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265,172 result(s) for "FOREIGN ASSETS"
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Financial Integration, Financial Development, and Global Imbalances
Global financial imbalances can result from financial integration when countries differ in financial markets development. Countries with more advanced financial markets accumulate foreign liabilities in a gradual, long‐lasting process. Differences in financial development also affect the composition of foreign portfolios: countries with negative net foreign asset positions maintain positive net holdings of nondiversifiable equity and foreign direct investment. Three observations motivate our analysis: (1) financial development varies widely even among industrial countries, with the United States on top; (2) the secular decline in the U.S. net foreign asset position started in the early 1980s, together with a gradual process of international financial integration; (3) the portfolio composition of U.S. net foreign assets features increased holdings of risky assets and a large increase in debt.
Financial Globalization and Exchange Rates
The founders of the Bretton Woods System 60 years ago were primarily concerned with orderly exchange rate adjustment in a world economy that was characterized by widespread restrictions on international capital mobility. In contrast, the rapid pace of financial globalization during recent years poses new challenges for the international monetary system. In particular, large gross cross-holdings of foreign assets and liabilities mean that the valuation channel of exchange rate adjustment has grown in importance, relative to the traditional trade balance channel. Accordingly, this paper empirically explores some of the interconnections between financial globalization and exchange rate adjustment and discusses the policy implications.
International Capital Flows and Debt Dynamics (PDF Download)
This paper presents a new model for studying international capital flows and debt dynamics that emphasizes the role played by expectations concerning future trade flows and returns. I use the model to estimate the drivers of the U.S. external position and capital flows between 1973 and 2008. The estimates show that most of the secular rise in U.S. international indebtedness is attributable to growing optimism about future returns on U.S. holdings of foreign equity and FDI assets. They also show that the transformation of world savings into risky assets by the U.S. had little effect on its external position, but the expected future real depreciation of the dollar allowed the U.S. to sustain a higher level of international debt after the 1990s.
The External Wealth of Nations Mark II: Revised and Extended Estimates of Foreign Assets and Liabilities, 1970-2004
We construct estimates of external assets and liabilities for 145 countries for the period 1970-2004. We describe our estimation methods and present key features of the data at the country and the global level. We focus on trends in net and gross external positions, and the composition of international portfolios, distinguishing between foreign direct investment, portfolio equity investment, official reserves, and external debt. We document the increasing importance of equity financing and the improvement in the external position for emerging markets, and the differing pace of financial integration between advanced and developing economies. We also show the existence of a global discrepancy between estimated foreign assets and liabilities, and identify the asset categories that account for this discrepancy.
Net Foreign Assets and International Adjustment: The United States, Japan, and Germany
This paper examines external adjustment in the United States, Japan and Germany from the perspective of net foreign asset positions. It asks two questions: What are, in the long run, the determinants of net foreign asset equilibrium? and: What are, in the short run, some of the adjustment mechanisms sustaining that equilibrium? An analysis of post-war data produces two insights. First, using a cointegration approach, the existence of long-run net foreign asset equilibrium can be identified: it is a function of demographic variables and public debt. Second, deviations from long-run equilibrium give rise to feedback through different components of domestic absorption in the three countries.
Long-Run Determinants of the Real Exchange Rate: A Stock-Flow Perspective
This paper examines the long-run determinants of the real exchange rate from a stock-flow perspective. The empirical analysis estimates a long-run relationship between the real exchange rate, net foreign assets and other factors affecting trade flows. Using postwar data for the United States and Japan, cointegration analysis supports the finding that the structural factors underlying each country's net trade and net foreign asset positions determine the long-run path for the real value of the dollar and the yen. The empirical analysis also provides estimates for the underlying stochastic trend in each real exchange rate series.
Caught in the Crosshairs: Developing a Fourth Amendment Framework for Financial Warfare
What do Russia's incursion into Ukraine, the hacking of Sony, and democratic instability in Venezuela have in common? The U.S. response to each has been economic sanctions. In the twenty-first century, economic sanctions are perhaps the most frequently used tool in the U.S. foreign policy toolbox because they can inflict pain without having to resort to the use of kinetic force. But this increasing reliance on sanctions has created a new legal problem. Does freezing assets without a warrant—which sounds a lot like \"seizure\"—violate the Fourth Amendment? Historically, this issue was not a problem because economic sanctions were targeted entirely against foreign countries—entities that do not enjoy Fourth Amendment protection. In today's complex financial landscape, however, the issue is not so simple. Many financial transactions subject to U.S. sanctions involve parties protected, or at least arguably protected, by the Fourth Amendment. To date, courts have reached a number of different conclusions about whether the Treasury Department should be required to obtain a warrant when it freezes assets. Some courts have held that the Fourth Amendment simply does not apply, or that it applies but a special needs exception precludes a warrant. Other courts have held that a warrant is generally required or that, based on the facts of the case, a warrant is required in that instance. This Note proposes a new fact-specific \"reasonableness\" test to evaluate whether the Treasury Department should be required to get a warrant before freezing assets.
Real Interest Rates, Real Exchange Rates, and Net Foreign Assets in the Adjustment Process
This paper analyzes the recent behavior of real exchange rates, the trade balance and the net foreign asset position of the United States in an intertemporal optimizing model of the world economy that incorporates heterogeneity across countries and imperfect international capital and good markets. While the model successfully tracks the dynamics of trade balances and net foreign assets it generates too much consumption smoothing and excessively volatile relative prices. Resolving these inadequacies simultaneously is difficult as the elasticity of substitution between tradables and nontradables affects in opposite ways the degree of consumption smoothing and the volatility of relative prices.