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The prevalence of, and mortality from, colorectal cancer is increasing worldwide, and new strategies for prevention are needed to reduce the burden of this disease. The oral diabetes medicine metformin might have chemopreventive effects against cancer, including colorectal cancer. However, no clinical trial data exist for the use of metformin for colorectal cancer chemoprevention. Therefore, we devised a 1-year clinical trial to assess the safety and chemopreventive effects of metformin on sporadic colorectal cancer (assessed by adenoma and polyp recurrence) in patients with a high risk of adenoma recurrence. This trial was a multicentre, double-blind, placebo-controlled, randomised phase 3 trial. Non-diabetic adult patients who had previously had single or multiple colorectal adenomas or polyps resected by endoscopy were enrolled into the study from five hospitals in Japan. Eligible patients were randomly assigned (1:1) to receive oral metformin (250 mg daily) or identical placebo tablets by a stratified computer-based randomisation method, with stratification by institute, age, sex, and body-mass index. All patients, endoscopists, doctors, and investigators were masked to drug allocation until the end of the trial. After 1 year of administration of metformin or placebo, colonoscopies were done to assess the co-primary endpoints: the number and prevalence of adenomas or polyps. Our analysis included all participants who underwent random allocation, according to the intention-to-treat principle. This trial is registered with University Hospital Medical Information Network (UMIN), number UMIN000006254. Between Sept 1, 2011, and Dec 30, 2014, 498 patients who had had single or multiple colorectal adenomas resected by endoscopy were enrolled into the study. After exclusions for ineligibility, 151 patients underwent randomisation: 79 were assigned to the metformin group and 72 to the placebo group. 71 patients in the metformin group and 62 in the placebo group underwent 1-year follow-up colonoscopy. The prevalence of total polyps (hyperplastic polyps plus adenomas) and of adenomas in the metformin group was significantly lower than that in the placebo group (total polyps: metformin group 27 [38·0%; 95% CI 26·7–49·3] of 71 patients, placebo group 35 [56·5%; 95% CI 44·1–68·8] of 62; p=0·034, risk ratio [RR] 0·67 [95% CI 0·47–0·97]; adenomas: metformin group 22 [30·6%; 95% CI 19·9–41·2] of 71 patients, placebo group 32 [51·6%; 95% CI 39·2–64·1] of 62; p=0·016, RR 0·60 [95% CI 0·39–0·92]). The median number of polyps was zero (IQR 0–1) in the metformin group and one (0–1) in the placebo group (p=0·041). The median number of adenomas was zero (0–1) in the metformin group and zero (0–1) in the placebo group (p=0·037). 15 (11%) of patients had adverse events, all of which were grade 1. We recorded no serious adverse events during the 1-year trial. The administration of low-dose metformin for 1 year to patients without diabetes was safe. Low-dose metformin reduced the prevalence and number of metachronous adenomas or polyps after polypectomy. Metformin has a potential role in the chemoprevention of colorectal cancer. However, further large, long-term trials are needed to provide definitive conclusions. Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare, Japan.

Whether extensive intraoperative peritoneal lavage (EIPL) after gastrectomy is beneficial to patients with locally advanced gastric cancer (AGC) is not clear. This phase 3, multicenter, parallel-group, prospective randomized study (NCT02745509) recruits patients between April 2016 and November 2017. Eligible patients who had been histologically proven AGC with T3/4NxM0 stage are randomly assigned (1:1) to either surgery alone or surgery plus EIPL. The results of the two groups are analyzed in the intent-to-treat population. A total of 662 patients with AGC (329 patients in the surgery alone group, and 333 in the surgery plus EIPL group) are included in the study. The primary endpoint is 3-year overall survival (OS). The secondary endpoints include 3-year disease free survival (DFS), 3-year peritoneal recurrence-free survival (reported in this manuscript) and 30-day postoperative complication and mortality (previously reported). The trial meets pre-specified endpoints. Estimated 3-year OS rates are 68.5% in the surgery alone group and 70.6% in the surgery plus EIPL group (log-rank p = 0.77). 3-year DFS rates are 61.2% in the surgery alone group and 66.0% in the surgery plus EIPL group (log-rank p = 0.24). The pattern of disease recurrence is similar in the two groups. In conclusion, EIPL does not improve the 3-year survival rate in AGC patients. Extensive intraoperative peritoneal lavage (EIPL) has been proposed as an approach to reduce peritoneal metastasis in patients with locally advanced gastric cancer undergoing gastrectomy. Here the authors report the results of the multicentric phase III SEIPLUS trial, showing that EIPL does not improve 3-year survival rate in patients with advanced gastric cancer.

Background This study was aimed to establish the nomogram to predict patients’ axillary node status by using patients’ clinicopathological and tumor characteristic factors. Methods A total of 705 patients with breast cancer were enrolled in this study. All patients were randomly divided into a training group and a validation group. Univariate and multivariate ordered logistic regression were used to determine the predictive ability of each variable. A nomogram was performed based on the factors selected from logistic regression results. Receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis, calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the discriminative ability and accuracy of the models. Results Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that CEA, CA125, CA153, tumor size, vascular-invasion, calcification, and tumor grade were independent prognostic factors for positive ALNs. Integrating all the predictive factors, a nomogram was successfully developed and validated. The C-indexes of the nomogram for prediction of no ALN metastasis, positive ALN, and four and more ALN metastasis were 0.826, 0.706, and 0.855 in training group and 0.836, 0.731, and 0.897 in validation group. Furthermore, calibration plots and DCA demonstrated a satisfactory performance of our nomogram. Conclusion We successfully construct and validate the nomogram to predict patients’ axillary node status by using patients’ clinicopathological and tumor characteristic factors.

Background Induction chemotherapy followed by chemoradiation is a treatment option for patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC). However, overall survival is comparable to chemotherapy alone and local progression occurs in nearly half of all patients, suggesting chemoradiation strategies should be optimised. SCALOP-2 is a randomised phase II trial testing the role of radiotherapy dose escalation and/or the addition of the radiosensitiser nelfinavir, following induction chemotherapy of gemcitabine and nab-paclitaxel (GEMABX). A safety run-in phase (stage 1) established the nelfinavir dose to administer with chemoradiation in the randomised phase (stage 2). Methods Patients with locally advanced, inoperable, non-metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma receive three cycles of induction GEMABX chemotherapy prior to radiological assessment. Those with stable/responding disease are eligible for further trial treatment. In Stage 1, participants received one further cycle of GEMABX followed by capecitabine-chemoradiation with escalating doses of nelfinavir in a rolling-six design. Stage 2 aims to register 262 and randomise 170 patients with responding/stable disease to one of five arms: capecitabine with high- (arms C + D) or standard-dose (arms A + B) radiotherapy with (arms A + C) or without (arms B + D) nelfinavir, or three more cycles of GEMABX (arm E). Participants allocated to the chemoradiation arms receive another cycle of GEMABX before chemoradiation begins. Co-primary outcomes are 12-month overall survival (radiotherapy dose-escalation question) and progression-free survival (nelfinavir question). Secondary outcomes include toxicity, quality of life, disease response rate, resection rate, treatment compliance, and CA19–9 response. SCALOP-2 incorporates a detailed radiotherapy quality assurance programme. Discussion SCALOP-2 aims to optimise chemoradiation in LAPC and incorporates a modern induction regimen. Trial registration Eudract No: 2013–004968-56; ClinicalTrials.gov : NCT02024009.

We have carried out the largest randomised trial to date of newly diagnosed myeloma patients, in which lenalidomide has been used as an induction and maintenance treatment option and here report its impact on second primary malignancy (SPM) incidence and pathology. After review, 104 SPMs were confirmed in 96 of 2732 trial patients. The cumulative incidence of SPM was 0.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.4–1.0%), 2.3% (95% CI 1.6–2.7%) and 3.8% (95% CI 2.9–4.6%) at 1, 2 and 3 years, respectively. Patients receiving maintenance lenalidomide had a significantly higher SPM incidence overall ( P =0.011). Age is a risk factor with the highest SPM incidence observed in transplant non-eligible patients aged >74 years receiving lenalidomide maintenance. The 3-year cumulative incidence in this group was 17.3% (95% CI 8.2–26.4%), compared with 6.5% (95% CI 0.2–12.9%) in observation only patients ( P =0.049). There was a low overall incidence of haematological SPM (0.5%). The higher SPM incidence in patients receiving lenalidomide maintenance therapy, especially in advanced age, warrants ongoing monitoring although the benefit on survival is likely to outweigh risk.

We report the long-term results of Tokyo Children's Cancer Study Group's studies L84-11, L89-12, L92-13, and L95-14 for 1846 children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia, which were conducted between 1984 and 1999. The value of event-free survival (EFS)±s.e. was 67.2±2.2% at 10 years in L84-11, which was not improved in the following two studies, and eventually improved to 75.0±1.8% at 10 years in L95-14 study. The lower EFS of the L89-12 reflected a high rate of induction failure because of infection and delayed remission in very high-risk patients. The L92-13 study was characterized by short maintenance therapy; it resulted in poor EFS, particularly in the standard-risk (SR) group and boys. Females did significantly better than males in EFS in the early three studies. The gender difference was not significant in overall survival, partly because >60% of the males survived after the testicular relapse. Randomized studies in the former three protocols revealed that intermediate- or high-dose methotrexate therapy significantly reduced the testicular relapse rate. In the L95-14 study, gender difference disappeared in EFS. Contrary to the results of larger-scale studies, the randomized control study in the L95-14 reconfirmed with updated data that dexamethasone 8 mg/m 2 had no advantage over prednisolone 60 mg/m 2 in the SR and intermediate-risk groups. Prophylactic cranial irradiation was assigned to 100, 80, 44, and 44% of the patients in the studies, respectively. Isolated central nervous system relapse rates decreased to <2% in the last two trials. Secondary brain tumors developed in 12 patients at 8–22 years after cranial irradiation. Improvement of the remission induction rates and the complete omission of irradiation are currently main objectives in our studies.

Background High-risk human papilloma viruses (HPV) are a causative agent of anogenital and oropharyngeal cancers. Patients treated for a preinvasive or invasive HPV-associated cancer may be at increased risk of a second such malignancy. Methods We performed a systematic review and random effects meta-analysis to estimate the risk of HPV-associated cancer after prior diagnosis. Studies reporting second cancers at anogenital and oropharyngeal sites after prior diagnoses (preinvasive/invasive HPV-associated cancer) were identified. Studies reporting standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) were included in formal meta-analyses of second cancer risk. (PROSPERO ID: CRD42016046974). Results Searches returned 5599 titles, including 60 unique, eligible studies. Thirty-two (98 comparisons) presented SIRs for second cervical, anal, vulvo-vaginal, penile, and/or oropharyngeal cancers, included in the meta-analyses. All studies (and 95/98 comparisons) reported increased cancers in the population with previous HPV-associated cancer when compared to controls. Pooled SIRs for second primary cancers ranged from 1.75 (95% CI 0.66−4.67) for cervical cancer after primary anal cancer, to 13.69 (95% CI 8.56−21.89) for anal cancer after primary vulvo-vaginal cancer. Conclusions We have quantified the increased risk of second HPV-associated cancer following diagnosis and treatment for initial cancer or preinvasive disease. This has important implications for follow-up, screening, and future therapeutic trials.

Purpose To evaluate and compare the risks of secondary cancers from therapeutic doses received by patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT), volumetric arc therapy (VMAT), and tomotherapy (TOMO). Methods Treatments for five patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were planned using IMRT, VMAT, and TOMO. Based on the Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation VII method, the excess relative risk (ERR), excess absolute risk (EAR), and lifetime attributable risk (LAR) were evaluated from therapeutic doses, which were measured using radiophotoluminescence glass dosimeters (RPLGDs) for each organ inside a humanoid phantom. Results The average organ equivalent doses (OEDs) of 5 patients were measured as 0.23, 1.18, 0.91, 0.95, 0.97, 0.24, and 0.20 Gy for the thyroid, lung, stomach, liver, small intestine, prostate (or ovary), and rectum, respectively. From the OED measurements, LAR incidence were calculated as 83, 46, 22, 30, 2 and 6 per 10 4 person for the lung, stomach, normal liver, small intestine, prostate (or ovary), and rectum. Conclusions We estimated the secondary cancer risks at various organs for patients with HCC who received different treatment modalities. We found that HCC treatment is associated with a high secondary cancer risk in the lung and stomach.

A major concern of patients who have stereotactic radiosurgery is the long-term risk of having a secondary intracranial malignancy or, in the case of patients with benign tumours treated with the technique, the risk of malignant transformation. The incidence of stereotactic radiosurgery-associated intracranial malignancy remains unknown; therefore, our aim was to estimate it in a population-based study to assess the long-term safety of this technique. We did a population-based, multicentre, cohort study at five international radiosurgery centres (Na Homolce Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic [n=2655 patients]; Ruber International Hospital, Madrid, Spain [n=1080], University of Pittsburgh Medical Center, Pittsburgh, PA, USA [n=1027]; University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA [n=80]; and NYU Langone Health System, New York, NY, USA [n=63]). Eligible patients were of any age, and had Gamma Knife radiosurgery for arteriovenous malformation, trigeminal neuralgia, or benign intracranial tumours, which included vestibular or other benign schwannomas, WHO grade 1 meningiomas, pituitary adenomas, and haemangioblastoma. Patients were excluded if they had previously had radiotherapy or did not have a minimum follow-up time of 5 years. The primary objective of the study was to estimate the incidence of stereotactic radiosurgery-associated intracranial malignancy, including malignant transformation of a benign lesion or development of radiation-associated secondary intracranial cancer, defined as within the 2 Gy isodose line. Estimates of age-adjusted incidence of primary CNS malignancies in the USA and European countries were retrieved from the Central Brain Tumor Registry of the United States (CBTRUS) and the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) Global Cancer statistics. Of 14 168 patients who had Gamma Knife stereotactic radiosurgery between Aug 14, 1987, and Dec 31, 2011, in the five contributing centres, 4905 patients were eligible for the analysis (had a minimum follow-up of 5 years and no history of previous radiation therapy). Diagnostic entities included vestibular schwannomas (1011 [20·6%] of 4905 patients), meningiomas (1490 [30·4%]), arteriovenous malformations (1089 [22·2%]), trigeminal neuralgia (565 [11·5%]), pituitary adenomas (641 [13·1%]), haemangioblastoma (29 [0·6%]), and other schwannomas (80 [1·6%]). With a median follow-up of 8·1 years (IQR 6·0–10·6), two (0·06%) of 3251 patients with benign tumours were diagnosed with suspected malignant transformation and one (0·02%) of 4905 patients was considered a case of radiosurgery-associated intracranial malignancy, resulting in an incidence of 6·87 per 100 000 patient-years (95% CI 1·15–22·71) for malignant transformation and 2·26 per 100 000 patient-years (0·11–11·17) for radiosurgery-associated intracranial malignancy. Two (0·04%) of 4905 patients developed intracranial malignancies, which were judged unrelated to the radiation field. Overall incidence of radiosurgery-associated malignancy was 6·80 per 100 000 patients-years (95% CI 1·73–18·50), or a cumulative incidence of 0·045% (95% CI 0·00–0·34) over 10 years. The overall incidence of 6·8 per 100 000, which includes institutions from Europe and the USA, after stereotactic radiosurgery was found to be similar to the risk of developing a malignant CNS tumour in the general population of the USA and some European countries as estimated by the CBTRUS and IARC data, respectively. These data show that the estimated risk of an intracranial secondary malignancy or malignant transformation of a benign tumour in patients treated with stereotactic radiosurgery remains low at long-term follow-up, and is similar to the risk of the general population to have a primary CNS tumour. Although prospective cohort studies with longer follow-up are warranted to support the results of this study, the available evidence suggests the long-term safety of stereotactic radiosurgery and could support physicians counselling patients on Gamma Knife stereotactic radiosurgery. None.