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On the local afternoon of 29 May 2012, a long-lived, right-moving (RM) supercell formed over northwestern Oklahoma and turned roughly southeastward. For >3 h, as it moved toward the Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, metro area, this supercell remained nontornadic and visually high-based, producing a nearly tornadic gustnado and a swath of significantly severe, sometimes giant hail up to 5 in. (12.7 cm) in diameter. Meanwhile, a left-moving (LM) supercell formed over southwestern Oklahoma about 100 mi (161 km) south-southwest of the RM storm, and moved northeastward, with a rear-flank gust front that became well defined on radar imagery as the LM storm approached southern and central parts of the metro. The authors, who had been observing the RM supercell in the field since genesis, surmised its potential future interaction with the LM storm’s trailing gust front about 1 h beforehand. We repositioned to near the gust front’s extrapolated collision point with the RM mesocyclone, in anticipation of maximized tornado potential, then witnessed a small tornado from the RM mesocyclone immediately following its interception of the boundary. Synchronized radar and photographic images of this remarkable sequence are presented and discussed in context of more recent findings on tornadic supercell–boundary interactions, with implications for operational utility.

Strong winds generated by thunderstorm gust fronts can cause sudden changes in fire behavior and threaten the safety of wildland firefighters. Wildfires in complex terrain are particularly vulnerable as gust fronts can be channeled and enhanced by local topography. Despite this, knowledge of gust front characteristics primarily stems from studies of well-organized thunderstorms in flatter areas such as the Great Plains, where the modification of gust fronts by topography is less likely. Here, we broaden the investigation of gust fronts in complex terrain by statistically comparing characteristics of gust fronts that are pushed uphill and propagate atop the Mogollon Rim in Arizona to those that propagate down into and along the Rio Grande Valley in New Mexico. Using operational WSR-88D data and in situ observations from Automated Surface Observing System (ASOS) stations, 122 gust fronts in these regions are assessed to quantify changes in temperature, wind, relative humidity, and propagation speed as they pass over the weather stations. Gust fronts that propagated down into and along the Rio Grande Valley in New Mexico were generally associated with faster propagation speeds, larger decreases in temperature, and larger increases in wind speeds compared to gust fronts that reached the crest of the Mogollon Rim in Arizona. Gust fronts atop the Mogollon Rim in Arizona behaved less in accordance with density current theory compared to those in the Rio Grande Valley in New Mexico. The potential reasons for these results, and their implications for our understanding of terrain influence on gust front characteristics, are discussed.

Gust fronts (GFs) belong to the boundary layer convergence system. A strong GF can cause serious wind disasters, so its automatic monitoring and identification are very helpful but difficult in daily meteorological operations. By collecting convective weather processes in Hubei, Jiangsu, and other regions of China, 1422 GFs from 106 S-band new-generation weather radar (CINRAD/SA) volume scan data are labeled as positive samples by means of human–computer interaction, and the same number of negative samples are randomly tagged from no GF radar data. A deep learning dataset including 2844 labels with a positive and negative sample ratio of 1:1 is constructed, and 80%, 10%, and 10% of the dataset are separated as training, validation, and test sets, respectively. Then, the training dataset is expanded to 273,120 samples by data augmentation technology. Since the height of a GF is generally less than 1.5 km, three deep-learning-based models are trained for GF automatic recognition according to the distance from the radars. Three models (M1, M2, M3) are trained with the data at a 0.5° elevation angle from 65 to 180 km away from the radars, at 0.5° and 1.5° angles from 40 to 65 km, and at 0.5°, 1.5°, and 2.4° angles within 40 km, respectively. The precision, confusion matrix, and its derived indicators including receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and the area under ROC (AUC) are used to evaluate the three models by the test set. The results show that the identification precisions of the models are 97.66% (M1), 90% (M2), and 90.43% (M3), respectively. All the hit rates are over 89%, the false positive rates are less than 11%, and the critical success indexes (CSIs) surpass 82%. In addition, all the optimal critical points on the ROC curves are close to (0, 1), and the AUC values are above 0.93. These results suggest that the three models can effectively achieve the automatic discrimination of GFs. Finally, the models are demonstrated by three GF events detected with Qingpu, Nantong, and Cangzhou radars.

The Davies-Jones formulation of effective buoyancy is used to define inertial and buoyant components of vertical force and to develop an intuition for these components by considering simple cases. This decomposition is applied to the triggering of new boundary layer mass flux by cold pools in a cloud-resolving simulation of radiative–convective equilibrium (RCE). The triggering is found to be dominated by inertial forces, and this is explained by estimating the ratio of the inertial forcing to the buoyancy forcing, which scales as H/h, where H is the characteristic height of the initial downdraft and h is the characteristic height of the mature cold pool’s gust front. In a simulation of the transition from shallow to deep convection, the buoyancy forcing plays a dominant role in triggering mass flux in the shallow regime, but the force balance tips in favor of inertial forcing just as precipitation sets in, consistent with the RCE results.

Fire safety, aviation, wind energy, and structural-engineering operations are impacted by thunderstorm outflow boundaries or gust fronts (GFs) particularly when they occur in mountainous terrain. For example, during the 2013 Arizona Yarnell Hill Fire, 19 firefighters were killed as a result of sudden changes in fire behavior triggered by a passing GF. Knowledge of GF behavior in complex terrain also determines departure and landing operations at nearby airports, and GFs can induce exceptional structural loads on wind turbines. While most examinations of GF characteristics focus on well-organized convection in areas such as the Great Plains, here the investigation is broadened to explore GF characteristics that evolve near the complex terrain of the Colorado Rocky Mountains. Using in situ observations from meteorological towers, as well as data from wind-profiling lidars and a microwave radiometer, 24 GF events are assessed to quantify changes in wind, temperature, humidity, and turbulence in the lowest 300 m AGL as these GFs passed over the instruments. The changes in magnitude for all variables are on average weaker in the Colorado Front Range than those typically observed from organized, severe storms in flatter regions. Most events from this study experience an increase in wind speed from 1 to 8 m s −1 , relative humidity from 1% to 8%, and weak vertical motion from 0.3 to 3.6 m s −1 during GF passage while temperature drops by 0.2°–3°C and turbulent kinetic energy peaks at >4 m 2 s −2 . Vertical profiles reveal that these changes vary little with height in the lowest 300 m.

On 20 May 2013, the cities of Newcastle, Oklahoma City, and Moore, Oklahoma, were impacted by a long-track violent tornado that was rated as an EF5 on the enhanced Fujita scale by the National Weather Service. Despite a relatively sustained long track, damage surveys revealed a number of small-scale damage indicators that hinted at storm-scale processes that occurred over short time periods. The University of Oklahoma (OU) Advanced Radar Research Center’s PX-1000 transportable, polarimetric, X-band weather radar was operating in a single-elevation PPI scanning strategy at the OU Westheimer airport throughout the duration of the tornado, collecting high spatial and temporal resolution polarimetric data every 20 s at ranges as close as 10 km and heights below 500 m AGL. This dataset contains the only known polarimetric radar observations of the Moore tornado at such high temporal resolution, providing the opportunity to analyze and study finescale phenomena occurring on rapid time scales. Analysis is presented of a series of debris ejections and rear-flank gust front surges that both preceded and followed a loop of the tornado as it weakened over the Moore Medical Center before rapidly accelerating and restrengthening to the east. The gust front structure, debris characteristics, and differential reflectivity arc breakdown are explored as evidence for a “failed occlusion” hypothesis. Observations are supported by rigorous hand analysis of critical storm attributes, including tornado track relative to the damage survey, sudden track shifts, and a directional debris ejection analysis. A conceptual description and illustration of the suspected failed occlusion process is provided, and its implications are discussed.

Previous studies have demonstrated that cold pools play a pivotal role in the initiation and organization of convection, yet their influence on the evolution of gust fronts (GFs) remains inadequately understood. A destructive wind event associated with a rearward gust front (RGF; 8 grade gale after passing GF) and a prior gust front (PGF; 10 grade gale before passing GF) over the north coast of China on 10 June 2016 was analyzed. Using multiple forms of observation data, as well as the four-dimensional Variational Doppler Radar Data Assimilation System (VDRAS), we found that the depth and intensity of the cold pool in RGF are relatively shallower and weaker, leading to a correspondingly reduced strength in both outflow and convergence. In contrast, the enhanced vertical shear and boundary northeaster inflow of PGF generate intensified and more organized downdrafts, resulting in a deeper cold pool, robust outflow, and convergence. Two schematic models were proposed to explain the discrepancy between GFs and associated cold pools. We further show that there is an internal correlation between meso-γ-scale vortices (MVs) and cold pools, the collision of MVs strengthened low-level convergence and updraft between these two GFs. Moreover, the consolidation of the two cold pools exacerbates low-layer instability and rotation, generating an intense horizontal vorticity that leads to rapid convective storm intensification. These findings offer novel insights into the diversity of GFs and associated cold pools.

Two aspects of vorticity associated with cold pools are addressed. First, tilting of horizontal vortex tubes by the updraft at a gust front has been proposed as a means of getting near-ground rotation and hence a tornado. Theory and a numerical simulation are used to show that this mechanism will not work because warm air parcels approaching the gust front decelerate in strong adverse pressure gradient. The near-surface horizontal vorticity available for upward tilting is greatly reduced by horizontal compression before it is tilted. Consequently, uplifting of vortex tubes produces little vertical vorticity near the ground. Second, it is shown that the baroclinic vorticity generated at the leading edge of the cold pool is transported rearward in the vortex sheet along the interface between cold and warm air, and the barotropic vorticity associated with environmental shear is conserved along streamlines. Warm parcels away from the interface do not acquire baroclinic vorticity to offset their barotropic vorticity, as assumed in a theory for long-lived squall lines. The vortex sheet has a far-field effect on the circulation in the warm air. A steady-state vortex method is used to propose why there is a steady noncirculating density current only when a lid is present and at a specific height.

On 10 July 2006, during the Special Observation Period (SOP) of the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA) campaign, a small convective system initiated over Niamey and propagated westward in the vicinity of several instruments activated in the area, including the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) C-band Doppler radar and the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) mobile facility. The system started after a typical convective development of the planetary boundary layer. It grew and propagated within the scope of the radar range, so that its entire life cycle is documented, from the precluding shallow convection to its traveling gust front. The analysis of the observations during the transitions from organized dry convection to shallow convection and from shallow convection to deep convection lends support to the significant role played by surface temperature heterogeneities and boundary layer processes in the initiation of deep convection in semiarid conditions. The analysis of the system later in the day, of its growth and propagation, and of its associated density current allows the authors to estimate the wake available potential energy and demonstrate its capability to trigger deep convection itself. Given the quality and density of observations related to this case, and its typical and quasi-textbook characteristics, this is considered a prime case for the study of initiation and evolution of deep convection, and for testing their parameterizations in single-column models.

A GSI-based EnVar data assimilation system is extended to directly assimilate radar reflectivity to initialize convective-scale forecasts. When hydrometeor mixing ratios are used as state variables (method mixing ratio), large differences of the cost function gradients with respect to the small hydrometeor mixing ratios and wind prevent efficient convergence. Using logarithmic mixing ratios as state variables (method logarithm) fixes this problem, but generates spuriously large hydrometeor increments partly due to the transform to and from the logarithmic space. The tangent linear of the reflectivity operators further contributes to spuriously small and large hydrometeor increments in method mixing ratio and method logarithm, respectively. A new method is proposed by directly adding the reflectivity as a state variable (method dBZ). Without the tangent linear and adjoint of the nonlinear operator, the new method therefore avoids the aforementioned problems. The newly proposed method is examined on the analysis and prediction of the 8 May 2003 Oklahoma City tornadic supercell storm. Both the probabilistic forecast of strong low-level vorticity and maintenance of strong updraft and vorticity in method dBZ are more consistent with reality than in method logarithm and method mixing ratio. Detailed diagnostics suggest that a more realistic cold pool due to the better analyzed hydrometeors in method dBZ than in other methods leads to constructive interaction between the surface gust front and the updraft aloft associated with the midlevel mesocyclone. Similar low-level vorticity forecast and maintenance of the storm are produced by the WSM6 and Thompson microphysics schemes in method dBZ. The Thompson scheme matches the reflectivity distribution with the observations better for all lead times, but shows more southeastward track bias compared to the WSM6 scheme.