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"Binary choice"
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THE EMPIRICAL CONTENT OF BINARY CHOICE MODELS
An important goal of empirical demand analysis is choice and welfare prediction on counterfactual budget sets arising from potential policy interventions. Such predictions are more credible when made without arbitrary functional-form/distributional assumptions, and instead based solely on economic rationality, that is, that choice is consistent with utility maximization by a heterogeneous population. This paper investigates nonparametric economic rationality in the empirically important context of binary choice. We show that under general unobserved heterogeneity, economic rationality is equivalent to a pair of Slutsky-like shape restrictions on choice-probability functions. The forms of these restrictions differ from Slutsky inequalities for continuous goods. Unlike McFadden–Richter’s stochastic revealed preference, our shape restrictions (a) are global, that is, their forms do not depend on which and how many budget sets are observed, (b) are closed form, hence easy to impose on parametric/semi/nonparametric models in practical applications, and (c) provide computationally simple, theory-consistent bounds on demand and welfare predictions on counterfactual budge sets.
Journal Article
DYNAMIC TIME SERIES BINARY CHOICE
2011
This paper considers dynamic time series binary choice models. It proves near epoch dependence and strong mixing for the dynamic binary choice model with correlated errors. Using this result, it shows in a time series setting the validity of the dynamic probit likelihood procedure when lags of the dependent binary variable are used as regressors, and it establishes the asymptotic validity of Horowitz’s smoothed maximum score estimation of dynamic binary choice models with lags of the dependent variable as regressors. For the semiparametric model, the latent error is explicitly allowed to be correlated. It turns out that no long-run variance estimator is needed for the validity of the smoothed maximum score procedure in the dynamic time series framework.
Journal Article
Identification and estimation of heteroscedastic binary choice models with endogenous dummy regressors
2018
In this paper, we consider the semiparametric identification and estimation of a heteroscedastic binary choice model with endogenous dummy regressors and no parametric restriction on the distribution of the error term. Our approach addresses various drawbacks associated with previous estimators proposed for this model. It allows for: general multiplicative heteroscedasticity in both selection and outcome equations; a nonparametric selection mechanism; and multiple discrete endogenous regressors. The resulting three-stage estimator is shown to be asymptotically normal, with a convergence rate that can be arbitrarily close to n-½ if certain smoothness assumptions are satisfied. Simulation results show that our estimator performs reasonably well in finite samples. Our approach is then used to study the intergenerational transmission of smoking habits in British households.
Journal Article
Pregibit: a family of binary choice models
2016
The pregibit binary choice model is built on a distribution that allows symmetry or asymmetry and thick tails, thin tails, or no tails. Thus, the model is much more flexible than the traditional binary choice models: pregibit nests logit, approximately nests probit, loglog, cloglog, and gosset models and incorporates the linear probability model. Greater flexibility allows a more accurate estimation of the data-generating process, including asymmetric and thick/thin tails. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimator of the pregibit model is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. A Monte Carlo analysis and two real-world examples show that probit and logit estimates may show misleading evidence in cases where a pregibit model is statistically preferred. One example concerns enrollment in post-secondary education in Belgium: The pregibit estimate of the enrollment gap between Belgian natives and foreign students is 50 % larger, and the type of high school (general, technical, catholic) is more influential. The second example examines the outcome of mortgage applications in the USA. Here, pregibit estimates assign a stronger role to variables that measure the financial strength of mortgage applicants and a weaker role to demographic characteristics including minority status. More importantly, the distribution of the disturbances proves to be seriously skewed: Pregibit indicates that even high-risk applicants (with a probit acceptance probability of nearly 0) have a positive probability of getting their mortgage application approved. Apparently, mortgage officers are more inclined to uncover reasons to make a mortgage deal than to send clients away empty-handed.
Journal Article
Measuring vection: a review and critical evaluation of different methods for quantifying illusory self-motion
by
Keshavarz, Behrang
,
Nahavandi, Saeid
,
Berti, Stefan
in
Behavioral Science and Psychology
,
Cognitive Psychology
,
Humans
2024
The sensation of self-motion in the absence of physical motion, known as
vection
, has been scientifically investigated for over a century. As objective measures of, or physiological correlates to, vection have yet to emerge, researchers have typically employed a variety of subjective methods to quantify the phenomenon of vection. These measures can be broadly categorized into the occurrence of vection (e.g., binary choice yes/no), temporal characteristics of vection (e.g., onset time/latency, duration), the quality of the vection experience (e.g., intensity rating scales, magnitude estimation), or indirect (e.g., distance travelled) measures. The present review provides an overview and critical evaluation of the most utilized vection measures to date and assesses their respective merit. Furthermore, recommendations for the selection of the most appropriate vection measures will be provided to assist with the process of vection research and to help improve the comparability of research findings across different vection studies.
Journal Article
Corrigendum: Magnetic sense-dependent probabilistic decision-making in humans
by
Oh, In-Taek
,
Kim, Soo-Chan
,
Chae, Kwon-Seok
in
binary choice
,
decision-making
,
geomagnetic field
2025
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fnins.2025.1497021.].
Journal Article
Removing specification errors from the usual formulation of binary choice models
by
Chang, I-Lok
,
Swamy, Paravastu A. V. B
,
Mehta, Jatinder S
in
binary choice models
,
specification errors
,
stochastic coefficients
2016
We develop a procedure for removing four major specification errors from the usual formulation of binary choice models. The model that results from this procedure is different from the conventional probit and logit models. This difference arises as a direct consequence of our relaxation of the usual assumption that omitted regressors constituting the error term of a latent linear regression model do not introduce omitted regressor biases into the coefficients of the included regressors.
Journal Article
Robust and Efficient Adaptive Estimation of Binary-Choice Regression Models
2008
The binary-choice regression models, such as probit and logit, are used to describe the effect of explanatory variables on a binary response variable. Typically estimated by the maximum likelihood method, estimates are very sensitive to deviations from a model, such as heteroscedasticity and data contamination. At the same time, the traditional robust (high-breakdown point) methods, such as the maximum trimmed likelihood, are not applicable because, by trimming observations, they induce nonidentification of parameter estimates. To provide a robust estimation method for binary-choice regression, we consider a maximum symmetrically trimmed likelihood estimator (MSTLE) and design a parameter-free adaptive procedure for choosing the amount of trimming. The proposed adaptive MSTLE preserves the robust properties of the original MSTLE, significantly improves the finite-sample behavior of MSTLE, and also ensures the asymptotic equivalence of the MSTLE and maximum likelihood estimator under no contamination. The results concerning the trimming identification, robust properties, and asymptotic distribution of the proposed method are accompanied by simulation experiments and an application documenting the finite-sample behavior of some existing and the proposed methods.
Journal Article
DYNAMICALLY AGGREGATING DIVERSE INFORMATION
by
Mu, Xiaosheng
,
Syrgkanis, Vasilis
,
Liang, Annie
in
Attention
,
binary choice
,
dynamic Blackwell
2022
An agent has access to multiple information sources, each modeled as a Brownian motion whose drift provides information about a different component of an unknown Gaussian state. Information is acquired continuously—where the agent chooses both which sources to sample from, and also how to allocate attention across them—until an endogenously chosen time, at which point a decision is taken. We demonstrate conditions on the agent’s prior belief under which it is possible to exactly characterize the optimal information acquisition strategy. We then apply this characterization to derive new results regarding: (1) endogenous information acquisition for binary choice, (2) the dynamic consequences of attention manipulation, and (3) strategic information provision by biased news sources.
Journal Article