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"Doppler radar data"
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An Analysis of Tropical Cyclone Vortex and Convective Characteristics in Relation to Storm Intensity Using a Novel Airborne Doppler Radar Database
by
Fischer, Michael S.
,
Reasor, Paul D.
,
Gamache, John F.
in
Airborne radar
,
Airborne remote sensing
,
Aircraft
2022
This analysis introduces a novel airborne Doppler radar database, referred to as the Tropical Cyclone Radar Archive of Doppler Analyses with Re-centering (TC-RADAR). TC-RADAR comprises over 900 analyses from 273 flights into TCs in the North Atlantic, eastern North Pacific, and central North Pacific basins between 1997 and 2020. This database contains abundant sampling across a wide range of TC intensities, which facilitated a comprehensive observational analysis on how the three-dimensional, kinematic TC inner-core structure is related to TC intensity. To examine the storm-relative TC structure, we implemented a novel TC center-finding algorithm. Here, we show that TCs below hurricane intensity tend to have monopolar radial profiles of vorticity and a wide range of vortex tilt magnitudes. As TC intensity increases, vorticity becomes maximized within an annulus inward of the peak wind, the vortex decays more slowly with height, and the vortex tends to be more aligned in the vertical. The TC secondary circulation is also strongly linked to TC intensity, as more intense storms have shallower and stronger lower-tropospheric inflow as well as larger azimuthally averaged ascent. The distribution of vertical velocity is found to vary with TC intensity, height, and radial domain. These results—and the capabilities of TC-RADAR—motivate multiple avenues for future work, which are discussed.
Journal Article
An Observational Analysis of the Relationship between Tropical Cyclone Vortex Tilt, Precipitation Structure, and Intensity Change
by
Fischer, Michael S.
,
Reasor, Paul D.
,
Dunion, Jason P.
in
Airborne radar
,
Alignment
,
Convection
2024
This study uses a recently developed airborne Doppler radar database to explore how vortex misalignment is related to tropical cyclone (TC) precipitation structure and intensity change. It is found that for relatively weak TCs, defined here as storms with a peak 10-m wind of 65 kt (1 kt = 0.51 m s −1 ) or less, the magnitude of vortex tilt is closely linked to the rate of subsequent TC intensity change, especially over the next 12–36 h. In strong TCs, defined as storms with a peak 10-m wind greater than 65 kt, vortex tilt magnitude is only weakly correlated with TC intensity change. Based on these findings, this study focuses on how vortex tilt is related to TC precipitation structure and intensity change in weak TCs. To illustrate how the TC precipitation structure is related to the magnitude of vortex misalignment, weak TCs are divided into two groups: small-tilt and large-tilt TCs. In large-tilt TCs, storms display a relatively large radius of maximum wind, the precipitation structure is asymmetric, and convection occurs more frequently near the midtropospheric TC center than the lower-tropospheric TC center. Alternatively, small-tilt TCs exhibit a greater areal coverage of precipitation inward of a relatively small radius of maximum wind. Greater rates of TC intensification, including rapid intensification, are shown to occur preferentially for TCs with greater vertical alignment and storms in relatively favorable environments.
Journal Article
Automatic Monitoring of Rock‐Slope Failures Using Distributed Acoustic Sensing and Semi‐Supervised Learning
2024
Effective use of the wealth of information provided by Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS) for mass movement monitoring remains a challenge. We propose a semi‐supervised neural network tailored to screen DAS data related to a series of rock collapses leading to a major failure of approximately 1.2 million m3${\\mathrm{m}}^{3}$on 15 June 2023 in Brienz, Eastern Switzerland. Besides DAS, the dataset from 16 May to 30 June 2023 includes Doppler radar data for partially ground‐truth labeling. The proposed algorithm is capable of distinguishing between rock‐slope failures and background noise, including road and train traffic, with a detection precision of over 95%$95\\%$ . It identifies hundreds of precursory failures and shows sustained detection hours before and during the major collapse. Event size and signal‐to‐noise ratio (SNR) are the key performance dependencies. As a critical part of our algorithm operates unsupervised, we suggest that it is suitable for general monitoring of natural hazards. Plain Language Summary Steep mountains and hills produce dangerous rockfalls and similar phenomena such as landslides and debris flows. A major collapse is typically preceded by a series of rockfalls over days or months. It is therefore crucial to reliably detect these events and recognize the warning signs of an impending major collapse. When rocks bounce on the ground they release seismic waves, which generate vibrations that propagate long distances. Such vibrations stretch and compress fiber optic cables within the ground enough so they can be measured with a novel technique called Distributed Acoustic Sensing (DAS). Here we show how to identify such DAS signals using machine learning algorithms to detect precursory rockfall activity and a major collapse on a slope in Switzerland. We compare our detections with radar measurements, which are highly reliable but also come at a greater cost for installation. Since we can apply DAS to unused fiber within the ground, our approach may pave the way for the next generation of natural hazard warning. Key Points A semi‐supervised neural network is developed for rock‐slope failure monitoring with Distributed Acoustic Sensing at Brienz, Switzerland Our model achieves over 95% precision for rock slope failures detected by a Doppler radar system over 45 days The sustained detection of slope failures before the major collapse highlights the potential of our approach for early warning
Journal Article
Rockfall monitoring with a Doppler radar on an active rockslide complex in Brienz/Brinzauls (Switzerland)
by
Oestreicher, Nicolas
,
Ehrat, Thomas
,
Schneider, Marius
in
Automatic control
,
Cliffs
,
Crack propagation
2023
We present and analyze a rockfall catalog from an active landslide complex in Brienz/Brinzauls of the Swiss Alps, collected with a new Doppler radar system. This radar system provides a complete and continuous time series of rockfall events with volumes of 1 m3 and greater since 2018 and serves as automatic traffic control for an important main road. In the period between January 2018 and October 2022, 6743 events were detected, which is 2 orders of magnitude higher activity than in stable continental cliffs. A few percent of all rockfall events reached the shadow area, which hosts an important road and agricultural area. The Doppler radar data set allows us to investigate the triggering factors quantitatively. We found that the background rockfall activity is controlled by seasonal climatic triggers. In winter, more rockfalls are observed during thawing periods, whereas in summer the rockfall activity increases with hourly rainfall intensity. We also found that, due to the geological setting in an active landslide complex, increased rockfall activity occurs clustered in space and time, triggered by local displacement hotspots. Thus, monitoring spatial and temporal variations of slope displacement velocity is crucial for detailed rockfall hazard assessment in similar geological settings.
Journal Article
Impact of Combined Assimilation of Wind Profiler and Doppler Radar Data on a Convective-Scale Cycling Forecasting System
2022
The two types of wind observations, profiler and radar radial velocity, have been successfully assimilated into numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. However, the added value of profiler data, especially from a densely deployed profiler network, is unknown when assimilated together with Doppler radar radial velocity. In this article, two combined assimilation strategies of profilers along with radar radial winds are compared within a convective-scale data assimilation (DA) framework. In strategy I, the profiler data are assimilated with conventional observations to generate an intermediate analysis that acts as a prior for radar data assimilation. In strategy II, both profiler and radar data are considered as storm-scale and assimilated within the same pass. Single- and dual-observation assimilation experiments indicate that for strategy I, the profiler DA improvement can be partly canceled by the potentially negative impact of the assimilation of single-radar radial velocity afterward, particularly when the radial wind is nearly orthogonal to the prevailing wind. For strategy II, important complements are provided when profilers are assimilated within the same pass along with radial winds. The diagnostics for a low-level jet case demonstrate that both strategies facilitate improved analyses and forecasts. But strategy II may bring more moderate analysis increments, which indicate mutual constraints of the profiler and radial winds when assimilated within the same pass. The results obtained in 1-month, retrospective cycling experiments also show that the strategy II outperforms the strategy I with slightly better wind and precipitation forecasts.
Journal Article
Multi‐Task Learning for Tornado Identification Using Doppler Radar Data
by
Zhou, Kanghui
,
Mao, Jiaqi
,
Guan, Liang
in
Algorithms
,
Artificial neural networks
,
Decision making
2024
Tornadoes, as highly destructive weather events, require accurate detection for effective decision‐making. Traditional radar‐based tornado detection algorithms (TDA) face challenges with limited tornado feature extraction capabilities, leading to high false alarm rates and low detection probabilities. This study introduces the Multi‐Task Identification Network (MTI‐Net), leveraging Doppler radar data to enhance tornado recognition. MTI‐Net integrates tornado detection and estimation tasks to acquire comprehensive spatial and locational information. As part of MTI‐Net, we introduce a novel backbone network of Multi‐Head Convolutional Block (MHCB), which incorporates Spatial and Channel Attention Units (SAU and CAU). SAU optimizes local tornado feature extraction, while CAU reduces false alarms by enhancing dependencies among input variables. Experiments demonstrate the superiority of MTI‐Net over TDA, with a decrease in false alarm rates from 0.94 to 0.46 and an increase in hit rates from 0.23 to 0.81, highlighting the effectiveness of MTI‐Net in handling small‐scale tornado events. Plain Language Summary Tornadoes, highly destructive small‐scale weather phenomena, demand accurate detection for informed decision‐making. Although meteorological radars are commonly utilized for tornado identification, current methods often suffer from false alarms or missed detections due to radar noise. In this study, we introduce the multi‐task learning‐based identification network (MTI‐Net), which not only enables tornado detection but also estimates tornado counts within radar data. We integrate Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) with Transformer techniques to enhance the model's ability to capture tornado information. CNNs detect local details using filters, while Transformers manage global connections through attention mechanisms. A series of experiments demonstrate significant improvements in tornado detection with MTI‐Net compared to traditional methods. Key Points A tornado dataset with detailed radar features was created over China from 2017 to 2023 Multi‐task learning was designed to simultaneously infer tornado detection and tornado number estimation Integration of spatial and channel attention units can better extract tornado features from radar data
Journal Article
Shear-Relative Asymmetric Kinematic Characteristics of Intensifying Hurricanes as Observed by Airborne Doppler Radar
by
Fischer, Michael S.
,
Zhang, Jun A.
,
Zawislak, Jonathan A.
in
Airborne radar
,
Aircraft
,
Asymmetric structures
2024
While recent observational studies of intensifying (IN) versus steady-state (SS) hurricanes have noted several differences in their axisymmetric and asymmetric structures, there remain gaps in the characterization of these differences in a fully three-dimensional framework. To address these limitations, this study investigates differences in the shear-relative asymmetric structure between IN and SS hurricanes using airborne Doppler radar data from a dataset covering an extended period of time. Statistics from individual cases show that IN cases are characterized by peak wavenumber-1 ascent concentrated in the upshear-left (USL) quadrant at ∼12-km height, consistent with previous studies. Moderate updrafts (2–6 m s −1 ) occur more frequently in the downshear eyewall for IN cases than for SS cases, likely leading to a higher frequency of moderate to strong updrafts USL above 9-km height. Composites of IN cases show that low-level outflow from the eye region associated with maximum wavenumber-1 vorticity inside the radius of maximum wind (RMW) in the downshear-left quadrant converges with low-level inflow outside the RMW, forming a stronger local secondary circulation in the downshear eyewall than SS cases. The vigorous eyewall convection of IN cases produces a net vertical mass flux increasing with height up to ∼5 km and then is almost constant up to 10 km, whereas the net vertical mass flux of SS cases decreases with height above 4 km. Strong USL upper-level ascent provides greater potential for the vertical development of the hurricane vortex, which is argued to be favorable for continued intensification in shear environments.
Journal Article
GAN–argcPredNet v1.0: a generative adversarial model for radar echo extrapolation based on convolutional recurrent units
by
Liu, Yan
,
Zheng, Kun
,
Xiutao Ran
in
Algorithms
,
Artificial neural networks
,
Auditory discrimination
2022
Precipitation nowcasting plays a vital role in preventing meteorological disasters, and Doppler radar data act as an important input for nowcasting models. When using the traditional extrapolation method it is difficult to model highly nonlinear echo movements. The key challenge of the nowcasting mission lies in achieving high-precision radar echo extrapolation. In recent years, machine learning has made great progress in the extrapolation of weather radar echoes. However, most of models neglect the multi-modal characteristics of radar echo data, resulting in blurred and unrealistic prediction images. This paper aims to solve this problem by utilizing the features of a generative adversarial network (GAN), which can enhance multi-modal distribution modeling, and design the radar echo extrapolation model GAN–argcPredNet v1.0. The model is composed of an argcPredNet generator and a convolutional neural network discriminator. In the generator, a gate controlling the memory and output is designed in the rgcLSTM component, thereby reducing the loss of spatiotemporal information. In the discriminator, the model uses a dual-channel input method, which enables it to strictly score according to the true echo distribution, and it thus has a more powerful discrimination ability. Through experiments on a radar dataset from Shenzhen, China, the results show that the radar echo hit rate (probability of detection; POD) and critical success index (CSI) have an average increase of 21.4 % and 19 %, respectively, compared with rgcPredNet under different intensity rainfall thresholds, and the false alarm rate (FAR) has decreased by an average of 17.9 %. We also found a problem during the comparison of the result graph and the evaluation index. The recursive prediction method will produce the phenomenon that the prediction result will gradually deviate from the true value over time. In addition, the accuracy of high-intensity echo extrapolation is relatively low. This is a question worthy of further investigation. In the future, we will continue to conduct research from these two directions.
Journal Article
Observations of Atypical Rapid Intensification Characteristics in Hurricane Dorian (2019)
by
Ryglicki, David R.
,
Reasor, Paul D.
,
Doyle, James D.
in
Anticyclones
,
Atmospheric motion
,
Datasets
2021
Multiple observation and analysis datasets are used to demonstrate two key features of the Atypical Rapid Intensification (ARI) process that occurred in Atlantic Hurricane Dorian (2019): 1) precession and nutations of the vortex tilt and 2) blocking of the impinging upper-level environmental flow by the outflow. As Dorian came under the influence of an upper-level anticyclone, traditional methods of estimating vertical wind shear all indicated relatively low values were acting on the storm; however, high-spatiotemporal-resolution atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) indicated that the environmental flow at upper levels was actually impinging on the vortex core, resulting in a vertical tilt. We employ a novel ensemble of centers of individual swaths of dual-Doppler radar data from WP-3D aircraft to characterize the precession and wobble of the vortex tilt. This tilting and wobbling preceded a sequence of outflow surges that acted to repel the impinging environmental flow, thereby reducing the shear and permitting ARI. We then apply prior methodology on satellite imagery for distinguishing ARI features. Finally, we use the AMV dataset to experiment with different shear calculations and show that the upper-level cross-vortex flow approaches zero. We discuss the implication of these results with regards to prior works on ARI and intensification in shear.
Journal Article
Vertical Motions Forced by Small-Scale Terrain and Cloud Microphysical Response in Extratropical Precipitation Systems
by
Geerts, Bart
,
Friedrich, Katja
,
Grasmick, Coltin
in
Airborne radar
,
Airborne remote sensing
,
Aircraft
2023
Airborne vertically profiling Doppler radar data and output from a ∼1-km-grid-resolution numerical simulation are used to examine how relatively small-scale terrain ridges (∼10–25 km apart and ∼0.5–1.0 km above the surrounding valleys) impact cross-mountain flow, cloud processes, and surface precipitation in deep stratiform precipitation systems. The radar data were collected along fixed flight tracks aligned with the wind, about 100 km long between the Snake River Plain and the Idaho Central Mountains, as part of the 2017 Seeded and Natural Orographic Wintertime clouds: the Idaho Experiment (SNOWIE). Data from repeat flight legs are composited in order to suppress transient features and retain the effect of the underlying terrain. Simulations closely match observed series of terrain-driven deep gravity waves, although the simulated wave amplitude is slightly exaggerated. The deep waves produce pockets of supercooled liquid water in the otherwise ice-dominated clouds (confirmed by flight-level observations and the model) and distort radar-derived hydrometeor trajectories. Snow particles aloft encounter several wave updrafts and downdrafts before reaching the ground. No significant wavelike modulation of radar reflectivity or model ice water content occurs. The model does indicate substantial localized precipitation enhancement (1.8–3.0 times higher than the mean) peaking just downwind of individual ridges, especially those ridges with the most intense wave updrafts, on account of shallow pockets of high liquid water content on the upwind side, leading to the growth of snow and graupel, falling out mostly downwind of the crest. Radar reflectivity values near the surface are complicated by snowmelt, but suggest a more modest enhancement downwind of individual ridges.
Journal Article