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"Ground level"
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A Geographically and Temporally Weighted Regression Model for Ground-Level PM2.5 Estimation from Satellite-Derived 500 m Resolution AOD
2016
Regional haze episodes have occurred frequently in eastern China over the past decades. As a critical indicator to evaluate air quality, the mass concentration of ambient fine particulate matters smaller than 2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5) is involved in many studies. To overcome the limitations of ground measurements on PM2.5 concentration, which is featured in disperse representation and coarse coverage, many statistical models were developed to depict the relationship between ground-level PM2.5 and satellite-derived aerosol optical depth (AOD). However, the current satellite-derived AOD products and statistical models on PM2.5–AOD are insufficient to investigate PM2.5 characteristics at the urban scale, in that spatial resolution is crucial to identify the relationship between PM2.5 and anthropogenic activities. This paper presents a geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model to generate ground-level PM2.5 concentrations from satellite-derived 500 m AOD. The GTWR model incorporates the SARA (simplified high resolution MODIS aerosol retrieval algorithm) AOD product with meteorological variables, including planetary boundary layer height (PBLH), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (WS), and temperature (TEMP) extracted from WRF (weather research and forecasting) assimilation to depict the spatio-temporal dynamics in the PM2.5–AOD relationship. The estimated ground-level PM2.5 concentration has 500 m resolution at the MODIS satellite’s overpass moments twice a day, which can be used for air quality monitoring and haze tracking at the urban and regional scale. To test the performance of the GTWR model, a case study was carried out in a region covering the adjacent parts of Jiangsu, Shandong, Henan, and Anhui provinces in central China. A cross validation was done to evaluate the performance of the GTWR model. Compared with OLS, GWR, and TWR models, the GTWR model obtained the highest value of coefficient of determination (R2) and the lowest values of mean absolute difference (MAD), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE).
Journal Article
Changes of PM2.5 and O3 and their impact on human health in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
2024
In recent years, the combined pollution of PM
2.5
and O
3
in China, particularly in economically developed regions such as the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA), has garnered significant attention due to its potential implications. This study systematically investigated the changes of PM
2.5
and O
3
and their associated human health effects in the GBA, utilizing observational data spanning from 2015 to 2019. The findings revealed a spatial trend indicating a gradual decrease in PM
2.5
levels from the northwest to the southeast, while the spatial distribution of MDA8 O
3
demonstrated an opposing pattern to that of PM
2.5
. The monthly fluctuations of PM
2.5
and MDA8 O
3
exhibited V-shaped and M-shaped patterns, respectively. Higher MDA8 O
3
concentrations were observed in autumn, followed by summer and spring. Over the five-year period, PM
2.5
concentrations exhibited a general decline, with an annual reduction rate of 1.7 μg m
−3
/year, while MDA8 O
3
concentrations displayed an annual increase of 3.2 μg m
−3
. Among the GBA regions, Macao, Foshan, Guangzhou, and Jiangmen demonstrated notable decreases in PM
2.5
, whereas Jiangmen, Zhongshan, and Guangzhou experienced substantial increases in MDA8 O
3
levels. Long-term exposure to PM
2.5
in 2019 was associated with 21,113 (95% CI 4968–31,048) all-cause deaths (AD), 1333 (95% CI 762–1714) cardiovascular deaths (CD), and 1424 (95% CI 0–2848) respiratory deaths (RD), respectively, reflecting declines of 27.6%, 28.0%, and 28.4%, respectively, compared to 2015. Conversely, in 2019, estimated AD, CD, and RD attributable to O
3
were 16,286 (95% CI 8143–32,572), 7321 (95% CI 2440–14,155), and 6314 (95% CI 0–13,576), respectively, representing increases of 45.9%, 46.2%, and 44.2% over 2015, respectively. Taken together, these findings underscored a shifting focus in air pollution control in the GBA, emphasizing the imperative for coordinated control strategies targeting both PM
2.5
and O
3
.
Journal Article
How effective is ‘greening’ of urban areas in reducing human exposure to ground-level ozone concentrations, UV exposure and the ‘urban heat island effect’? An updated systematic review
2021
Background
This review updates a systematic review published in 2010 (
http://www.environmentalevidence.org/completed-reviews/how-effective-is-greening-of-urban-areas-in-reducing-human-exposure-to-ground-level-ozone-concentrations-uv-exposure-and-the-urban-heat-island-effect
) which addressed the question: How effective is ‘greening’ of urban areas in reducing human exposure to ground-level ozone concentrations, UV exposure and the ‘urban heat island effect’?
Methods
Searches of multiple databases and journals for relevant published articles and grey literature were conducted. Organisational websites were searched for unpublished articles. Eligibility criteria were applied at title, abstract and full text and included studies were critically appraised. Consistency checks of these processes were undertaken. Pre-defined data items were extracted from included studies. Quantitative synthesis was performed through meta-analysis and narrative synthesis was undertaken.
Review findings
308 studies were included in this review. Studies were spread across all continents and climate zones except polar but were mainly concentrated in Europe and temperate regions. Most studies reported on the impact of urban greening on temperature with fewer studies reporting data on ground-level UV radiation, ozone concentrations (or precursors) or public health indicators. The findings of the original review were confirmed; urban green areas tended to be cooler than urban non-green areas. Air temperature under trees was on average 0.8 °C cooler but treed areas could be warmer at night. Cooling effect showed tree species variation. Tree canopy shading was a significant effect modifier associated with attenuation of solar radiation during the day. Urban forests were on average 1.6 °C cooler than comparator areas. Treed areas and parks and gardens were associated with improved human thermal comfort. Park or garden cooling effect was on average 0.8 °C and trees were a significant influence on this during the day. Park or garden cooling effect extended up to 1.25 kms beyond their boundaries. Grassy areas were cooler than non-green comparators, both during daytime and at night, by on average 0.6 °C. Green roofs and walls showed surface temperature cooling effect (2 and 1.8 °C on average respectively) which was influenced by substrate water content, plant density and cover. Ground-level concentrations of nitrogen oxides were on average lower by 1.0 standard deviation units in green areas, with tree species variation in removal of these pollutants and emission of biogenic volatile organic compounds (precursors of ozone). No clear impact of green areas on ground level ozone concentrations was identified.
Conclusions
Design of urban green areas may need to strike a balance between maximising tree canopy shading for day-time thermal comfort and enabling night-time cooling from open grassy areas. Choice of tree species needs to be guided by evapotranspiration potential, removal of nitrogen oxides and emission of biogenic volatile organic compounds. Choice of plant species and substrate composition for green roofs and walls needs to be tailored to local thermal comfort needs for optimal effect. Future research should, using robust study design, address identified evidence gaps and evaluate optimal design of urban green areas for specific circumstances, such as mitigating day or night-time urban heat island effect, availability of sustainable irrigation or optimal density and distribution of green areas. Future evidence synthesis should focus on optimal design of urban green areas for public health benefit.
Journal Article
Relationship Between NM Data and Radiation Dose at Aviation Altitudes During GLE Events
2024
Ground‐level enhancements (GLEs) are sporadic events that signal the arrival of high fluxes of solar energetic particles (SEPs) that have been produced by solar eruptions. Ground‐level enhancement events are characterized by a significant increase in the count rate of ground‐based neutron monitors (NMs). The arrival of high‐energy SEPs in the atmosphere leads to an enhancement of the radiation environment, with the enhancement at aviation altitudes being particularly hazardous to human health as pilots, crew, and airline passengers can be subjected to dangerous levels of radiation during a GLE. Through the use of a currently expanding library of analyzed GLEs and the application of a newly developed atmospheric radiation model, both of which have been created in‐house, we found a strong statistically significant relationship between real‐time NM data during GLE events and the radiation doses at aviation altitudes. This result provides a strong scientific basis for the use of real‐time NM data as a proxy for radiation dose estimates during GLE events and aids in the development of future nowcasting models to help mitigate the dangerous impacts of future GLEs.
Journal Article
Assessing Potential Groundwater Storage Capacity for Sustainable Groundwater Management in the Transitioning Post‐Subsidence Metropolitan Area
2024
Many major cities worldwide have inevitably experienced excessive groundwater pumping due to growing demands for freshwater in urban development. To mitigate land subsidence problems during urbanization, various regulations have been adopted to control groundwater usage. This study examines the transition in the post‐subsidence stage, especially in metropolitan areas, to adaptively adjust subsidence prevention strategies for effective groundwater management. Taking the Taipei Basin as an example, historical data reveals significant subsidence of more than 2 m during early urban development, with subsidence hazards largely mitigated over decades. However, the rising groundwater level poses a risk to the stability of engineering excavations. In this study, 29 X‐band Cosmo‐Skymed constellation (CSK) images were utilized with the Persistent Scatterer InSAR (PSInSAR/PSI) technique to monitor surface displacements during the construction of the Mass Rapid Transit system. Correlating groundwater levels helps identify the heterogeneous hydrogeological environment, and the potential groundwater capacity is assessed. PSI time‐series reveal that approximately 2 cm of recoverable land displacements correspond to groundwater fluctuations in the confined aquifer, indicative of the typically elastic behavior of the resilient aquifer system. The estimated groundwater storage variation is about 1.6 million cubic meters, suggesting this potential groundwater capacity could provide available water resources with proper management. Additionally, engineering excavation safety can be ensured with lowered groundwater levels. This study emphasizes the need to balance groundwater resource use with urban development by adjusting subsidence prevention and control strategies to achieve sustainable water management in the post‐subsidence stage. Plain Language Summary Groundwater is used as an important freshwater resource in global urban development, but over‐exploitation often leads to subsidence problems. Once land subsidence situation is under controlled, attention turns to how to balance urban development with environmental protection. This study takes a metropolitan area in a post‐subsidence period as an example and uses satellite technique to estimate potential groundwater volumes. It suggests that with proper management, groundwater resources can be fully utilized and related engineering disasters can be prevented. Key Points Integrating InSAR and numerical model for transient‐like state groundwater level mapping Quantifying changes in potential groundwater storage as available freshwater resources Efficient groundwater utilization for achieving sustainability in post‐subsidence stages
Journal Article
Retrospective analysis of GLEs and estimates of radiation risks
2018
28 February 2017 marked 75 years since the first confident registration of solar cosmic rays (SCRs), i.e., accelerated solar particles with energies from about 10 6 to ~10 10 ÷ 10 11 eV. Modern state of the problems related to the studies of Ground Level Enhancements (GLEs) of relativistic SCRs is critically analyzed based on available direct and proxy data. We are also taking into account extremely large fluxes of non-relativistic solar energetic particles (SEPs). Both kinds of SCR events are of great astrophysical and geo-scientific (geophysical) interests. A number of the GLE properties (total statistics, occurrence rate, longitude distribution, ranking of GLEs, a number of specific GLEs – so-called “rogue” SEP events etc.) are discussed in some detail. We note also the problems of GLE identification (definition) by ground-based observations, the difficulties in the studies of weak (“hidden”, or sub-) GLEs etc. One of serious challenges to the problem of radiation hazard in space is a lack of a clear, unambiguous relation between the fluxes (fluences) of relativistic SCR and non-relativistic SEPs. Special attention is paid to the recent debate on the validity, origin and properties of the “ancient” events AD775, AD994, AD1859 (Carrington event) and BC3372. We demonstrate that, in spite of existing uncertainties in proton fluences above 30 MeV, all of them are fitted well by a unique distribution function, at least, with the present level of solar activity. Extremely large SEP events are shown to obey a probabilistic distribution on their fluences with a sharp break in the range of large fluences (or low probabilities). The studies of this kind may be extended for periods with different levels of solar activity in the past and/or in the future. Dose rates at aircraft altitudes are also demonstrated during some GLEs. Several examples of using the SCR data and GLE properties in radiation prediction schemes are considered.
Journal Article
Cosmic-ray yield and response functions in the atmosphere
2012
Since the middle 1950s, neutron monitors have provided a continuous record of the intensity of secondary atmospheric particles produced by the primary cosmic radiation above the atmosphere. The number of counts due to these secondary particles is related to the primary spectrum above the atmosphere through the so‐called atmospheric yield function. This yield function includes the secondary particles produced in the atmosphere, as well as inside the particular detector. In this paper the primary focus is to recalculate the yield function for neutron monitors. The motivation for this study is that the quality of the experimental observations has increased to such an extent that it has become possible to reduce uncertainties in the yield function down to approximately 10%. It thus becomes possible to refine our knowledge of the atmospheric cascade process considerably. We parameterize the yield functions in a simple way; we also make reference to the yield and response functions of muon, Cherenkov and stratospheric balloon detectors, and we compare their response to that of the neutron monitors. Key Points A parameterization of the neutron monitor yield, spectrum and response is shown The response functions in the atmosphere for different detectors are compared The neutron monitor response to solar energetic particle events is shown
Journal Article
Long-term trend detection and spatiotemporal analysis of groundwater levels using GIS techniques in Lower Bhavani River basin, Tamil Nadu, India
2020
Groundwater resources are used in various parts of the world to meet out drinking water supply, irrigational practices and industrial applications. These valuable resources are naturally replenished by rainfall infiltration. Due to population growth and industrialization, groundwater resources are often overexploited in different parts of the world particularly in the hard rock areas. It leads to rapid declination in the groundwater level. Therefore, groundwater fluctuation with respect to space and time governs attention throughout the world for the purpose of sustainable management of water resources. In the present study, long-term trend detection and spatiotemporal variation of groundwater levels were analyzed using Geographical Information System (GIS) and performing statistical tests for the Lower Bhavani River basin, Tamil Nadu, India. For this purpose, 32 years long-term groundwater-level data (1984–2015) of 57 observation wells spread over the study area were collected from the government departments. Seasonal variation of groundwater levels was plotted spatially for pre-monsoon (March to May), post-monsoon (January and February), southwest (SW) monsoon (June to September) and northeast (NE) monsoon (October to December) seasons using GIS. The trend variation of groundwater levels was predicted by performing statistical tests such as Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s slope estimator. The present study indicates that the average annual groundwater level has lowered beyond 15 m (below ground level) during all the monsoon seasons in the year 2003 and 2004, which highlights less rainfall infiltration and overexploitation of groundwater. This leads the hard rock aquifer into stress. The study also shows that the groundwater fluctuation is very high in the southeastern and northeastern parts of the basin, and it is moderate in the northern and northwestern parts of the basin. However, the fluctuation is comparatively less in the central part of the basin because of replenishment of groundwater by the Bhavani River. The trend analysis highlights that declining water table is mostly found during SW monsoon season (summer season), which is observed more than 50% area of the basin. The places such as Emmampoondi, Kumbapanai, Kandisalai, Alukuli, Perikoduveri, P.Mettupalayam, Pudupalayam, Sathyamangalam, Nallagoundanpudur, Kullampalayam and Baguthampalayam are mostly affected by the declining trend in the groundwater level. Therefore, this study recommends for the implementation of large-scale rainwater harvesting system in the Lower Bhavani River basin to augment groundwater resources.
Journal Article
AniMAIRE‐A New Openly Available Tool for Calculating Atmospheric Ionising Radiation Dose Rates and Single Event Effects During Anisotropic Conditions
2024
AniMAIRE (Anisotropic Model for Atmospheric Ionising Radiation Effects) is a new model and Python toolkit for calculating radiation dose rates experienced by aircraft during anisotropic solar energetic particle events. AniMAIRE expands the physics of the MAIRE + model such that dose rate calculations can be performed for anisotropic solar energetic particle conditions by supplying a proton or alpha particle rigidity spectrum, a pitch angle distribution, and the conditions of Earth's magnetosphere. In this paper, we describe the algorithm and top‐level structure of AniMAIRE and showcase AniMAIRE's capabilities by analyzing the dose rate maps that AniMAIRE produces when the time‐dependent spectra and pitch angle distribution for Ground Level Enhancement (GLE) 71 are input. We find that the dose rates AniMAIRE produces for the event fall between the dose rates produced by the WASAVIES and CRAC:DOMO models. Dose rate maps that evolve throughout the event are also shown, and it is found that each peak in the input pitch angle distribution generates a dose rate hotspot in each of the polar regions. AniMAIRE has been made available openly online so that it can be downloaded and run freely on local machines and so that the space weather community can easily contribute to it using Github forking.
Journal Article
Study of Temporal Profile and Flux Variation of GLE Events During Solar Cycles 23 and 24 Using GOES Data
by
Feng, YongLin
,
Jia, HuanYu
,
Zhang, YunFeng
in
Acceleration
,
Astrophysics and Astroparticles
,
Atmospheric Sciences
2022
A ground level enhancement (GLE) event of solar cosmic rays refers to the sudden, sharp, and short-lived enhancement of energetic particles at ground level generated from a solar flare accompanied by a coronal mass ejection (CME). The study of GLE events not only provides the basis for the research of the origin, propagation, and acceleration of cosmic rays but also has important significance for space-weather research. In this article, we analyzed the temporal profile and flux variation of the electrons, X rays, and protons of 18 GLE events during Solar Cycles 23 and 24 using GOES series spacecraft data. The results suggested that the release time, onset time, peak time, and end time of the GLEs depend upon the energy and species of particles. The release time of protons with higher energies is later than for those with lower energies; the opposite is true for the onset time, peak time, and end time. The rise time decreases with the energy, and the recovery time increases first and then decreases with increasing energy. The energy spectrum of particles at onset time is harder than the peak spectrum. The energy spectrum at onset time is most affected by the CME speed, and the correlation of the peak energy spectrum and the flare longitude is strongest. The acceleration ability of CME-driven shock to low-energy particles is stronger than that of high-energy particles.
Journal Article