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"Hazards"
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The frailty model
2008,2007
Readers will find in the pages of this book a treatment of the statistical analysis of clustered survival data. Frailty models provide a powerful tool to analyze this data, and this book offers different methods based on these models.
Correction: Effects of hazard types on drivers' risk rating and hazard response in a video-based hazard perception task
by
PLOS ONE Staff
in
Hazards
2019
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0214226.].
Journal Article
Challenges of analyzing multi-hazard risk: a review
by
Keiler, Margreth
,
von Elverfeldt, Kirsten
,
Kappes, Melanie S.
in
Assessments
,
Civil Engineering
,
Disasters
2012
Many areas of the world are prone to several natural hazards, and effective risk reduction is only possible if all relevant threats are considered and analyzed. However, in contrast to single-hazard analyses, the examination of multiple hazards poses a range of additional challenges due to the differing characteristics of processes. This refers to the assessment of the hazard level, as well as to the vulnerability toward distinct processes, and to the arising risk level. As comparability of the single-hazard results is strongly needed, an equivalent approach has to be chosen that allows to estimate the overall hazard and consequent risk level as well as to rank threats. In addition, the visualization of a range of natural hazards or risks is a challenging task since the high quantity of information has to be depicted in a way that allows for easy and clear interpretation. The aim of this contribution is to give an outline of the challenges each step of a multi-hazard (risk) analysis poses and to present current studies and approaches that face these difficulties.
Journal Article
Flood, landslides, forest fire, and earthquake susceptibility maps using machine learning techniques and their combination
2023
Protection against natural hazards (i.e., floods, landslides, forest fires, and earthquakes) is vital in land-use planning, especially in high-risk areas. Multi-hazard susceptibility maps can be used by land-use manager to guide urban development, to minimize the risk of natural disasters. The objective of the present study was to use four machine learning models to produce multi-hazard susceptibility maps in Khuzestan Province, Iran. In this work, four different natural hazards (flood, landslides, forest fire, and earthquake) using support vector machine (SVM), boosted regression tree (BRT), random forest (RF), and maximum entropy (MaxEnt) techniques were created. Effective factors used in the study include elevation, slope degree, slope aspect, rainfall, temperature, lithology, land use, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), wind exposition index (WEI), topographic wetness index (TWI), plan curvature, drainage density, distance from roads, distance from rivers, and distance from villages. The spatial earthquake hazard in the study area was derived from a peak ground acceleration (PGA) susceptibility map. The second step in the study was to combine the model-generated maps of the four hazards in a reliable multi-hazard map. The mean decrease Gini (MDG) method was used to determine the level of importance of each effective factor on the occurrence of landslides, floods, and forest fires. Finally, “area under the curve” (AUC) values were calculated to validate the forest fire, flood, and landslide susceptibility maps and to compare the predictive capability of the machine learning models. The RF model yielded the highest AUC values for the forest fire, flood, and landslide susceptibility maps, specifically, 0.81, 0.85, and 0.94, respectively.
Journal Article
Types of water hazards in China coalmines and regional characteristics
2016
In China, coal-forming period spans extensively in time and space, creating complex geological and hydrogeological conditions. The difficulties in water hazards control are rarely seen elsewhere in the world. To provide an effective engineering approach to water hazards control, this article puts forward a categorization of 30 commonly seen water hazards based on factors such as types of water sources and conductors with factual records of water hazards and accidents in China coalmines. Furthermore, on account of the coal storing conditions in the coalmining areas, this article has outlined six water hazards zones with emphasis on the types of water hazards requiring precautions, as well as an analysis on formation mechanisms of each water hazard and key technological points for preventive engineering. This article is aimed to provide references for countries and regions with intensive coalmining needs and to facilitate experience sharing.
Journal Article
Review article: Natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale
by
Stanley, Thomas
,
Daniell, James E.
,
Emberson, Robert
in
Disaster management
,
Disaster risk
,
Disasters
2020
Since 1990, natural hazards have led to over 1.6 million fatalities globally, and economic losses are estimated at an average of around USD 260–310 billion per year. The scientific and policy communities recognise the need to reduce these risks. As a result, the last decade has seen a rapid development of global models for assessing risk from natural hazards at the global scale. In this paper, we review the scientific literature on natural hazard risk assessments at the global scale, and we specifically examine whether and how they have examined future projections of hazard, exposure, and/or vulnerability. In doing so, we examine similarities and differences between the approaches taken across the different hazards, and we identify potential ways in which different hazard communities can learn from each other. For example, there are a number of global risk studies focusing on hydrological, climatological, and meteorological hazards that have included future projections and disaster risk reduction measures (in the case of floods), whereas fewer exist in the peer-reviewed literature for global studies related to geological hazards. On the other hand, studies of earthquake and tsunami risk are now using stochastic modelling approaches to allow for a fully probabilistic assessment of risk, which could benefit the modelling of risk from other hazards. Finally, we discuss opportunities for learning from methods and approaches being developed and applied to assess natural hazard risks at more continental or regional scales. Through this paper, we hope to encourage further dialogue on knowledge sharing between disciplines and communities working on different hazards and risk and at different spatial scales.
Journal Article
Effects of uncertainty in fault parameters on deterministic tsunami hazard assessment: examples for active faults along the eastern margin of the Sea of Japan
2022
We investigated the effects of fault parameter uncertainty on the deterministic assessment of tsunami hazards for the submarine and coastal active faults in the Sea of Japan that were recently modeled by the Integrated Research Project on Seismic and Tsunami Hazards around the Sea of Japan. A key parameter in scenario-based tsunami assessment is the fault slip amount, which is usually calculated from empirical scaling relations that relate the fault size to the slip. We examined four methods to estimate the fault slip amounts and compared the coastal tsunami heights from the slip amounts obtained by two different empirical relations. The resultant coastal tsunami heights were strongly affected by the choice of scaling relation, particularly the fault aspect ratio (fault length/fault width). The geometric means of the coastal tsunami heights calculated from the two methods ranged from 0.69 to 4.30 with an average of 2.01. We also evaluated the effects of fault slip angles, which are also important parameters for controlling coastal tsunami heights, by changing the slip angles for faults in the southwestern and central parts of the Sea of Japan, where the strike-slip faults are concentrated. The effects of uncertainty of the fault slip angles (± 30° from the standard) on the coastal tsunami heights were revealed to be equal to or greater than those resulting from the choice of scaling relations; the geometric means of the coastal tsunami heights from the modified fault slip angles relative to the standard fault slip angles ranged from 0.23 to 5.88. Another important characteristic is that the locations of the maximum coastal tsunami height and the spatial pattern of the coastal tsunami heights can change with varying fault slip angles.
Journal Article
Assessing flood hazard using flood marks and analytic hierarchy process approach: a case study for the 2013 flood event in Quang Nam, Vietnam
by
Jason Von Meding
,
Luu, Chinh
,
Kanjanabootra, Sittimont
in
Agricultural land
,
Agricultural management
,
Analytic hierarchy process
2018
The production of flood hazard assessment maps is an important component of flood risk assessment. This study analyses flood hazard using flood mark data. The chosen case study is the 2013 flood event in Quang Nam, Vietnam. The impacts of this event included 17 deaths, 230 injuries, 91,739 flooded properties, 11,530 ha of submerged and damaged agricultural land, 85,080 animals killed and widespread damage to roads, canals, dykes and embankments. The flood mark data include flood depth and flood duration. Analytic hierarchy process method is used to assess the criteria and sub-criteria of the flood hazard. The weights of criteria and sub-criteria are generated based on the judgements of decision-makers using this method. This assessment is combined into a single map using weighted linear combination, integrated with GIS to produce a flood hazard map. Previous research has usually not considered flood duration in flood hazard assessment maps. This factor has a rather strong influence on the livelihood of local communities in Quang Nam, with most agricultural land within the floodplain. A more comprehensive flood hazard assessment mapping process, with the additional consideration of flood duration, can make a significant contribution to flood risk management activities in Vietnam.
Journal Article
A Review on Construction Safety: Hazards, Mitigation Strategies, and Impacted Sectors
by
Kermanshachi, Sharareh
,
Pamidimukkala, Apurva
,
Yin, Zhe
in
Analysis
,
Biohazards
,
Construction accidents & safety
2024
Hazard identification is a fundamental step in safety management that has the potential to reduce the number and severity of occupational injuries on construction sites. Researchers have identified and evaluated some of the hazards, but few have extensively discussed all of them and none have classified them by sector. The goal of this paper is to fill that research gap by considering hazard identification through an organized synthesis of the existing literature. After a comprehensive literature review, 236 publications were deemed eligible for further analysis. Eighteen safety hazards were identified and then categorized into four groups based on their physiological impacts, ranked based on frequency of citation, and classified by sector. The results revealed that falls from heights, material handling, and heavy machinery were the most frequently cited hazards and the most likely to impact all sectors. Mitigation strategies were also identified, and it was determined that most hazards can be mitigated through the use of personal protective equipment, and effective training and supervision.
Journal Article
Prudent practices in the laboratory: handling and management of chemical hazards
by
National Research Council
,
Division on Earth and Life Studies
,
Committee on Prudent Practices in the Laboratory: An Update
in
Chemicals
,
Hazardous substances
,
Hazardous wastes
2011
Prudent Practices in the Laboratory--the book that has served for decades as the standard for chemical laboratory safety practice--now features updates and new topics. This revised edition has an expanded chapter on chemical management and delves into new areas, such as nanotechnology, laboratory security, and emergency planning.Developed by experts from academia and industry, with specialties in such areas as chemical sciences, pollution prevention, and laboratory safety, Prudent Practices in the Laboratory provides guidance on planning procedures for the handling, storage, and disposal of chemicals. The book offers prudent practices designed to promote safety and includes practical information on assessing hazards, managing chemicals, disposing of wastes, and more.Prudent Practices in the Laboratory will continue to serve as the leading source of chemical safety guidelines for people working with laboratory chemicals: research chemists, technicians, safety officers, educators, and students.