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result(s) for
"Landslide susceptibility"
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Assessment of the Impacts of Urbanization on Landslide Susceptibility in Hakha City, a Mountainous Region of Western Myanmar
2023
In July 2015, more than 100 landslides caused by Cyclone Komen resulted in damage to approximately 1000 buildings in the mountainous region of Hakha City, Myanmar. This study aimed to identify potential landslide susceptibility for newly developed resettlement areas in Hakha City before and after urbanization. The study evaluated landslide susceptibility through statistical modeling and compared the level of susceptibility before and after urbanization in the region. The information value model was used to predict landslide susceptibility before and after urbanization, using 10 parameter maps as independent variables and 1 landslide inventory map as the dependent variable. Four landslide types were identified in the study area: shallow earth slide, deep slide, earth slump, and debris flow. Susceptibility analyses were conducted separately for each type to better recognize the different aspects of landslide susceptibility in planned urban areas. By comparing the results of the susceptibility index before and after urbanization, suitable urban areas with lower landslide susceptibility could be identified. The results showed that high-potential landslide susceptibility increased by 10%, 16%, and 5% after urbanization compared with before urbanization in three Town Plans, respectively. Therefore, Town Plan 3 is selected as the most suitable location for the resettlement area in terms of low risk of landslides.
Journal Article
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Based on Random Forest and Boosted Regression Tree Models, and a Comparison of Their Performance
2019
This study aims to analyze and compare landslide susceptibility at Woomyeon Mountain, South Korea, based on the random forest (RF) model and the boosted regression tree (BRT) model. Through the construction of a landslide inventory map, 140 landslide locations were found. Among these, 42 (30%) were reserved to validate the model after 98 (70%) had been selected at random for model training. Fourteen landslide explanatory variables related to topography, hydrology, and forestry factors were considered and selected, based on the results of information gain for the modeling. The results were evaluated and compared using the receiver operating characteristic curve and statistical indices. The analysis showed that the RF model was better than the BRT model. The RF model yielded higher specificity, overall accuracy, and kappa index than the BRT model. In addition, the RF model, with a prediction rate of 0.865, performed slightly better than the BRT model, which had a prediction rate of 0.851. These results indicate that the landslide susceptibility maps (LSMs) produced in this study had good performance for predicting the spatial landslide distribution in the study area. These LSMs could be helpful for establishing mitigation strategies and for land use planning.
Journal Article
A step beyond landslide susceptibility maps: a simple method to investigate and explain the different outcomes obtained by different approaches
by
Casagli Nicola
,
Segoni Samuele
,
Yin Kunlong
in
Community planning
,
Entropy
,
Environmental risk
2020
Landslide susceptibility assessment is vital for landslide risk management and urban planning, and the scientific community is continuously proposing new approaches to map landslide susceptibility, especially by hybridizing state-of-the-art models and by proposing new ones. A common practice in landslide susceptibility studies is to compare (two or more) different models in terms of AUC (area under ROC curve) to assess which one has the best predictive performance. The objective of this paper is to show that the classical scheme of comparison between susceptibility models can be expanded and enriched with substantial geomorphological insights by focusing the comparison on the mapped susceptibility values and investigating the geomorphological reasons of the differences encountered. To this aim, we used four susceptibility maps of the Wanzhou County (China) obtained with four different classification methods (namely, random forest, index of entropy, frequency ratio, and certainty factor). A quantitative comparison of the susceptibility values was carried out on a pixel-by-pixel basis, to reveal systematic spatial patterns in the differences among susceptibility maps; then, those patterns were put in relation with all the explanatory variables used in the susceptibility assessments. The lithological and morphological features of the study area that are typically associated to underestimations and overestimations of susceptibility were identified. The results shed a new light on the susceptibility models, identifying systematic errors that could be probably associated either to shortcomings of the models or to distinctive morphological features of the test site, such as nearly flat low altitude areas near the main rivers, and some lithological units.
Journal Article
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using Logistic Regression Analysis along the Jinsha River and Its Tributaries Close to Derong and Deqin County, Southwestern China
2018
The objective of this study was to identify the areas that are most susceptible to landslide occurrence, and to find the key factors associated with landslides along Jinsha River and its tributaries close to Derong and Deqin County. Thirteen influencing factors, including (a) lithology, (b) slope angle, (c) slope aspect, (d) TWI, (e) curvature, (f) SPI, (g) STI, (h) topographic relief, (i) rainfall, (j) vegetation, (k) NDVI, (l) distance-to-river, (m) and distance-to-fault, were selected as the landslide conditioning factors in landslide susceptibility mapping. These factors were mainly obtained from the field survey, digital elevation model (DEM), and Landsat 4–5 imagery using ArcGIS software. A total of 40 landslides were identified in the study area from field survey and aerial photos’ interpretation. First, the frequency ratio (FR) method was used to clarify the relationship between the landslide occurrence and the influencing factors. Then, the principal component analysis (PCA) was used to eliminate multiple collinearities between the 13 influencing factors and to reduce the dimension of the influencing factors. Subsequently, the factors that were reselected using the PCA were introduced into the logistic regression analysis to produce the landslide susceptibility map. Finally, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the accuracy of the logistic regression analysis model. The landslide susceptibility map was divided into the following five classes: very low, low, moderate, high, and very high. The results showed that the ratios of the areas of the five susceptibility classes were 23.14%, 22.49%, 18.00%, 19.08%, and 17.28%, respectively. And the prediction accuracy of the model was 83.4%. The results were also compared with the FR method (79.9%) and the AHP method (76.9%), which meant that the susceptibility model was reasonable. Finally, the key factors of the landslide occurrence were determined based on the above results. Consequently, this study could serve as an effective guide for further land use planning and for the implementation of development.
Journal Article
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Based on Weighted Gradient Boosting Decision Tree in Wanzhou Section of the Three Gorges Reservoir Area (China)
2019
The main goal of this study is to produce a landslide susceptibility map in the Wanzhou section of the Three Gorges reservoir area (China) with a weighted gradient boosting decision tree (weighted GBDT) model. According to the current research on landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM), the GBDT method is rarely used in LSM. Furthermore, previous studies have rarely considered the imbalance of landslide samples and simply regarded the LSM problem as a binary classification problem. In this paper, we considered LSM as an imbalanced learning problem and obtained a better predictive model using the weighted GBDT method. The innovations of the article mainly include the following two points: introducing the GBDT model into the evaluation of landslide susceptibility; using the weighted GBDT method to deal with the problem of landslide sample imbalance. The logistic regression (LR) model and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) model were also used in the study to compare with the weighted GBDT model. Five kinds of data from different data source were used in the study: geology, topography, hydrology, land cover, and triggered factors (rainfall, earthquake, land use, etc.). Twenty nine environmental parameters and 233 landslides were used as input data. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) value, and the recall value were used to estimate the quality of the weighted GBDT model, the GBDT model, and the LR model. The results showed that the GBDT model and the weighted GBDT model had a higher AUC value (0.977, 0.976) than the LR model (0.845); the weighted GBDT model had a little higher AUC value (0.977) than the GBDT model (0.976); and the weighted GBDT model had a higher recall value (0.823) than the GBDT model (0.426) and the LR model (0.004). The weighted GBDT method could be considered to have the best performance considering the AUC value and the recall value in landslide susceptibility mapping dealing with imbalanced landslide data.
Journal Article
Evaluation of landslide susceptibility of the Ya’an–Linzhi section of the Sichuan–Tibet Railway based on deep learning
by
Mu Jiaqi
,
Wang, Shibao
,
Fu Yuting
in
Algorithms
,
Artificial neural networks
,
Climatic conditions
2022
The Qinghai–Tibet Plateau is an area with frequent landslide hazards due to its unique geology, topography, and climate conditions, posing severe threats to engineering construction and human settlements. The primary purpose of this paper is to map the landslide susceptibility of the Ya’an–Lin branch of the Sichuan–Tibet Railway using two deep learning (DL) algorithms, convolutional neural network (CNN) and deep neural network (DNN). Initially, a geospatial database was generated based on 587 landslide hazards determined by Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) Stacking technology and field geological hazard surveys; thus, 18 landslide-influencing factors were selected. Subsequently, the landslides were randomly divided into training (70%) and validation data (30%) for model training and testing. Next, a Pearson correlation coefficient and information gain (IG) method were used to perform the correlation analysis and feature selection of the 18 influencing factors. Afterward, landslide susceptibility maps were generated for the two models. Finally, the performance of the model is validated using the receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve and confusion matrix. The results show that the CNN model (AUC = 0.88) provided better performance in both the training and testing phases compared to the DNN model (AUC = 0.84). In addition, the high landslide susceptibility is primarily distributed in the Jinsha, Lancang and Nu River basins along the railway. The slope, altitude and rainfall are the main factors for the formation of the landslides. Furthermore, the two deep learning models can accurately map the landslide susceptibility, providing important information for landslide risk reduction and prevention.
Journal Article
Evaluation and Prediction of Landslide Susceptibility in Yichang Section of Yangtze River Basin Based on Integrated Deep Learning Algorithm
2022
Landslide susceptibility evaluation (LSE) refers to the probability of landslide occurrence in a region under a specific geological environment and trigger conditions, which is crucial to preventing and controlling landslide risk. The mainstream of the Yangtze River in Yichang City belongs to the largest basin in the Three Gorges Reservoir area and is prone to landslides. Affected by global climate change, seismic activity, and accelerated urbanization, geological disasters such as landslide collapses and debris flows in the study area have increased significantly. Therefore, it is urgent to carry out the LSE in the Yichang section of the Yangtze River Basin. The main results are as follows: (1) Based on historical landslide catalog, geological data, geographic data, hydrological data, remote sensing data, and other multi-source spatial-temporal big data, we construct the LSE index system; (2) In this paper, unsupervised Deep Embedding Clustering (DEC) algorithm and deep integration network (Capsule Neural Network based on SENet: SE-CapNet) are used for the first time to participate in non-landslide sample selection, and LSE in the study area and the accuracy of the algorithm is 96.29; (3) Based on the constructed sensitivity model and rainfall forecast data, the main driving mechanisms of landslides in the Yangtze River Basin were revealed. In this paper, the study area’s mid-long term LSE prediction and trend analysis are carried out. (4) The complete results show that the method has good performance and high precision, providing a reference for subsequent LSE, landslide susceptibility prediction (LSP), and change rule research, and providing a scientific basis for landslide disaster prevention.
Journal Article
Insights from Optimized Non-Landslide Sampling and SHAP Explainability for Landslide Susceptibility Prediction
2025
The quality of sampling data critically influences landslide susceptibility prediction accuracy. Current studies commonly use a 1:1 ratio of landslide to non-landslide samples, failing to reflect natural geographical variability. This study develops a region-specific framework by integrating SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanation) analysis with twelve landslide conditioning factors (LCFs) and three progressive sampling strategies, aiming to create adaptive non-landslide point selection criteria tailored to unique environmental and geological characteristics. The strategies include (1) multi-ratio random sampling (1:1 to 1:200), (2) susceptibility-based sampling adjustments derived from pre-susceptibility analysis, and (3) LCF-based correction using the NDVI threshold identified through SHAP analysis. Results show that LCF-based correction achieved the highest performance, while a 1:5 ratio proved optimal in random sampling, aligning with regional characteristics. This framework demonstrates the importance of region-specific sampling strategies in improving landslide susceptibility prediction.
Journal Article
A Comparative Study of Statistics-Based Landslide Susceptibility Models: A Case Study of the Region Affected by the Gorkha Earthquake in Nepal
by
Ghorbanzadeh, Omid
,
Meena, Sansar Raj
,
Blaschke, Thomas
in
Accuracy
,
Aftershocks
,
Analytic hierarchy process
2019
As a result of the Gorkha earthquake in 2015, about 9000 people lost their lives and many more were injured. Most of these losses were caused by earthquake-induced landslides. Sustainable planning and decision-making are required to reduce the losses caused by earthquakes and related hazards. The use of remote sensing and geographic information systems (GIS) for landslide susceptibility mapping can help planning authorities to prepare for and mitigate the consequences of future hazards. In this study, we developed landslide susceptibility maps using GIS-based statistical models at the regional level in central Nepal. Our study area included the districts affected by landslides after the Gorkha earthquake and its aftershocks. We used the 23,439 landslide locations obtained from high-resolution satellite imagery to evaluate the differences in landslide susceptibility using analytical hierarchy process (AHP), frequency ratio (FR) and hybrid spatial multi-criteria evaluation (SMCE) models. The nine landslide conditioning factors of lithology, land cover, precipitation, slope, aspect, elevation, distance to roads, distance to drainage and distance to faults were used as the input data for the applied landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM) models. The spatial correlation of landslides and these factors were identified using GIS-based statistical models. We divided the inventory into data used for training the statistical models (70%) and data used for validation (30%). Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) and the relative landslide density index (R-index) were used to validate the results. The area under the curve (AUC) values obtained from the ROC approach for AHP, FR and hybrid SMCE were 0.902, 0.905 and 0.91, respectively. The index of relative landslide density, R-index, values in sample datasets of AHP, FR and hybrid SMCE maps were 53%, 58% and 59% for the very high hazard classes. The final susceptibility results will be beneficial for regional planning and sustainable hazard mitigation.
Journal Article
A comparative study of landslide susceptibility maps using logistic regression, frequency ratio, decision tree, weights of evidence and artificial neural network
by
Min Guo
,
Jinchi Zhang
,
Liang-Jie Wang
in
Artificial neural networks
,
Comparative studies
,
Decision trees
2016
For the purpose of comparing susceptibility mapping methods in Mizunami City, Japan, the landslide inventory was partitioned into three groups as various training and test datasets to identify the most appropriate method for creating a landslide susceptibility map. A total of fifteen landslide susceptibility maps were produced using frequency ratio, logistic regression, decision tree, weights of evidence and artificial neural network models, and the results were assessed using existing test landside points and areas under the relative operative characteristic curve (AUC). The validation results indicated that the logistic regression model could provide the highest AUC value (0.865), and a relatively high percentage of landslide points fell in the high and very high landslide susceptibility classes in this study. Furthermore, the paper also suggested that the model performances would be increased if appropriate landslide points were used for the calculation.
Journal Article