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Regional economic outlook, October 2012
Economic conditions in sub-Saharan Africa have remained generally robust despite a sluggish global economy. The near-term outlook for the region remains broadly positive, and growth is projected at 5¼ percent a year in 2012-13. Most low-income countries are projected to continue to grow strongly, supported by domestic demand, including from investment. The outlook is less favorable for many of the middle-income countries, especially South Africa, that are more closely linked to European markets and thus experience a more noticeable drag from the external environment. The main risks to the outlook are an intensification of financial stresses in the euro zone and a sharp fiscal adjustment in the US--the so-called fiscal cliff.
eBook
Export reprimarization and the role of small business: an analysis of the Brazilian case (2003-2015)
AbstractThis paper assesses the phenomenon of “reprimarization” of Brazilian exports in the 2003-2015 period from a firm size perspective. Export “reprimarization” has been an important worldwide issue but more accentuated in Brazil. In this regard, the paper reveals important differences between exports of large and small firms regarding the proportion of exporting companies, total amount exported and, especially, export composition according to levels of technological intensity and product categories. It shows that the Brazilian export dynamics were deeply associated with the exporting behavior of large firms in the period. Responsible for the greatest part of total Brazilian exports, they presented exports relatively more concentrated in primary goods, benefiting more from the boom of commodities. Smaller firms tend to face bigger challenges to start exporting or to become successful exporters. Despite this fact, micro and small firms showed an export composition relatively less dependent on commodities and more dependent on higher technology-intensive products, therefore with important policy implications in favor of supporting their international activity.Keywords: exports; Brazil; “reprimarization”; firm size; technological intensity.JEL Classification: F14; L25; O54.
Journal Article
Africa's Oil Abundance and External Competitiveness: Do Institutions Matter?
This paper examines the structural competitiveness of oil-rich economies in sub-Saharan Africa relative to other major oil-exporting developing countries, and investigates reasons for systematic differences in the non-oil export performance across these economies. The analysis reveals that oil-rich Africa lags behind other oil-exporters in terms of diversification, global market share and the overall investment climate. The poor performance of their nonoil sector can be largely attributed to weak infrastructure and institutional quality. The results also show that institutional quality is a significant determinant of the extent to which oil abundance affects the competitiveness of the non-oil sector; thereby explaining the divergent experiences of oil-rich economies across the world. This implies that oil wealth does not necessarily weaken the non-oil tradable sector; countries may mitigate the impact of Dutch disease and benefit from oil booms if revenues are used prudently to reduce oil dependence.
eBook
EXPORT INTENSITY AND LEVERAGE: AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS OF SPANISH SMES
The aim of this study was to contribute to the literature debate on financial behavior and corporate capital structure by focusing on two aspects. First of all, we analyzed how the intensity of exports and therefore the percentage weight of foreign sales compared to total sales affect the leverage of companies. Secondly, we have analyzed which are the most significant factors influencing the financial behavior of SMEs. The financial information for the analysis were collected from the Sabi database of Bureau Van Dijk (BVD). To select the companies to be included in the sample, we followed a methodology capable of ensuring that the sample of export oriented and non-export oriented companies was adequately represented. The overall sample size was 2000 companies. The analysis showed that export intensity has a negative and significant impact on leverage, suggesting that as exports increase, leverage decreases. In addition, profitability and business risk are negatively related to leverage, while the tangibility of the assets and growth correlates positively with leverage.
Journal Article