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25,857
result(s) for
"Management Simulation methods."
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Scenario planning in organizations : how to create, use, and assess scenarios
Scenario planning helps organization leaders, executives and decision-makers envision and develop strategies for multiple possible futures instead of just one. It enables organizations to become resilient and agile, carefully calibrating their responses and adapting quickly to new circumstances in a fast-changing environment.This book is the most comprehensive treatment to date of the scenario planning process. Unlike existing books it offers a thorough discussion of the evolution and theoretical foundations of scenario planning, examining its connections to learning theory, decision-making theory, mental model theory and more. Chermack emphasizes that scenario planning is far more than a simple set of steps to follow, as so many other practice-focused books do—he addresses the subtleties and complexities of planning. And, unique among scenario planning books, he deals not just with developing different scenarios but also with applying scenarios once they have been constructed, and assessing the impact of the scenario project.Using a case study based on a real scenario project Chermack lays out a comprehensive five phase scenario planning system—project preparation, scenario exploration, scenario development, scenario implementation and project assessment. Each chapter describes specific techniques for gathering and analyzing relevant data with a particular emphasis on the use of workshops to encourage dialogue. He offers a scenario project worksheet to help readers structure and manage scenario projects as well as avoid common pitfalls, and a discussion, based in recent neurological findings, of how scenario planning helps people to overcome barriers to creative thinking. \"This book is about action and performance. Compelling and thoroughly researched, it offers every business executive a playbook for including uncertainty in the organizational change process and driving competitive advantage\".-- Tim Reynolds, Vice President, Talent and Organization Effectiveness, Whirlpool Corporation
Modelling and managing airport performance
by
Zografos, Konstantinos G
,
Andreatta, Giovanni
,
Odoni, Amedeo R
in
Aeronautics & Astronautics
,
Airports
,
Airports - Management - Simulation methods
2013
Modelling and Managing Airport Performance provides an integrated view of state-of-the-art research on measuring and improving the performance of airport systems with consideration of both airside and landside operations. The considered facets of performance include capacity, delays, economic costs, noise, emissions and safety.
Simulation techniques in financial risk management
2015
Praise for the First Edition \"…a nice, self-contained introduction to simulation and computational techniques in finance…\" - Mathematical Reviews Simulation Techniques in Financial Risk Management, Second Edition takes a unique approach to the field of simulations by focusing on techniques necessary in the fields of finance and risk management. Thoroughly updated, the new edition expands on several key topics in these areas and presents many of the recent innovations in simulations and risk management, such as advanced option pricing models beyond the Black-Scholes paradigm, interest rate models, MCMC methods including stochastic volatility models simulations, model assets and model-free properties, jump diffusion, and state space modeling. The Second Edition also features: Updates to primary software used throughout the book, Microsoft Office® Excel® VBA New topical coverage on multiple assets, model-free properties, and related models More than 300 exercises at the end of each chapter, with select answers in the appendix, to help readers apply new concepts and test their understanding Extensive use of examples to illustrate how to use simulation techniques in risk management Practical case studies, such as the pricing of exotic options; simulations of Greeks in hedging; and the use of Bayesian ideas to assess the impact of jumps, so readers can reproduce the results of the studies A related website with additional solutions to problems within the book as well as Excel VBA and S-Plus computer code for many of the examples within the book Simulation Techniques in Financial Risk Management, Second Edition is an invaluable resource for risk managers in the financial and actuarial industries as well as a useful reference for readers interested in learning how to better gauge risk and make more informed decisions. The book is also ideal
for upper-undergraduate and graduate-level courses in simulation and risk management.
Decision enhancement services : rehearsing the future for decisions that matter
2008
Decision Enhancement (DE) is a field of practice aimed at extending lessons, principles and tools built up over a thirty year period, largely under the term 'Decision Support'. Enhancement goes beyond support which has mostly focused on helping managers make use of interactive computer models and methods. DE substantially adds to the opportunities, especially in the use of the Internet as both an information resource and communications base for collaboration between groups but it also goes well beyond it in two important regards: a focus on enhancement of the processes that influence the quality of decisions that really matter in an organization; the ones that are most consequential, complex, and uncertain, and a shift from the design of computer- and telecommunications-based tools to a far more comprehensive 'studio' approach to the integration of change management, collaborative development and use, and a new generation of visual technology. DE is a lens that focuses on stakeholders in decision arenas and their decisions that matter. It continues with its invitation to bring stakeholders, domain experts and suite designers into its studios. The invitation extends to experts in domains relevant to making DE studios effective, as well as to the suite designers and providers of technology capabilities needed to provide the tools within the studio. DE provides services to guide a journey where executives, their advisors, change management specialists, experts in multi-disciplinary fields and technology developers can come together to make a substantive new impact on effective decision making in any organization. This book will add to the old - the proven lessons and expertise of these fields - and to their innovation. It is in this sense that it is an invitation and written to encourage reflection and discussion within and across them.
Coastal disaster surveys and assessment for risk mitigation
by
Shibayama, Tomoya, editor
,
Esteban, Miguel, editor
in
Coastal engineering.
,
Coastal zone management.
,
Natural disasters Simulation methods.
2023
\"This collection covers the essential concepts in the management of coastal disasters, outlining several field surveys of coastal disasters in the 21st century, including the Indian Ocean and Tohoku Tsunamis, and the storm surges of Hurricane Katrina, Cyclone Nargis, and Typhoon Haiyan. Measurements of flood heights, distributions of structural destruction, and residents' testimonies are reported, and the results are analysed and compared with past events and numerical simulations, with the reality of these disasters reconstructed. The book then covers the current understanding of disaster mechanisms and the most advanced tools for future simulation. Uniquely explains how to use disaster surveys along with simulations to mitigate risk. Combines pure scientific studies with practical trials and proposes future procedures for effective coastal disaster mitigation. Coastal Disaster Surveys and Assessment for Risk Mitigation is ideal for students in the disaster field as well as engineers who manage tsunamis, storm surges, high wave attacks and coastal erosion\"-- Provided by publisher.