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Results are presented from the second phase of the multiinstitution North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS‐2) research partnership. In NLDAS, the Noah, Variable Infiltration Capacity, Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting, and Mosaic land surface models (LSMs) are executed over the conterminous U.S. (CONUS) in realtime and retrospective modes. These runs support the drought analysis, monitoring and forecasting activities of the National Integrated Drought Information System, as well as efforts to monitor large‐scale floods. NLDAS‐2 builds upon the framework of the first phase of NLDAS (NLDAS‐1) by increasing the accuracy and consistency of the surface forcing data, upgrading the land surface model code and parameters, and extending the study from a 3‐year (1997–1999) to a 30‐year (1979–2008) time window. As the first of two parts, this paper details the configuration of NLDAS‐2, describes the upgrades to the forcing, parameters, and code of the four LSMs, and explores overall model‐to‐model comparisons of land surface water and energy flux and state variables over the CONUS. Focusing on model output rather than on observations, this study seeks to highlight the similarities and differences between models, and to assess changes in output from that seen in NLDAS‐1. The second part of the two‐part article focuses on the validation of model‐simulated streamflow and evaporation against observations. The results depict a higher level of agreement among the four models over much of the CONUS than was found in the first phase of NLDAS. This is due, in part, to recent improvements in the parameters, code, and forcing of the NLDAS‐2 LSMs that were initiated following NLDAS‐1. However, large inter‐model differences still exist in the northeast, Lake Superior, and western mountainous regions of the CONUS, which are associated with cold season processes. In addition, variations in the representation of sub‐surface hydrology in the four LSMs lead to large differences in modeled evaporation and subsurface runoff. These issues are important targets for future research by the land surface modeling community. Finally, improvement from NLDAS‐1 to NLDAS‐2 is summarized by comparing the streamflow measured from U.S. Geological Survey stream gauges with that simulated by four NLDAS models over 961 small basins. Key Points Important progress of North American Land Data Assimilation System Long‐term high‐resolution hydrometeorological data set Application for operational drought monitoring

This is the second part of a study on continental‐scale water and energy flux analysis and validation conducted in phase 2 of the North American Land Data Assimilation System project (NLDAS‐2). The first part concentrates on a model‐by‐model comparison of mean annual and monthly water fluxes, energy fluxes and state variables. In this second part, the focus is on the validation of simulated streamflow from four land surface models (Noah, Mosaic, Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting (SAC‐SMA), and Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) models) and their ensemble mean. Comparisons are made against 28‐years (1 October 1979–30 September 2007) of United States Geological Survey observed streamflow for 961 small basins and 8 major basins over the conterminous United States (CONUS). Relative bias, anomaly correlation and Nash‐Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) statistics at daily to annual time scales are used to assess model‐simulated streamflow. The Noah (the Mosaic) model overestimates (underestimates) mean annual runoff and underestimates (overestimates) mean annual evapotranspiration. The SAC‐SMA and VIC models simulate the mean annual runoff and evapotranspiration well when compared with the observations. The ensemble mean is closer to the mean annual observed streamflow for both the 961 small basins and the 8 major basins than is the mean from any individual model. All of the models, as well as the ensemble mean, have large daily, weekly, monthly, and annual streamflow anomaly correlations for most basins over the CONUS, implying strong simulation skill. However, the daily, weekly, and monthly NSE analysis results are not necessarily encouraging, in particular for daily streamflow. The Noah and Mosaic models are useful (NSE > 0.4) only for about 10% of the 961 small basins, the SAC‐SMA and VIC models are useful for about 30% of the 961 small basins, and the ensemble mean is useful for about 42% of the 961 small basins. As the time scale increases, the NSE increases as expected. However, even for monthly streamflow, the ensemble mean is useful for only 75% of the 961 small basins. Key Points First time to validate long‐term simulated streamflow for NLDAS A typical exmaple to evaluate NLDAS products Significant progress for NLDAS project

As drought occurs in a region it can have cascading effects through the water cycle. In this study, we explore the temporal co-evolution of various components of the hydrologic cycle in California from 2002 to 2018. We combine information from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites, the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) suite of models, and the California Department of Water Resources (DWR) reservoir levels to analyze dynamics of Total Water Storage (TWS), soil moisture, snow pack, large reservoir storage, and ultimately, groundwater. For TWS, a trend of −2 cm/yr is observed during the entire time period of our analysis; however, this rate increases to about −5 cm/yr during drought periods (2006−2010 and 2012−2016). Results indicate that the majority of the loss in TWS is caused by groundwater depletion. Using proper error accounting, we are able to identify the start, the peak, and the ending of the drought periods for each individual water state variable in the study domain. We show that snow and soil moisture are impacted earlier and recover faster than surface water and groundwater. The annual and year-to-year dynamics shown in our results portray a clear cascading effect of the hydrologic cycle on the scale of 8−16 months.

Improvements in soil moisture observations and modeling play a vital role in drought, water resources, flooding, and landslide management and forecasting. However, the lack of multisensor products that integrate different spatial scales (i.e., from 1 m2 to 102 km2) is a pressing need in the management and forecasting chain. Up to date, surface soil moisture estimates could be obtained through three primary approaches: (1) in situ measurements and their interpolations, (2) remote sensing observations, and (3) land surface model (LSM) outputs. Each source of soil moisture has its own spatiotemporal resolution, strengths, and weaknesses. Therefore, their correct interpretation and application require an in-depth understanding of their accuracy and appropriateness. In this study, we explore the utility of the triple collocation (TC) method for an independent assessment of three soil moisture products to characterize their uncertainty structures and make recommendations toward a potential product merge. The state of Oklahoma is an ideal domain to test the hypotheses of this work because of the presence of marked west-to-east gradients in climate, vegetation, and soils. The three target soil moisture products include (1) the remotely sensed microwave soil moisture active passive (SMAP) L3_SM_P_E (9 km, daily), (2) the physically based LSM estimates from NLDAS_NOAH0125_H (1/8°, hourly; Noah), and (3) the Oklahoma Mesonet ground sensor network (point, 30 min). The product assessment was conducted from April 2015 to July 2019. The results indicate that, in general, Mesonet and Noah are the most reliable products, although their performance varies geographically and by land cover type, reflecting the main spatiotemporal characteristics and scope of each product. Specifically, Mesonet provides the best estimates of volumetric soil moisture with a mean Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.805, followed by Noah with 0.747. However, Noah represents the true soil moisture variation better than the interpolated Mesonet product on the mesoscale, with an averaged RMSE of 0.026 m3⁄m3. Over different land cover types, Mesonet had the best performance in shrub/scrub, herbaceous, hay/pasture, and cultivated crops with an average correlation coefficient of 0.79, while Noah achieved the best performance in evergreen, mixed, and deciduous forests, with an average correlation coefficient of 0.74. The period-integrated TC intercomparison results over nine climate divisions indicated that Noah outperformed in the central, northeast, and east-central regions. TC provides not only a new perspective for comparatively assessing multisource soil moisture products but also a basis for objective data merging to capitalize on the strengths of multisensor, multiplatform soil moisture products.

This study develops a triple-collocation (TC) based, multi-source shallow-soil moisture product for Oklahoma. The method uses a least squared weights (LSW) optimization to find the set of parameters that result in the lowest root mean squared error (RMSE) with respect to the “unknown truth”. Soil moisture information from multiple sources and resolutions, including the Soil Moisture Active Passive SMAP L3_SM_P_E (9 km, daily), the physically-based, land surface model (LSM) estimates from NLDAS_NOAH0125_H (1/8°, hourly), and the Oklahoma Mesonet ground sensor network (9 km interpolated from point, 30 min) is merged into a 9 km spatial and daily temporal resolution product across the state of Oklahoma from April 2015 to July 2019. This multi-sensor surface soil moisture (MSSM) product is assessed in terms of a state-wide benchmark and previously tested, in situ-based soil moisture product and SMAP L4. Results show that: (1) independent source products have differential values according to the regional conditions they represent, including land cover type, soils, irrigation, or climate regime; (2) beyond serving as validation sets, in situ measurements are of significant value for improving the accuracy of multi-sensor soil moisture datasets through TC; and (3) state-wide RMSE values obtained with MSSM are similar to the typical measurement error found on in situ ground measurements which provides some degree of confidence on the new product. MSSM is an improvement over currently available products in Oklahoma due to its minimized uncertainty, easiness of production, and continuous temporal and geographic coverage. Nevertheless, to exploit its utility, further tests of this methodology are needed in different climates, land cover types, geographic regions, and for other independent products and spatiotemporal resolutions.

High-resolution soil moisture estimates are critical for planning water management and assessing environmental quality. measurements alone are too costly to support the spatial and temporal resolutions needed for water management. Recent efforts have combined calibration data with machine learning algorithms to fill the gap where high resolution moisture estimates are lacking at the field scale. This study aimed to provide calibrated soil moisture models and methodology for generating gridded estimates of soil moisture at multiple depths, according to user-defined temporal periods, spatial resolution and extent. We applied nearly one million national library soil moisture records from over 100 sites, spanning the U.S. Midwest and West, to build Quantile Random Forest (QRF) calibration models. The QRF models were built on covariates including soil moisture estimates from North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS), soil properties, climate variables, digital elevation models, and remote sensing-derived indices. We also explored an alternative approach that adopted a regionalized calibration dataset for the Western U.S. The broad-scale QRF models were independently validated according to sampling depths, land cover type, and observation period. We then explored the model performance improved with local samples used for spiking. Finally, the QRF models were applied to estimate soil moisture at the field scale where evaluation was carried out to check estimated temporal and spatial patterns. The broad-scale QRF model showed moderate performance (R = 0.53, RMSE = 0.078 m /m ) when data points from all depth layers (up to 100 cm) were considered for an independent validation. Elevation, NLDAS-derived moisture, soil properties, and sampling depth were ranked as the most important covariates. The best model performance was observed for forest and pasture sites (R > 0.5; RMSE < 0.09 m /m ), followed by grassland and cropland (R > 0.4; RMSE < 0.11 m /m ). Model performance decreased with sampling depths and was slightly lower during the winter months. Spiking the national QRF model with local samples improved model performance by reducing the RMSE to less than 0.05 m /m for grassland sites. At the field scale, model estimates illustrated more accurate temporal trends for surface than subsurface soil layers. Model estimated spatial patterns need to be further improved and validated with management data. The model accuracy for top 0-20 cm soil depth (R > 0.5, RMSE < 0.08 m /m ) showed promise for adopting the methodology for soil moisture monitoring. The success of spiking the national model with local samples showed the need to collect multi-year high frequency ( , hourly) sensor-based field measurements to improve estimates of soil moisture for a longer time period. Future work should improve model performance for deeper depths with additional hydraulic properties and use of locally-selected calibration datasets.

The recent development in the area of IoT technologies is likely to be implemented extensively in the next decade. There is a great increase in the crime rate, and the handling officers are responsible for dealing with a broad range of cyber and Internet issues during investigation. IoT technologies are helpful in the identification of suspects, and few technologies are available that use IoT and deep learning together for face sketch synthesis. Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and other constructs of deep learning have become major tools in recent approaches. A new-found architecture of the neural network is anticipated in this work. It is called Spiral-Net, which is a modified version of U-Net fto perform face sketch synthesis (the phase is known as the compiler network C here). Spiral-Net performs in combination with a pre-trained Vgg-19 network called the feature extractor F. It first identifies the top n matches from viewed sketches to a given photo. F is again used to formulate a feature map based on the cosine distance of a candidate sketch formed by C from the top n matches. A customized CNN configuration (called the discriminator D) then computes loss functions based on differences between the candidate sketch and the feature. Values of these loss functions alternately update C and F. The ensemble of these nets is trained and tested on selected datasets, including CUFS, CUFSF, and a part of the IIT photo–sketch dataset. Results of this modified U-Net are acquired by the legacy NLDA (1998) scheme of face recognition and its newer version, OpenBR (2013), which demonstrate an improvement of 5% compared with the current state of the art in its relevant domain.

Recent progress in Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning (AIML) has accelerated improvements in the prediction performance of many hydrological processes. Yet, flood prediction remains a challenging task due to its complex nature. Two common challenges afflicting the task are flood volatility and the sensitivity and complexity of flood generation attributes. This study explores the application of Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs)—specifically Vanilla Recurrent Neural Networks (VRNNs), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU)—in flood prediction and assessment. By integrating catchment-specific hydrological and meteorological variables, the RNN models leverage sequential data processing to capture the temporal dynamics and seasonal patterns characteristic of flooding. These models were employed across diverse terrains, including mountainous watersheds in the state of South Carolina, USA, to examine their robustness and adaptability. To identify significant hydrological events for flash flood analysis, a discharge frequency analysis was conducted using the Pearson Type III distribution. The 1-year and 2-year return period flows were estimated based on this analysis, and the 1-year return flow was selected as a conservative threshold for flash flood event identification to ensure a sufficient number of training instances. Comparative benchmarking with the National Water Model (NWM v3.0) revealed that the RNN-based approaches offer notable enhancements in capturing the intensity and timing of flood events, particularly for short-duration and high-magnitude floods (flash floods). Comparison of predicted disharges with the discharge recorded at the gauges revealed that GRU had the best performance as it achieved the highest mean NSE values and exhibited low variability across diverse watersheds. LSTM results were slightly less consistent compared to the GRU albeit achieving satisfactory performance, proving its value in hydrological forecasting. In contrast, VRNN had the highest variability and the lowest NSE values among the three. The NWM model trailed the machine learning-based models. The study highlights the efficacy of the RNN models in advancing hydrological predictions.

Surface properties in complex urban environments can significantly impact local-level temperature gradients and distribution on several scales. Studying temperature anomalies and identifying heat pockets in urban settings is challenging. Limited high-resolution datasets are available that do not translate into an accurate assessment of near-surface temperature. This study developed a model to predict land surface temperature (LST) at a high spatial–temporal resolution in urban areas using Landsat data and meteorological inputs from NLDAS. This study developed an urban microclimate (UC) model to predict air temperature at high spatial–temporal resolution for inner urban areas through a land surface and build-up scheme. The innovative aspect of the model is the inclusion of micro-features in land use characteristics, which incorporate surface types, urban vegetation, building density and heights, short wave radiation, and relative humidity. Statistical models, including the Generalized Additive Model (GAM) and spatial autoregression (SAR), were developed to predict land surface temperature (LST) based on surface characteristics and weather parameters. The model was applied to urban microclimates in densely populated regions, focusing on Manhattan and New York City. The results indicated that the SAR model performed better (R2 = 0.85, RMSE = 0.736) in predicting micro-scale LST variations compared to the GAM (R2 = 0.39, RMSE = 1.203) and validated the accuracy of the LST prediction model with R2 ranging from 0.79 to 0.95.

Water scarcity during severe droughts has profound hydrological and ecological impacts on rivers. However, the drying dynamics of river surface extent during droughts remains largely understudied. Satellite remote sensing enables surveys and analyses of rivers at fine spatial resolution by providing an alternative to in-situ observations. This study investigates the seasonal drying dynamics of river extent in California where severe droughts have been occurring more frequently in recent decades. Our methods combine the use of Landsat-based Global Surface Water (GSW) and global river bankful width databases. As an indirect comparison, we examine the monthly fractional river extent (FrcSA) in 2071 river reaches and its correlation with streamflow at co-located USGS gauges. We place the extreme 2012–2015 drought into a broader context of multi-decadal river extent history and illustrate the extraordinary change between during- and post-drought periods. In addition to river extent dynamics, we perform statistical analyses to relate FrcSA with the hydroclimatic variables obtained from the National Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) model simulation. Results show that Landsat provides consistent observation over 90% of area in rivers from March to October and is suitable for monitoring seasonal river drying in California. FrcSA reaches fair (>0.5) correlation with streamflow except for dry and mountainous areas. During the 2012–2015 drought, 332 river reaches experienced their lowest annual mean FrcSA in the 34 years of Landsat history. At a monthly scale, FrcSA is better correlated with soil water in more humid areas. At a yearly scale, summer mean FrcSA is increasingly sensitive to winter precipitation in a drier climate; and the elasticity is also reduced with deeper ground water table. Overall, our study demonstrates the detectability of Landsat on the river surface extent in an arid region with complex terrain. River extent in catchments of deficient water storage is likely subject to higher percent drop in a future climate with longer, more frequent droughts.