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"Property damage"
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Gulf property damage, housing price trends and US bankruptcy filings
2023
Purpose
This paper aims to examine potential causes of bankruptcy as they relate to hurricane damage. Investigate whether hurricanes result in personal bankruptcy filings due to real property damages. Strengthen existing descriptive results by using fully modified ordinary least squares (FMOLS).
Design/methodology/approach
Lagged FMOLS model is used with data from states that suffered hurricane damage between 2000 through 2020. FMOLS controls for various financial distresses that can cause bankruptcy filings.
Findings
Bankruptcy is usually filed for within one year of a hurricane. Changes in house prices and hurricane severity were significant indicators of bankruptcy filings. However, the divorce rate, commonly thought of as a primary reason for bankruptcy, is insignificant.
Research limitations/implications
Data was available on a state level for the independent variables. Hurricane damage needed to be financially significant enough for inland flooding to be measurable and influential.
Practical implications
Establishes that financial distress comes from several sources, not just home damage. Financial distress is highly correlated with whether a home was insured. Divorce does not cause bankruptcy filings.
Social implications
Federal flood insurance programs should be reexamined. Having a broader all-risk homeowner policy could reduce the number of households that file for bankruptcy after a hurricane.
Originality/value
Existing research uses descriptive statistics and obtains mixed findings regarding the association between hurricane damage and bankruptcy filings. The FMOLS approach provides clarity about this association.
Journal Article
The Costs of Living Side-by-Side with Monkeys: Economic Impacts on Commercial Farms and Property by Toque Macaques and Proposed Deterrent Strategies in a Rural Agriculture Area of Kurunegala District, Sri Lanka
by
Huffman, Michael A.
,
Jayarathne, S. D. Yeshanthika
,
Nahallage, Charmalie A. D.
in
agricultural and property damage
,
Agriculture
,
Crop damage
2025
As the human population has grown and expanded, increasing pressure is being put on natural habitats in Sri Lanka. This situation has led to a noticeable increase in human–primate conflicts. To understand the situation, we studied the interactions between humans and macaques in three administrative divisions of the Kurunegala District. Data was gathered from 875 informants through interviewer-administered questionnaires between 2020 and 2022. The monthly economic loss by commercial farmers due to macaque damage to fruits and vegetables doubled by 2022, amounting to approximately 5000 LKR. In non-fruiting seasons, losses from coconut damage increased, ranging from 3000 to 14,000 LKR/month, decreasing by over 50% during fruiting seasons. Property damage per household averaged between 850~4000 LKR/month. A cost of approximately 1200~3000 LKR was borne per household/month to deter monkeys from the fields. Macaques were the primary culprits for crop damage in this area, and were also responsible for property damage, surpassing that of other animals. The consensus among the community is that either relocating macaques to other forested areas or sterilizing them to control their population could mitigate the issue to some extent. An integrated management plan involving relevant stakeholders including the Forest Department, the Wildlife Conservation Department, the local agricultural agency, and local citizens is necessary to address the conflict arising from human–macaque crop utilization.
Journal Article
Assessing the Effect of Community Preparedness on Property Damage Costs during Wildfires: A Case Study of Greece
by
Chatzitheodoridis, Fotios
,
Zagkas, Theoxaris
,
Kalfas, Dimitrios
in
case studies
,
Climate change
,
community preparedness
2024
The current study attempts to assess the effect of community preparedness on property damage costs during wildfires. The focus is primarily on how various aspects of community preparedness, such as early warning systems, early risk assessment, emergency response plans, and fire-resistant landscaping, influence the extent of property damage costs during wildfires. For this purpose, data were collected from 384 Greek residents from different regions of the country using an online questionnaire. In this case, analysis was performed utilizing SPSS version 22.0. According to the findings, survey respondents replied that fire suppression was the most common property cost associated with wildfire. The study contributes to existing knowledge by providing insights into the specific factors that affect property damage expenditure during wildfires, specifically the intricate relationship between the expenses of property loss caused by wildfires and community preparation. The study’s findings can be utilized by policymakers and communities to improve preparedness plans and consequently decrease the impact of wildfires on property and people.
Journal Article
Increased motor vehicle crashes following the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake, Japan: an interrupted time series analysis of property damage crashes
2021
Driving after natural disasters entails a substantial amount of stress; therefore, the number of motor vehicle crashes may increase. However, few studies have examined this issue. This study investigated motor vehicle crashes after the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake in Japan. Monthly data about crashes resulting in property damage from 49 municipalities in Kumamoto from 2015 to 2018 were used. An interrupted time series analysis using Poisson or negative binomial regression models was conducted for 49 municipalities; the models were estimated for four classified areas to obtain the robust results. We found that property damage crashes increased significantly in the heavily affected area (Relative Risk (RR) = 1.48, 95% Confidence interval (CI): 1.29, 1.71) and the affected area (RR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.15, 1.36) after the earthquake. A mountainous area showed a reduction in property damage crashes despite its heavy damage (RR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.67, 0.82), which can be attributed to the closure of its main gate routes. The unaffected area showed no difference before and after the earthquake. Geographical presentation of the result demonstrates a clear positive association of earthquake damage and increased crashes. The findings of this study highlight the importance of motor-vehicle-crash alerts after an earthquake.
Journal Article
Development of a Data-Based Machine Learning Model for Classifying and Predicting Property Damage Caused by Fire
2023
Large fires in factories cause severe human casualties and property damage. Thus, preparing more economical and efficient management strategies for fire prevention can significantly improve fire safety. This study deals with property damage grade prediction by fire based on simplified building information. This paper’s primary objective is to propose and verify a framework for predicting the scale of property damage caused by fire using machine learning (ML). Korean public datasets are collected and preprocessed, and ML algorithms are trained with only 15 input data using building register and fire scenario information. Four models (artificial neural network (ANN), decision tree (DT), k-nearest neighbor (KNN), and random forest (RF)) are used for ML. The RF model is the most suitable for this study, with recall and precision of 74.2% and 73.8%, respectively. Structure, floor, causes, and total floor area are the critical factors that govern the fire size. This study proposes a novel approach by utilizing ML models to accurately and rapidly predict the size of fire damage based on basic building information. By analyzing domestic fire incident data and creating fire scenarios, a similar ML model can be developed.
Journal Article
Assessing Influential Factors on Inland Property Damage from Gulf of Mexico Tropical Cyclones in the United States
by
Rifat, Shaikh Abdullah Al
,
Senkbeil, Jason C.
,
Liu, Weibo
in
Alabama
,
Climate change
,
Coastal zone
2021
The Gulf and southeast coastal communities in the United States are particularly vulnerable to tropical cyclones. Coastal areas generally receive the greatest economic losses from tropical cyclones; however, research suggests that losses in the inland zone can occasionally be higher than the coastal zone. Previous research assessing the inland impacts from tropical cyclones was limited to the areas that are adjacent to the coastal zone only, where losses are usually higher. In this study, we assessed the spatial distribution of inland property damage caused by tropical cyclones. We included all the inland counties that fall within the inland zone in the states of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama. Additionally, different factors, including meteorological storm characteristics (tropical cyclone wind and rain), elevation, and county social-economic vulnerability (county social vulnerability index and GDP) were assessed to measure their influence on property damage, using both ordinary least squares (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models. GWR performs better than the OLS, signifying the importance of considering spatial variations in the explanation of inland property damage. Results from the tristate region suggest that wind was the strongest predictor of property damage in OLS and one of the major contributing factors of property damage in the GWR model. These results could be beneficial for emergency managers and policymakers when considering the inland impacts of tropical cyclones.
Journal Article
Fluvial Flood Losses in the Contiguous United States Under Climate Change
2023
Flooding is one of the most devastating natural disasters causing significant economic losses. One of the dominant drivers of flood losses is heavy precipitation, with other contributing factors such as built environments and socio‐economic conditions superimposed to it. To better understand the risk profile associated with this hazard, we develop probabilistic models to quantify the future likelihood of fluvial flood‐related property damage exceeding a critical threshold (i.e., high property damage) at the state level across the conterminous United States. The model is conditioned on indicators representing heavy precipitation amount and frequency derived from observed and downscaled precipitation. The likelihood of high property damage is estimated from the conditional probability distribution of annual total property damage, which is derived from the joint probability of the property damage and heavy precipitation indicators. Our results indicate an increase in the probability of high property damage (i.e., exceedance of 70th percentile of observed annual property damage for each state) in the future. Higher probability of high property damage is projected to be clustered in the states across the western and south‐western United States, and parts of the U.S. Northwest and the northern Rockies and Plains. Depending on the state, the mean annual probability of high property damage in these regions could range from 38% to 80% and from 46% to 95% at the end of the century (2090s) under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, respectively. This is equivalent to 20%–40% increase in the probability compared to the historical period 1996–2005. Results show that uncertainty in the projected probability of high property damage ranges from 14% to 35% across the states. The spatio‐temporal variability of the uncertainty across the states and three future decades (i.e., 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) exhibits nonstationarity, which is driven by the uncertainty associated with the probabilistic prediction models and climate change scenarios. Plain Language Summary Floods create significant economic losses in the United States and many other places across the world. Floods and flood‐related losses are expected to change due to changes in heavy precipitation in a warmer climate. Inferring how (including when and where) flood‐related losses could change in the future is crucial because of significant implications for flood risk management, insurance, and infrastructure resilience. We develop probabilistic models to project the likelihood of (fluvial) flood‐related high property damage (annual total property damage exceeding a critical threshold) conditioning on precipitation indicators under two greenhouse gas emission scenarios. We estimate relatively higher probability of high property damage for the states across the western and south‐western U.S. and parts of the U.S. Northwest and the northern Rockies and Plains, where projected changes range from 46% to 95% for a high‐emission scenario. In these regions, future changes in the probability of high property damage compared to the historical period vary from 20% to 40%. Overall, our results identify regions with higher likelihood of high property damage in the future, and they are useful for developing long‐term planning and resource mobilization, adaptation, and insurance instruments. Key Points Future likelihood of flood‐related property damage is quantified using probabilistic models conditioned on precipitation indicators Increase in the probability of flood‐related property damage is projected toward the mid and end of the century across the US Nonstationary uncertainties in the projected flood‐related property damage originate from the probabilistic models and climate scenarios
Journal Article
The challenge of unprecedented floods and droughts in risk management
by
Technical University of Crete [Chania] (TUC)
,
Interactions Sol Plante Atmosphère (UMR ISPA) ; Ecole Nationale Supérieure des Sciences Agronomiques de Bordeaux-Aquitaine (Bordeaux Sciences Agro)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)
,
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT)
in
704/242
,
704/4111
,
Civil Engineering
2022
Risk management has reduced vulnerability to floods and droughts globally yet their impacts are still increasing. An improved understanding of the causes of changing impacts is therefore needed, but has been hampered by a lack of empirical data. On the basis of a global dataset of 45 pairs of events that occurred within the same area, we show that risk management generally reduces the impacts of floods and droughts but faces difficulties in reducing the impacts of unprecedented events of a magnitude not previously experienced. If the second event was much more hazardous than the first, its impact was almost always higher. This is because management was not designed to deal with such extreme events: for example, they exceeded the design levels of levees and reservoirs. In two success stories, the impact of the second, more hazardous, event was lower, as a result of improved risk management governance and high investment in integrated management. The observed difficulty of managing unprecedented events is alarming, given that more extreme hydrological events are projected owing to climate change.
Journal Article
An improved fire detection approach based on YOLO-v8 for smart cities
2023
Fires in smart cities can have devastating consequences, causing damage to property, and endangering the lives of citizens. Traditional fire detection methods have limitations in terms of accuracy and speed, making it challenging to detect fires in real time. This paper proposes an improved fire detection approach for smart cities based on the YOLOv8 algorithm, called the smart fire detection system (SFDS), which leverages the strengths of deep learning to detect fire-specific features in real time. The SFDS approach has the potential to improve the accuracy of fire detection, reduce false alarms, and be cost-effective compared to traditional fire detection methods. It can also be extended to detect other objects of interest in smart cities, such as gas leaks or flooding. The proposed framework for a smart city consists of four primary layers: (i) Application layer, (ii) Fog layer, (iii) Cloud layer, and (iv) IoT layer. The proposed algorithm utilizes Fog and Cloud computing, along with the IoT layer, to collect and process data in real time, enabling faster response times and reducing the risk of damage to property and human life. The SFDS achieved state-of-the-art performance in terms of both precision and recall, with a high precision rate of 97.1% for all classes. The proposed approach has several potential applications, including fire safety management in public areas, forest fire monitoring, and intelligent security systems.
Journal Article