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1,411 result(s) for "Obstfeld, Maurice"
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Desaceleración de EE. UU. y el 'Brexit' debilitan el PIB global
WASHINGTON DC/AGENCIAS La incertidumbre generada por la anunciada salida del Reino Unido de la Unión Europea (UE) y un frenazo mayor de lo previsto en Estados Unidos son los principales responsables de un crecimiento global aún \"apagado\", que puede empeorar si triunfan los llamamientos \"populistas\" al proteccionismo, advirtió ayer el FMI. \"Es de importancia vital defender las perspectivas de una mayor integración comercial. Dar marcha atrás al comercio solo puede profundizar y prolongar el actual estancamiento\", ha asegurado Maurice Obstfeld, economista jefe del Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI), en la presentación del informe de cabecera del organismo 'Perspectivas Económicas Globales'. Obstfeld ha señalado que el documento subraya la \"precaria naturaleza\" de la recuperación, ocho años después de la crisis financiera mundial. La institución financiera insiste así en su alarma sobre las recetas proteccionistas \"populistas\", que se están escuchando en Estados Unidos y Europa, y que -ha dicho- están alimentadas por la sombra de \"un persistente estancamiento\". El crecimiento económico del mundo se prevé que se sitúe en 3,1 por ciento en 2016 y en 3,4 por ciento en 2017, en ambos casos sin cambios respecto a julio, y frenado por la notable revisión a la baja de Estados Unidos y las consecuencias negativas del 'Brexit' para el Reino Unido. A este lastre, contribuye especialmente Estados Unidos, la primera economía mundial, que se prevé que crezca 1,6 por ciento este año y 2,2 por ciento el próximo, seis y tres décimas menos respectivamente que lo calculado hace tres meses. Por su parte, el Reino Unido verá reducir su crecimiento paulatinamente a 1,8 por ciento en 2016 y 1,1 por ciento en 2017, tras el 2,2 por ciento registrado en 2015. \"La incertidumbre sobre el referéndum del 'Brexit' hará mella en la confianza de los inversores\", ha apuntado Obstfeld, quien ha remarcado que se trata todavía de \"una cuestión en marcha\" ante las características de la nueva relación entre el Reino Unido y la UE.
Trade Publication Article
Breves Internacional
Argentina licitará el lunes al menos 3.000 millones de pesos (331 millones de dólares) de los bonos denominados 'Bonos del Tesoro Nacional', según informó el Ministerio de Economía. La cartera añadió que la licitación se llevará a cabo en el marco del Programa Financiero 2015, debido a la fuerte demanda registrada en licitaciones recientes.
Trade Publication Article
Don't fall short when it comes to change
[...]people may prefer the prestige of having a large automobile, but rising gasoline prices - an economic factor - or the effect of exhaust fumes on urban air quality - an environmental issue - can affect purchasing decisions. Survival of the firm can depend greatly on the success of your response. [...]in an increasingly interdependent world, what once seemed to be a far-away condition no longer is.
Currency depreciation and output nexus: Evidence from Pakistan
Currency depreciation as a channel of output management has been a hot and controversial topic in both developed and developing economies. In Pakistan?s case, relevant research would require study of annual data available for the period 1972 to 2010. The stationarity of variables under consideration at different orders require the application of the bounds testing approach to cointegration. The findings based on open economy IS-LM framework induce a negative effect of currency depreciation on output levels. This is consistent with the long-run estimates of the autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model. The short-run estimates of error-correction model (ECM) may lead to significant increment in output levels because of the depreciation of Pakistan rupee. Government spending may cause to reduce the output in the short-run, as well as, in long-run which furnishes strong support to crowding out hypothesis. The terms of trade, positive in the short-run, are negatively related to output in the long-run. However, surprise money has been insignificant in both long-run and short-run ECM. The country would need a clear long-term policy regime that inspires trust of the international community and restores the exporters? confidence. nema
FINANCIALISATION AND ECONOMIC POLICY
In analysing the availability and performance of the foreign capital in developing countries, too much attention has been given to the availability of capital and current account while far too little has been given to long-term investment, job creation and economic sovereignty. The current study centres on a critical review of available literature and a contribution to the substantive topics indicated in the title. The objective is to examine relevant empirical and theoretical studies. The study argues that following the adoption of capital liberalisation and neoliberalism, the economies of most developing countries have become more vulnerable. If China is excluded, we find that most developing economies have been unable to expand employment opportunities or reduce levels of poverty due to fear of capital flight. In recent years, capital liberalisation policy has encouraged capital flight from their economies. After 2008, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publicly express support for capital controls as a result of the global financial crisis and as the vulnerabilities associated with capital flows.