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Sea ice drift in the Arctic Ocean impacts ice mass balance, ocean currents, ice deformation, and freshwater output into lower latitudes. Satellite observation reveals that the Arctic sea ice drift has accelerated under global warming. Meanwhile, previous studies also found that local atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation modulates the Arctic sea ice drift. However, the mechanisms linking the Arctic sea ice drift change to the general warming and intraseasonal oscillation in the local atmosphere are not clearly addressed. Based on a sea ice‒ocean coupled model, this study finds that: (1) The atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation leads to a higher climatological sea ice drift speed despite it produces thicker ice in the Arctic marginal seas, since the elevating effect of increased wind speed yields the suppressing effect of increased ice thickness on sea ice drift speed. (2) The warming of local atmosphere results in substantial elevation of the Arctic sea ice drift speed through generating basin-scale reduction of sea ice thickness. Developing a more sophisticated sea ice dynamical equation may be an essential way to reduce the wide-existing positive bias in sea ice drift modeling.

Interannual variability of the Beaufort Sea (BFS) ice notably affects the oceanic circulation, pelagic and sympagic ecosystems, and navigation activities. However, key physical pathways regulating interseasonal connections between the El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and BFS ice concentration anomalies in early‐summer (May–July) remain unclear. Here, we established that winter (December‐January‐February) ENSO events, identified by the Niño 3 index, explained approximately 25% of BFS ice interannual variability in summer. We demonstrated that ENSO‐induced North Pacific sea surface temperature (NPSST) anomalies persist into summer, triggering poleward‐propagating Rossby waves by strengthening transient eddy vorticity forcing. The resulting anticyclonic and associated easterly anomalies over the BFS drive westward ice drift and subsequent ice reduction. ENSO‐pacemaker simulations confirmed the causal relationship, estimating that NPSSTs contribute 61% to the ENSO‐induced BFS ice anomalies in early summer. Our results emphasize the crucial role of NPSSTs for the ENSO‐Arctic teleconnection, with important implications for seasonal sea‐ice predictability.

Besides the rapid retreating trend of Arctic sea-ice extent (SIE), this study found the most outstanding low-frequency variation of SIE to be a 4–6-year periodic variation. Using a clustering analysis algorithm, the SIE in most ice-covered regions was clustered into two special regions: Region-1 around the Barents Sea and Region-2 around the Canadian Basin, which were located on either side of the Arctic Transpolar Drift. Clear 4–6-year periodic variation in these two regions was identified using a novel method called “running linear fitting algorithm”. The rate of temporal variation of the Arctic SIE was related to three driving factors: the regional air temperature, the sea-ice areal flux across the Arctic Transpolar Drift, and the divergence of sea-ice drift. The 4–6-year periodic variation was found to have always been present since 1979, but the SIE responded to different factors under heavy and light ice conditions divided by the year 2005. The joint contribution of the three factors to SIE variation exceeded 83% and 59% in the two regions, respectively, remarkably reflecting their dynamic mechanism. It is proven that the process of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is closely associated with the three factors, being the fundamental source of the 4–6-year periodic variations of Arctic SIE.

Sea ice drift strongly influences sea ice thickness distribution and indirectly controls air-sea ice-ocean interactions. Estimating sea ice drift over a large range of spatial and temporal scales is therefore needed to characterize the properties of sea ice dynamics and to better understand the ongoing changes of the climate in the polar regions. An efficient algorithm is developed for processing SAR data based on the combination of feature tracking (FT) and pattern matching (PM) techniques. The main advantage of the combination is that the FT rapidly provides the first guess estimate of ice drift in a few unevenly distributed keypoints, and PM accurately provides drift vectors on a regular or irregular grid. Thorough sensitivity analysis of the algorithm is performed, and optimal sets of parameters are suggested for retrieval of sea ice drift on various spatial and temporal scales. The algorithm has rather high accuracy (error is below 300 m) and high speed (the time for one image pair is 1 min), which opens new opportunities for studying sea ice kinematic processes. The ice drift can now be efficiently observed in the Lagrangian coordinate system on an irregular grid and, therefore, used for pointwise evaluation of the models running on unstructured meshes or for assimilation into Lagrangian models.

Sea ice drift data at high spatial resolution and surface wind model output are used to explore atmosphere-sea ice interactions in the Western Ross Sea including the three main polynyas areas; McMurdo Sound polynya (MSP), Terra Nova Bay polynya (TNBP), and the Ross Sea polynya (RSP). This study quantifies the relationship between the winds and sea ice drift and observes the average and annual anomalies across the region. Sea ice drift velocities are based on high-resolution (150 m) Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar (ASAR) images from Envisat for winters between 2002 and 2012. Sea ice motion vectors were first correlated with the corresponding Antarctic Mesoscale Prediction System (AMPS) surface wind velocities, and the sensitivity of the spatial correlations and residuals were examined. Four drift parameters were selected (mean drift, the correlation between drift and wind, drift to wind scaling factor, and the directional drift constancy) to perform an unsupervised k-means classification to automatically distinguish six zones of distinctive sea ice characteristics solely based on ice drift and wind information. Results indicate a heterogeneous pattern of sea ice movement at a rate ranging from 0.41 to 2.24% of the wind speed in different areas. We also find that the directional constancy of sea ice drift is closely related to the wind fields. Sea ice drift and wind velocities display the highest correlation in free-drift areas (R = 0.70), followed by deformational drift zones (R = 0.54), and more random drift areas (R = 0.28). The classification illustrates the significance of localized wind-driven sea ice drift in this coastal area resulting in zones of convergence, shear, and free drift. The results also indicate that the most persistent patterns of sea ice motion are near the RSP and TNBP areas, both being driven by strong localized winds. Our findings identify that large-scale sea ice motion is predominantly wind-driven over much of the study area while ocean currents play only a minor role.

While variations of Baltic Sea ice extent and thickness have been extensively studied, there is little information about drift ice thickness, distribution, and its variability. In our study, we quantify the interannual variability of sea ice thickness in the Bay of Bothnia during the years 2003–2016. We use various different data sets: official ice charts, drilling data from the regular monitoring stations in the coastal fast ice zone, and helicopter and shipborne electromagnetic soundings. We analyze the different data sets and compare them to each other to characterize the interannual variability, to discuss the ratio of level and deformed ice, and to derive ice thickness distributions in the drift ice zone. In the fast ice zone the average ice thickness is 0.58±0.13 m. Deformed ice increases the variability of ice conditions in the drift ice zone, where the average ice thickness is 0.92±0.33 m. On average, the fraction of deformed ice is 50 % to 70 % of the total volume. In heavily ridged ice regions near the coast, mean ice thickness is approximately half a meter thicker than that of pure thermodynamically grown fast ice. Drift ice exhibits larger interannual variability than fast ice.

Sea ice habitats are highly dynamic, and ice drift may affect the energy expenditure of travelling animals. Several studies in the high Arctic have reported increased ice drift speeds, and consequently, polar bears Ursus maritimus in these areas expended more energy on counterice movement for station-keeping. However, little is known about the spatiotemporal dynamics of ice drift in Hudson Bay (HB) and its implications for the declining Western Hudson Bay (WH) polar bear subpopulation. Using sea ice drift data from 1987−2015 and polar bear satellite telemetry location data from 2004−2015, we examined trends in drift speeds in HB, polar bear movement relative to drift, and assessed annual and individual variation. In contrast to other areas of the Arctic, we did not find an increase in ice drift speed over the period examined. However, variability in ice drift speed increased over time, which suggests reduced habitat predictability. Polar bear movement direction was not strongly counter to ice drift in any month, and ice drift speed and direction had little effect on bear movement rates and, thus, energy expenditure. On an annual scale, we found individuals varied in their exposure and response to ice drift, which may contribute to variability in body condition. However, the lack of a long-term increase in ice drift speed suggests this is unlikely to be the main factor affecting the body condition decline observed in the WH subpopulation. Our results contrast findings in other subpopulations and demonstrate the need for subpopulation-specific research and risk evaluation.

Different radiometer sensors have different frequencies, spatial resolutions, and time resolutions, which lead to inconsistencies in ice drift products retrieved by radiometer sensors. Based on the continuous maximum cross-correlation method, in this paper, we used China’s FY-3 and HY-2 satellite radiometer data to generate sea ice drift products; we further evaluated the consistency between them and sea ice drift products retrieved from AMSR2 and SSMIS satellite radiometer data, which could help in future retrieval accuracies of more radiometer sea ice drift products. The results show that ice drift products with good reliability can be obtained by retrievals using 37 and 89 GHz channels of FY-3 and HY-2 radiometer bright temperature data. Compared with the buoy data, the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of the 37 GHz HY-2 sea ice drift product (at an interval of 6 days) were 1.40 cm/s and 7.31° for speed and direction, respectively, and the relative errors (REs) were 5.78% and 6.44%, respectively. The RMSEs of the 37 GHz FY-3 sea ice drift product were 0.77 cm/s and 6.49° for speed and direction, respectively, and the REs were 4.38% and 9.23%, respectively. Moreover, comparisons between sea ice drift vectors derived from AMSR2 and SSMIS satellites showed good quantitative agreement.

The simulated Arctic sea ice drift and its relationship with the near-surface wind and surface ocean current during 1979–2014 in nine models from China that participated in the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) are examined by comparison with observational and reanalysis datasets. Most of the models reasonably represent the Beaufort Gyre (BG) and Transpolar Drift Stream (TDS) in the spatial patterns of their long-term mean sea ice drift, while the detailed location, extent, and strength of the BG and TDS vary among the models. About two-thirds of the models agree with the observation/reanalysis in the sense that the sea ice drift pattern is consistent with the near-surface wind pattern. About the same proportion of models shows that the sea ice drift pattern is consistent with the surface ocean current pattern. In the observation/reanalysis, however, the sea ice drift pattern does not match well with the surface ocean current pattern. All nine models missed the observational widespread sea ice drift speed acceleration across the Arctic. For the Arctic basin-wide spatial average, five of the nine models overestimate the Arctic long-term (1979–2014) mean sea ice drift speed in all months. Only FGOALS-g3 captures a significant sea ice drift speed increase from 1979 to 2014 both in spring and autumn. The increases are weaker than those in the observation. This evaluation helps assess the performance of the Arctic sea ice drift simulations in these CMIP6 models from China.

Understanding long-term changes in large-scale sea ice drift in the Southern Ocean is of considerable interest given its contribution to ice extent, to ice production in open waters, with associated dense water formation and heat flux to the atmosphere, and thus to the climate system. In this paper, we examine the trends and variability of this ice drift in a 34-year record (1982–2015) derived from satellite observations. Uncertainties in drift (~3 to 4 km day–1) were assessed with higher resolution observations. In a linear model, drift speeds were ~1.4% of the geostrophic wind from reanalyzed sea-level pressure, nearly 50% higher than that of the Arctic. This result suggests an ice cover in the Southern Ocean that is thinner, weaker, and less compact. Geostrophic winds explained all but ~40% of the variance in ice drift. Three spatially distinct drift patterns were shown to be controlled by the location and depth of atmospheric lows centered over the Amundsen, Riiser-Larsen, and Davis seas. Positively correlated changes in sea-level pressures at the three centers (up to 0.64) suggest correlated changes in the wind-driven drift patterns. Seasonal trends in ice edge are linked to trends in meridional winds and also to on-ice/off-ice trends in zonal winds, due to zonal asymmetry of the Antarctic ice cover. Sea ice area export at flux gates that parallel the 1000-m isobath were extended to cover the 34-year record. Interannual variability in ice export in the Ross and Weddell seas linked to the depth and location of the Amundsen Sea and Riiser-Larsen Sea lows to their east. Compared to shorter records, where there was a significant positive trend in Ross Sea ice area flux, the longer 34-year trends of outflow from both seas are now statistically insignificant.