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Domoic acid is a potent neurotoxin produced by certain marine microalgae that can accumulate in the foodweb, posing a health threat to human seafood consumers and wildlife in coastal regions worldwide. Evidence of climatic regulation of domoic acid in shellfish over the past 20 y in the Northern California Current regime is shown. The timing of elevated domoic acid is strongly related to warm phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Oceanic Niño Index, an indicator of El Niño events. Ocean conditions in the northeast Pacific that are associated with warm phases of these indices, including changes in prevailing currents and advection of anomalously warm water masses onto the continental shelf, are hypothesized to contribute to increases in this toxin. We present an applied domoic acid risk assessment model for the US West Coast based on combined climatic and local variables. Evidence of regional- to basin-scale controls on domoic acid has not previously been presented. Our findings have implications in coastal zones worldwide that are affected by this toxin and are particularly relevant given the increased frequency of anomalously warm ocean conditions.

IntroductionGlobally, anchovy and sardine typically display asynchronous population fluctuations with anchovy dominating during cool periods and sardine dominating during warm periods. However, this anchovy-sardine cold-warm paradigm has recently broken down in the California Current, suggesting that recruitment may not be a simple product of large-scale physical drivers. Instead, consideration of larval fish trophodynamics together with local oceanography is likely necessary to mechanistically relate survival and recruitment to the physical environment.MethodsWe examined otolith-derived metrics of northern anchovy (Engraulis mordax) growth in the context of local oceanography and anchovy in situ prey and zooplankton predators in the northern California Current (NCC).ResultsAnchovy growth was spatially variable and the regions that conferred heighted growth differed with regard to the cross-shelf extent of upwelled waters. When upwelling was restricted to the nearshore environment, anchovy larvae grew significantly faster inshore than offshore. Conversely, when the upwelling front moved farther offshore following sustained upwelling, offshore anchovy larvae grew significantly faster than inshore larvae. Modelling individual anchovy growth revealed that growth was affected by ambient copepod prey availability and gelatinous zooplankton predation pressure, with growth peaking at intermediate prey availability and the highest abundance of predators. Fast growth under high predation pressure may be indicative of the selective loss of slow growing larvae. Notably, larval anchovy abundances were high offshore but diminished immediately inshore of the upwelling front regardless of its cross-shelf position. This suggests that the upwelling front may act as a shoreward boundary for anchovy larvae, affecting their access to the highly nutritious prey base typical of the Oregon continental shelf waters in summer.DiscussionVariation in larval anchovy growth with local oceanographic conditions and fine-scale distributions of prey and predators provides a mechanistic hypothesis of food-web dynamics which will enhance our ability to predict the response of forage fishes to ecosystem variability.

Understanding the relative roles of species interactions and environmental factors in structuring communities has historically focused on local scales where manipulative experiments are possible. However, recent interest in predicting the effects of climate change and species invasions has spurred increasing attention to processes occurring at larger spatial and temporal scales. The “meta-ecosystem” approach is an ideal framework for integrating processes operating at multiple scales as it explicitly considers the influence of local biotic interactions and regional flows of energy, materials, and organisms on community structure. Using a comparative-experimental design, we asked (1) what is the relative importance of local biotic interactions and oceanic processes in determining rocky intertidal community structure in the low zone within the Northern California Current System, and (2) what factors are most important in regulating this structure and why? We focused on functional group interactions between macrophytes and sessile invertebrates and their consumers (grazers, predators), how these varied across spatial scales, and with ocean-driven conditions (upwelling, temperature) and ecological subsidies (nutrients, phytoplankton, sessile invertebrate recruits). Experiments were conducted at 13 sites divided across four capes in Oregon and northern California. Results showed that biotic interactions were variable in space and time but overall, sessile invertebrates had no effect on macrophytes while macrophytes had weakly negative effects on sessile invertebrates. Consumers, particularly predators, also had weakly negative effects on both functional groups. Overall, we found that 40–49% of the variance in community structure at the local scale was explained by external factors (e.g., spatial scale, time, upwelling, temperature, ecological subsidies) vs. 19–39% explained by functional group interactions. When individual functional group interaction strengths were used, only 2–3% of the variation was explained by any one functional group while 28–54% of the variation was explained by external factors. We conclude that community structure in the low intertidal zone is driven primarily by external factors at the regional scale with local biotic interactions playing a secondary role.

Ecosystems are shaped by processes occurring and interacting over multiple temporal and spatial scales. Theory suggests such complexity can be simplified by focusing on processes sharing the same scale as the pattern of interest. This scale-dependent approach to studying communities has been challenged by multiscale meta-ecosystem theory, which recognizes that systems are interconnected by the movement of \"ecological subsidies\" and suggests that cross-scale feedbacks between local and regional processes can be equally important for understanding community structure. We reconcile these two perspectives by developing and testing a hierarchical meta-ecosystem model. The model predicts local community responses to connectivity over multiple oceanographic spatial scales, defined as macro- (100s of km), meso- (10s of km), and local scale (100s of m). It assumes that local communities occur in distinct regions and that connectivity effects are strongest among local sites. Predictions are that if macroscale processes dominate, then regardless of mesoscale differences, (1) local communities will be similar, and (2) will be even more so with increased connectivity. With dominance of mesoscale (i.e., regional) processes, (3) local structure will be similar within but distinct between regions, and (4) with increased connectivity similar both within and among regions. With dominance of local-scale processes, (5) local communities will differ both within and among regions, and (6) with increased connectivity be similar within but not between regions. We tested the model by evaluating rocky intertidal community structure patterns with variation in ecological subsidies and environmental conditions at 13 sites spanning 725 km of the northern California Current system. External factors operating at meso- and local scales had strong effects, explaining 52% and 27% of the variance, respectively, in community structure. Sessile invertebrate and predator dominance was associated with weaker upwelling, higher phytoplankton abundance, and higher recruitment, and the opposite was true for macrophyte dominance. Overall, our results support the theory that meta-ecosystems are organized hierarchically, with environmental processes dominating at meso- to macroscales and ecological processes playing a more important role at local scales, but with important bidirectional cross-scale interactions.

Effects of climate change on ocean ecosystem dynamics are widespread. Oceanographic conditions vital to biological communities have already shown changes, resulting in negative impacts on several of the world’s largest fisheries. The Northern California Current (NCC) is a highly productive system that supports many important fisheries. In addition to large-scale oceanographic forcing and seasonal up- and downwelling cycles, in the last decade, the NCC also experienced two distinct marine heatwaves (MHWs) that resulted in pervasive ecosystem alterations. The 2014–16 and 2019 MHWs had contrasting oceanic and atmospheric origins and different effects on ocean temperature, providing the opportunity to identify the mechanisms important to juvenile fish recruitment processes and how they may be differentially impacted by future warming scenarios. We utilized a five-year time series (2014, 2015, 2016, 2018, and 2019) of larval fish concentration, growth, and diet as a natural experiment to investigate the impact of MHWs as well as two neutral years on cabezon ( Scorpaenicthys marmoratus ). Findings include the first published measurement of larval cabezon daily growth rates. Mean growth rates were higher during MHWs, suggesting that elevated temperatures did not pose a major growth or survival challenge. Cabezon’s fast growth response to MHW conditions demonstrates that larval cabezon were able to sustain fast growth in warmer temperatures, and were not likely prey limited. Further, larval cabezon gut fullness did not differ significantly among years. Instead, differences in diet composition and prey quality varied with larval growth. Relative to slower-growing larvae, larval cabezon with high growth rates consumed larger prey items, including larval euphausiids and amphipods. Consistent with these patterns of larval growth, nearshore recruitment of juvenile cabezon was also high during MHW years. Our findings highlight the importance of phenological coupling, or matches in timing, between cabezon and euphausiid population dynamics in that larval cabezon exhibited fast growth when the timing of flexion was coupled with the euphausiid population transition to a larger, omnivorous larval stage. Results of this study suggest that larval cabezon’s variable growth and broad diet coupled with selection for large, nutrient dense prey may be a source of resilience for its population dynamics.

The Northern California Current (NCC) system is a productive coastal ecosystem with a mosaic of temporal and spatial features. The phytoplankton community plays a crucial role in supporting the rich ecosystem and economically important fisheries of the NCC. Our study integrates data across two years (2022-2023) and multiple transects to investigate the community composition of two major phytoplankton groups in the NCC: picocyanobacteria and photosynthetic picoeukaryotes (PPE). The abundances and cell sizes of the phytoplankton were measured using flow cytometry. We found PPE present at similar concentrations in both summer and winter, while picocyanobacteria were much more abundant in the summer than the winter. The relationship between the picocyanobacteria and PPE varied across on- to off-shore transects with different coastal bathymetry. Abundances of both picophytoplankton increased with distance from shore. Cell size also varied along these gradients. Sampling during a marine heatwave in summer 2023 revealed a shift towards smaller picophytoplankton. Overall, these data reveal a dynamic microbial community underlying a productive coastal system, which could inform management decisions and future ecosystem models in the context of climate change and marine heat waves.

Phytoplankton species were enumerated from 72 samples collected biweekly during the upwelling season (May to August) of 2001–2010 to test for effects of interannual variations in upwelling and decadal basin-scale variability on phytoplankton species composition and community structure. Cluster analysis of phytoplankton community structure identified 7 groups; 1 group was dominated by dinoflagellates while the other groups were dominated by diatoms but with variable ratios of diatom-to-dinoflagellate abundance ranging from 4 to 847. The most abundant diatoms were Thalassiosira spp., Chaetoceros spp., Asterionellopsis glacialis, Cylindrotheca closterium, Leptocylindrus spp., Nitzschia and Pseudo-nitzschia spp., with dominance varying among the 7 groups. Variations in phytoplankton community structure were not related to the strength of upwelling within a given year; rather, differences were related to when a sample was collected within an upwelling/downwelling cycle. Community structure was also analyzed by non-metric multidimensional scaling ordination. The x-axis scores of the ordination, which is an index of community structure, were correlated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) but not with seasonally averaged coastal upwelling strength. Positive values of the index corresponded with positive PDO years (2002–2007), and negative index values with negative PDO years (2001, 2008–2010). Thus changes in the sign of the PDO seem to be more influential in explaining the interannual variations in phytoplankton community structure than seasonally averaged coastal upwelling.

IntroductionPlastics carried in the outflow of major rivers can be made available and subsequently ingested by marine fishes, causing lethal and sublethal effects. Highly abundant, vertically migrating myctophids play a crucial role in facilitating nutrient cycling between the epi- and mesopelagic zones. However, this diel movement may also make myctophids significant conduits for transporting ingested microparticles from surface waters to deeper food webs. MethodsWe examined the gastrointestinal tracts of 340 myctophids caught at varying distances from the Columbia River mouth in the epipelagic zone of the northeast Pacific Ocean to determine if proximity to a presumed point source influences microparticle ingestion. ResultsWhile we found no direct spatial connection with ingestion frequency, we discovered that (a) ~34% of myctophids had either synthetic or other anthropogenic particles retained in their GI tract, (b) microparticle ingestion was higher in an active-feeding species of myctophid (Tarletonbeania crenularis) than an inactive-feeding species (Stenobrachius leucopsarus), and (c) species and standard length were the most influential predictors of microparticle consumption in our best fit model. DiscussionOur failure to detect a significant relationship between distance from a source and ingestion by myctophids is likely due to the particles undergoing fluctuations in dispersal patterns once they enter the ocean, particularly for microfibers which can be transported across large distances. Biological factors like body size may be more relevant to understanding microparticle ingestion patterns in mesopelagic fishes. Overall, our study highlights the potential role myctophids serve as multidirectional transporters of microparticles in Northern California Current food webs, with potential impacts on fisheries and human food systems.

Many productive ocean ecosystems are also highly variable, resulting in complex trophic interactions. We analyzed interannual patterns in the diet of a seabird, the common murreUria aalge, in a region of high oceanographic productivity, the northern California Current, to investigate how these top predators adjust their chick provisioning to cope with environmental variability. Murres relied chiefly on Pacific herringClupea harengus pallasiand surf smeltHypomesus pretiosusto provision chicks, although they regularly returned 8 other fish taxa. Provisioning success was measured by the energy return rate to chicks, which in turn was disarticulated into energy per meal (quality) and meal delivery rate (quantity). Parents exhibited ‘compensation’ during 2 years in which smaller, low quality prey were returned more quickly than in years with normal (i.e. ‘good’) provisioning. Despite the increased delivery rate, energy return rates were still lower in ‘compensation’ vs. ‘good’ years. The lowest energy return rates occurred in 3 ‘poor’ years, during which ocean productivity was also depressed. Our results suggest that murres in this system have the ability to shift provisioning strategies to deal with some variability in prey resources, but not when limited by exceptionally poor environmental conditions.

Under future climate scenarios, ocean temperatures that are presently extreme and qualify as marine heatwaves (MHW) are forecasted to increase in frequency and intensity, but little is known about the impact of these events on one of the most common paleoproxies, planktonic foraminifera. Planktonic foraminifera are globally ubiquitous, shelled marine protists. Their abundances and geochemistry vary with ocean conditions and fossil specimens are commonly used to reconstruct ancient ocean conditions. Planktonic foraminiferal assemblages are known to vary globally with sea surface temperature, primary productivity, and other hydrographic conditions, but have not been studied in the context of mid-latitude MHWs. For this study, the community composition and abundance of planktonic foraminifera were quantified for 2010-2019 along the Newport Hydrographic Line, a long-term monitoring transect at 44.6°N in the Northern California Current (NCC). Samples were obtained from archived plankton tows spanning 46 to 370 km offshore during annual autumn (August – October) cruises. Two MHWs impacted the region during this timeframe: the first during 2014-2016 and a second, shorter duration MHW in 2019. During the 2014-2016 MHW, warm water subtropical and tropical foraminifera species were more prevalent than the typical polar, subpolar, and transitional species common to this region. Cold water species were abundant again after the first MHW dissipated in late 2016. During the second, shorter-duration MHW in 2019, the assemblage consisted of a warm water assemblage but did not include tropical species. The foraminiferal assemblage variability correlated with changes in temperature and salinity in the upper 100 meters and was not correlated with distance offshore or upwelling. These results suggest that fossil foraminiferal assemblages from deep sea sediment cores may provide insight into the magnitude and frequency of past MHWs.