve the most effective cooling with the smallest sized tree-covered UGV, the area of trees in both climate zones’ cities should generally be planned around 0.5 ha. The method and results enhance understanding of the cooling effect of UGVs on larger (climate) scales and provide important insights for UGV planning and management.
Journal Article