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The electricity industry is a basic industry of the national economy. It has experienced several large-scale power shortages, hard power shortage and soft power shortage, which have brought a great threat to China’s sustainable economic development. To solve this problem better, it is necessary to make a quantitative assessment of the economic impacts of power shortage. The CGE model is commonly used for simulating economic shocks and policy effects. It describes supply, demand and equilibrium in different markets by simulating the economic mechanism through a set of equations. Once changed, the exogenous variables will affect a certain part of the system and then the whole system, leading to changes in quantities and prices. The equilibrium state will also change from one to another. A static CGE model is built in this paper, and the Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) of eight sectors of China in 2007 is compiled, in order to simulate the economic impacts of hard power shortage and soft power shortage. Simulation results show that the negative effects of power shortage on economic development are very significant, and the effects vary in different sectors. Especially, under the background of hard power shortage, the industrial sector suffers most. The economic cost of power shortage is considerable, and the main reason for it is the specific administrative pricing system in China. The low electricity price in the long term will lead to insufficient construction and hard power shortage; moreover, that in the short run would result in soft power shortage. In order to solve the problem of power shortage completely, power system reform is inevitable.

Since the outbreak of the Ukrainian-Russian conflict on 24 February 2022, Ukraine’s economy, society, and cities have been devastated and struck on multiple fronts, with large numbers of refugees fleeing to neighboring countries. The lighting systems in Ukrainian cities have been severely restricted due to Russian missile bombing and curfew policies. The power shortages adversely affected the livelihoods of the Ukrainian residents dramatically. For a timely assessment of the power shortages’ extent and the affected population in Ukraine, this study tracked the dynamics of nighttime light emissions in Ukraine based on the newly developed daily Black Marble product (VNP46A2) from NASA. The results show that the average light radiance in Ukrainian urban areas has decreased by about 37% since the eruption of the war, with Kiev city being the most dramatic region, having a post-conflict decrease of about 51%. In addition, by introducing near-real-time population data, we have implemented a survey of the affected population in Ukraine suffering from war-induced power shortages. Estimates show that about 17.3 million Ukrainian residents were affected by power shortages. In more detail, the number of children under 10 years old was about 2.35 million (about 5.24% of the total population), while the number of elderly people over 60 years old was about 3.53 million (about 7.86% of the total population). Generally, the results of this study could contribute positively to the timely assessment of the impact of the conflict and the implementation of humanitarian relief.

The low-carbon transition of the power system is essential for China to achieve peak carbon and carbon neutrality. However, China could suffer power shortages due to radical policies in some extreme cases. The gap between power demand and supply from March 2021 to November 2021 ranged between 5.2 billion kW·h and 24.6 billion kW·h. The main reason for the power shortage was over-reliance on renewable energy and insufficient coal power supply for the power system. The low-carbon transformation path of the electric system needs to be explored with more flexibility for power security. This study applied a modified LEAP model and carried out a forecast analysis of thermal power generation and installed capacity in 2025 and 2030 under normal and extreme weather scenarios. The results suggested that: the installed capacity of thermal power will need to account for about 44.6–46.1% of power generation in 2025 and 37.4–39.3% in 2030, with the assumption of power shortages caused by the instability and uncertainty of renewable power. In the future, China needs to pursue the development of diversified energy sources and enhance the power supply security capability while strengthening the development and utilization of renewable energy.

Pakistan’s textile industry is suffering from an electricity shortage and political turmoil. Due to a state of instability in which nothing is certain, things cannot be brought into balance by the state. Therefore, we employ firm-level data (101) to investigate the impact of expected and unexpected power outages on textile firm productivity throughout 2014 to 2019. The study assesses the importance of political stability for the flourishing of Pakistan’s textile sector. Outages were found to significantly negatively impact textile sector sales revenue, likely leading to lower results (by 0.240% and 0.0569%). The duration and frequency of outages had significant adverse influences on reducing firm revenue. It has been estimated that a 1 h outage will cause to loss of revenue of approximately 24 percent. Comparatively, load-shedding hours had a smaller impact on lowering firms’ sales revenues, which were 5% to 8% with and without political stability inclusion. Further, outage hours decreased the export of textiles by 0.286%. The magnitude of export reduction by outages and load shedding was higher. The driving impact of political stability was higher than the impacts of expected and unexpected shortages. A stable political system is necessary to develop feasible solutions.

The energy transition is accompanied by developing a digital decentralized low-carbon energy infrastructure with renewable-based generating plants as its main elements. In 2020, 15 photovoltaic power plants (PVPs) with an installed capacity of 364 MW were commissioned in Russia, which is 21.08% of the total installed PVP capacity of Russia. The findings of an analysis of Russia’s current regulatory and technical documents (RTD) concerning the frequency and active power flow control are presented. They indicate that all PVPs must participate in the general primary frequency control (GPFC). This requirement is due to large frequency deviations of transient processes resulting from an emergency active power shortage, which can shut down frequency-maintaining generating plants by relay or process protection devices and industrial consumers with significant damage to them. The requirements suggest full-scale tests of PVP to confirm their readiness for participation in GPFC. The program and results of checking the algorithm of change in the PVP active power, depending on frequency, are demonstrated with an example of one PVP. The full-scale tests confirmed the compliance of the certified PVP with this requirement. The plans for involving PVPs in the power flow control under various topology and operation conditions are considered.

Using manufacturing survey data from China, we study the relationship between firms’ anticipatory investment (or in other words, willingness to invest) in the short-run future and their perception of the current power crunch for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). Our findings reveal a robust and significant negative association, suggesting a sizable persistent negative impact of the power crunch on firms’ investment lingering over at least a couple of months. The dynamic impacts are very different at the industry level, with electricity-dependent industries appearing to take more hits. However, we find no statistically significant evidence to support the channel of electricity dependence in comparison with the channel of capacity utilization. Moreover, we show that firms of smaller size suffer disproportionately larger damage in future investment, which highlights the importance of caring about SMEs, relative to big firms.

The power shortages directly affect the production behavior of firms. The study utilizes a city-specific index of power shortage and a comprehensive database of listed firms in China to investigate the correlation between power shortages and firm CO 2 emissions. Empirical results indicate a significant positive relationship between power shortages and firm CO 2 emissions, alongside a noted decline in the extent of technological innovation among listed firms and a negative impact on their resource allocation. Further analysis shows that power shortage significantly contributes to the CO 2 emissions of non-state-owned firms, non-heavily polluting firms and firms located in areas with high carbon-intensive energy use and fiscal expenditure pressure. These findings are robust across various sensitivity analyses and address concerns regarding endogeneity. Hence, policymakers are advised to take into account the influence of power shortages on CO 2 emissions of listed firms, beyond their traditionally recognized adverse effects on economic operations. As frontrunners in China’s low-carbon transition, listed firms should strengthen risk resilience while driving technological innovation and resource optimization, thereby establishing operational paradigms for small and medium - sized firms to emulate.

Countries worldwide are advocating for energy transition initiatives to promote the construction of low-carbon energy systems. The low voltage ride through (LVRT) characteristics of renewable energy units and commutation failures in line commutated converter high voltage direct current (LCC-HVDC) systems at the receiving end leads to short-term power shortage (STPS), which differs from traditional frequency stability issues. STPS occurs during the generator’s power angle swing phase, before the governor responds, and is on a timescale that is not related to primary frequency regulation. This paper addresses these challenges by examining the impact of LVRT on voltage stability, developing a frequency response model to analyze the mechanism of frequency instability caused by STPS, deriving the impact of STPS on the maximum frequency deviation, and introducing an energy deficiency factor to assess its impact on regional frequency stability. The East China Power Grid is used as a case study, where the energy deficiency factor is calculated to validate the proposed mechanism. STPS is mainly compensated by the rotor kinetic energy of the generators in this region, with minimal impact on other regions. It is concluded that the energy deficiency factor provides an effective explanation for the spatial distribution of the impact of STPS on system frequency.

This study is a product of the Africa Infrastructure Country Diagnostic (AICD), a project designed to expand the world's knowledge of physical infrastructure in Africa. The AICD provides a baseline against which future improvements in infrastructure services can be measured, making it possible to monitor the results achieved from donor support. It also offers a more solid empirical foundation for prioritizing investments and designing policy reforms in the infrastructure sectors in Africa. The book draws upon a number of background papers that were prepared by World Bank staff and consultants, under the auspices of the AICD. The main findings were synthesized in a flagship report titled Africa's infrastructure: A time for transformation, published in November 2009. Meant for policy makers, that report necessarily focused on the high-level conclusions. It attracted widespread media coverage feeding directly into discussions at the 2009 African union commission heads of state summit on infrastructure.

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is one of the most water-stressed parts of the world. In just over 25 years, between 1975 and 2001. Looking to the future, MENA's freshwater outlook is expected to worsen because of continued population growth and projected climate change impacts. The region's population is on the way to doubling to 700 million by 2050. Projections of climate change and variability impacts on the region's water availability are highly uncertain, but they are expected to be largely negative. To offer just one more example, rainfall and freshwater availability could decrease by up to 40 percent for some MENA countries by the end of this century. The urgent challenge is how to adapt to the future as illustrated by these numbers and how to turn the region's economy onto a sustainable path. This volume suggests new ways of thinking about the complex changes and planning needed to achieve this. New thinking will mean making better use of desert land, sun, and salt water the abundant riches of the region which can be harnessed to underpin sustainable growth. More mundane, but just as important, new thinking will also mean planning for dramatically better management of the water already available. Right now, water is very poorly managed in MENA. Inefficiencies are notorious in agriculture, where irrigation consumes up to 81 percent of extracted water. Similarly, municipal and industrial water supply systems have abnormally high losses, and most utilities are financially unsustainable. In addition, many MENA countries overexploit their fossil aquifers to meet growing water demand. None of this is sustainable while water resources decline. This volume hopes to add to the ongoing thinking and planning by presenting methodologies to address the water demand gap. It assesses the viability of desalination powered by renewable energy from economic, social, technical, and environmental viewpoints, and it reviews initiatives attempting to make renewable energy desalination a competitively viable option. The authors also highlight the change required in terms of policy, financing, and regional cooperation to make this alternative method of desalination a success. And as with any leading edge technology, the conversation here is of course about scale, cost, environmental impact, and where countries share water bodies plain good neighborly behavior.