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15,751
result(s) for
"Estimation accuracy"
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A first fit index on estimation accuracy in structural equation models
by
Schröder, Nadine
,
Falke, Andreas
,
Endres, Herbert
in
Accounting/Auditing
,
Accuracy
,
Business and Management
2020
Structural equation modeling (SEM) is commonly used in marketing and the social sciences such as education, psychology, and economics. A prominent issue thereby is the assessment of model fit. Although there is a huge variety of fit indices, researchers do not know how well they correspond to the estimation accuracy in terms of discrepancy between the estimated model values and true values of the respondents. By means of a comprehensive simulation study, we show in this paper that our newly developed estimation accuracy fit index (EAFI) evaluates this kind of estimation accuracy significantly better than existing indices and thereby comes closest to the actual relations between the model’s variables. Furthermore, we derive context-specific EAFI orientation points. Our findings provide guidance for researchers in management, psychology, marketing, education, and the medical sector to evaluate the model fit.
Journal Article
Global-scale evaluation of 22 precipitation datasets using gauge observations and hydrological modeling
by
Pappenberger, Florian
,
Huffman, George J.
,
Pan, Ming
in
Accuracy
,
Atmospheric precipitations
,
Catchments
2017
We undertook a comprehensive evaluation of 22 gridded (quasi-)global (sub-)daily precipitation (P) datasets for the period 2000–2016. Thirteen non-gauge-corrected P datasets were evaluated using daily P gauge observations from 76 086 gauges worldwide. Another nine gauge-corrected datasets were evaluated using hydrological modeling, by calibrating the HBV conceptual model against streamflow records for each of 9053 small to medium-sized ( < 50 000 km2) catchments worldwide, and comparing the resulting performance. Marked differences in spatio-temporal patterns and accuracy were found among the datasets. Among the uncorrected P datasets, the satellite- and reanalysis-based MSWEP-ng V1.2 and V2.0 datasets generally showed the best temporal correlations with the gauge observations, followed by the reanalyses (ERA-Interim, JRA-55, and NCEP-CFSR) and the satellite- and reanalysis-based CHIRP V2.0 dataset, the estimates based primarily on passive microwave remote sensing of rainfall (CMORPH V1.0, GSMaP V5/6, and TMPA 3B42RT V7) or near-surface soil moisture (SM2RAIN-ASCAT), and finally, estimates based primarily on thermal infrared imagery (GridSat V1.0, PERSIANN, and PERSIANN-CCS). Two of the three reanalyses (ERA-Interim and JRA-55) unexpectedly obtained lower trend errors than the satellite datasets. Among the corrected P datasets, the ones directly incorporating daily gauge data (CPC Unified, and MSWEP V1.2 and V2.0) generally provided the best calibration scores, although the good performance of the fully gauge-based CPC Unified is unlikely to translate to sparsely or ungauged regions. Next best results were obtained with P estimates directly incorporating temporally coarser gauge data (CHIRPS V2.0, GPCP-1DD V1.2, TMPA 3B42 V7, and WFDEI-CRU), which in turn outperformed the one indirectly incorporating gauge data through another multi-source dataset (PERSIANN-CDR V1R1). Our results highlight large differences in estimation accuracy, and hence the importance of P dataset selection in both research and operational applications. The good performance of MSWEP emphasizes that careful data merging can exploit the complementary strengths of gauge-, satellite-, and reanalysis-based P estimates.
Journal Article
Data-driven p-norms for estimating transmission loss coefficients in power systems
by
Montoya, Oscar Danilo
,
Grisales-Noreña, Luis Fernando
,
Gil-González, Walter
in
Accuracy
,
Algorithms
,
Computer and Information Sciences
2026
This research introduces a novel convex methodology for estimating transmission loss coefficients ( B -coefficients) in power systems using a data-driven approach based on power system measurements. To enhance estimation accuracy and practical relevance, the model is evaluated across a wide spectrum of operating conditions, incorporating random variations in active power injections and demand profiles modeled via uniform and Gaussian distributions. A semi-definite programming (SDP) model leveraging p -norm formulations is proposed to derive the B -coefficients efficiently. Numerical evaluations on IEEE 14-, 39-, 57-, and 118-bus test feeders demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the approach, yielding average estimation errors between − 6 % and 5 % across diverse scenarios. These results confirm the reliability of the proposed methodology, contributing to improved accuracy in transmission loss modeling and supporting more efficient power system operations.
Journal Article
A 1 km daily soil moisture dataset over China using in situ measurement and machine learning
2022
High-quality gridded soil moisture products are essential for many Earth system science applications, while the recent reanalysis and remote sensing soil moisture data are often available at coarse resolution and remote sensing data are only for the surface soil. Here, we present a 1 km resolution long-term dataset of soil moisture derived through machine learning trained by the in situ measurements of 1789 stations over China, named SMCI1.0 (Soil Moisture of China by in situ data, version 1.0). Random forest is used as a robust machine learning approach to predict soil moisture using ERA5-Land time series, leaf area index, land cover type, topography and soil properties as predictors. SMCI1.0 provides 10-layer soil moisture with 10 cm intervals up to 100 cm deep at daily resolution over the period 2000–2020. Using in situ soil moisture as the benchmark, two independent experiments were conducted to evaluate the estimation accuracy of SMCI1.0: year-to-year (ubRMSE ranges from 0.041 to 0.052 and R ranges from 0.883 to 0.919) and station-to-station experiments (ubRMSE ranges from 0.045 to 0.051 and R ranges from 0.866 to 0.893). SMCI1.0 generally has advantages over other gridded soil moisture products, including ERA5-Land, SMAP-L4, and SoMo.ml. However, the high errors of soil moisture are often located in the North China Monsoon Region. Overall, the highly accurate estimations of both the year-to-year and station-to-station experiments ensure the applicability of SMCI1.0 to study the spatial–temporal patterns. As SMCI1.0 is based on in situ data, it can be a useful complement to existing model-based and satellite-based soil moisture datasets for various hydrological, meteorological, and ecological analyses and models. The DOI link for the dataset is http://dx.doi.org/10.11888/Terre.tpdc.272415 (Shangguan et al., 2022).
Journal Article
The Conditional Bias of Extreme Precipitation in Multi‐Source Merged Data Sets
2024
Multi‐source data merging via weighted average (WA) is widely applied to enhance large‐scale precipitation estimates. However, these data sets usually contain substantial conditional biases with respect to extreme precipitation (EP) events—undermining their utility for extreme event analysis. Nevertheless, the main source of such EP biases remains unknown. Here, we demonstrate that WA algorithms are responsible for less than 1% of total EP biases. Instead, EP biases originate from the multi‐source precipitation inputs, which are not adequately adjusted prior to WA. Specifically, current data‐merging frameworks only correct the monthly means or statistical distributions of the remote sensing/reanalysis precipitation inputs prior to WA. Such procedures are insufficient for adjusting EP timing uncertainties, which eventually propagate into the WA‐based merged data set as an EP bias. Therefore, developing algorithms that iteratively adjust EP timing and intensity errors should be prioritized in future precipitation merging frameworks. Plain Language Summary Remote sensing (RS) and reanalysis systems are crucial for estimating large‐scale precipitation. Weighted averaging (WA) of different data sets can enhance overall precipitation estimation accuracy and has been widely applied for generating global precipitation data sets. However, WA algorithms often lead to biases for extreme precipitation (EP). Such issues undermine the usefulness of WA‐based precipitation data sets for flood forecasting. This study investigates the sources of EP biases in WA frameworks, based on surface precipitation gauge observations and numerical experiments. Results show that the WA algorithms themselves contribute less than 1% to EP biases. Instead, most EP bias is related to RS/reanalysis data correction procedures. Specifically, current WA methods only adjust the monthly means or general statistical distributions of the input data. However, EP occurrence errors are often neglected during the precipitation correction. This means that the timing and location of EP as estimated by different data sets are not entirely consistent, leading to substantial biases when they are averaged. Therefore, to improve the accuracy of EP estimates, it is important to develop preprocessing methods that better account for both the timing and intensity errors of extreme events. Key Points We investigate sources of bias in extreme precipitation (EP) estimates provided by commonly used data merging frameworks We demonstrate that EP biases arise from the neglect of EP timing error correction and not the merging algorithm Algorithms that iteratively adjust the EP intensities and timing errors should be prioritized in future merging frameworks
Journal Article
PoseNet++: A multi-scale and optimized feature extraction network for high-precision human pose estimation
2025
Human pose estimation (HPE) has made significant progress with deep learning; however, it still faces challenges in handling occlusions, complex poses, and complex multi-person scenarios. To address these issues, we propose PoseNet++, a novel approach based on a 3-stacked hourglass architecture, incorporating three key innovations: the multi-scale spatial pyramid attention hourglass module (MSPAHM), coordinate-channel prior convolutional attention (C-CPCA), and the PinSK Bottleneck Residual Module (PBRM). MSPAHM enhances long-range channel dependencies, enabling the model to better capture structural relationships between limb joints, particularly under occlusion. C-CPCA combines coordinate attention (CA) and channel prior convolutional attention (CPCA) to prioritize keypoints’ regions and reduce the confusion in complex multi-person scenarios. The PBRM improves pose estimation accuracy by optimizing the receptive field and convolutional kernel selection, thus enhancing the network’s feature extraction capabilities in multi-scale and complex poses. On the MPII validation set, PoseNet++ improves the PCKh score by 3.3% relative to the baseline 3-stacked hourglass network, while reducing the number of model parameters and the number of floating-point operations by 60.3% and 53.1%, respectively. Compared with other mainstream human pose estimation models in recent years, PoseNet++ achieves the state-of-the-art performance on the MPII, LSP, COCO and CrowdPose datasets. At the same time, the model complexity of PoseNet++ is much lower than that of methods with similar accuracy.
Journal Article
Wind estimation based on flight dynamics of unmanned aerial vehicle: influencing variables and its environmental application
Accurate wind measurement is critical for atmospheric and environmental sciences; however, achieving high spatiotemporal resolution with operational flexibility remains challenging. This study develops and validates an approach for estimating horizontal wind speed and direction based on the flight dynamics of an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV). Through controlled wind wall experiments, we established a relationship between UAV attitude (e.g., roll, pitch, and yaw) and wind speed. This relationship varies significantly with relative wind direction (with respect to UAV orientation) and payload configuration due to the built-in flight control system and asymmetric airframe of the UAV deployed, demonstrating the necessity of platform-specific calibration for practical application. The performance of this attitude-based method was compared against measurements from a calibrated onboard ultrasonic anemometer. While the sensor-based method achieved good accuracy for hovering and low-speed vertical flights, its performance degraded at higher vertical speeds (>2 m s−1) due to rotor-induced airflow interference. In contrast, the attitude-based method maintained robust accuracy across all flight regimes. Furthermore, a machine learning model was developed to deliver high-fidelity wind estimates (R2>0.90). The model integrated attitude data, flight dynamics, and environmental parameters (e.g., air pressure) and was trained on data from UAV flights during a 20 d field campaign. Validation against measurements from a meteorological tower confirmed the reliability of the machine learning method. This work presents a sensor-free, computationally efficient framework for obtaining high-resolution wind data. By addressing the critical, platform-specific factors affecting estimation accuracy, our approach enhances the applicability of UAVs for advanced environmental monitoring, atmospheric research, and safety assessments in the emerging low-altitude economy.
Journal Article
Boundary Layer Observations and Near‐Surface Wind Estimation During the Landfalls of Hurricanes Ida (2021) and Zeta (2020)
by
Knupp, Kevin
,
Chen, Xiaomin
,
Carey, Lawrence D
in
Boundary layer winds
,
Boundary layers
,
Doppler radar
2025
This study examines the boundary layer wind profile and turbulence variables during the landfalls of Hurricanes Ida (2021) and Zeta (2020) using ground‐based Doppler radar observations and a nearby anemometer's wind measurements. While the radar sampled different parts of the hurricane circulation of the two cases, the observed maximum near‐surface wind and frictional velocity were similar. Radar‐retrieved wind profiles in both hurricanes revealed a boundary‐layer jet generally >1 km AGL, descending toward smaller radii as the hurricanes moved inland. A “knee‐like” structure in most wind profiles below the jet suggests an internal boundary layer (IBL) below 200 m and a log layer above it. Among the three methods for estimating near‐surface sustained winds from radar‐retrieved winds, leveraging low‐level IBL winds improves estimation accuracy and reduces the uncertainty to the selection of upstream surface roughness length. These findings offer valuable guidance for developing future probabilistic near‐surface wind products.
Journal Article
Data-driven derivation of macroscopisc fundamental diagram from floating car trajectories
2026
This study proposes a novel GPS-based methodology for Macroscopic Fundamental Diagram (MFD) estimation to overcome limitations of fixed detectors and inaccurate penetration rate assumptions. The approach dynamically identifies stop-line positions using spatiotemporal floating car data, calculates maximum queue lengths per signal cycle by combining floating car positions with estimated arriving vehicle lengths, and establishes a speed-based nonlinear model to determine queuing vehicle counts. A dynamic scaling coefficient derived from maximum queue lengths enables assumption-free estimation of total regional vehicles when applied to the floating car population. Validation using Chengdu data demonstrates significant improvements: unary cubic curves achieve optimal fitting for MFD relationships (R 2 up to 0.9157); the HMM-CRF hybrid map-matching algorithm reduces average position error by 29% and intersection mismatch rate by approximately 40%; simulation results show queue length estimation accuracy of RMSE 22.8m and MAPE 18.5%, while MFD estimation error for maximum network flow drops from −17.5% to −3.5%, representing an 80% relative accuracy improvement. The proposed methodology provides robust technical support for urban road network assessment and management by enabling high-precision acquisition of MFDs from floating car data, effectively addressing critical challenges in macroscopic traffic modeling and monitoring. This advancement presents potential value for perimeter control applications and other MFD-based traffic management strategies.
Journal Article
Robust skeletal motion tracking using temporal and spatial synchronization of two video streams
by
Gisleris, Ervinas
,
Abromavičius, Vytautas
,
Serackis, Artūras
in
Accuracy
,
Algorithms
,
Biology and Life Sciences
2025
Accurate and reliable skeletal motion tracking is essential for rehabilitation monitoring, enabling objective assessment of patient progress and facilitating telerehabilitation applications. Traditional marker-based motion capture systems, while highly accurate, are costly and impractical for home rehabilitation, whereas marker-less methods often suffer from depth estimation errors and occlusions. Recent studies have explored various computer vision and deep learning approaches for human pose estimation, yet challenges remain in ensuring robust depth accuracy and tracking under occlusion conditions. This study proposes a three-dimensional human skeleton tracking system for upper limb activities that integrates temporal and spatial synchronization to improve depth estimation accuracy for rehabilitation exercises. The proposed system combines a 90° secondary camera to compensate for the depth prediction inaccuracies inherent in single-camera systems, reducing error margins by up to 0.4 m. In addition, a linear regression-based depth error correction model is implemented to refine depth coordinates, further improving tracking precision. The Kalman filtering framework is employed to enhance temporal consistency, allowing real-time interpolation of missing joint positions. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method significantly reduces depth estimation errors of the elbow and wrist joint ( p < 0.001) compared to single camera setups, particularly in scenarios involving occlusions and non-frontal perspectives. This study provides a cost-effective and scalable solution for remote patient monitoring and motor function evaluation.
Journal Article