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Droughts can severely reduce the productivity of agricultural lands and forests. The United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) Southeast Regional Climate Hub (SERCH) has launched the Lately Identified Geospecific Heightened Threat System (LIGHTS) to inform its users of potential water deficiency threats. The system identifies droughts and other climate anomalies such as extreme precipitation and heat stress. However, the LIGHTS model lacks input from soil moisture observations. This research aims to develop a simple and easy-to-interpret soil moisture and drought warning index—standardized soil moisture index (SSI)—by fusing the space-borne Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) soil moisture data with the North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Noah land surface model (LSM) output. Ground truth soil moisture data from the Soil Climate Analysis Network (SCAN) were collected for validation. As a result, the accuracy of using SMAP to monitor soil moisture content generally displayed a good statistical correlation with the SCAN data. The validation through the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) and normalized difference water index (NDWI) suggested that SSI was effective and sensitive for short-term drought monitoring across large areas.

Rangelands provide significant environmental benefits through many ecosystem services, which may include soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration. However, quantifying SOC stocks and monitoring carbon (C) fluxes in rangelands are challenging due to the considerable spatial and temporal variability tied to rangeland C dynamics as well as limited data availability. We developed the Rangeland Carbon Tracking and Management (RCTM) system to track long‐term changes in SOC and ecosystem C fluxes by leveraging remote sensing inputs and environmental variable data sets with algorithms representing terrestrial C‐cycle processes. Bayesian calibration was conducted using quality‐controlled C flux data sets obtained from 61 Ameriflux and NEON flux tower sites from Western and Midwestern US rangelands to parameterize the model according to dominant vegetation classes (perennial and/or annual grass, grass‐shrub mixture, and grass‐tree mixture). The resulting RCTM system produced higher model accuracy for estimating annual cumulative gross primary productivity (GPP) (R2 > 0.6, RMSE <390 g C m−2) relative to net ecosystem exchange of CO2 (NEE) (R2 > 0.4, RMSE <180 g C m−2). Model performance in estimating rangeland C fluxes varied by season and vegetation type. The RCTM captured the spatial variability of SOC stocks with R2 = 0.6 when validated against SOC measurements across 13 NEON sites. Model simulations indicated slightly enhanced SOC stocks for the flux tower sites during the past decade, which is mainly driven by an increase in precipitation. Future efforts to refine the RCTM system will benefit from long‐term network‐based monitoring of vegetation biomass, C fluxes, and SOC stocks. Plain Language Summary Rangelands play a crucial role in providing various ecosystem services, including potential climate change mitigation through increased soil organic carbon (SOC) storage. Accurate estimates of changes in carbon (C) storage are challenging due to the heterogeneous nature of rangelands and the limited availability of field observations. In this work, we leveraged remote sensing observations, tower‐based C flux measurements from over 60 rangeland sites in the Western and Midwestern US, and other environmental data sets to build the process‐based Rangeland Carbon Tracking and Management (RCTM) modeling system. The RCTM system is designed to simulate the past 20 years of rangeland C dynamics and is regionally calibrated. The RCTM system performs well in estimating spatial and temporal rangeland C fluxes as well as spatial SOC storage. Model simulation results revealed increased SOC storage and rangeland productivity driven by annual precipitation patterns. The RCTM system developed by this work can be used to generate accurate spatial and temporal estimates of SOC storage and C fluxes at fine spatial (30 m) and temporal (every 5 days) resolutions, and is well‐suited for informing rangeland C management strategies and improving broad‐scale policy making. Key Points The Rangeland Carbon Tracking and Monitoring System was calibrated to simulate vegetation type‐specific rangeland C dynamics Regional variability in carbon fluxes and soil organic carbon is well represented by a remote sensing‐driven process modeling approach Soil organic carbon stocks in Western and Midwestern US rangelands increased over the past 20 years due to increased precipitation

High-resolution soil moisture estimates are critical for planning water management and assessing environmental quality. measurements alone are too costly to support the spatial and temporal resolutions needed for water management. Recent efforts have combined calibration data with machine learning algorithms to fill the gap where high resolution moisture estimates are lacking at the field scale. This study aimed to provide calibrated soil moisture models and methodology for generating gridded estimates of soil moisture at multiple depths, according to user-defined temporal periods, spatial resolution and extent. We applied nearly one million national library soil moisture records from over 100 sites, spanning the U.S. Midwest and West, to build Quantile Random Forest (QRF) calibration models. The QRF models were built on covariates including soil moisture estimates from North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS), soil properties, climate variables, digital elevation models, and remote sensing-derived indices. We also explored an alternative approach that adopted a regionalized calibration dataset for the Western U.S. The broad-scale QRF models were independently validated according to sampling depths, land cover type, and observation period. We then explored the model performance improved with local samples used for spiking. Finally, the QRF models were applied to estimate soil moisture at the field scale where evaluation was carried out to check estimated temporal and spatial patterns. The broad-scale QRF model showed moderate performance (R = 0.53, RMSE = 0.078 m /m ) when data points from all depth layers (up to 100 cm) were considered for an independent validation. Elevation, NLDAS-derived moisture, soil properties, and sampling depth were ranked as the most important covariates. The best model performance was observed for forest and pasture sites (R > 0.5; RMSE < 0.09 m /m ), followed by grassland and cropland (R > 0.4; RMSE < 0.11 m /m ). Model performance decreased with sampling depths and was slightly lower during the winter months. Spiking the national QRF model with local samples improved model performance by reducing the RMSE to less than 0.05 m /m for grassland sites. At the field scale, model estimates illustrated more accurate temporal trends for surface than subsurface soil layers. Model estimated spatial patterns need to be further improved and validated with management data. The model accuracy for top 0-20 cm soil depth (R > 0.5, RMSE < 0.08 m /m ) showed promise for adopting the methodology for soil moisture monitoring. The success of spiking the national model with local samples showed the need to collect multi-year high frequency ( , hourly) sensor-based field measurements to improve estimates of soil moisture for a longer time period. Future work should improve model performance for deeper depths with additional hydraulic properties and use of locally-selected calibration datasets.

This chapter illustrates the breadth of North American Land Data Assimilation System (NLDAS) Phase 2 (NLDAS‐2) data by showing examples of descriptions for extreme events of 2011 in North America, including Hurricane Irene, Tropical Storm Lee, the July heat wave, and the February blizzard. For these, snowfall and snow water equivalent are used for illustrating the winter blizzard event; precipitation, 0–10 cm soil moisture, total runoff, and surface wind fields are shown for describing the two east coast tropical storm events; and 2 m above‐ground air temperature data is selected for demonstrating the heat wave event. The chapter also introduces the recently released NLDAS monthly means and monthly climatology data sets, and provides a description of the major characteristics of NLDAS data and data accessing methods.