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"Housing Prices."
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NETWORK ANALYSIS OF HOUSING PRICE COMOVEMENTS OF A HUNDRED CHINESE CITIES
2023
Housing price comovements are an important issue in economics. This study focuses on monthly housing prices of 99 major cities in China for the years 2010–2019 by using correlation-based hierarchical analysis and synchronisation analysis, through which one could determine interactions and interdependence among the prices, heterogeneous patterns in price synchronisations and their changing paths over time. Empirical results show that the degree of comovements is slightly lower after March 2017 but no persistent drop is found. Several groups of cities are identified, each of which has its members showing relatively strong but volatile price synchronisations. Certain cities show potential of serving as price leaders within a group. Results here could be useful to policy analysis regarding housing price comovements.
Journal Article
Contemporaneous causality among one hundred Chinese cities
2022
This study explores dynamic relationships among Chinese housing prices for the years 2010–2019. With monthly data from 99 major cities in China, we use the vector error correction model and directed acyclic graph to characterize contemporaneous causality among housing prices from different tiers of cities. The PC algorithm identifies the causal pattern and the LiNGAM algorithm further identifies the causal path, from which we perform innovation accounting analysis. Complex housing price dynamics are found in the price adjustment process following price shocks, which is not only dominated by the top tiers of cities. This suggests that policies on housing prices in the long run might need to be planned from a national perspective.
Journal Article
The impact of housing prices on residents’ health: a systematic review
by
Hepburn, Kirk J.
,
Adshade, Marina
,
Grewal, Ashmita
in
Biostatistics
,
Changes
,
Chronic illnesses
2024
Background
Rising housing prices are becoming a top public health priority and are an emerging concern for policy makers and community leaders. This report reviews and synthesizes evidence examining the association between changes in housing price and health outcomes.
Methods
We conducted a systematic literature review by searching the SCOPUS and PubMed databases for keywords related to housing price and health. Articles were screened by two reviewers for eligibility, which restricted inclusion to original research articles measuring changes in housing prices and health outcomes, published prior to June 31st, 2022.
Results
Among 23 eligible studies, we found that changes in housing prices were heterogeneously associated with physical and mental health outcomes, with multiple mechanisms contributing to both positive and negative health outcomes. Income-level and home-ownership status were identified as key moderators, with lower-income individuals and renters experience negative health consequences from rising housing prices. This may have resulted from increased stress and financial strain among these groups. Meanwhile, the economic benefits of rising housing prices were seen to support health for higher-income individuals and homeowners – potentially due to increased wealth or perception of wealth.
Conclusions
Based on the associations identified in this review, it appears that potential gains to health associated with rising housing prices are inequitably distributed. Housing policies should consider the health inequities born by renters and low-income individuals. Further research should explore mechanisms and interventions to reduce uneven economic impacts on health.
Journal Article
Associations between Street-View Perceptions and Housing Prices: Subjective vs. Objective Measures Using Computer Vision and Machine Learning Techniques
2022
This study investigated the extent to which subjectively and objectively measured street-level perceptions complement or conflict with each other in explaining property value. Street-scene perceptions can be subjectively assessed from self-reported survey questions, or objectively quantified from land use data or pixel ratios of physical features extracted from street-view imagery. Prior studies mainly relied on objective indicators to describe perceptions and found that a better street environment is associated with a price premium. While very few studies have addressed the impact of subjectively-assessed perceptions. We hypothesized that human perceptions have a subtle relationship to physical features that cannot be comprehensively captured with objective indicators. Subjective measures could be more effective to describe human perceptions, thus might explain more housing price variations. To test the hypothesis, we both subjectively and objectively measured six pairwise eye-level perceptions (i.e., Greenness, Walkability, Safety, Imageability, Enclosure, and Complexity). We then investigated their coherence and divergence for each perception respectively. Moreover, we revealed their similar or opposite effects in explaining house prices in Shanghai using the hedonic price model (HPM). Our intention was not to make causal statements. Instead, we set to address the coherent and conflicting effects of the two measures in explaining people’s behaviors and preferences. Our method is high-throughput by extending classical urban design measurement protocols with current artificial intelligence (AI) frameworks for urban-scene understanding. First, we found the percentage increases in housing prices attributable to street-view perceptions were significant for both subjective and objective measures. While subjective scores explained more variance over objective scores. Second, the two measures exhibited opposite signs in explaining house prices for Greenness and Imageability perceptions. Our results indicated that objective measures which simply extract or recombine individual streetscape pixels cannot fully capture human perceptions. For perceptual qualities that were not familiar to the average person (e.g., Imageability), a subjective framework exhibits better performance. Conversely, for perceptions whose connotation are self-evident (e.g., Greenness), objective measures could outperform the subjective counterparts. This study demonstrates a more holistic understanding for street-scene perceptions and their relations to property values. It also sheds light on future studies where the coherence and divergence of the two measures could be further stressed.
Journal Article
Pre-owned housing price index forecasts using Gaussian process regressions
2024
Purpose
The purpose of this study is to make property price forecasts for the Chinese housing market that has grown rapidly in the last 10 years, which is an important concern for both government and investors.
Design/methodology/approach
This study examines Gaussian process regressions with different kernels and basis functions for monthly pre-owned housing price index estimates for ten major Chinese cities from March 2012 to May 2020. The authors do this by using Bayesian optimizations and cross-validation.
Findings
The ten price indices from June 2019 to May 2020 are accurately predicted out-of-sample by the established models, which have relative root mean square errors ranging from 0.0458% to 0.3035% and correlation coefficients ranging from 93.9160% to 99.9653%.
Originality/value
The results might be applied separately or in conjunction with other forecasts to develop hypotheses regarding the patterns in the pre-owned residential real estate price index and conduct further policy research.
Journal Article